SPX 1-dte dream shattered

#SPX1dte Major suckage… Stopped $SPX March 4th 2770/2750 put spread for 4.60. What started as a brilliant #RiskReversal turned out to be my biggest loser since December (about 3.00 loss, after all accounted for).

To be expected once you get comfortable allowing spreads to expire. The first time volatility comes back it will take a bite.

SPX 1-dte risk reversal

#SPX1dte #RiskReversal Sold first batch of $SPX March 4th 2820/2830 LONG call spreads for 2.40. Bought for .45 on Friday (and financed by short put spreads sold for .75). Index not looking too strong so I may have to bail with the rest soon.

Happy New Year!

Good riddance to trading in 2018. I survived but given the SVXY melt down in Feb. and the last 3 months did not make any money, in fact flat for the year at the same levels I dropped to in Feb. Some accounts up a little, some down but the total portfolio basically flat.

However, as much as I thought I knew I learned a lot more, thanks to a lot of people on this site.

Some fairly decent changes and adjustmentswill be made to my trading for next year. The biggest changes will be changing my directional bias early, always keeping a portfolio hedge (but not until VIX drops and options are cheaper) and bringing in more income with proven strategies.

You will see a lot more #lizardpies using either straddles or strangles depending on the ticker, #unhingedfuzzies, #spycraft will be resurrected but with a hard rule for adjustments based on deltas/gamma, and a lot more synthetic trades to capture directional moves. This may include #riskreversal or outright #synthetics.

Cheers to a new year, new opportunities, and the collective ideas of the group making us all more successful traders!


SPX #UOA Here’s one to…

Here’s one to just keep tabs on for fun. Yesterday Trader bought an opening #RiskReversal Selling June 2475 puts @33.50 x 5000 contracts to buy June 2775 calls @33.75 x 5000 contracts. This morning Trader is up $1,400,000 (pre-market mid)

LMT #SuperBull The folks at…

LMT #SuperBull
The folks at CMLViz (geniuses) have done a big rework of the Squeeze. They use different settings, which I’ve come really close to replicating on charts (change your “length to 12, nk to 1.9”). They also have all new rules for entering trades on bull fires (day one green dot needs to close 1% above last red-dot day or no entry). Using the new settings there is an entry today for an LMT long. See the study link below. This is a way more directional trade than I usually take, and also the first time I’m testing their new entry parameters. I call anything that is long/long a SuperBull (Pete from TT coined it I think). But could also consider it a #RiskReversal.
Dec 15 BuCS 320/322.5 for 1.20 debit
Dec 15 BuPS 315/310 for .87 credit
Target and Stop both at 40%

SPX trades

#RiskReversal Bought to Open $SPX Sep 29th 2515/2530 call spreads for 2.00
Sold to Open SPX Sep 27th 2490/2465 put spreads for 2.00

Closed Sep 29th 2480/2505 call spreads for 17.15. Sold for 17.45 last Friday.
#ITMroll Sold Oct 6th 2485/2510 call spreads for 16.50.
Sold Oct 6th 2475/2450 put spreads for 2.60.

Closed on GTC order: Oct 6th 2365/2340 put spreads for .25. Sold in a #CondorRoll for 3.18 on Aug 31st

Sold Oct 19th 2545/2570 call spreads for 1.70. Standard spread sold just before the week closes.

No expirations tonight!

SPX ITM roll

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX Sep 22nd 2475/2500 call spreads for 17.95. Sold for 4.50 on Aug 29th.
#ITMroll Sold Sep 29th 2480/2505 call spreads for 17.45.

Also, stopped Sep 29th 2500/2525 for 9.65. Sold for 2.75 on Sep 8th as part of a #RiskReversal. Had to take risk off going into Monday. Will figure out how to roll next week.

#LongCallSpread Finally, bought to Open Sep 22nd 2510/2525 call spreads for 2.75, after the bell. Another hedge against further upside on Monday.