PCLN earnings analysis

#Earnings $PCLN Over last three years, Biggest UP move: 11.2%, Biggest DOWN move: -9.6%, Average move: 5.8%. To be outside the biggest moves, with stock at 1370.00, you’d need the 1215/1525 strangle, about 3.00. To be at the average move, the 1290/1450 strangle… about 20.00 (too risky). A condor somewhere between the max and the average may be best bets. Other thoughts?

Here is the history:
May 4, 2016 BO -7.50%
Feb. 17, 2016 BO 11.24%
Nov. 9, 2015 BO -9.56%
Aug. 5, 2015 BO 5.23%
May 7, 2015 BO -4.00%
Feb. 19, 2015 BO 8.46%
Nov. 4, 2014 BO -8.41%
Aug. 11, 2014 BO 2.16%
May 8, 2014 BO -2.09%
Feb. 20, 2014 AC 2.54%
Nov. 7, 2013 AC 4.91%
Aug. 8, 2013 AC 3.87%