#earnings BIDU Sold Sept. 20,…

#earnings BIDU

Sold Sept. 20, 85/125 strangle for 1.70. Thanks for the data Jeff.

#earnings #closing QCOM July 31,…

#earnings #closing QCOM

July 31, sold a Sept. 20, 65/85 strangle for 1.46, bought today for .78.

#earnings HD Sold Sept. 20…

#earnings HD

Sold Sept. 20 #jadelizard 192.50/210/212.50 for 2.77. Thanks for the data Jeff.

HD earnings analysis

#Earnings $HD reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 21, 2019 BO +0.26%
Feb. 26, 2019 BO -0.88%
Nov. 13, 2018 BO -0.23%
Aug. 14, 2018 BO -0.53%
May 15, 2018 BO -1.62%
Feb. 20, 2018 BO -0.13%
Nov. 14, 2017 BO +1.63% Biggest UP
Aug. 15, 2017 BO -2.65% Biggest DOWN
May 16, 2017 BO +0.59%
Feb. 21, 2017 BO +1.41%
Nov. 15, 2016 BO -2.56%
Aug. 16, 2016 BO -0.60%

Avg (+ or -) 1.09%
Bias -0.44%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 207.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 198.50 to 215.50
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 204.74 to 209.26
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (2.7%): 201.51 to 212.49
Based on UP max only (1.6%): 210.37

Open to requests for other symbols.

BIDU earnings analysis

#Earnings $BIDU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 16, 2019 AC -16.51% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 21, 2019 AC -2.70%
Oct. 30, 2018 AC +3.64%
July 31, 2018 AC -7.73%
April 26, 2018 AC +5.54%
Feb. 13, 2018 AC +4.56%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC -8.15%
July 27, 2017 AC +9.45% Biggest UP
April 27, 2017 AC -4.06%
Feb. 23, 2017 AC -5.12%
Oct. 27, 2016 AC +2.56%
July 28, 2016 AC -3.64%

Avg (+ or -) 6.14%
Bias -1.85%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 103.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 92.21 to 113.79
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 96.68 to 109.32
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (16.5%): 85.99 to 120.01
Based on UP max only (+9.5%): 112.73

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings #closing AAPL July 30,…

#earnings #closing AAPL

July 30, sold Sept. 20, 190/225 strangle for 3.64, bought today for 3.10.

TLRY burned out

#Earnings Looked like it might light up on Wednesday, but this is dropping like a stoned.

$TLRY 40.5/44.5/48.5 #IronButterfly, sold for 2.94 on Tuesday, expiring ITM for 4.00 debit, 1.06 loss.