SPX 7-dte stopped

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Dec 9th 3025/3000 put spreads for 1.90, at the close. Condors sold yesterday for 1.75. Letting the 3190/3215 call side expire.

#ReverseRoll Sold $SPX Dec 9th 3150/3175 call spreads for 1.60. Believing there is more downside ahead, but will be wary of a big up day, which is always possible in volatile times.

SPX roll

#SPX 1-dte . Buying to close $SPX Nov 29th 3165/3185 call spreads for .80. Condors sold for .85 this morning, so (hopefully) the .05 profit will cover commissions. If it doesn’t fill, I will have to up my bid.

#ReverseRoll Sold to Open Nov 29th 3135/3115 put spreads for .60.

#spx1dte

SPX ITM puts closed

#SPX1dte I got punched around pretty bad in March with a couple of 1-dte breaches and failed attempts at rolling. This reverse roll was the worst; had I left the call spread it would have ben fine. Thank God for strong months like February to eclipse small losing months like March.

BTC $SPX March 29th 2820/2800 put spreads for 8.50. Sold for 4.80 on March 19th as a #ReverseRoll.

#condorroll

SPX surging

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX March 22nd 2825/2850 call spreads for 10.50. Condors sold for 6.00 on Monday. Had no choice but to close in face of renewed upside warning and strong rally. I’m letting the 2720/2700 put side decay some more, and also added a Partial #ReverseRoll:

Sold SPX March 22nd 2780/2755 put spreads for 3.45.

Now in the hole and will have to choose when to sell a new call spread. Also may need to close today’s 1-dte with short at 2825. Hard to believe it could reach that but after Monday’s 40-point rise we can’t be sure.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX June 29th 2610/2585 put spreads for 1.55.

Stopped SPX June 15th 2735/2760 call spreads for 11.45. Sold as a #ReverseRoll for 4.40 on Tuesday.
Looking to roll into a condor.

#condorroll

SPX puts closed

#SPXcampaign Don’t want to leave this risk out there with VIX moving higher.
Closed $SPX June 1st 2675/2650 put spreads for .70. Sold for 4.40 on May 10th as a #ReverseRoll.

SPX calls sold

#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX June 8th 2750/2775 for 3.25, as a #ReverseRoll
Sold $SPX June 29th 2800/2825 call spreads for 1.80.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign STOPPED: $SPX June 22nd 2620/2595 put spreads for 4.10. Sold for 1.70 on Thursday.
Closed on GTC order: SPX June 14th 2810/2835 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.80 on May 15th.

I will probably be stopping a couple more put spreads before the close, especially if no rally develops soon.

#reverseroll

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Closed $SPX May 25th 2700/2675 put spreads for .45. Sold as a #ReverseRoll for 7.60 on May 10th.
Sold $SPX June 22nd 2620/2595 put spreads for 1.70.
Sold $SPX June 15th 2700/2675 put spreads for 5.25.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Stopped: $SPX May 18th 2725/2750 call spreads for 7.85. Sold for 3.65 as a roll on Monday.
Stopped: $SPX May 31st 2765/2790 call spreads for 4.85. Sold for 1.60 last Friday

#ReverseRoll: Sold June 1st 2675/2650 put spreads for 4.40.

Closed June 1st 2435/2410 put spreads for .20. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 2.90 on last Thursday.

That leaves only one short call spread that is almost at its stop level.

Mowing down My C’s like I’m mowing a lawn

#SPXcampaign My calls are getting killed one at a time… reverse rolled one, waiting on the others.

Stopped: $SPX May 17th 2720/2745 call spreads for 7.15. Sold yesterday for 3.15.
#ReverseRoll Sold May 25th 2700/2675 put spreads for 7.60.

Stopped: June 1st 2760/2785 call spreads for 3.90. No roll yet. Sold on May 3rd for 1.75.

Closed SPX May 25th 2525/2500 put spreads for .35. Sold as a roll for 2.30 on May 4th.
Closed on GTC order: June 1st 2450/2425 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.70 on May 3rd.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Stopped: $SPX May 18th 2700/2725 call spreads for 7.45. Sold for 3.80 as a #ReverseRoll on May 1st.

Partial roll: Sold SPX May 18th 2630/2605 put spreads for 3.90. I plan to sell the other half as a call spread on strength. I won’t be getting aggressively long unless we can get the VIX lower.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX May 11th 2500/2475 put spreads for .95. Sold for 1.85 on Apr 13th.
#ReverseRoll PLUS: Sold May 18th 2700/2725 call spreads for 3.80.

Closed the put spread earlier than usual and sold the call spread to balance out the SPX campaign portfolio…. I am heavier on short puts but prefer to be more balanced in such a range bound market.

SQ put

#CoveredCalls #CoveredCallCampaign
Closed $SQ Apr 27th 46 put for .05. Sold for 1.20 on 4/16 as a #ReverseRoll from a breached covered call. Now waiting for earnings next Wednesday.

SPX puts stopped

#SPXcampaign I love these short-term reverse rolls when a rally starts, but of course they only work with a sustained rally… since January, sustained rallies haven’t been happening. Thus, got whipsawed on this one, albeit without much damage. Stopped out when we started dropping for the third time, and of course, that led to the strongest bounce. Will likely roll into a condor later, depending on how the day shakes out.

Closed $SPX April 20th 2690/2665 put spreads for 5.35. Sold for 4.35 as a #ReverseRoll on Tuesday.

SPX calls stopped

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX May 4th 2760/2785 call spreads for 4.25. Sold for 1.70 on Apr 3rd.

#reverseroll

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Spent the morning doing mostly the reverse of yesterday… putting on call spreads and taking off put spreads.

Closed $SPX Apr 6th 2475/2450 put spreads for 1.30. Sold yesterday for 2.20.
Sold Apr 6th 2650/2675 call spreads for 3.65
Bought to Open Apr 13th 2450/2425 LONG put spreads for 2.30.
Sold May 4th 2760/2785 call spreads for 1.70.
Stopped Apr 27th 2460/2435 put spreads for 3.80. Sold Thursday for 1.75.
#ReverseRoll Sold Apr 13th 2670/2695 call spreads for 3.75.

SPX whipsaw

#SPXcampaign I have never been so whipsawed in my trading career. I have been stopped out at extremes too many times to count. I am forced now to take a new approach:

1. Tone down the aggression.
2. Only sell at extremes. How do I define extremes? That’s not always easy, but I would say yesterday’s close and today’s close would qualify.
3. Try some cheap long spreads, purchase at extremes. The amount I’m getting eaten alive with short spreads makes me always wish I’d been long rather than short. Need to try it.

That will have to do until VIX gets back below 17.76 (at least), and not comfortable going back to aggressive strategies until it’s below 12.61.

Today:
Stopped $SPX Apr 27th 2770/2795 call spreads for 3.75. Sold yesterday for 1.60. This was well over 4.00 at the highs, which is my stop point, so at least I waited for some pullback.
#ReverseRoll – plan was to sell a condor as a roll, I was filled on put side, then never filled on call side. And then, I had to stop out. Great illustration of how difficult this strategy is in this market.
Sold Apr 4th 2560/2535 put spreads for 1.95. Stopped later for 5.35.

Stopped Apr 13th 2550/2525 put spreads for 5.95. Sold yesterday in a #CondorRoll for 6.30, when a CALL spread was stopped.

Stopped Apr 27th 2550/2525 put spreads for 2.50. Sold yesterday for 1.75. At least I got out on this one at a bounce.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign The whipsaw I suffered in the morning yesterday was a buzzkill, because I’ve been correct about direction just horrible at my intraday timing. Here are remaining trades from yesterday and some this morning..

Sold $SPX April 19th 2540/2515 put spreads for 2.85, #Rolling with 1.5x position size.
Sold $SPX March 26th 2575/2550 put spreads for 1.75, expires Monday
Stopped Apr 6th 2550/2525 put spreads for 2.90. Sold for 1.95 on Mar 7th.
#ReverseRoll Sold March 26th 2680/2705 call spreads for 3.10.

Closed on GTC orders:
March 29th 2760/2785 call spreads for .30. Sold for 3.45 on Monday.
April 13th 2850/2875 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.70 last Friday.

#ITMroll
Sold April 13th 2775/2750 put spreads for 22.25. This is an #ITM roll from the March 29th 2790/2765 spreads I’m currently trying to close. Probably be paying close to 24.00.

SPX trades 2

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Apr 19th (monthlys) 2475/2450 put spreads for 1.80.

#ReverseRoll Sold March 26th 2700/2725 call spreads for 4.30, as a roll from Apr 20th puts stopped earlier. One of my very short term reverse rolls to make up premium quickly, or possibly explode in my face. Keeps things interesting.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign I’ve a feeling we’re going lower.

Stopped: $SPX Apr 19th 2580/2555 put spreads for 3.25. Sold for 1.75 on Monday.
#ReverseRoll Sold March 28th 2735/2760 call spreads for 3.35

Stopped: SPX Apr 20th 2595/2570 put spreads for 3.85. Sold for 2.00 as a 1.5x roll on Mar 14th.
No roll yet.

Closed SPX Apr 13th 2870/2895 call spreads for .25. Sold for 1.80 on Mar 14th.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Made these trades before the dip, so not ideal timing, but my $SPX position is now 100% bullish. I would be more comfortable with a lower VIX, so I’m still cautious.

Stopped: closed $SPX Apr 6th 2870/2895 call spreads for 3.50. Sold Friday for 1.75.
#ReverseRoll Sold March 16th 2765/2740 put spreads for 4.00

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign With Futures down and a weak open, I rotated some positions out of puts. I may only be talking my book, but I still sense we have lower to go. The chart I posted yesterday shows most of these double-header downside warnings take us down to the previous low (2532) or lower. Yesterday’s low was still 5% above that low.

Sold $SPX March 23rd 2790/2765 put spreads for 22.00. This is the ITM position I originally sold in early Feb. Closed the March 9 roll yesterday and now rolling 2-weeks further.

Stopped Apr 6th 2550/2525 put spreads for 4.30. Sold for 2.00 as a roll on Wednesday.
#ReverseRoll Sold March 5th 2700/2725 call spreads for 3.10, 1.44x position size.

Stopped March 23rd 2525/2500 put spreads for 3.15. Sold for 1.70 on Feb 20th. Cued up some March 29th lower put spreads for a roll. Will fill if we go lower.

Sold March 2nd 2660/2685 call spreads for 8.25. Nail-biter of a day trade.

SPX trades 2

#SPXcampaign
Sold $SPX March 15th 2750/2775 for 3.50, as a #ReverseRoll from March 23rd puts stopped earlier.
Closed March 2nd 2710/2735 call spreads for 2.80. Sold for 9.20 this morning.
Closed March 16th 2820/2845 call spreads for .65. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 7.85 on Tuesday.

Could be a bounce here, folks.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Spent the morning converting the account to be short on $SPX. Took most action before the spike higher, so not ideal entries and exits, but good enough now that were down almost 2%.

In chronological order:

Bought to Open LONG March 9th 2625/2600 put spreads for 2.60.
Sold to Open March 29th 2840/2865 call spreads for 1.60.
Closed March 9th 2800/2775 put spreads for 23.00. Sold ITM for 19.70 last Friday. #ITMroll coming
Sold March 2nd 2710/2735 call spreads for 9.20. #ReverseRoll
Closed March 9th 2725/2700 put spreads for 11.05. Sold for 4.05 on Monday. (rolled to spread above)
Sold March 23rd 2775/2800 call spreads for 5.25
Closed March 29th 2610/2585 put spreads for 3.15. Sold for 1.50 on Monday.
Closed March 16th 2695/2670 put spreads for 7.96. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 7.85 on Tuesday.
Sold March 28th 2525/2500 put spreads for 2.20, 1.5x pos size, #Rolling from Mar 29th puts closed above
Stopped: March 23rd 2530/2505 put spreads for 2.90. Sold for 1.60 on Friday. No roll yet.

Another reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX March 23rd 2860/2885 call spreads for 3.10. Sold for 1.75 last Wednesday.
#ReverseRoll Sold March 16th 2750/2725 put spreads for 5.80.

Signs are pointing to an Upside Warning tomorrow afternoon, but can’t be certain until it happens. VIX is not dropping much today.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX 2845/2870 call spreads for 2.95. Sold Friday for 1.55.
#ReverseRoll Sold March 9th 2725/2700 put spreads for 4.05.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order: $SPX March 9th 2300/2275 put spreads for .20. Sold on Feb 5th for 1.80. Got above 4.00 on Feb 6th…. that’s past my usual roll stop but it was just too far OTM to worry about.

STOPPED Feb 21st 2750/2775 call spreads for 3.50. Sold for 4.35 in a #CondorRoll last Thursday.
#ReverseRoll Sold Feb 23rd 2690/2665 put spreads for 5.45.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Earlier, closed Feb 23rd 2690/2715 call spreads for 7.00. Sold for 4.05 on Friday.
#ReverseRoll Just now, sold March 2nd 2625/2600 put spreads for 5.75

Reverse Roll

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX Feb 16th 2650/2675 call spreads for 13.80. Sold on Friday for 6.20.
#ReverseRoll Sold $SPX Feb 21st 2700/2675 put spreads for 14.00.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign

Stopped $SPX Feb 15th 2675/2650 put spreads for 3.25. Sold for 1.50 on Jan 16th.
#ReverseRoll Sold Feb 12th 2790/2815 call spreads for 3.55

Sold Mar 9th 2865/2890 call spreads for 1.75

Closed on GTC order: Mar 2nd 2925/2950 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.55 last Wednesday.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign #ReverseRoll
Closed $SPX Feb 16th 2710/2685 put spreads for 3.65. Sold for 1.55 on Jan 19th.
Sold Feb 7th 2800/2825 call spreads for 4.10.

I will be net short going into the weekend. Most put spreads have been closed.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Well, it already looks like the possibility for consolidation is a bust. It seems the higher we go with little rest and no correction means the eventual reckoning will be all the more devastating. But until it happens, we ride the rocket ship to the sky.

Closed $SPX Feb 9th 2875/2900 call spreads for 2.75. Sold on Friday for 1.55.
#ReverseRoll Selling the Feb 7th 2790/2765 put spreads. Asking 3.90, which I will get with any slight pullback. If not, I’ll sell it for less.

Unfortunately I have no long call spreads going. Since the Upside Warning is not in effect, it’s tougher to have firm conviction of follow through, so I don’t want to buy at fresh highs.

SPX closures

#SPXcampaign These closed this morning on GTC orders:
$SPX Jan 12th 2690/2665 put spreads for .25. Sold for 3.20 one Jan 3rd.
$SPX Jan 18th 2620/2595 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.60 on Dec 22nd.

Upside Warning working… this morning’s minor drop another entry opportunity.

#reverseroll

SVXY roll

#VXXGame Doing a @fuzzballl style #ReverseRoll on this one. My naked call was bound for #EarlyAssignment any day now so I finally closed it. Getting some of that premium back with an ITM put spread. If we have a significant drop before June, I can sell the long put and take assignment of the stock at a decent cost basis.

Closed $SVXY Jan 16th 97.5 call for 38.35. Sold as the 195 call for 6.25 on 1/6/17, exactly a year ago…. cost basis 3.125, so not a great trade!

Sold SVXY June 150/110 put spread for 18.40. So for instance if SVXY dips to 80 at June expiration, I would get the stock at 101.60 cost basis. I’ll be looking for another roll on the next pullback.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign I’m jumping on this train. It hasn’t failed lately and I don’t see any reason it’s going to fail now. Holding off on BUYING any longs… would like to see another day and maybe some slight pullback.

Stopped $SPX Jan 26th 2740/2765 call spreads for 4.10. Sold for 1.80 last week.
#ReverseRoll Jan 8th 2710/2685 put spreads for 6.20. Slightly ITM.

#spycraft

Closing more call spreads

#SPXcampaign
Closed Jan 26th 2740/2765 call spreads for 2.95. Sold last week for 1.70.
Closed Jan 5th 2795/2720 call spreads for 11.80. Sold in a condor Friday for 7.35. Letting the 2675/2650 put spreads expire.

#longcallspread, #reverseroll

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Closed $SPX Jan 12th 2730/2755 call spreads for 3.50. Foolishly sold on Friday for 1.50.

#ReverseRoll Sold to Open Dec 20th 2690/2665 put spreads for 3.90

EDIT: was not filled on Jan 18th (monthly) 2600/2575 put spreads for 1.45

SPX puts closed, freight train barrels on

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order:
$SPX Jan 5th 2525/2500 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45.

Looks like I’ll be stopping my only short call spread: the Jan 12th 2730/2755 sold last week. Not sure when I can sell those safely again. We already hit my target for the 29th: 2690. That’s where I have an #IronButterfly centered. Reached the target only one day after selling it.

#reverseroll

SPX final trades

#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX Dec 27th 2665/2640 put spreads for 4.60, as a #ReverseRoll from Dec 26th calls stopped earlier.

Closed Dec 22nd 2670/2695 call spreads for 11.60. Sold yesterday for 5.55.
#IBroll to Dec 29th 2665/2690/2690/2715 #IronButterfly. Shooting for ending the year at or near 2690, but either way I can roll as necessary.

No Expirations.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign I’m still believing we get a combination Santa-Claus/Tax-reform rally, as Republicans look closer than ever to meeting their Christmas deadline. However, the failure on the upside warning firing has definitely come through, as the rally was immediately halted and now we are wavering. As I cleared all call spreads and am short only put spreads, my risk is too lopsided, so I had to #ReverseRoll at least one of them.

Closed $SPX Dec 18th 2660/2635 put spreads for 5.50. Sold yesterday for 3.65.
Sold $SPX Dec 22nd 2670/2695 call spreads for 5.55.

My bet is on a bounce into tomorrow’s quadruple witching expiration and then higher next week. But this hedges me some if we go lower instead.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Stopped: $SPX Dec 15th 2680/2705 for 3.55. Sold in a #CondorRoll last week.
#ReverseRoll Sold Dec 15th 2660/2635 put spreads for 3.80.

Also, closed on GTC order:
Dec 15th 2610/2585 put spreads for .20. Sold for 3.40.

SPX calls closed

#SPXcampaign Sold these only yesterday, but no reason to sit and watch them go further in the hole. Based on today’s action I’m expecting more upside next week so I’m not letting call spreads ride.

Closed $SPX Dec 18th 2640/2665 call spreads for 12.40. Sold yesterday for 8.75.
#ReverseRoll Sold Dec 20th 2660/2635 put spreads for 10.55. I’ll add another put spread later to make up difference.

Closed on GTC order:
Dec 22nd 2510/2485 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 on Nov 22nd.

Futures UP

#Markets #SPXcampaign Jobs report surging the markets higher. If the day remains positive and VIX drops, we are setting up for a new Upside Warning next week. This could mean a rally toward 2700 into the end of the month, which is typical for December. I’ll be watching to once again #ReverseRoll call spreads and get long.

SPX puts closed

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order earlier:
$SPX Dec 8th 2585/2555 for .30. Sold for 4.00 as a #ReverseRoll

The Dec 29th 2710/2735 call spread I sold Friday for 1.50 opened today over 3.50. It is now 1.70. I think I will let live to see another day rather than stopping it. If we go negative I will sell a new put spread.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign I’m resuming selling call spreads as the upside move is likely at least slowing if not consolidating. That said, I will later be rolling the OTM call spread I sold Friday.

Sold to Open Jan 5th 2740/2765 call spreads for 1.50.

Closed on GTC order:
SPX Dec 14th 2485/2460 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.50 on Nov 14th.

#reverseroll

McCain bump?

#SPXcampaign He just signaled he will vote “yes,” so higher we go. My only remaining call spread jumped quickly past my stop.

Stopped $SPX Dec 29th 2595/2720 call spreads for 4.20. Sold for 1.50 2 days ago.
#ReverseRoll Sold Dec 6th 2640/2615 put spreads for 6.50.

Wish I had more long spreads. As of now, I have one and a half positions completely ITM.

SVXY

#BullPutSpreads – Closing a position that I’m very happy to be out of with a profit. This was a #ReverseRoll of some short calls that were in trouble some time ago. Tired of looking at it as well…LOL

Bought SVXY JAN 19 2018 105.0/95.0 Bull Put Spreads @ 2.40 (sold for 3.15)

These were 10 wide but still holding some that are 5 wide that wouldn’t bother me if they got in trouble since they’re a lot lower risk which were also reverse rolls… (100/95 @ 3.60)

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Another reverse roll as I just don’t want to see my two remaining call spreads rack higher and higher in premium.

Stopped $SPX Dec 22nd 2555/2580 call spreads for 6.45. Sold for 1.55 last week.
#ReverseRoll Sold to Open $SPX Dec 18th 2630/2605 put spreads for 8.05.

SPX bully

#SPXcampaign It’s off to the races on the Upside Warning once again.

Stopped: $SPX Dec 14th 2640/2665 call spreads for 2.90. Sold for 1.50 on Nov 16th.
Trying to #ReverseRoll, maybe I could get a small pullback? Too much to ask?

Hey everyone, I’ve enjoyed reading…

Hey everyone, I’ve enjoyed reading everyone’s posts, and wanted to thank Jeff for inviting me to be a contributor. I’m Sue (AxeCap-Sue at Simpler Trading), live in Colorado, been trading for 38 years. I’ve been a full time options trader for 20 years. You can count on me to be completely transparent with my trades; totally honest on fills, wins, losses. My core skills are income trading, complex setups, defense, earnings events, and CMLViz (backtesting). Here’s my contribution for you: #Bitties. Anyone whose been hanging out at ST has heard over and over again about Bitties. Here’s the bitty story that I wrote recently for the ST Forum:

In May 2017 CMLViz was delivered to many of us in Simpler Options. Everyone started racing to find the high-return plays, 600%, 800% 1000%. A few of us though took the opposite route and began searching for the high win-rates. Trades that win over 90% of the time, with lather-rinse-repeat characteristics. EVERYONE (including me) was skeptical about these trades because the risk/reward is upside down. A LOT of risk for little reward.

It turns out that 25 Delta, either naked put or as the short anchor of a put spread, is a real sweet spot for these high win-rate trades. I call the 25-delta my “Jeep Wrangler” of deltas, because it can get very smacked around, up hills, down hills, stuck in ruts, and usually can always land on its tires.

I started doing the trades (all naked puts or put credit spreads) on SPY, LMT, MSFT, FB, QQQ, IWM, SPX, NDX in May—not sure at all how this little experiment would work out (because like most of you, risk:reward has been pounded into my head). I always size trades for risk and assignment assumptions, so the trades (with high risk) remained small. After a few days the close orders started hitting, for $150.00, $170.00, $300.00 profit, over and over and over. That’s how they got the name “Bitties”…because the profits are “Bitty”….but it’s like picking up money off the sidewalk. Within just a few weeks the profits (in multiple accounts) were adding up into the thousands, with close orders hitting every couple days.

Flash forward to November 2017, I’d like to say I have not had a single loser or assignment since starting this in May, that is almost true. 2 weeks ago I closed an LMT put spread early for a $170 loss (that is the only loss I’ve taken on Bitties since starting). Profits in just the above-mentioned tickers will hit $100K this year Not quite all of that is Bitties, but Bitties are definitely the majority.

Bitty strategy is fluid and always evolving. Those of us doing Bitties are always looking for ways to limit risk, gain more profit, foresee vulnerabilities, dial in time frames and profit targets.

I’ve found the sweet spot for Bitty expirations are 20DTE. Short timeframes provide more events/year with accompanying payoff. Although even tighter timeframes (19-7 DTE) test out well historically, they really don’t provide enough range to absorb normal market volatility.

In the past my favorite bitty was naked SPY puts, 20DTE, 25 Delta, with a mutli-year 98% win rate (at an 80% cover). With the end of the year here though, a great trading year in my book, I’m definitely focusing more on spreads for risk protection. The SPX $5-wide spreads give a really nice risk reward setup for a #Bitty, much better than SPY (roughly double the premium for the half the risk in SPY (25/5 spread), with no assignment/div risk).

As of right now the SPX 25/23 delta put spread, 20DTE, 50% cover, no stop, is backtesting at a 97.1% win rate over 3 years. A 25/23 is such to capture a $5-wide spread in the backtester.

One last thing everyone always asks….what about when the market rolls over. For me, that’s easy, the bitties flip to #Jade Lizards (or skewed iron condors) with additional premium collected on both sides of the trade: higher premium on the put side and the call credit spread kicker extend the downside range. The Jade Lizards are modified for risk using a 25/5 delta put spread coupled with a 35/30 delta call spread.

The Bitty trades I have on right now:
NDX Dec 8 (only way to get a $5-wide), 6330/6325 .80 cr placed today 11/27/17
SPX Dec 8 2570/2565 .70 cr, getting close to target, trade is in multiple accounts
SPX Dec 11 2565/2560 .70 cr, getting close to target, trade is in multiple accounts

Listen I totally get it if you don’t understand the rationale behind these risk:reward setups. I was there too. But I will just point to the win rate and say….it’s been an awesome year. I’ll keep reporting on Bitty trades here, but wanted to give some thorough background about them in the first post.
Sue

#reverseroll

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX Nov 27th 2490/2465 put spread for .20. Sold for 2.00 on Wednesday.

Stopped SPX Dec 14th 2635/2660 call spreads for 3.35. Sold for 1.90 on Nov 14th.
#ReverseRoll Sold Dec 8th 2585/2555 put spreads for 4.00. (I meant to do 25-wide, but mistakenly sold 30-wide).

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign

In pre-market, closed $SPX Nov 27th 2600/2625 for 2.95. Sold for 3.40.
#ReverseRoll Sold Nov 20th 2580/2555 put spreads for 3.10. These expire Monday.

Closed Nov 24th 2560/2585 call spreads for 18.40. Sold for 17.20 last week. Working on #ITMroll.

Closed Nov 17th 2575/2550 put spreads for .85. Sold for 5.80.

Sold Dec 14th (monthly) 2485/2460 put spreads for 1.50.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign

Closed Nov 20th 2575/2600 call spreads for 5.85. Sold for 14.60 on Nov 6th.
#ReverseRoll Sold Nov 27th 2560/2535 put spreads for 5.40

Sold Nov 27th 2585/2560 put spreads for 10.15, as a partial roll of Nov 16th spread stopped this morning

Stopped Nov 17th 2560/2585 call spreads for 11.90. This was sold this morning for 9.40.

Sold Nov 29th 2565/2590 call spreads for 13.55, as an #ITMroll from Nov 22nd call stopped tis morning.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Got stopped near the lows on some put spreads that were expiring today and tomorrow. Worst time to close them.

Stopped Nov 15th 2565/2540 put spreads for 8.10
#ReverseRoll Sold Nov 17th 2560/2585 call spreads for 9.40 (I will have to stop this by end of day if we don’t drop)

Stopped Nov 16th 2585/2560 put spreads for 16.90. No roll yet.

Stopped Nov 22nd 2555/2580 call spreads for 14.30. Rolling to a Nov 29th call spread as we move higher.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Nov 13th 2560/25635 put spreads for 4.00, as a #ReverseRoll from calls stopped yesterday.

Also yesterday, forgot to post:
Closed Nov 8th 2530/2505 put spreads for .60. Sold for 3.70

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign $SPX

Closed Nov 8th 2525/2550 call spreads for 23.75. Sold last Wednesday for 19.40.
#ITMroll Sold Nov 15th 2540/2565 call spreads for 20.70.

Closed Nov 8th 2540/2565 call spreads for 22.65. Sold for 19.35 on Oct 24th.
#InverseCondor Rolled to Nov 15th 2575/2600 calls and 2595/2570 put spreads for 23.25.

Stopped Nov 10th 2600/2625 call spreads for 3.80 (4.00 stop was hit)
Working on a #ReverseRoll

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign $SPX Today, in chronological order:

(Friday after close) BTC #ITMroll Nov 6th 2520/2545 call spreads for 23.50. Sold for 22.10 last Monday.
Today:
BTC Nov 1st 2540/2515 put spreads for .35. Sold Oct 18th for 2.70.
BTC #ITMroll Nov 6th 2525/2550 call spreads for 23.20. Sold for 22.25 on Oct 20th.
Sold Nov 13th 2570/2595 call spreads and 2590/2565 put spreads for 23.00 total, as an #InverseCondor to roll one of the Nov 6th #ITMroll call spreads stopped above. This gives me a much higher call spread strike. One of these two will be rolled next Monday, or both if they are both ITM.

BTC Nov 10th 2460/2435 put spreads for .32. Sold for 1.45 on Oct 9th.
Sold Dec 1st 2480/2455 put spreads for 1.47.
(the above 2 were done together as one trade, which seemed to “trick” my broker into a better margin outcome that they were showing had I done them separately)

BTC Nov 10th 2600/2625 call spreads for 1.95. Sold for 1.68 in early October. This is a double position so I’m doing a #ReverseRoll on half since it got close to my stop level on Friday.
Sold Nov 8th 2540/2515 put spreads for 2.00 as a #ReverseRoll

Still waiting to sell another #ITMroll, hopefully during a rally into the close. My news alerts said that today’s drop was due to word that corporate tax cuts may come in phases. If that’s really the reason, sounds like another dip to buy.

SPX soldiers on

#SPXcampaign. Apologies for not posting my trades this week. I have been getting slammed by the upside move, so I’m very tightly wound up to the short side, waiting for a pullback. I have stopped some call spreads, sold aggressive put spreads, and have been rolling ITM call spreads. I once again did not take the Upside Warning seriously, mainly because of the head-fake down-day we got on Monday Sept 25th, which happened the DAY AFTER the warning. I made all the wrong moves that day; it was the perfect day to flip my account to the long side, but instead I got stopped out of put spreads. In any case, my travels have diverted my full attention. I’m in LA now until Wednesday.

Feel free to ask any questions if you need updates on my trades or help with yours. I should have more time at the computer today.

#condorroll, #fuckit, #reverseroll

SPX rolls sold

#SPXcampaign
Sold $SPX Oct 16th 2515/2490 put spreads for 4.50, as #ReverseRoll from Oct 13th calls stopped this morning.
Sold Oct 16th 2475/2500 call spreads for 22.35 as #ITMroll from Oct 9th calls stopped this morning.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Looks like more upside today and likely the week. Stopping call spreads, selling ITM put spreads…

Stopped: $SPX Sep 27th 2500/2525 call spreads for 12.00. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 9.90 last Monday. Partial #ReverseRoll: Sold Sep 18th 2510/2495 put spreads for 3.45. Expires today, hopefully worthless if we can close higher as I expect.

Stopped: Sep 25th 2510/2535 call spreads for 6.65. Sold last Tuesday for 3.50.
#ReverseRoll: Sold Sep 22nd 2510/2485 put spreads for 5.85.

Sold Oct 19th (monthly) 2555/2580 call spreads for 1.70.

Closed on GTC orders:
Sep 25th 2425/2400 put spreads for .20. Sold for 3.10 on Aug 31st
Sep 20th 2460/2435 put spreads for .20. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 10.50 on 9/6.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX Sep 18th 2455/2430 put spreads for 7.65. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 6.75 on Friday.
#ReverseRoll Sold Sep 18th 2465/2490 call spreads for 8.00.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX Sep 13th 2455/2430 put spreads for 6.60. Sold for 4.70 last Thursday as a roll.
#ReverseRoll: Sold $SPX Sep 13th 2465/2490 call spreads for 6.75. Was able to move up 10 points and still get a credit on the roll.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Bought to close $SPX Sep 1st 2470/2445 put spreads for .75. Sold yesterday for 5.80.

STOPPED: Sep 8th 2475/2500 call spreads for 8.40. Sold for 3.10 on Aug 24th.
#ReverseRoll Sold Sep 8th 2480/2455 put spreads for 6.80.

more SPX trades

#spxcampaign

Bought to close $SPX Sep 15th 2480/2505 call spreads for 6.20. Sold for 2.98 yesterday.
#ReverseRoll Sold Sep 13th 2455/2430 put spreads for 4.70. Will make up 1.50 debit.

Bought to close Sep 13th 2470/2495 call spreads for 10.05. Sold for 5.45 yesterday. Roll coming.

Bought to close Sep 25th 2500/2525 call spreads for 4.20. Sold for 1.60 on Aug 21st.
#ReverseRoll Sold Sep 25th 2445/2420 put spreads for 4.50.

SPX calls sold

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Aug 30th 2465/2490 call spreads for 3.25, as a #ReverseRoll from puts stopped earlier today.

SPX puts stopped

Bought to close $SPX Sep 14th 2350/2325 put spreads for 2.75. Sold for 1.50 on Monday. Will roll later, likely #ReverseRoll into calls.

SPX puts stopped and call-roll sold

#SPXcampaign STOPPED, closed $SPX Aug 23rd 2410/2385 put spreads for 4.35. Sold as part of a #CondorRoll for 7.15 on Aug 10th. Will roll later.

#ReverseRoll Sold Sep 1st 2465/2490 call spreads for 3.30. This is a roll from put spread stopped yesterday after the closing bell.

SPX wild ride

#SPXcampaign $SPX What a fun day! Lots of action. Ended up rolling 4 put spreads: 2 into condors, one into further puts and one into calls. Here are trades that I did not post earlier:

Closed on GTC orders:
Aug 25th 2520/2545 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.90 on July 27th
Aug 18th 2505/2530 call spreads for .20. Sold as part of a #CondorRoll for 6.70 on July 19th

Stop and Roll:
Closed Sep 8th 2375/2350 put spreads for 2.95. Sold for 1.50 on Tuesday.
#Rolling Sold Sep 15th 2310/2285 put spreads for 2.05 (1.5x position size).

Closed Aug 25th 2395/2370 put spreads for 3.40. Sold for 1.35 on July 25th.
#ReverseRoll Sold Aug 25th 2480/2505 call spreads for 3.50.

Standard Campaign Spread:
Sold Sep 8th 2510/2535 call spreads for 1.75.

Taking Profits
Bought to close Aug 21st 2480/2505 call spreads for 2.20. Sold for 8.90 on Monday. This was an extra spread I threw on, and I decided to close it now in case we’ve seen the bottom. I have two spreads that were sold ITM and are now just OTM that I will watch as I don’t want them to fall back way-ITM again.

SVXY

#ShortCalls #ReverseRoll – Moving my lowest strike Jan 2018 short calls over to the put side. The last time I did this I rolled to out of the money naked puts and we imploded and I was stuck with some underwater stock for months. This time rolling to higher put strikes but using spreads. If we implode now I’ll still get stock at a reasonable price…

Rolled SVXY JAN 19 2018 112.5 Calls to JAN 19 2018 105.0/95.0 Bull Put Spreads @ .12 credit.

Original sale of the calls brought in 3.07 so total premium now 3.19. With the ten wide spread no matter how far she tanks I can be in the stock at basis just a few dollars above wherever it ends up.

New all time highs in SVXY

#VXXGame Closed my other SVXY July 21st 85 call for 5.65. Wish I’d dumped them both this morning. This thing is flying and VIX approaching new decades-low as SPX is fairly stagnant.

#reverseroll, #shortstrangles

NVDA ITM put

#Earnings #Rolling #ReverseRoll
After flipping to being mostly long from my busted short calls last quarter, I just closed the
$NVDA July 21st 175 put for 7.68 to avoid possible early assignment overnight. This was sold for 21.75 on June 9th (inside the 175/145 put spread for 17.00).

I would like to continue playing this one long so I will look for the next pullback to replace it.

Also, BTC NVDA July 21st 160 put for .06, just to be safe. Sold for 10.50 on June 8th.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign #ReverseRoll Switched an ITM call spread for an ITM put spread:

Bought to close $SPX July 31st 2475/2500 call spreads for 9.50. Sold for 5.70 last Friday.
Sold to Open SPX July 31st 2485/2460 put spreads for 9.60.

Also, closed on GTC order: Aug 4th 2330/2305 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.35 on July 7th.

SVXY adjustment

#ReverseRoll #ShortStrangles – I may let some stock go next week via the covered call route. Adjusting my August strangle to possibly get long again but also limiting risk.

Originally sold 80/180 strangle for 3.55 but starting to wonder about the 180 call so pulling the @Jeff reverse roll.

Rolled SVXY AUG 18 2017 180.0 Call to AUG 18 2017 185.0/175.0 Bull Put spread @ 2.20 credit.

Total premium received is now 5.75 on the 10 wide spread. Keeps going up it’s all good. If she tanks no matter how low it goes I’ll be in the stock at a basis 4.25 above where it’s trading at the time…lower the better if an implosion happens! Now…do I resell the call side? 🙂

#takeonefortheteam, #vxxgame

SPX trades today

#SPXcampaign
Closed on GTC orders:
$SPX July 12th 2360/2335 put spreads for .20. Sold as part of a #CondorRoll for 5.75 on June 29th.
$SPX July 14th 2340/2315 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.40 on June 14th.

Extra call spread sold: July 20th (monthlys) 2450/2475 call spreads for 3.75.

#ReverseRoll Stopped: July 7th 2425 short calls closed for 1.35. Sold as 2425/2450 call spreads yesterday for 3.25. Had to bail a few minutes ago.

A second consecutive week with a Thursday/Friday whipsaw. Managed much better this time.