AAII Sentiment More Bearish Than Ever

This year however, they have been extremely bearish. Over 60% of respondents have said they are bearish unnamed (1)

Labor Data

Initial filings for unemployment claims fell last week to their lowest level in five months, a sign that the labor market is strengthening even as the Federal Reserve is trying to slow things down.

Jobless claims for the week ended Sept. 24 totaled 193,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week’s downwardly revised total and below the 215,000 Dow Jones estimate, according to a Labor Department report Thursday.

The drop in claims was the lowest level since April 23 and the first time claims fell below 200,000 since early May.

Continuing claims, which run a week behind, fell 29,000 to 1.347 million.

The strong labor numbers come amid Fed efforts to cool the economy and bring down inflation, which is running near its highest levels since the early 1980s. Central bank officials specifically have pointed to the tight labor market and its upward pressure on salaries as a target of the policy tightening.

Despite the efforts, there was more bad news Thursday for the Fed on the inflation front.

The personal consumption expenditures price index, a favorite inflation gauge for the Fed, showed a 7.3% year-over-year price gain in the second quarter, the Commerce Department reported in its final GDP estimate for the period. That was above the 7.1% reading in the prior two Q2 estimates and just off the 7.5% gain in the first quarter.

Excluding food and energy, core PCE inflation was 4.7%, 0.3 percentage point higher than the previous two estimates but below the 5.6% jump in Q1.

The Fed has raised interest rates five times in 2022 for a total of 3 percentage points, and officials have stressed the importance of continuing to hike until inflation comes down closer to the central bank’s 2% target.

SPX 1 DTE

#spx1dte
$SPX STO 8/31 3860/3880 – 4070/4090 at .95

GOOGL Put Roll

#shortputs
$GOOGL BTC 8/26 117 put and STO 9/2 116 put at .10 added credit and $1 less if assigned

RTX Call Roll / GOOGL Put Roll

#coveredcalls
$RTX BTC 8/19 96 call at .02 and STO 8/26 94 call at .92

#shortputs
$GOOGL BTC 8/19 118.5 put at 1.32 and STO 8/26 117 put at 1.65. Added credit of .33 and $1.50 less if assigned

RBLX Put Roll

$RBLX Put Roll
#shortputs
$RBLX BTC 8/19 47 put and STO 8/26 45.5 put at additional credit of .05 and $1.5 less if assigned.

JKS Put Roll

#shortputs
$JKS BTC 8/19 65 put and STO 8/26 60 put at additional credit of 1.18 and $5 less if assigned. Thank you @jsd for the idea

SPY Put Close / RBLX Put / PFE Covered call

#shortputs
$SPY BTC 8/19 397.5 put at .15. STO at 2.72. Thank you @fuzzballl
$RBLX STO 8/19 47 put at 1.29. Thank you for the alert @jsd501

#coveredcalls
$PFE STO 8/19 50.50 call at .35

GOOGL Put / SPX Trade

#shortputs
$GOOGL STO 8/19 118.50 at 1.50

#spx1dte
BTC 8/10 $SPX 4230/4210 call side at .40. STO at .96. Put side expired. STO at .76. Frightening without @jeffcp66

Ramie Bidu Trade

#earnings #bups
Thank you @ramie77 for the post earnings trade idea.
BTC 8/19 55/60 BUPS at .35. STO at 1.65 on 7/29.

VXX Put Roll

#shortputs
$VXX BTC 7/29 21 put and STO 8/5 20.5 put at added credit of .10. Been rolling these since April against LEAP Put. Already paid for themselves plus lunch money during that period. Thank @optioniceman for this style. PS There is no free lunch (Disclaimer! 😉 )

AAPL AMZN Weighting on S&P

From Bloomberg

They are only two stocks of the 500 but account for 10% of the movement. Both report tonight.

VXX Puts

#shortputs
$VXX STO 4/8 23 puts at .36. Sold against long puts

NIO BUCS / FB BUPS

#bucs
$NIO BTO 4/29 23/30 BUCS at 1.90. Chinese EV Company.

#bups
$FB STO 4/14 210/220 BUPS at .92

O Strangle / PLUG Put

#shortstrangles
$O STO 4/14 67.5/70 strangle at .74. The call is covered. Stock ex dividend 3/31. This is an experiment. I am wearing goggles.

#shortputs
$PLUG STO 4/1 28.5 put at .67

Expiration

#optionsexpiration
$VXX 23 put
$VXX 23.5 put Selling against Long VXX Thank you @iceman. You are still teaching ever since that day in Manhattan at the infamous Chinese restaurant. You rock!
$TQQQ 56 put Thank you @fuzzballl
$DWAC 74 call
$ZIM 91 call
$OXY 60 call

ZIM Put Roll

#shortputs
$ZIM BTC 3/25 74 put and STO 4/1 74 put at added credit of .31. May be the end of this party boat?

BTU Put Close / CRWD Call Roll

#shortputs
$BTU BTC 4/14 20 put at .30. STO at 2.70. Thank you @jsd501

#coveredcalls
$CRWD BTC 4/1 217.5 and STO 4/8 222.5 call at even but gain $5 If called away.

SOXL Put Roll / TQQQ SPY Put Close

#shortputs
$SOXL BTC 3/25 41 put and STO 4/1 39 put at even but would gain $2 if assigned
$TQQQ BTC 3/25 50 put at .18. STO at 3.15. Thank you @fuzzballl
$SPY BTC 3/25 380 put at .58. STO at 5.68. Thank you @fuzzballl
$SPY BTC 3/25 385 put at .69. STO at 4.15. Thank you @fuzzballl

More ZIM Puts

#shortputs
$ZIM STO 3/25 74 put at .90

ZIM Put

#shortputs
$ZIM STO 4/14 70 put at 1.90

CRM Call Roll

#coveredcalls
$CRM BTC 3/4 210 call and STO 3/11 215 call at added credit of .30. Gain $5 if called away

DWAC LABU Call

#coveredcalls
$DWAC STO 3/4 103 call at 2.50
$LABU STO 3/4 17.5 call at .45

AA Put

#shortputs
$AA STO 3/4 72 put at .95

CRWD Call Roll / DWAC LABU TQQQ Call

#coveredcalls
$CRWD BTC 3/4 190 call and STO 3/11 195 call at added credit of 3.60
$DWAC STO 3/4 100 call at 1.35
$DWAC STO 3/4 94 call at 2.80
$LABU STO 3/4 18.5 call at .65
$TQQQ STO 3/4 56 call at .95

Expired / Assigned / O Strangle

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcall
$DWAC 100 call
$DWAC 92 call
$DWAC 90 call
$RIVN 67 call
$EXAS 90 Call
$BX 130 call
$PTON 28 call assigned
$PFE 47.5 Call Assigned

#shortstrangles
$O STO 3/18 70/67.5 strangle at 1.85

NVDA Put Close / NFLX PUT Roll / LVS Call / Expiration / Assignments

#shortputs #earnings
$NVDA BTC 2/18 230 put at .30. STO at 3.10 on 2/10
$NVDA BTC 2/18 235 put at .40. STO at 4.10 on 2/10
$NFLX BTC 2/18 415 put and STO 2/25 410 put at cost of .50 but lowered put $5

#syntheticcoveredcalls
$LVS STO 3/5 49 call at .93

#optionsexpiration #assignment
$O 70 call
$LABU 23.5 call
$LABU 22 call
$PFE 50.5 call
$BX 130 call
$FCX 45 call
$TQQQ 58call
$SPWR 18 call
$WYNN 103 call
$CRM 220 call
$MRNA 220 call
$F 18 call called away
$AA 74 call called away
$AA 75 call called away
$AA 78 call called away
$TQQQ 62.5 put assigned
$TQQQ 59 put assigned
$SOXL 55 put assigned

Everyone have a restful three day weekend.

PFE MRVL EXAS Calls Close

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcalls
$PFE BTC 2/18 50 call at .40. STO today at .90
$MRVL BTC 2/18 77 call at .20. STO 2/9 at 2.01
$EXAS BTC 2/18 83 call at .30. STO 2/9 at 2.30

SPX 1 DTE

#spx1dte
$SPX STO 2/16 4315/4295/4540/4560 at 1.15

PFE BX FCX RIVN TQQQ AA F SPWR WYNN LABU Calls

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcalls
$PFE STO 2/18 50.5 call at .25
$BX STO 2/18 130 call at .45
$FCX STO 2/18 45 call at .25
$RIVN STO 2/25 67 call at 3.49 Roll the 2/18 64 at even
$TQQQ STO 2/18 58 call at 1.00
$AA STO 2/18 74 call at .90
$F STO 2/18 18.5 call at .10
$SPWR STO 2/18 18 call at .50
$WYNN STO 2/18 103 call at .50
$CRM STO 2/18 220 call at .47
$LABU STO 2/18 22 call at .40

NVDA Put

#shortputs #earnings
$NVDA STO 2/18 230 put at 3.10
$NVDA STO 2/18 235 put at 4.10

Earnings on 2/16 Expected move around 22 points based on 2/18 expire and average of 257.50 and 260 put and call.

NVDA Put Close / RIVN Put

#shortputs
$NVDA BTC 2/11 242.5 put at .36. Collected 8.15 with original @fuzzballl idea rolled once.
$RIVN STO 2/11 61 put at .85

ENPH Put

#shortputs

$ENPH STO 2/18/2022 150 put at 4.40

PFE Strangle Close / PFE Call Close

#shortstrangles #earnings
$PFE BTC 2/11 49/60 strangle at .10. STO at .85 yesterday.

#coveredcalls
$PFE BTC 2/11 57 call at .02. STO at .70 yesterday.

TQQQ Call

#coveredcalls

$TQQQ STO 2/11 59 call at 2.20. Thank you @fuzzballl for the reminder.

EWZ LABU Call

#coveredcalls

$EWZ STO 2/11 32.50 call at .21
$LABU STO 2/11 22 call at .40

HUT Call / PFE Strangle

#coveredcalls
$HUT STO 2/11 8.50 call at .10

#Strangle #earnings
$PFE STO 2/11 49/60 strangle at .85

AMZN Giveth After FB Tooketh Away

AMZN Earnings

ARCB Put

#shortputs
$ARCB STO 2/18 85 puts at 1.70

LCID LABU Call

#coveredcalls
$LCID STO 1/7 45 call at .46
$LABU STO 1/7 41.50 call at .65

NIO EXAS RCL TAN Call / TQQQ TSLA NVDA Put Close / TSLA ADBE BUPS Close

#coveredcalls
$NIO STO 1/7 36 call at .35
$EXAS STO 1/21 90 call at 1.65
$RCL STO 1/7 85 call at .60
$TAN STO 1/7 81 call at .45

#shortputs
$TQQQ BTC 1/14 105 put at .10. STO at 1.35.
$TQQQ BTC 1/21 125 put at .60. STO at 5.15.
$TQQQ BTC 1/21 90 put at .10. STO at 1.30 . Thank you @jsd501
$TQQQ BTC 1/21 125 put at .05. STO at 4.75 .
$TSLA BTC 1/21 630 put at .60. STO at 4.10.
$NVDA BTC 1/21 235 put at .55. STO at 3.95. Thank you @fuzzballl

#bups
$TSLA BTC 1/21 840/890 BUPS at 1.20. STO at 11.98 on 11/23
$TSLA BTC 1/21 820/875 BUPS at 1.00. STO at 18.83 on 12/21
$ADBE BTC 1/21 505/525 BUPS at 1.20. STO at 4.00 on 12/16 Thank you @ramie77

Expiration / Assignments

#optionsexpiration #assignment
$HUT 8.50 call
$LABU 44 call
$LABU 45 call
$MRVL 92 call
$RIVN 110 call
$CZR 95 call
$RIOT 25 call
$RCL 80 call
$FXI 36 call called away
$KWEB 43 put assigned
$TAN 80 put assigned

Happy Healthy 2022

Thanks to all for being part of a thoughtful, inventive and intellectual group.
Appreciate you all (and I am not a Southerner):-)

Big Ben Fireworks

FXI Put Roll / TQQQ Put Close

#shortputs
$FXI BTC 12/31/38 put and STO 1/7 38 put at added credit of .05
$TQQQ BTC 1/7 115 put at .10. STO at 2.80

SOXL Put Close

#shortputs
$SOXL BTC 1/21/2022 30 put at .10. STO at 2.40 on 9/2

TQQQ Put Close / DOCU BUPS Close / BX Call Roll

#shortputs
$TQQQ BTC 12/31 130 put at .05. STO at 3.60. Thank you @fuzzballl

#bups
$DOCU BTC 1/21/2022 120/125 BUPS at .20. STO at 1.73. Thank you @ramie77

#syntheticcoveredcalls
$BX BTC 12/31 135 calls and STO 1/7 137 calls at added credit of .35

Merry Christmas

Thank everyone for all the presents you deliver every day. Especially to @jeffcp66 who makes it all possible.
Stay healthy.

Christmas Scene

MRVL PFE Call Close / PFE Strangle / SNAP UPST RCL Call Roll / TQQQ Put Close

#syntheticcoveredcalls #coveredcalls
$MRVL BTC 12/23 90 call at .10. STO at 1.00
$PFE BTC 12/23 63 call at .10. STO at 1.01
$SNAP BTC 12/31 46 call and STO 1/7/2022 47 call at even
$UPST BTC 12/23 147 call and STO 12/31 152.50 call at added credit of 1.80
$RCL BTC 12/31 77 call and STO 1/7/2022 79 call at even.

#shortstrangles
$PFE STO 12/31 57.50/61 strangle at 1.70

#shortputs
$TQQQ BTC 12/31 125 put at .40. STO at 2.95. Thank you @jsd501

Snow Increasing

The web page is experiencing an increase in wintry conditions. Is this a fore telling of profits piling up? Or is it just a lot of snow.

@jeffcp66 Thank you for the snow job. 😉

Expiration

#optionsexpiration #assignment
$UPST 140 call
$UPST 165 call
$STLD 75 call
$LABU 38 call (called away)
$MRVL 93 call
$U 145 call
$BX 135 call
$HOOD 20 call
$SNAP 44 call (called away)
$EWZ 30 put (assigned)
$LABU 53 put (assigned)
$MTDR 40 put (assigned)
$FXI 38 put (assigned)
$AA 46 put

Note to self. First expiration in a long time that I lost money selling puts.

MRVL LABU U Calls

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcalls
$MRVL STO 12/17 93 call at .48
$LABU STO 12/17 38 call at 1.60
$U STO 12/17 call at 1.30

TQQQ Put Close

#shortputs
$TQQQ BTC 12/17 130 put at .35. STO at 2.60

LOVE Put Close

#shortputs #earnings
$LOVE BTC 12/17 55 put at .05. STO at 3.40 on Tuesday.

SNAP Call Roll / TSLA Put Close

#coveredcalls
$SNAP BTC 12/17 52 call and STO 12/31 53 call at added credit of .30

#shortputs
$TSLA BTC 12/17 700 put at .50. This was rolled once. Total credit taken in 9.74. Thank you @fuzzballl for original idea

SOXL Put Close / SNAP ZIM UPST Call Roll

#shortputs
$SOXL BTC 12/17 50 put at .40. STO at 2.09. Thank you @fuzzballl

#coveredcalls
$SNAP BTC 12/10 50 call and STO 12/17 52 call at cost of .15
$ZIM BTC 12/17 60 call and STO 1/21 65 call at added credit of .45. High long call volume on this stock
$UPST BTC 12/10 172.5 call and STO 12/17 180 call at added cost of 2.45. Would gain 7.50 if called away. Stock closed at 193.88

LOVE Earnings

#shortputs #earnings
$LOVE STO 12/17 55 puts at 2.40

SNAP BX WYNN Call

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcalls
$SNAP STO 12/3 49 call at .86
$BX STO 12/3 150 call at .42
$WYNN STO 12/3 87 call at .30

MRNA Call Roll / MRVL Call

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcalls
$MRNA BTC 12/3 345 call and STO 12/10 355 call at .02 added credit
$MRVL STO 12/10 80 call at .80

MRNA Call

#coveredcalls
$MRNA STO 12/3 345 call at 13.25

LABU PFE SNOW Call Roll / MSTR Call Close

#coveredcalls
$LABU BTC 11/26 45 call and STO 12/3 47 call at added credit of .30
$PFE BTC 11/26 52.5 call and STO 12/3 53 call at added credit of .30
$SNOW BTC 11/26 350 call and STO 12/3 370 call at added credit of 3.20
$MSTR BTC 11/26 770 call at .60. STO at 14.00

Happy Thanksgiving

All take care and enjoy all we have. At a minimum we have all of us – and that’s a lot to be grateful for.

thanksgiving

ARKK SNOW Call / HUT Put Close

#coveredcalls
$ARKK STO 11/26 108 call at .60
$SNOW STO 11/26 350 call at 4.80

#shortputs
$HUT BTC 11/26 13 put at .70. STO at 1.71

AMZN BUPS

#bups
$AMZN STO 12/17 3350/3370 BUPS at 3.40

Expiration / Assignment

#optionsexpiration #assignment
$DNMR 20 Call
$NIO 45 Call
$BX 148 call
$LABU 53 call
$NAIL 110 call
$SNAP 53 call
$TQQQ 90 put
$TQQQ 110 put
$TQQQ 120 put
$TAN 83 Put
$LABU 48.5 put
$CHWY 70 put
$PFE 46.50 call called away
$PFE 50 call called away

MTDR PUT Roll / TSLA Call Close / MSTR Call

#shortputs
$MTDR BTC 11/19 42.50 put and STO 11/26 40 put at added credit of .60

#syntheticcoveredcalls #coveredcalls
$TSLA BTC 11/19 1110 call at 4.92. STO at 13.2
$TSLA STC 11/19 910 call at 191.92
$MSTR STO 11/26 770 call at 14.00

MRVL Call Roll / LABU Put Roll

#syntheticcoveredcalls
$MRVL BTC 11/19 74 call and STO 11/26 75 call at added credit of .13

#shortputs
$LABU BTC 11/19 52.5 put and STO 11/26 51.50 put at .43 added credit

EVGO SNAP SOXL TQQQ Put Close / BX TSLA Call / MSTR Call Close

#shortputs
$EVGO BTC 11/19 14 put at .05. STO at 1.00. Thank you @walter6871
$SNAP BTC 11/19 53 put at .20. STO at 2.57
$SOXL BTC 11/26 55 put at .25. STO at 2.57. Thank you @fuzzballl
$TQQQ BTC 12/3 125 put at .35. STO at 2.78. Thank you @fuzzballl

#syntheticcoveredcalls #coveredcalls
$BX STO 11/19 148 call at .50
$MSTR BTC 11/19/870 call at .75. STO at 53.38
$TSLA STO 11/19 1110 call at 13.20

EWZ TQQQ Put Close / SNAP Call Roll

#shortputs
$EWZ BTC 11/19 30 put at .20. STO at .92
$EWZ BTC 11/19 35 put at .35. STO at 1.27 Thank you @fuzzballl
$TQQQ BTC 12/17 65 put at .10. STO at 2.70. Thank you @jsd501

#coveredcalls
$SNAP BTC 11/19/56 call and STO 11/26 57 call at added credit of .15

Options Expiration

#optionsexpiration
$NIO 44 call
$MARA 78 call
$T 25 call
$RIOT 44 call Stock called away. I checked Schwab quote at EOD and was below $44. Bit of a spurt a few seconds later and stock is gone.
$TQQQ 105 put
TQQQ 110 put
$LABU 50 put
$LABU 51 put

TSLA PUT Roll

#shortputs
$TSLA BTC 11/19 700 put and STO 12/17 700 put at added credit of 5.12. Thank you @fuzzy for lighting my bulb.
idea

ALB Put Close

#shortputs
$ALB BTC 11/19 210 put at .20. STO at $3.00

MRVL SNAP Call Roll

#coveredcalls #syntheticcoveredcalls
$MRVL BTC 11/12 73 call and STO 11/19 74 call at added credit of .32
$SNAP BTC 11/12 56 call and STO 11/19 56 call at added credit of .55

MSTR Call Roll

#coveredcalls
$MSTR BTC 11/12 850 call and STO 11/19 870 call at added credit of $11.00. Stock at 860. Jumps to the BTC music

Expiration / Assignment

#optionsexpiration #assignment
$PFE 47.5 call called away
$HOOD 37.5 call
$LVS 43 call
$T 25.5 call
$NVAX 210 call
$SOXL 40.5 put Thanks @fuzzballl
$TQQQ 105 put
$TQQQ 110 put
$MARA 59 put

FB SQ BUPS Close / LABU Put / MSTR PFE Call Roll / TNA Put Close / PFE Call

#bups
$FB BTC 11/19 300/320 BUPS at 1.57. STO at 4.95
$SQ BTC 11/19 240/250 BUPS at 2.31. STO at 3.55

#shortputs
$LABU STO 11/19 52.5 put at 1.30 Thank you @fuzzballl
$TNA BTC 11/19 70 put at .10. STO at 1.26. Thank you @fuzzballl

#coveredcalls
$MSTR BTC 11/5 800 call and STO 11/12 850 call at added credit of 13.53
$PFE BTC 11/5 46 call and STO 11/12 46 call at added credit of .23. See if stock settles down. MRK did
$PFE STO 11/5 47.5 call at .20