NFLX earnings

#Earnings $NFLX seems to be the new kickoff for earnings trades, since the banks last week are pretty dull options-wise. Since it rose so much last week, I’m not finding the greatest premium. I’m thinking of buying a bullish #CallButterfly, 210/220/230 for about 1.25. Low risk for a max 8.75 win, and bullish seems to be the only direction it knows. The other trade is to sell an ATM #IronButterfly 190/200/210 for about 8.15. Similar risk/reward if you think it won’t move much (which was the case last January and April). Here are the FIVE-DAY moves after earnings last 12 quarters:

Mon 07/17/2017 AC 16.59%
Mon 04/17/2017 AC -2.97%
Wed 01/18/2017 AC 3.09%
Mon 10/17/2016 AC 27.75%
Mon 07/18/2016 AC -13.07%
Mon 04/18/2016 AC -11.53%
Tue 01/19/2016 AC -6.64%
Wed 10/14/2015 AC -7.74%
Wed 07/15/2015 AC 12.65%
Wed 04/15/2015 AC 19.33%
Tue 01/20/2015 AC 25.41%
Wed 10/15/2014 AC -19.92%

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Closed on GTC order: $SPX Sep 22nd 2475/2450 put spreads for .40. Sold for 2.15 on Sep 13th.

#ITMroll Closed Sep 27th 2470/2495 call spreads for 21.70. Sold for 16.50 on Sep 11th.
Order in to sell Oct 4th 2745/2500 for 21.85… or whatever I can get before the close.

Sold to Open Sep 22nd 2505/2480 put spreads for 4.90. This is sold against the 2505/2530 call spreads, creating an #IronButterfly for Friday expiration. I will close whichever side I need to on Friday (unless we have a major move in either direction)

W earnings

#Earnings This is a trade I did in 1st quarter that worked nicely. Wayfair has made some big moves on earnings before, which is probably why premiums are so high.

Sold to Open $W Aug 11th 75/80/85 #IronButterfly for 4.25. Max risk .75. Biggest UP move: 28.2%, Biggest DOWN move: -19.6%, Average move: 13.3%. Profits between 75.75 (-3.6%) and 84.25 (+7.2%). Slightly bullish with the trend and high call interest at 80.

AAPL earnings

#Earnings #IronButterfly 150.00 is a nice round number with higher open interest, so playing this one for a pin on Friday.

Sold to Open $AAPL Aug 4th 145/150/155 iron butterflys for 3.67. Max risk, 1.33.

ONE-DAY moves: Biggest UP move: 6.5%, Biggest DOWN move: -6.6%, Average move: 4.1%.

Options Expiration 7/28/17

#OptionsExpiration #Earnings #CoveredCalls #ContangoETFs #ShortStrangles #ShortCalls

— Expiring w/Max Profit —
DUST 45 calls
FSLR 49 covered call

— Assignments —
HCA 83.5 puts, taking stock, cost basis 82.30
FSLR 48 covered call, releasing half of stock position

— Expiring w/Loss —
AMZN 1037.5/1042.5/1092.5/1097.5 #IronCondor
AMZN 1030/1050/1070 #IronButterfly
GOOGL 980/1000/1020 Iron Butterflys

SPX shake out

#SPXCampaign Couldn’t hold onto these with weakness today.
Bought to close $SPX July 28th 2465 puts for 3.00. Sold in the 2465/2440 put spread for 3.70 on July 20th. Will sell the long 2440 puts if we drop more.

Bought to close SPX July 31st 2470/2445 put spreads for 4.70. Sold in the 2445/2470/2495 #IronButterfly (#IBroll) for 15.65 on July 19th.

I am backing off on put rolls for now, given the market weakness. I have too many spreads near the money. Had been looking to close out the week on a high note with weakness more likely next week, but it came early so now I’m on guard. My main goal now is to get back to normal order with fewer spreads so close to the money.

AMZN Earnings

#Earnings Bought to Close AMZN July 28th 1030/1050/1070 #IronButterfly @ 19.50 (sold for 17.90)

Don’t see it recovering today so taking what I can get and cutting max loss by .50