#Jobs — Gains slowed in April, rising less than expected, which is good news for the hope of lower interest rates.
Gain of +175,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 240K
Unemployment up 0.1% to 3.9%, vs expectation of unchanged
U6 unemployment 7.4%, up by 0.1%
Labor force participation unchanged at 62.7%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.2%, less than expected; +3.9% Y/Y
February jobs revised down by -34K to +236K
March jobs revised up by +12K to +315K
#Jobs — Gains exceed expectations once again.
Gain of +303,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 214K
Unemployment down 0.1% to 3.8%, as expected
U6 unemployment 7.3%, unchanged
Labor force participation up 0.2% to 62.7%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.3%, as expected; +4.1% Y/Y as expected
February jobs revised down by -5K to +270K
January jobs revised up by +27K to +256K
#Jobs — Gains exceed expectations again, but UE rises.
Gain of +275,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 198K
Unemployment up 0.2 to 3.9%, vs expected 3.7%
U6 unemployment 7.3%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation unchanged at 62.5%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.1%; 4.3% increase over the year
December jobs revised down by -43K to +290K
January jobs revised down by -124K to 229K
#Jobs report is Friday
#Jobs — Big gains obliterate expectations. Earnings also soar; December revised up bigly.
Gain of +353,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 185K
Unemployment unchanged at 3.7%
U6 unemployment 7.2%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation unchanged at 62.5%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.6%; 4.5% increase over the year
December jobs revised up by +228K to +333K
November jobs revised up by +9K to 182K
#Jobs — Higher than expected.
Gain of +216,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 175K
Unemployment unchanged at 3.7%
U6 unemployment 7.1%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation at 62.5%, down by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; 4.1% increase over the year
October jobs revised down by -45K to +105K
November jobs revised down by -26K to 173K
#Jobs — A bit more than expected. Wages increased strongly.
Gain of +199,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 185K
Unemployment down by 0.2 to 3.7%, vs expected unchanged
U6 unemployment 7.0%, down by 0.2
Labor force participation at 62.8%, up by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; 4.0% increase over the year
September jobs revised down by -35K to +262K
October jobs unchanged at 150K
#Jobs — A bit less than expected and a big drop from September.
Gain of +150,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 170K
Unemployment up 0.1 to 3.9%, vs expected unchanged
U6 unemployment 7.2%, up by 0.2
Labor force participation at 62.7%, down by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up by 0.2%; 4.1% increase over the year
September jobs revised down by -39K to +297K
August jobs revised down by -62K to +165K
#Jobs — Much higher than expected, countering the Fed’s belief that job market is softening. Plus large upward revisions of previous months.
Gain of +336,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 170K
Unemployment up 0.1 to 3.8%, vs expected 3.7%
U6 unemployment 7.0%, down by 0.1
Labor force participation at 62.8%, unchanged
Average hourly earnings up by 0.2%; 4.2% increase over the year, each 0.1 weaker than expected
July jobs revised up by +79K to +236K
August jobs revised up by +40K to +227K
#Jobs — Higher than expected, but downward revisions of past months and UE ticks up.
Gain of +187,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 170K
Unemployment up 0.2 to 3.7%, highest since Feb 2022
U6 unemployment 7.1%, up by 0.4
Labor force participation at 62.8%, up to pre-Covid levels
Average hourly earnings up by 0.2%; 4.3% increase over the year, each 0 .1 weaker than expected
July jobs revised down by -30K to +157K
June jobs revised down by -80K to +105K
#Jobs — Lower than expected, but steady growth continues.
Gain of +187,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 200K
Unemployment down by 0.1 to 3.5%, vs expected no change
U6 unemployment 6.7%, down by 0.2
Labor force participation at 62.6% for 5th straight month
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; 4.4% increase over the year, stronger than expected
May jobs revised down by -25K to +281K
June jobs revised down by -24K to +185K
#Jobs — Lower than expected.
Gain of +209,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 230K
Unemployment down by 0.1 to 3.6%, as expected
U6 unemployment 6.9%, up by 0.2
Labor force participation 62.6%, unchanged
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; 4.4% increase over the year, stronger than expected
May jobs revised down by -33K to +306K
April jobs revised down by -77K to +211K
#Jobs — Higher than expected again. And a gain of +94K in prior month revisions.
Gain of +339,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 190K
Unemployment up by 0.3 to 3.7%, higher than expected gain to 3.5%
U6 unemployment 6.7%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation 62.6%, unchanged
Average hourly earnings up by 0.3%; 4.3% increase over the year, 0.1 less than expected.
March jobs revised up by +53K to +217K
April jobs revised up by +41K to +294K
#Jobs — Higher than expected, record low UE, lost -149K on prior month revisions.
Gain of +253,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 180K
Unemployment down by 0.1 to 3.4%, tied for lowest since 1969, vs. expected gain to 3.6%
U6 unemployment 6.6%, down by 0.1
Labor force participation 62.6%, same as last month
Average hourly earnings up by 0.5%; 4.4% increase over the year; both 0.2% than expected..
March jobs revised down by -71K to +165K
February jobs revised down by -78K to +248K
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 5th 3965/3985-4140/4160 condors for 1.30, deltas -.06 +.06
Width and premium have returned to this trade in recent days.
Expiring: May 4th 3990/4010-4160/4180 condors, sold yesterday for 1.15
#Jobs — Down from February, meeting expectations.
Gain of +236,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 238K
Unemployment down by 0.1 to 3.5%, vs. expected hold at 3.6%
U6 unemployment 6.7%, down by 0.1
Labor force participation 62.6%, up by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up by 0.3%; 4.2% increase over the year, lowest since June 2021.
February jobs revised down up +15K to +326K
January jobs revised down by -32K to +472K
#SPX1dte Expiring: $SPX April 6th 4015/4035-4135/4155 condors, sold yesterday for 1.05
Week’s profit is +4.30.
No trade for Monday, going to stay clear of long weekend and tomorrow’s #Jobs report.
My $PACW 15/10 bull credit spread expires 4/21 and so far, no good. Sold for 3.70, now running about 4.30. I need another pop up towards 14 to get out, or a two-week slow drift up would be ok too.
#Jobs — Down from January, but exceeding expectations again. Wage growth lower than expected, which may be taken as good news about inflation
Gain of +311,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 225K
Unemployment rose 3.6%, vs. expected 3.4%
U6 unemployment 6.8%, up by 0.2
Labor force participation 62.5%, up by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up by 0.2%; 4.6% increase over the year. Both are 0.2 lower than expected.
January jobs revised down by -14K to +504K
December jobs revised down by -21K to +239K
#Jobs — Meeting expectations this time, less than July but still strong. Participation moved up, also pushing UE up.
Gain of +315,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 318K
Unemployment at 3.7%, up by 0.2
U6 unemployment 7.0%, up by 0.3
Labor force participation 62.4%, up by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up by 0.3%; 5.2% increase over the year
July jobs revised down by -2K to +526K
June jobs revised down by -105K to +293K
#Jobs — Doubling expectations and defying recession fears; earnings up strongly
Gain of +528,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 268K
Unemployment at 3.5%, down by 0.1
U6 unemployment 6.7%, unchanged
Labor force participation 62.1%, down by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up strongly by 0.5%; 5.2% increase over the year
May jobs revised up by +2K to +386K
June jobs revised up by +26K to +398K
#Jobs — Above expectations
Gain of +372,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 250K
Unemployment unchanged at 3.6%, as expected
U6 unemployment 6.7%, down by 0.4
Labor force participation 62.2%, down by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up 0.3%; 5.1% increase over the year
May jobs revised down to +384K
April jobs revised down to +368K
#Jobs — Slightly above expectations; other stats a bit weak
Gain of +428,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 400K
Unemployment unchanged at 3.6% (vs expected drop of 0.1)
U6 unemployment rose to 7.0%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation 62.2%, down by 0.2
Average hourly earnings up 0.3%, below expected 0.4%; 5.5% increase over the year
February jobs revised down by -36K to +714K
March jobs revised down by -3K to +428K
#Jobs — Slightly below expectations, but all stats are strong
Gain of +431,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 490K
Unemployment drops to 3.6%, down by 0.2 (vs expected drop of 0.1)
U6 unemployment fell to 6.9%, down by 0.3
Labor force participation 62.4%, up by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up 0.4%, and up 5.6% over 12 months.
February jobs revised up by +72K to +750K
January jobs revised up by +23K to +504K
#Jobs — Above expectations again
Gain of +678,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 444K
Unemployment drops to 3.8%, down by 0.1 (vs. estimate of unchanged)
U6 unemployment at 7.2%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation 62.3%, up by 0.1
Wage growth sluggish at only 0.03%. increase, vs. 0.5% estimate.
December jobs revised up by +78K to +588K
January jobs revised up by +14K to +481K
#Jobs — Above expectations for a change; wage growth strong, labor participation up, Nov & Dec jobs revised upward by ridiculous amounts.
Gain of +467,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 150K
Unemployment at 4.0%, up by 0.1 (vs. 3.9 estimate)
U6 unemployment at 7.1%, down by 0.2
Labor force participation 62.2%, up by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up 0.7%, vs. 05 estimate
December jobs revised up by +311K to +510K
November jobs revised up by +398K to +647K
#Jobs — Below expectations again; both measures of UE down again; upward revisions of past months again.
Gain of +199,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 422K.
Unemployment at 3.9%, down by 0.3 (vs. 4.1 estimate)
U6 unemployment at 7.3%, down by 0.5
Labor force participation 61.9%, up by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up 0.6%
October jobs revised up by +102K to +648K
November jobs revised up by +39K to +249K
#Jobs — Below expectations, but both measures of UE down sharply.
Gain of +210,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 573K.
Unemployment at 4.2%, down by 0.4
U6 unemployment at 7.8%, down by 0.5
Labor force participation 61.8%, up by 0.2
Average hourly earnings up 4.8% year over year
October jobs revised up by +15K to +546K
September jobs revised up by +57K to +379K
#Jobs — After two months below, October was ABOVE expectations. Additionally, 235K were added in prior-month revisions.
Gain of +531,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 450K.
Unemployment at 4.6%, down by 0.2
U6 unemployment at 8.3%, down by 0.2
Labor force participation 61.6%, unchanged
Average hourly earnings up 0.4%, or 4.9% year over year
September jobs revised up by +118K to +312K
August jobs revised up by +117K to +483K
#Jobs — Second month in a row below expectations, lowest increase of the year
Gain of +194,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 500K.
Unemployment at 4.8%, down by 0.4
U6 unemployment at 8.5%, down by 0.3
Labor force participation 61.6%, down by 0.1%
Average hourly earnings up 0.6% vs expected .4%
August jobs revised up by +131K to +366K
July jobs revised up by +38K to +1.091M
#Jobs — August dips, way below expectations
Gain of +235,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 720K.
Unemployment at 5.2%, down by 0.3
U6 unemployment at 8.9%, down by 0.3
Labor force participation 61.7%, unchanged
Wages up 4.3% year over year
July jobs revised up by +110K to +1.053M
June jobs revised up by +24K to +962K
#Jobs — July was another strong month, beating expectations
Gain of +943,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 845K.
Unemployment at 5.4%, down by 0.5
U6 unemployment at 9.2%, down by 0.6
Labor force participation 61.7%, up by 0.1
Wages up 0.4% for the month
June jobs revised up by +88K to +938K
May jobs revised up by +31K to +614K
#Jobs — June was a strong month, beating expectations
Gain of +850,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 706K.
Unemployment at 5.9%, up by 0.1
U6 unemployment at 9.8%, down by 0.4
Labor force participation 61.6%, unchanged
Wages up 0.3% for the month, 3.6% year over year
May jobs revised up by +24K to +583K
April revised up by +12K to +278K
#Jobs — Again lower than expectations, but a strong improvement on April’s disappointment. Restaurants added almost 1 in every 3 of the new jobs. Still 7.6 million jobs lower than before pandemic.
Gain of +559,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 671K.
Unemployment at 5.8%, down by 0.3
U6 unemployment at 10.2%, down by 0.2
Labor force participation 61.6%, down by 0.1
Average Hourly Earnings up 0.5%
March revised up by +15K to +785K
April jobs revised up by +12K to +266K
#Jobs — Way way below expectations; much lower than March’s blowout
Gain of +266,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 1M
Unemployment at 6.1%, up by 0.1
U6 unemployment at 10.4%, down by 0.3
Labor force participation 61.7%, up by 0.2
March revised down by -146K to +770K
Feb jobs revised up by +68K to +536K
#Jobs — Obliterating expectations, plus more added to Jan & Feb.
Gain of +916,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 645K
Unemployment at 6.0%, down by 0.2
U6 unemployment at 10.7%, down by 0.4
Labor force participation 61.5%, up by 0.1
Feb jobs revised up by +89K to +468K
Jan jobs revised up by +67K to +233K
#Jobs — Strongly exceeding expectations.
Gain of +379,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 210K
Unemployment at 6.2%, down by 0.1
U6 unemployment at 11.1%, unchanged
Labor force participation 61.4%, unchanged
Jan jobs revised up by +117K to +166K
Dec jobs revised down by -79K to -306K
#Jobs — Hiring resumes.
Gain of +49,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 50K
Unemployment at 6.3%, down by 0.4
U6 unemployment at 11.1%, down by 0.6
Labor force participation 61.4%, down by 0.1
Dec jobs revised down by -87K to -227K
Nov jobs revised down by -72K to +264K
#Jobs — LOSS of jobs, first time in 8 months.
Loss of -140,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 50K
Unemployment at 6.7%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 11.7%, down by 0.3%
Labor force participation 61.5%, unchanged
Avg hourly earnings +0.8%
Nov jobs revised up by +91K to +245K
Oct jobs revised up by +44K to +654K
#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Jan 8th 3700/3720 call spreads for 19.70. Condors bought on Monday for 17.60. Put spreads remain as a hedge for tomorrow.
Skipping #SPX1dte for tomorrow as premium is low and #Jobs report is in the morning.
#Jobs — pace of job growth slows; gains lower than expected
Gain of +245,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 440K gain
Unemployment at 6.7%, down by 0.2%, as expected
U6 unemployment at 12.0%, down by 0.1%
Labor force participation 61.5%, down by 0.2
Avg hourly earnings +0.3% vs +0.1% expected
Oct jobs revised down by -28K to +610K
Sept jobs revised up by +39K to +711K
#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Dec 4th 3620/3640 call spreads for 17.75. Iron condors bought Monday for 16.45. Will look to sell put spread if we go lower. Also happy to be safely in profit before #Jobs report in the morning.
Bought to Open $SPX Dec 9th 3645/3665-3675/3695 iron condors for 15.85, with SPX at 3669.
#Jobs — higher than expected
“October’s growth brings the total payroll gains since May to around 12 million, though that still leaves unfilled about 10 million positions lost in March and April.” -CNBC
Gain of +638,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 530K gain
Unemployment at 6.9%, down by 1.0%, vs. expected 7.7%
U6 unemployment at 12.1%, down by 0.7%
Labor force participation 61.7%, up by 0.3
Sept jobs revised up by +11K to +672K
August jobs revised up by +4K to +1.493M
#Jobs report is Friday at 8:30am ET
Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/
#Jobs — below expectations
Gain of +661,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 800K gain
Unemployment at 7.9%, down by 0.5%, vs. expected 8.2%
U6 unemployment at 12.8%, down by 1.4%
Labor force participation 61.4%, down by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up 0.1%, less than .04 increase in August
August jobs revised up by +118K to +1.49M
July jobs revised up by +27K to +1.76M
#Jobs — increase meets expectation, while UE rate falls more than expected
Gain of +1,371,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 1.32M gain
Unemployment at 8.4%, down by 1.8%, vs. expected 9.8%
U6 unemployment at 14.3%, down by 2.3%
Labor force participation 61.7%, up by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up 0.4%, up by 0.2
July jobs revised down by -29K to +1.734M
June jobs revised down by -10K to +4.781M
#Jobs — an increase that sightly beats expectations.
Gain of +1,763,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 1.48M gain
Unemployment at 10.2%, down by 0.9%, vs. expected 10.6%
U6 unemployment at 16.5%, down by 1.5%
Labor force participation 61.4%, down by 0.1%
Average hourly earnings up 0.2%.
June jobs revised down by -9K
May jobs revised upward by +26K
#SPX1dte Since we have another #Jobs report tomorrow I’m going with a #RiskReversal for the upside.
Sold to Open $SPX Aug 7th 3290/3270 put spreads
Bought to Open Aug 7th 3390/3405 call spreads
Total credit: .20
IV: 16.27%, short put ∆ -.10, long call ∆ +.05
#Jobs — an increase beats expectations again.
Gain of +4,800,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 2.9M gain
Unemployment at 11.1%, down by 2.2%, vs. expected 12.4%
U6 unemployment at 18.0%, down by 3.2%
Labor force participation 61.5%, up by 0.7%
Average hourly earnings down 1.2% from May, up 5% from last June.
May jobs revised upward by +190K
#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX July 8th 3100/3120-3130/3150 condors for 17.10, with SPX at 3124.
Expiring: July 1st 3070/3090 call spreads for 20.00. Sold put side this morning for .80.
July 2nd call side sold this morning for 18.50. Not filled on attempts to sell put side; will see if high IV around the jobs report in the morning can get me some premium.
#Jobs — Here is full data from today’s report. March and April both revised down, but not enough to overtake the huge gain in May.
Gain of +2,510,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 8.3M loss
Unemployment at 13.3%, down by 1.4%, vs. expected 19.5%
U6 unemployment at 21.2%, down by 1.6%
Avg Hourly Earnings down by 0.965%
Labor force participation 60.8%, up by 0.6
April revised down from -20.5M to -20.7M
March revised down from -870K to -1.4M
#Jobs — Actually GAINED rather than expected loss.
Gain of +2,510,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 8.3M loss
Unemployment at 13.3%, down by 1.4%, vs. expected 19.5%
#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX June 5th 3040/3020 put spreads for .80. Looking to close the call side before today’s close. Want to avoid the possible volatility after tomorrow morning’s #Jobs report.
Bought the condors for 17.35 last Friday.
#JOBS report for May is Friday morning
Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/
#Jobs — biggest losses since WW2
Loss of 20,500,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 21.5M loss
Unemployment at 14.7%, up by 10.3%, vs. expected 16%
U6 unemployment at 22.8%, up by 14.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings up 4.3%
Labor force participation 60.2%, down by 2.5, lowest in over a decade
March revised down from -701K to -870K
February revised up from +214K to +230K
#Jobs report for April is Friday… it’ll be a doozy!
#Jobs — bigger loss than expected.
First monthly loss since Sept 2010.
Loss of 701,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 10K loss
Unemployment at 4.4%, up by 1.1%
U6 unemployment at 8.7%, up by 1.7%
Wages up 0.4%; up from +0.3% last month
Labor force participation 62.7%, down by 0.7, lowest since Aug 2018
February revised down from +273K to +214K
January revised up from +273K to +275K
#Jobs report on Friday… should be a doozy!
Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/
#Jobs — beating expectations again
+273,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 175K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, down by 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 7.0%, up by 0.1%
Wages up 0.3%; +3.0% year over year
Labor force participation 63.4%, unchanged
January revised up from 225K to 273K
December revised up from 147K to 184K
#Jobs — beating expectations
+225,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 158K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, up by 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 6.9%, up by 0.2%
Wages up 0.2%, to 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 63.4%, up by 0.2%
December revised up from 145K to 147K
November revised up from 256K to 261K
#Jobs report is Friday before the open
Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/
#Jobs — Lowest U6 ever
+145,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 160K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 6.7%, down by 0.2%, a record low (since 1994)
Wages up 0.1%, to 2.9% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, unchanged
November revised down from 266K to 256K
October revised down from 156K to 152K
#Jobs report is Friday at 8:30am ET
Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/
#Jobs — Blowout numbers
+266,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 187K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, down by 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 6.9%, down by 0.1%
Wages up 0.3%, to 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, down by .01%
October revised up from 128K to 156K
September revised up from 180K to 193K
#Jobs — higher than expected, given GM strike, plus upward revisions of Aug & Sept
+128,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 75K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, up by .01%
U6 unemployment at 7.0%, up by 0.1%
Wages up 0.2%, to 3.0% year over year
Labor force participation 63.3%, up by .01%
September revised up from 136K to 180K
August revised up from 158K to 219K
#Jobs — 50-year low in unemployment rate
+136,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 145K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, lowest since 1969
U6 unemployment at 6.9%, down by 0.3
Wages unchanged, 2.9% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, unchanged
August revised up from 130K to 168K
July revised up from 159K to 166K
Options Bistro 