TSLA Call

Bought to close 1 TSLA Jan 21 2022 1,150.0 Diagonal Call at $0.01. Sold Last Friday on a rollup at $5.05.
Sold 1 TSLA Jan 28 2022 1,200.0 Call at 2.63. I own the Feb monthly 1200 call so at least no upside risk for this position through #Earnings next week.

ROST Stock

Added to my tiny holding of ROST at $98.60, below the old 52-week low of $98.79
#SP500 #FallingKnife

#Earnings on Mar 01
Next target price = 93.50

IPGP QRVO Semi Stocks

Added to my tiny holding of QRVO at $140.00, below the old 52-week low of $141.66.
Also added to my IPGP stock at $150.0, below its old 52-week low of $151.27.
Both stocks in the Semiconductor space.
#SP500 #FallingKnife

#earnings

TSLA Put

Sold 1 TSLA Jan 21 2022 880.0 Put at $1.30
TSLA still over $1000 and #Earnings not until next week.

TSLA Put Closed

Bought to close 1 TSLA Jan 14 2022 900.0 Diagonal Put at $0.01.
Sold on Monday at $7.33.
Leaves a Long TSLA Feb 04 2022 730.00 Put that is fully paid for #Earnings Week

TSLA Call

After the expiration of my TSLA 01/07/2022 1125.0 Diagonal Call on Friday I was left with a long TSLA Jan 21 2022 1200.0 Call trading at about 6 points. Since this position expires before #Earnings week I’m pretty certain that this position will expire worthless. It is more than paid for from previous writes against it since late November.
Instead of selling it, I’m chancing one more #DoubleDip write for this week. Who knows where it will be on Friday, but I sold some pretty aggressive TSLA puts this morning, so this will give me an extra diagonal Call spread to pair off with the puts.

Sold 1 TSLA Jan 14 2022 1,130.0 Call at $5.75

TSLA Call major rollup

Bought to close 1 TSLA Jan 07 2022 1,015.0 Diagonal Call at $8.87. Sold on a rollup last Friday at $65.31.
Sold to Open 1 TSLA Jan 14 2022 1,100.0 Call at $10.24.
A credit of $1.37 and a giant 85 Point jump in the short strike. The new strike is above today’s high of 1080.93.
My long Feb TSLA Call has now been more than paid for as we approach #Earnings in a couple of weeks.
#OnlySpreads

FDX Stock

Sold my highest cost lot in FDX at $265.50.
Bought this right around #Earnings on 09/28 at $230.00.
I’ll hang on to my last purchase at $225.00 for a much bigger move.
Former #FallingKnife

RIVN Put rolled down

#Earnings crushed the stock but I’m still able to roll the Put
Bought to close 1 RIVN Dec 17 2021 100.0 Put / Sold to Open 1 RIVN Dec 23 2021 90.0 Put at $0.05 Net Credit and moved the strike down a whopping 10 points for only one more week.

LOVE Put Close

#shortputs #earnings
$LOVE BTC 12/17 55 put at .05. STO at 3.40 on Tuesday.

LOVE Earnings

#shortputs #earnings
$LOVE STO 12/17 55 puts at 2.40

NVDA Earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings #OneNightStand

Bought to Close NVDA NOV 26 2021 280.0 Put @ .63 (sold for 4.22)

Thanks @fuzzballl

NVDA earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings #OneNightStand – I’ll take it.

Bought to Close NVDA NOV 26 2021 280.0 Put @ .65 (sold for 4.00)

FDX Stock

Sold off my first tiny lot of FDX stock at $255.25. Bought on 09/22/2021 at $230.00.
I made two more buys around #Earnings at $225.00 and $220.00.
#SP500
Former #FallingKnife

LCID, WMT, HD

#earnings

BTO $LCID 45 call calendar @0.9
BTO $HD 365 put calendar @0.9
BTO $WMT 145 put calendar @0.28

OptionsExpiration

== Expired ==
AMC 11/12/2021 48.0 Diagonal Call
AMC 11/12/2021 53.0 Diagonal Call
AMC 11/12/2021 60.0 Diagonal Call #Earnings
LABU 11/12/2021 65/60 Bear Call Spread
LABU 11/12/2021 62.0 Diagonal Call
LABU 11/12/2021 63.0 Diagonal Call
LABU 11/12/2021 66.0 Diagonal Call
TQQQ 11/12/2021 147.0 Diagonal Puts
TSLA 11/12/2021 695/840 Bull Put Spread
TSLA 11/12/2021 740/840 Bull Put Spread
VXX 11/12/2021 23.0 Covered Calls
VXX 11/12/2021 56/23 Bear Call Spreads

== Assignments ==
SLV 11/12/2021 23.0 Covered Calls (was assigned the stock about a month ago on a 23 strike short Put)

AMC Earnings

Sold 1 AMC 11/12/2021 60.0 Call at $1.02.
Stock at 45. #Earnings after the close.

AMC Calls closed pre-earnings

Sold to Close AMC Nov 12 2021 65.0 Calls at $0.62 left over from old diagonal spreads. Bought on 10/27 at $0.34
Sold to close 1 AMC Nov 12 2021 50.0 Call at $1.51 left over from another diagonal spread. Bought on 11/01 at $0.85.
I have no short puts at the moment.
#Earnings tonight

WU Stock

Another #SP500 stock at a new low. Bought some at $19.00.
#Earnings on 11/02
#FallingKnife

LUV, TSLA, and LRCX

#earnings

Dumped 1/2 of TSLA and LRCX calendars for 40% and 70% loss.

Shouldn’t have gone that far with directional biases. and got both wrong… won’t be this bloody if I just bought ATM strikes.

Will give the other half a chance, as LRCX is at its recent low, and TSLA 900 may attract sellers. but if a stock breaks the key level, may have to throw in the towel.

Holding onto LUV for now, the stock is at a buyable point.

LUV, TSLA, and LRCX

#earnings
BTO TSLA 10/29 10/22 830 put calendar 6.6
BTO LRCX 10/29 10/22 585 call calendar 2.4
BTO LUV 10/29 10/22 50 call cal, 0.33

NFLX and ABT

#earnings

STC partial of NFLX 10/29 / 10/22 640 call calendar @3.1, ~50%

NFLX and ABT

#earnings

BTO NFLX 10/29 / 10/22 640 call calendar @2.07
BTO ABT 11/19 / 10/22 122 call calendar @1.05

slightly skewed to the bullish side, by a few strikes.

#shortputs

TSLA

One last one into #Earnings
Bought to Open 1 TSLA Dec 17 2021 990.0 Call at $14.31
Sold to Open 1 TSLA Oct 22 2021 890.0 Call at $14.61.
Hopefully the stock is up in anticipation, down on the news. 🙂

AMZN Earnings BUPS / LABU UPST TNA Put / SOXL Put Close

#earnings #bups
$AMZN STO 10/29 3400/3420 BUPS at 9.15. Earnings 10/28 after close. If stock climbs towards earnings plan to buy some back.

#shortputs
$LABU STO 10/22 51 put at 1.90. Inspired by @fuzzballl and @optioniceman
$UPST STO 10/22 340 put at 2.95
$TNA STO 11/19 70 Put @ 1.26
$TNA STO 11/19 75 Put @ 1.84 Thank you @fuzzballl
$SOXL BTC 10/29 40.50 put at $1.00. STO at 2.97. Lightning up a bit. Thank you @fuzzballl

TSLA

New TSLA Diagonal into #Earnings
Bought to Open 1 TSLA Dec 17 2021 960.0 Call at $13.56
Sold to Open 1 TSLA Oct 22 2021 860.0 Call at $16.23.
Initial Credit $2.67
Short DTE = 5
Long DTE = 60

GS LABU ROKU SPCE TSLA ZM

#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls #Earnings – A little bit of everything.

GS: Closing earnings play.
Bought to Close GS OCT 15 2021 397.5/392.5 Bull Put Spread @ 1.00 (sold for 3.00)

LABU: Small adds for next week leaving room to add more.
Sold LABU OCT 22 2021 53.0 Put @ 1.05
Sold LABU OCT 22 2021 53.5 Put @ 1.20
Sold LABU OCT 22 2021 54.0 Put @ 1.35

ROKU: Pre-earnings at the expected move and near recent lows.
Sold ROKU OCT 29 2021 300.0 Put @ 3.05

SPCE: Pre-earnings and playing for an oversold bounce. Sized to accept stock if needed.
Sold SPCE NOV 5 2021 25.0/20.0 Bull Put Spreads @ 3.32

TSLA:Expiring.
675.0 Put (sold for 2.45)

ZM: Covered.
Bought to Close ZM OCT 15 2021 275.0 Call @ .05 (sold for 5.20)
Sold ZM OCT 29 2021 267.5 Call @ 6.10

GS earnings

#BullPutSpreads #Earnings – A low risk directional shot.

Sold GS OCT 15 2021 397.5/392.5 Bull Put Spread @ 3.00

OptionsExpiration

Another pretty good week. FYI: Bond markets closed on Monday.

==Expired==
AMC 10/08/2021 20/33 Bull Put Spreads
LABU 10/08/2021 54.0 Diagonal Calls
LABU 10/08/2021 51.0 Diagonal Put
LABU 10/08/2021 50.0 Diagonal Put
SQQQ 10/08/2021 8.5 Covered Calls
TLRY 10/08/2021 13.5 Diagonal Calls #Earnings
TLRY 10/08/2021 13.0 Covered Calls #Earnings
TLRY 10/08/2021 10.0 Diagonal Puts #Earnings
TLRY 10/08/2021 9.5 Diagonal Puts #Earnings
TNA 10/08/2021 88.0 Diagonal Call
TQQQ 10/08/2021 132.0 Diagonal Call
TQQQ 10/08/2021 131.0 Diagonal Call
TQQQ 10/08/2021 130.0 Diagonal Call
VXX 10/08/2021 45/34 Bear Call Spread
VXX 10/08/2021 34.0 Diagonal Calls
VXX 10/08/2021 33.0 Diagonal Calls
VXX 10/08/2021 32.0 Diagonal Calls
VXX 10/08/2021 31.0 Diagonal Calls
VXX 10/08/2021 28.0 Covered Calls

==Assignments==
SLV 10/08/2021 23.0 Puts. – adjusted cost after put premium = $20.50

TLRY Options

#Earnings just around the corner and both the put and call premiums for Friday suddenly expanded in the last few minutes.
Sold TLRY Oct 15 2021 9.0 Puts at $0.25.
Sold TLRY Oct 08 2021 9.5 Puts at $0.28.
Sold TLRY Oct 08 2021 13.0 Calls at $0.26.
Sold TLRY Oct 08 2021 13.5 Calls at $0.13.
Stock at $10.90 down $0.20

TLRY Puts

Sold TLRY Oct 08 2021 10.0 Puts at $0.26
Paired with the short TLRY Oct 08 2021 13.0 and 13.5 Calls sold yesterday.
#Earnings tomorrow

ZM earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – Earnings tonight but going out a little in time to sell something lower.

Sold ZM SEP 17 2021 305.0 Put @ 3.95

PFE Call Close / $SNOW Put / LABU Put Closed

#coveredcalls
$PFE BTC 8/27 52 call at .07. STO Monday at .85

#shortputs #earnings
$SNOW STO 8/27 255 put at 2.80. Add on to the riskier 265 put sold Monday. Earnings tonight.

$LABU BTC 8/27 59 puts at .80. Took in a total of 4.29 in profit by rolling through the dark days of $LABU.
$LABU BTC 8/27 62 puts at 1.80. Took in a total of 7.37 in profit by rolling through the dark days of $LABU.

SNOW Put

#shortputs #earnings
$SNOW STO 8/27 265 put at 5.40. Earnings tomorrow after the bell. A little adventurous since expected move could be down to $260.

PANW Put Close

#shortputs #earnings
$PANW BTC 8/27 340 put at .02. STO at 2.40

PANW ALB Put / LABU Put Close / PFE Put reclassed

#shortputs #earnings
$PANW STO 8/27 240 put at 2.40 Earnings tonight
$ALB STO 8/27 220 put at 8.00 Looking to replace stock called away Friday
$LABU BTC 9/17 put at .60. Sold at 3.44 on 4/16. Thank you @jsd501
$PFE 49 put not put to me even though closing price was 48.80. Too bad. $PFE up 1.88 this AM

NIO earnings

#IronFlies #Earnings – Didn’t really get the volatility collapse I was hoping for. These work a lot better on Thursday going into Friday. No interest in messing with it so taking beer money.

Bought to Close NIO AUG 13 2021 42.0/44.0/46.0 Iron Flies @ 1.40 (sold for 1.60)

NIO earnings

#IronFlies #Earnings – Just for fun. Rolling the dice on some of my COIN and OSTK gains.

Sold NIO AUG 13 2021 42.0/44.0/46.0 Iron Flies @ 1.60

COIN earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings #OneNightStand – Thanks! See ya next time!

Bought to Close COIN AUG 13 2021 255.0 Put @ .50 (sold for 4.70)

COIN

Sold 1 COIN Aug 13 2021 230.0 Diagonal Put at $1.27, adding to my position.
#Earnings after the close today

COIN earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – For lack of anything better to do. This was at the expected move when I sold it. Stock has dropped a little more since then.

Sold COIN AUG 13 2021 255.0 Put @ 4.70

AMC Calls

Sold AMC Aug 13 2021 36.0 Diagonal Calls at $2.29.
Stock at 33.50. #Earnings tonight

PINS earnings analysis

#Earnings $PINS reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 9 quarters, which represents its entire history.

April 27, 2021 AC -14.50%
Feb. 4, 2021 AC +5.29%
Oct. 28, 2020 AC +26.92%
July 30, 2020 AC +36.12%
May 5, 2020 AC -14.84%
Feb. 6, 2020 AC +9.51%
Oct. 31, 2019 AC -17.02%
Aug. 1, 2019 AC +18.62%
May 16, 2019 AC -13.48%

Avg (+ or -) 17.37%
Bias 4.07%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 72.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 64.69 to 80.31
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 59.91 to 85.09
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (36.1%): 46.31 to 98.69
Based on DOWN max only (-17.0%): 60.16

Open to requests for other symbols.

AMZN earnings analysis

#Earnings $AMZN reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 29, 2021 AC -0.11%
Feb. 2, 2021 AC -1.99%
Oct. 29, 2020 AC -5.44%
July 30, 2020 AC +3.69%
April 30, 2020 AC -7.59%
Jan. 30, 2020 AC +7.37%
Oct. 24, 2019 AC -1.09%
July 25, 2019 AC -1.55%
April 25, 2019 AC +2.54%
Jan. 31, 2019 AC -5.38%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC -7.81%
July 26, 2018 AC +0.51%

Avg (+ or -) 3.76%
Bias -1.40%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 3,595.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 3,478.20 to 3,711.80
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 3,459.98 to 3,730.02
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (7.8%): 3,314.23 to 3,875.77
Based on UP max only (+7.4): 3,859.95

Open to requests for other symbols.

PINS earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – In a different account going out a week to sell a little lower.

Sold PINS AUG 6 2021 67.5 Puts @ 1.35

PINS earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – Throwing a few out there. A couple for tomorrow and then a few lower and further out to average down.

Sold PINS JUL 30 2021 70.0 Put @ 1.45
Sold PINS JUL 30 2021 69.0 Put @ 1.15
Sold PINS JUL 30 2021 68.0 Put @ .85
Sold PINS JUL 30 2021 90.0 Calls @ .63

Sold PINS AUG 20 2021 65.0 Puts @ 1.15

LABU Put Close / AAPL Call Close / LABU Puts Rolled

#shortputs
$LABU BTC 7/30 71 put at 14.50. STO at 12.50
$LABU BTC 7/30 65 put and STO 8/6 64 put at even
$LABU BTC 7/30 66 put and STO 8/6 65 put at added .20 credit

#shortstrangles #earnings
$AAPL BTC 7/30 146 call at .53. STO yesterday at 3.37. Waiting on close of put side.

FB earnings analysis

#Earnings $FB reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 28, 2021 AC +7.29%
Jan. 27, 2021 AC -2.62%
Oct. 29, 2020 AC -6.30%
July 30, 2020 AC +8.17%
April 29, 2020 AC +5.41%
Jan. 29, 2020 AC -6.13%
Oct. 30, 2019 AC +1.80%
July 24, 2019 AC -1.93%
April 24, 2019 AC +5.84%
Jan. 30, 2019 AC +10.81%
Oct. 30, 2018 AC +3.80%
July 25, 2018 AC -18.96%

Avg (+ or -) 6.59%
Bias 0.60%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 375.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 356.78 to 393.33
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 350.29 to 399.71
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (19.0%): 303.90 to 446.10
Based on UP max only (+10.8): 415.54

Open to requests for other symbols.

OSTK earnings

#ShortStrangles #ShortPuts #Earnings – Strangles this week and a few short puts further out to possibly average down. Earnings before the open tomorrow.

Sold OSTK JUL 30 2021 70.0/90.0 Strangles @ 2.65

Sold OSTK AUG 20 2021 65.0 Puts @ 2.00
Sold OSTK AUG 20 2021 60.0 Puts @ 1.07

AAPL Straddle

#earnings #shortstraddle

$AAPL STO 7/30 146 straddle at $6.00. Expected move is $6.

SOXL TSLA TQQQ

#ShortPuts #JadeLizards #Earnings – A few fills so far.

SOXL: Adding again after taking profits last week.
Sold SOXL AUG 20 2021 40.0 Put @ 4.20

TSLA: Taking it too early.
Bought To Close TSLA JUL 30 2021 575.0/670.0/675.0 Jade Lizard @ 3.00 (sold for 5.00)

TQQQ: All new positions. Was completely out of this one.
Sold TQQQ AUG 20 2021 110.0 Put @ 2.40
Sold TQQQ AUG 27 2021 105.0 Put @ 2.60
Sold SEP 3 2021 100.0 Put @ 2.40

TSLA earnings

#JadeLizards #Earnings – Not the usual premium in TSLA this time around. Going with a Jade Lizard hoping for a down move. Selling the put side about 1.5x expected.

Sold TSLA JUL 30 2021 575.0/670.0/675.0 @ 5.00

TDOC

#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls #Earnings – Same as SPOT. Taking stock assignment at 152.45 in the pre earnings trade. Selling earnings week covered call now in case the stock remains weak. In an IRA so have to spread it. Selling for max downside protection just below basis.

Sold TDOC JUL 30 2021 135.0/245.0 Bear Call Spread @ 14.65

SPOT

#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls #Earnings – Taking stock assignment at 249.40 in the pre earnings trade. Selling earnings week covered call now in case the stock remains weak. In an IRA so have to spread it. Selling for max downside protection near breakeven.

Sold SPOT JUL 30 2021 237.5/385.0 Bear Call Spread @ 11.50

NFLX earnings analysis

#Earnings $NFLX reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 20, 2021 AC -7.40%
Jan. 19, 2021 AC +16.85%
Oct. 20, 2020 AC -6.92%
July 16, 2020 AC -6.52%
April 21, 2020 AC -2.86%
Jan. 21, 2020 AC -3.58%
Oct. 16, 2019 AC +2.46%
July 17, 2019 AC -10.27%
April 16, 2019 AC -1.31%
Jan. 17, 2019 AC -3.98%
Oct. 16, 2018 AC +5.28%
July 16, 2018 AC -5.24%

Avg (+ or -) 6.06%
Bias -1.96%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 535.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 503.28 to 566.72
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 502.60 to 567.40
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (16.9%): 444.85 to 625.15
Based on DOWN max only (-10.3%): 480.06

Open to requests for other symbols.

GS BUPS Close

#earnings #bups
$GS BTC 7/16 362.50/372.50 at .40. STO at 1.86.

GS Earnings BUPS

#earnings #bups

$GS STO 7/16 362.50/372.50 BUPS at 1.86. Short side right below expected move.

MU Put

#shortputs #earnings
$MU STO 7/2 81 put at .89. Semis doing well. If it tanks I will own near 80

COUP earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – Getting a little bounce today so taking over half. Still holding the post earnings July 195 strike.

Bought to Close COUP JUN 11 2021 220.0 Put @ 1.50 (sold for 3.70)

ZM earnings

#JadeLizards #Earnings – I may have closed this too soon but will take it.

Bought to Close ZM JUN 4 2021 295.0/320.0/325.0 Jade Lizard @ 4.00 (sold for 5.25)

TQQQ RIOT Puts Close / VUZI Call / NVDA Jade Lizard Close

#shortputs
$TQQQ BTC 6/18 45 put at .05. STO at 1.26. Thank you @jsd501
$ROKU BTC 6/4 23 put at .20. STO at 2.47.

#coveredcalls
$VUZI STO 6/18 20 call at .80.

#earnings
$NVDA BTC 575/650/660 Jade Lizard at 6.80. STO at 9.30. Thank you @fuzzballl

ZM earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizards – Not much going on so taking a shot at this. Selling put side near recent lows and slightly in the money on the call side playing for a down move. No upside risk.

Sold ZM JUN 4 2021 295.0/320.0/325.0 Jade Lizard @ 5.25

NVDA earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – Gotta take the quickie on the big move.

Bought to Close NVDA JUN 18 2021 555.0 Put @ 1.50 (sold for 4.70)

NVDA earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizards – Big run today so taking the winner in case it continues up.

Bought to Close NVDA JUN 18 2021 575.0/640.0/650.0 Jade Lizard @ 7.38 (sold for 10.25)

NVDA earnings (sort of)

#NVDA #Earnings – Going out a few weeks and selling closer to the 200 day and near recent lows. Also outside the expected move.

Sold NVDA JUN 18 2021 555.0 Put @ 4.70

SNOW earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – Earnings not until tomorrow but selling while it’s down a little.

Sold SNOW MAY 28 2021 215.0 Put @ 4.10

AMZN Earnings

#IronCondors #Earnings #OneNightStand – I’ll take it.

Bought to Close AMZN APR 30 2021 3340/3350/3630/3640 @ .40 (sold for 4.10)

TWTR Earnings

#ShortPuts #Earnings – Just a small one. Sold all at once.

Sold TWTR APR 30 2021 62.0/61.0/60.0 Puts @ 3.55

AMZN Earnings

#IronCondors #Earnings – Taking a shot at it just inside the expected move by about 5 points.

Sold AMZN APR 30 2021 3340/3350/3630/3640 @ 4.10

AMZN earnings analysis for TOMORROW

#Earnings $AMZN reports TOMORROW (Thursday) after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 2, 2021 AC -1.99%
Oct. 29, 2020 AC -5.44%
July 30, 2020 AC +3.69%
April 30, 2020 AC -7.59%
Jan. 30, 2020 AC +7.37% Biggest UP
Oct. 24, 2019 AC -1.09%
July 25, 2019 AC -1.55%
April 25, 2019 AC +2.54%
Jan. 31, 2019 AC -5.38%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC -7.81% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2018 AC +0.51%
April 26, 2018 AC +3.60%

Avg (+ or -) 4.05%
Bias -1.10%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 3475.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 3326.44 to 3623.56
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 3334.38 to 3615.62
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (7.8%): 3203.60 to 3746.40
Based on UP max only (+7.4%): 3731.11

Open to requests for other symbols.

FB earnings analysis

#Earnings $FB reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 27, 2021 AC -2.62%
Oct. 29, 2020 AC -6.30%
July 30, 2020 AC +8.17%
April 29, 2020 AC +5.41%
Jan. 29, 2020 AC -6.13%
Oct. 30, 2019 AC +1.80%
July 24, 2019 AC -1.93%
April 24, 2019 AC +5.84%
Jan. 30, 2019 AC +10.81% Biggest UP
Oct. 30, 2018 AC +3.80%
July 25, 2018 AC -18.96% Biggest DOWN
April 25, 2018 AC +9.06%

Avg (+ or -) 6.74%
Bias 0.75%, slight positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 306.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 291.03 to 322.97
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 285.39 to 326.61
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (19.0%): 247.98 to 364.02
Based on UP max only (+10.8%): 339.08

Open to requests for other symbols.

AAPL earnings analysis

#Earnings $AAPL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 27, 2021 AC -3.49%
Oct. 29, 2020 AC -5.60%
July 30, 2020 AC +10.46% Biggest UP
April 30, 2020 AC -1.60%
Jan. 28, 2020 AC +2.09%
Oct. 30, 2019 AC +2.26%
July 30, 2019 AC +2.04%
April 30, 2019 AC +4.90%
Jan. 29, 2019 AC +6.83%
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -6.63% Biggest DOWN
July 31, 2018 AC +5.89%
May 1, 2018 AC +4.41%

Avg (+ or -) 4.68%
Bias 1.80%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 133.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 128.55 to 138.45
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 127.25 to 139.75
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (10.5%): 119.54 to 147.46
Based on DOWN max only (-6.6%): 124.65

Open to requests for other symbols.

SNOW earnings

#CoveredCalls #Earnings – Similar positions in 2 accounts. These rolls are slightly below my basis but I’m going for more downside protection. I’ll worry about the calls being ITM later on if needed. This market feels like all news is bad news so rolling down.

Rolled SNOW MAR 5 2021 240.0 Calls to MAR 5 2021 210.0 Calls @ 23.80 credit

ZM earnings (sort of)

#ShortPuts #Earnings #OneNightStand – Went out a couple weeks but still nice collapse in price on the up move.

Bought to Close ZM MAR 19 2021 340.0 Put @ 1.35 (sold for 5.00)

MRVL Earnings Strangle

#shortstrangles #earnings
$MRVL STO 3/5 48.50/48 strangle at 3.40