#earnings #shortstrangles DECK Sold March…

#earnings #shortstrangles DECK

Sold March 15, 100/150 strangle for 2.12, stock is at 126.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Feb 1st 2630/2650-2745/2765 iron condors for 1.00. (IV 15.35%; SPX 2703)

FB Roll

This seems like a stretch but I will watch closely

#rolling
$FB BTC 2/1 152.50 call and STO 2/15 165 call at 9.70 debit but would gain 12.50 if called away.

AMAT LABU SMH SOXL TNA TQQQ URI UVXY XBI

#LongCalls #CoveredCalls #LEAPS #ShortPuts – Been a slow couple weeks with the rally and being busy at work. Pretty much all hands on deck to keep things going with this crazy weather! Rolling some covered calls and ratio’d short calls against LEAPS and booking a couple winners for safety. Haven’t been adding anything new…just working with what I’ve got and trying to streamline things a little and be better about adding anything.

AMAT: Ratio’d and rolling just a week to stay prior to earnings.
Rolled AMAT FEB 1 2019 36.0 Calls to FEB 8 2019 36.0 Calls @ .10 credit

LABU: One contract DITM roll below basis…my least favorite position right now but can roll as long as needed.
Rolled LABU FEB 15 2019 35.0 Call JUN 21 2019 40.0 Call @ .01 credit

SMH: Ratio’d roll. Trying to stay as short term as possible.
Rolled SMH FEB 8 2019 91.0 Calls to FEB 22 2019 91.5 Calls @ .17 credit

SOXL: This was ITM not long ago so booking it. Sell again on next pullback.
Bought to Close SOXL FEB 15 2019 75.0 Put at .55 (sold for 3.50)

TNA: Big rally so rolling ratio’d and covered.
Rolled TNA FEB 8 2019 48.5 Calls to FEB 22 2019 49.0 Calls @ even (LEAPS position)
Rolled TNA FEB 1 2019 50.0 Calls to MAR 15 2019 52.0 Calls @ .20 credit (covered)

TQQQ: Added to LEAPS a few days ago so this is ratio’d now.
Rolled TQQQ FEB 8 2019 40.5 Calls to FEB 22 2019 41.0 Calls @ .06 credit
Rolled TQQQ FEB 15 2019 40.0 Call to MAR 15 2019 41.0 Call @ .20 credit (covered)

URI: Book it!
Bought to Close URI FEB 15 2019 105.0 Put @ .20 (sold for 2.30)

UVXY: Rolling short ratio’d puts down. Long LEAP puts working great. This works as a nice hedge on volatility spikes.
Rolled UVXY FEB 15 2019 70.0 Puts to MAR 15 2019 68.0 Puts @ .10 credit

XBI: Ratio’d roll.
Rolled XBI FEB 1 2019 78.0 Calls to FEB 22 2019 79.0 Calls @ .06 credit.

Obviously if I’d seen the Powell capitulation coming I’d not have sold any covered calls. Rolling working fine but capping upside (but giving a nice hedge also). These are all long term positions so working fine. Ratio’d short calls selling below LEAPS is a must. That way the rolls can be gradual since small to no upside risk.

SPX 1-dte

STO SPX Feb1 IC 2650/2655/2740/2745 put/call @.50 x6
BTC early for .10. With the VIX drop at the open, couldn’t resist the quick win.:-)
Profit $240
#spx1-dte

DECK earnings analysis

#Earnings $DECK reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 25, 2018 AC +6.18%
July 26, 2018 AC -6.87%
May 24, 2018 AC +3.54%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC +7.30%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC +3.32%
July 27, 2017 AC +1.59%
May 25, 2017 AC +18.80% Biggest UP
Feb. 2, 2017 AC -16.06% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 27, 2016 AC +7.11%
July 28, 2016 AC +4.06%
May 26, 2016 AC +7.99%
Feb. 4, 2016 AC -1.96%

Avg (+ or -) 7.07%
Bias 2.92%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 125.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 112.87 to 138.13
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 116.63 to 134.37
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (18.8%): 101.91 to 149.09
Open for requests on other symbols.

#optionsexpiration, adjutements, rolls, new trades…

#optionsexpiration, adjustments, rolls, new trades

#lizardpies
XBI 78/82/8.25 should expire tomorrow for 1.26 profit per contract
AMAT BTC the 39 puts for 0.29 that expire tomorrow. Sold for 0.71 last week. Tradestation so can’t trade until tomorrow. I think I will replace it with a #pietrades 108 CC on IBB currently for around 106.89. Obviously that will be different tomorrow.
FAS STO 56 cc for 54.77 expires in 8 DTE
TQQQ batch 1 50 cc rolled out 22 DTE to 51 CC for 0.26 credit. Cb now 57.04 and will have to stay ahead of the rolls.
TQQQ batch 2 50 cc rolled out 36 dTE 51 cc for 0.55 credit. Cb 57.10 and same as above.

#fuzzy
LNG 50/60 8 DTE rolled out to 22 DTE for 0.3 credit. Cb now 13.26
All the others were updated and expire next 1-2 weeks.

Back to even from the start of the October volatility. Now keep working on getting back to even from SVXY losses. Expect at least another 12-24 months unless everything goes perfectly, hahahaha, yeah that would happen 🙂

Something I noticed about #fuzzy over the last 3-4 months. As long as you keep rolling and generating cash they seem to withstand market volatility better than many other trades. In a few small accounts, I generated almost 50% of the value of the account in cash over that time even though the paper value was steadily declining. Have to agree with @fuzzballl, they are flexible. However, going forward I think I will take profit and then reset as we discussed earlier. I think it would make management easier and also lock in profits and also allow you to move the strikes more effectively as the market moves.