September Jobs Report

#Jobs — below expectations

Gain of +661,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 800K gain
Unemployment at 7.9%, down by 0.5%, vs. expected 8.2%
U6 unemployment at 12.8%, down by 1.4%
Labor force participation 61.4%, down by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up 0.1%, less than .04 increase in August

August jobs revised up by +118K to +1.49M
July jobs revised up by +27K to +1.76M

Econ calendar for week of 9/28/20

#JOBS report is Friday morning

Screen Shot 2020-09-25 at 1.03.10 PM
Screen Shot 2020-09-25 at 1.03.10 PM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

August Jobs Report

#Jobs — increase meets expectation, while UE rate falls more than expected

Gain of +1,371,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 1.32M gain
Unemployment at 8.4%, down by 1.8%, vs. expected 9.8%
U6 unemployment at 14.3%, down by 2.3%
Labor force participation 61.7%, up by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up 0.4%, up by 0.2

July jobs revised down by -29K to +1.734M
June jobs revised down by -10K to +4.781M

No trade

#SPX1dte With today’s volatility and the #Jobs Report in the morning, I’m skipping the overnight $SPX trade today.

Econ Calendar for week of 8/31/2020

#Jobs report on Friday.

Presentation2
Presentation2

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

July Jobs Reports

#Jobs — an increase that sightly beats expectations.

Gain of +1,763,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 1.48M gain
Unemployment at 10.2%, down by 0.9%, vs. expected 10.6%
U6 unemployment at 16.5%, down by 1.5%
Labor force participation 61.4%, down by 0.1%
Average hourly earnings up 0.2%.

June jobs revised down by -9K
May jobs revised upward by +26K

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Since we have another #Jobs report tomorrow I’m going with a #RiskReversal for the upside.

Sold to Open $SPX Aug 7th 3290/3270 put spreads
Bought to Open Aug 7th 3390/3405 call spreads
Total credit: .20

IV: 16.27%, short put ∆ -.10, long call ∆ +.05

Econ Calendar for week of 8/3/20

#Jobs report is Friday

Screen Shot 2020-07-31 at 1.06.07 PM
Screen Shot 2020-07-31 at 1.06.07 PM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

June Jobs Report

#Jobs — an increase beats expectations again.

Gain of +4,800,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 2.9M gain
Unemployment at 11.1%, down by 2.2%, vs. expected 12.4%
U6 unemployment at 18.0%, down by 3.2%
Labor force participation 61.5%, up by 0.7%
Average hourly earnings down 1.2% from May, up 5% from last June.
May jobs revised upward by +190K

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX July 8th 3100/3120-3130/3150 condors for 17.10, with SPX at 3124.

Expiring: July 1st 3070/3090 call spreads for 20.00. Sold put side this morning for .80.
July 2nd call side sold this morning for 18.50. Not filled on attempts to sell put side; will see if high IV around the jobs report in the morning can get me some premium.

#jobs, #spx1dte

Econ Calendar for week of 6/29/20

#FOMC Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday 12:30pm ET
#Jobs Report is THURSDAY at 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2020-06-29 at 7.07.28 AM
Screen Shot 2020-06-29 at 7.07.28 AM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

May Jobs Report

#Jobs — Here is full data from today’s report. March and April both revised down, but not enough to overtake the huge gain in May.

Gain of +2,510,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 8.3M loss
Unemployment at 13.3%, down by 1.4%, vs. expected 19.5%
U6 unemployment at 21.2%, down by 1.6%
Avg Hourly Earnings down by 0.965%
Labor force participation 60.8%, up by 0.6

April revised down from -20.5M to -20.7M
March revised down from -870K to -1.4M

May Jobs Report

#Jobs — Actually GAINED rather than expected loss.

Gain of +2,510,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 8.3M loss
Unemployment at 13.3%, down by 1.4%, vs. expected 19.5%

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX June 5th 3040/3020 put spreads for .80. Looking to close the call side before today’s close. Want to avoid the possible volatility after tomorrow morning’s #Jobs report.

Bought the condors for 17.35 last Friday.

Econ Calendar for week of 6/1/20

#JOBS report for May is Friday morning

Screen Shot 2020-05-29 at 10.26.42 AM
Screen Shot 2020-05-29 at 10.26.42 AM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

April Jobs Report

#Jobs — biggest losses since WW2

Loss of 20,500,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 21.5M loss
Unemployment at 14.7%, up by 10.3%, vs. expected 16%
U6 unemployment at 22.8%, up by 14.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings up 4.3%
Labor force participation 60.2%, down by 2.5, lowest in over a decade

March revised down from -701K to -870K
February revised up from +214K to +230K

Econ Calendar for week 0f 5/4/20

#Jobs report for April is Friday… it’ll be a doozy!

Screen Shot 2020-05-01 at 10.35.35 AM
Screen Shot 2020-05-01 at 10.35.35 AM

March Jobs Report

#Jobs — bigger loss than expected.

First monthly loss since Sept 2010.

Loss of 701,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 10K loss
Unemployment at 4.4%, up by 1.1%
U6 unemployment at 8.7%, up by 1.7%
Wages up 0.4%; up from +0.3% last month
Labor force participation 62.7%, down by 0.7, lowest since Aug 2018

February revised down from +273K to +214K
January revised up from +273K to +275K

Econ Calendar for week of 3/30/20

#Jobs report on Friday… should be a doozy!

Screen Shot 2020-03-27 at 10.17.19 AM
Screen Shot 2020-03-27 at 10.17.19 AM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

February Jobs Report

#Jobs — beating expectations again

+273,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 175K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, down by 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 7.0%, up by 0.1%
Wages up 0.3%; +3.0% year over year
Labor force participation 63.4%, unchanged

January revised up from 225K to 273K
December revised up from 147K to 184K

January Jobs Report

#Jobs — beating expectations

+225,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 158K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, up by 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 6.9%, up by 0.2%
Wages up 0.2%, to 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 63.4%, up by 0.2%

December revised up from 145K to 147K
November revised up from 256K to 261K

Econ Calendar for week of 2/3/20

#Jobs report is Friday before the open

Screen Shot 2020-01-31 at 10.41.54 AM
Screen Shot 2020-01-31 at 10.41.54 AM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

December Jobs Report

#Jobs — Lowest U6 ever

+145,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 160K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 6.7%, down by 0.2%, a record low (since 1994)
Wages up 0.1%, to 2.9% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, unchanged

November revised down from 266K to 256K
October revised down from 156K to 152K

Econ Calendar for week of 1/6/20

#Jobs report is Friday at 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2020-01-03 at 10.19.54 AM
Screen Shot 2020-01-03 at 10.19.54 AM

Link to calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

November Jobs Report

#Jobs — Blowout numbers

+266,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 187K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, down by 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 6.9%, down by 0.1%
Wages up 0.3%, to 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, down by .01%

October revised up from 128K to 156K
September revised up from 180K to 193K

Econ Calendar for week of 12/2/19

#Jobs report Friday

Screen Shot 2019-12-02 at 6.12.38 AM
Screen Shot 2019-12-02 at 6.12.38 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?cust=us&lid=0

October Jobs Report

#Jobs — higher than expected, given GM strike, plus upward revisions of Aug & Sept

+128,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 75K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, up by .01%
U6 unemployment at 7.0%, up by 0.1%
Wages up 0.2%, to 3.0% year over year
Labor force participation 63.3%, up by .01%

September revised up from 136K to 180K
August revised up from 158K to 219K

Economic calendar week of 10/28/19

#FOMC meeting notes and press conference Wednesday
#Jobs Report on Friday
Screen Shot 2019-10-25 at 10.21.01 AM
Screen Shot 2019-10-25 at 10.21.01 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=28&month=10&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

September Jobs Report

#Jobs — 50-year low in unemployment rate

+136,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 145K expected
Unemployment at 3.5%, lowest since 1969
U6 unemployment at 6.9%, down by 0.3
Wages unchanged, 2.9% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, unchanged

August revised up from 130K to 168K
July revised up from 159K to 166K

Non-Manufacturing, too?

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

#jobs

August Jobs Report

#Jobs — falling a bit short short

+130,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 150K expected
Unemployment at 3.7%, unchanged as expected
U6 unemployment at 7.2%, up by 0.2
Wages up 0.4%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, up 0.2

July revised down from 164K to 159K
June revised down from 193K to 178K

Low VIX today, Jobs Report tomorrow

#Market #Jobs. Is the volatility finished and are we headed again to new highs? Today we touched the lowest VIX reading since August 1, the day after the Downside Warning started. And tomorrow morning we get the August jobs report.

Econ Calendar for week of 9/2/19

#Jobs report is Friday, 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2019-09-04 at 7.03.30 AM
Screen Shot 2019-08-30 at 8.26.07 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=2&month=9&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

July Jobs Report

#Jobs — matching estimates for a change

+164,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 165K expected
Unemployment at 3.7%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 7.0%, down by 0.2
Wages up 0.3%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 63.0%, up 0.1
(Total labor force came in at a record-high 163.4 million)

June revised down from 224K to 193K
May revised down from 72K to 62K

Econ Calendar for week of 7/29/19

#Fed Announcement on Wednesday
#Jobs Report on Friday

Screen Shot 2019-07-26 at 10.35.10 AM
Screen Shot 2019-07-26 at 10.35.10 AM

Link to Calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=29&month=7&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

June Jobs Report

#Jobs — big reversal from May’s disappointment

+224,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 165K expected
Unemployment at 3.7%, up 0.1
U6 unemployment at 7.2%, up by 0.1
Wages up 0.2%, 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 62.9%, up 0.1

May revised down from 75K to 72K
April revised down from 224K to 216K

Econ Calendar for week of 7/1/19

#Jobs report on Friday

Screen Shot 2019-06-28 at 10.49.07 AM
Screen Shot 2019-06-28 at 10.49.07 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=1&month=7&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

May Jobs Report

#Jobs — big drop from April’s blowout

+75,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 180K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 7.1%, down by 0.2
Wages up 0.2%, 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 62.8%, unchanged

April revised down from 263K to 224K
March revised down from 189K to 153K

Econ Calendar for week of 6/3/19

#Jobs report for May is Friday at 8:30am ET
Screen Shot 2019-05-31 at 1.32.13 PM
Screen Shot 2019-05-31 at 1.32.13 PM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=3&month=6&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

April Jobs Report

#Jobs Another great month; lowest UE since 1969

+263,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 190K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, down by 0.2, a 49-year low
U6 unemployment at 7.3%, unchanged
Wages up 0.2%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 62.8%, down by 0.2

March revised down from 196K to 189K
February revised up from 33K to 56K

Econ Calendar for week of 4/29/19

#Jobs report is Friday at 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2019-04-26 at 10.18.44 AM
Screen Shot 2019-04-26 at 10.18.44 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=29&month=4&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

March Jobs Report

#Jobs Improvement over February lows

+196,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 175K expected
Unemployment at 3.8%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 7.3%, unchanged
Wages up 0.1%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 63.0%, down by 0.2

February revised up from 20K to 33K
January revised up from 311K to 312K

Econ Calendar for week of 4/1/19

#Jobs Report is Friday morning

Screen Shot 2019-03-29 at 10.20.41 AM
Screen Shot 2019-03-29 at 10.20.41 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=1&month=4&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

February Jobs Report

#Jobs Way lower than expected. Wages continue uptick.

+20,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 180K expected (lowest since Sept 2017)
Unemployment at 3.8%, down 0.2%
U6 unemployment at 7.3%, down 0.8% (biggest drop in over 20 years)
Wages up 0.4%, 3.4% year over year (highest since April 2009)
Labor force participation 63.2%, unchanged

January revised up from 304K to 311K
December revised up from 222K to 227K

Econ calendar for week of 3/4/19

#Jobs report for February announced Friday, 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2019-03-01 at 10.52.28 AM
Screen Shot 2019-03-01 at 10.52.28 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=4&month=3&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

Econ Calendar for week of 2/25/18

Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday and Wednesday
GDP report Thursday
#Jobs report will be released the following week, on Friday, March 8th

Screen Shot 2019-02-22 at 10.19.55 AM
Screen Shot 2019-02-22 at 10.19.55 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=1&month=3&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

January Jobs Report

#Jobs Much higher than expected, again. December revised lower.

+304,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 170K expected
Unemployment at 4.0%, up 0.1%
U6 unemployment at 8.1%, up 0.5%
Wages up 0.1%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, up by 0.1

December revised down from 312K to 222K
November revised up from 176K to 196K

December Jobs Report

#Jobs Much higher than expected.

+312,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 176K expected
Unemployment at 3.9%, up 0.2%
U6 unemployment at 7.6%, unchanged
Wages up 0.4%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 63.1%, up by 0.2

November revised up from 155k to 176k
October revised up from 237K to 274k

Econ Calendar for week of 12/31/18

#Jobs report is Friday. And Powell speaks later that morning.

screen shot 2019-01-04 at 10.43.13 am

Screen Shot 2018-12-28 at 10.30.10 AM

Link to calendar: https://optionsbistro.files.wordpress.com/2018/09/screen-shot-2018-09-24-at-6-07-52-am.png

November Jobs Report

#Jobs Lower than expected.

+155,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 198K expected
Unemployment at 3.7%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 7.6%, up by 0.2%
Wages up 0.2%, or 6 cents, 3.1% year over year
Labor force participation 62.9%, unchanged

October revised down from 250k to 237k
September revised up from 119k to 134k

October Jobs Report

#Jobs Higher than expected.

+250,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 190K expected
Unemployment at 3.7%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 7.4%, down by 0.1
Wages up 0.2%, or 5 cents, 3.1% year over year, highest increase April 2009
Labor force participation 62.9%, up 0.2

September revised downward from 134k to 118k
August increased 270k to 286k

Econ Calendar for week of 10/29/18

Be sure to periodically click Home/REFRESH to keep Bistro features updated.

October #Jobs report is Friday, Nov 2nd, 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2018-11-02 at 7.21.42 AM

EC3 key

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?cust=us

September Jobs Report

#Jobs Lower than expected, but previous months boosted higher, and unemployment reaches historic lows.

+134,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 180K expected
Unemployment falls to 3.7%, down 0.2%, lowest since 1959
U6 unemployment at 7.5%, up by 0.1
Wages up 0.2%, 2.8% year over year, 0.1 lower than August
Labor force participation 62.7%, no change

July increased 147K to 165K
August increased 201K to 270K

August Jobs Report

#Jobs Slightly better than expected.

+201,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 191K expected
Unemployment steady at 3.9%
U6 unemployment at 7.4%, down by 0.1
Wages up 0.4%, 2.9% year over year, an improvement over recent months
Labor force participation 62.7%, down 0.2

Econ Calendar for week of 9/3/18

#Jobs report is Friday at 8:30am ET

Screen Shot 2018-09-03 at 9.20.59 AM
Econ Calendar Key

June Jobs Report

#Jobs Better than expected.

+213,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 188K expected
Unemployment up 0.2 to 4.0%
U6 unemployment at 7.8%, up by 0.2
Wages up 0.2%, 2.7% year over year
Labor force participation 62.9%, up 0.2

May revised up from 223K to 244K
Apr revised up from 159K to 175K

May Jobs Report

#Jobs Strong month, with lowest unemployment rate since 2000.

+223,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 188K expected
Unemployment down to 3.8%, lowest since April 2000
U6 unemployment at 7.6%, down by .2
Wages up 0.3%, reflecting 2.7% annualized
Labor force participation 62.7%, down 0.1

Apr revised down from 164K to 159K
Mar revised up from 135K to 155K

April Jobs report

#Jobs Fewer than expected jobs added, but lowest UE rate since 2000, and wage growth sluggish.

+164,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 192K expected
Unemployment falls to 3.9%, lowest since 2000
U6 unemployment at 7.8%, down by .2 and lowest since 2001
Wages up 0.15%, reflecting 2.6% annualized, down from last month
Labor force participation 62.8%, down 0.1

Mar revised up from 103k to 135k
Feb revised down from 326k to 324k

March Jobs Report

#Jobs Reverse of last month: Added jobs LOWER than expected, but wage growth was stronger. Reversion to the mean?

+103,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 178K expected
Unemployment holds steady at 4.1%
U6 unemployment at 8.0%, down by .2
Wages up 0.3%, reflecting 2.7% annualized
Labor force participation 62.9%, down 0.1

Jan revised down from 239k to 176k
Feb revised up from 313k to 326k

February Jobs Report

#jobs Added jobs blow away expectations, but wage growth weak.

+313,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 200K expected
Unemployment holds steady at 4.1%
U6 unemployment steady at 8.2%
Wages up only 0.1%, reflecting 2.6% annualized
Labor force participation up to 63%

January Jobs Report

#jobs With the mega-earnings day and volatility, I totally forgot this was being released this morning.

+200,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 180K expected
Unemployment holds steady at 4.1%
U6 unemployment up one tenth to 8.2%
Wages up 0.3%, reflecting 2.9% annualized
Labor force participation holds at 62.7%

December JOBS report

#Jobs #market

+156,000 jobs in December
4.7% unemployment, up .1%
Avg hourly earnings jumped 10 cents
2.9% annual gain for wages in 2016
Labor force participation unchanged (and still low) at 62.7%

November revised upward from 178,000 to 204,000
October revised downward from 142,000 to 135,000

2016 total non-farm: 2.2 million
About 500K fewer than 2015

Jobs Report

178,000 jobs added in November
Unemployment 4.6%, lowest since August 2007
Labor participation down a bit to 62.7%
UE6 rate 9.3%, lowest since 2008

#jobs

SPX extra puts sold

#SPXcampaign Since I sold Dec 7th calls this morning, just sold some puts to offset them:

Sold to Open $SPX Dec 7th 2175/2150 puts for 2.70, with SPX at 2205.

I’m now trading in a pretty tight range, 2190 to 2230, through Friday the 9th. I’m hoping strong moves in either direction wait until after that! But, #Jobs report is this Friday…

Econ Calendar for week of 11/28/16

#Market Don’t Forget, monthly #Jobs report is Friday.

screen-shot-2016-11-28-at-5-51-29-am

#calendar, #jeff