#contangoetfs GUSH Down to .33….

#contangoetfs GUSH

Down to .33. Can it go to zero?

TSLA

Yesterday STO $TSLA Feb 7 Calls @10.50. Selling against existing March 21 2020 585 Long calls.
Today – Rolled above $TSLA 800 Feb 7 Call to Feb 14 800 @28.00.

Thanks @optioniceman

AXSM

#ShortPuts Followed @optioniceman with the high vol stock that @330nick found

Sold $AXSM Dec 20th 25 puts for 1.70
Sold $AXSM Dec 20th 22.5 puts for 1.35

Don’t do these wild ones much anymore, but the low stock price limits the risk.

KL Covered strangle Rolled / NUGT Puts Rolled / EWZ put Closed / LABU Calls Rolled / CMG BUPS Closed

#shortputs #coveredcalls
$KL BTC 12/20/40 put and STO 1/17/2020 40 put at added .80 credit.
$KL BTC 12/20/45 call and STO 1/17/2020 45 call at added ..65 credit.

#shortputs
$NUGT BTC 12/20/ 35 puts and STO 12/27 34 puts at .75 debit. Spending .75 to get potential .25 “profit”. I have been rolling out and now down since 8/12. Current “profit” is $5200. If put to me tomorrow the profit would be reduced by $3640. Maybe I should just close out.

$EWZ BTC 12/20 40 put at .05. STO at .77. Thank you @fuzzballl

#coveredcalls
$LABU BTC 12/20 45 call and STO 1/3/2020 55 call at $7.90 debit. Basis now 57.04. Stock at 56.24. Close to throwing in the towel. Stock first bought on 3/5/2019. Bad trading. Should have gotten out of stock much earlier and took the loss. Now eight months of rolling and tracking and loss mitigated but the potential opportunity profits lost by capital tie up …duh!

#bups
$CMG BTC 12/20 690/700 BUPS at .05. Sold for 1.65. Thank you @ramie77 via @optioniceman inspiration.

NVDA TSLA

BTC $NVDA 180/190 Dec 20 #BuPS @0.22. Was STO 11.15 @1.65.

STO $TSLA 352.5/362.5 #BeCS @.70 #following @optioniceman

LABU Rollout

Not going to let @optioniceman get all the dizzy activity.

#coveredcalls
$LABU BTC 6/28 $48 call and STO 7/5 $50 call at extra .59 plus $2 if assigned.

SIG earnings analysis

#Earnings $SIG reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

I have never traded this, but it is a big mover

Dec. 6, 2018 BO -18.04%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO +23.84% Biggest UP
June 6, 2018 BO +18.39%
March 14, 2018 BO -20.22%
Nov. 21, 2017 BO -30.39% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 24, 2017 BO +16.66%
May 25, 2017 BO -7.75%
March 9, 2017 BO +8.72%
Nov. 22, 2016 BO +2.14%
Aug. 25, 2016 BO -12.62%
May 26, 2016 BO -10.49%
March 24, 2016 BO +2.88%

Avg (+ or -) 14.35%
Bias -2.24%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 27.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 23.31 to 31.69
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 23.56 to 31.44
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (30.4%): 19.14 to 35.86
Based on UP max only (+23.8%): 34.06

Open to requests for other symbols.

#fallingknife