SKX Earnings Analysis

#Earnings $SKX reports after the bell. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 19, 2018 AC -20.99%
April 19, 2018 AC -27.04%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC 7.54%
Oct. 19, 2017 AC 41.44% (Biggest UP)
July 20, 2017 AC 0.67%
April 20, 2017 AC -2.56%
Feb. 9, 2017 AC 19.32%
Oct. 20, 2016 AC -17.26%
July 21, 2016 AC -22.34%
April 21, 2016 AC 6.26%
Feb. 10, 2016 AC 3.93%
Oct. 22, 2015 AC -31.50% (Biggest DOWN)

Avg + or – 16.74%
Bias -3.54%, a negative bias on earnings

With stock at 26.50, the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 22.70 to 30.30
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 22.06 to 30.94
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s: 15.52 to 37.48

ISRG Earnings Analysis

#Earnings $ISRG reports after the bell. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 19, 2018 AC -0.86%
April 17, 2018 AC 8.17% (Biggest UP)
Jan. 25, 2018 AC -2.12%
Oct. 19, 2017 AC 3.39%
July 20, 2017 AC -4.55%
April 18, 2017 AC 6.36%
Jan. 24, 2017 AC 5.09%
Oct. 18, 2016 AC -5.56% (Biggest DOWN)
July 19, 2016 AC 4.63%
April 19, 2016 AC 3.34%
Jan. 21, 2016 AC 1.89%
Oct. 20, 2015 AC 5.58%

Avg + or – 4.30%
Bias +2.11%, an upside bias on earning

With stock at 542.00, the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 510.43 to 573.57
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 518.72 to 565.28
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s: 497.72 to 586.28

#earnings #shortstrangles AA sold Nov….

#earnings #shortstrangles AA
sold Nov. 16, 32/41 strangle for 1.05

URI earnings data

#Earnings $URI reports after the bell. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 18, 2018 AC 1.07%
April 18, 2018 AC -6.54%
Jan. 24, 2018 AC -1.94%
Oct. 18, 2017 AC 0.05%
July 19, 2017 AC 3.23%
April 19, 2017 AC -5.19%
Jan. 25, 2017 AC 11.20%
Oct. 19, 2016 AC 4.69%
July 20, 2016 AC 9.14%
April 20, 2016 AC 7.86%
Jan. 27, 2016 AC -18.37%
Oct. 21, 2015 AC 9.97%

Avg + or – 6.60%
Bias +1.26%

With stock at 139.00, the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 129.43 to 148.57
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 129.82 to 148.18
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s: 113.47 to 164.53

And another Boom… NFLX

#Earnings This may bode well for the market if NFLX is going to gap this high.

#earnings #ironcondor NFLX Sold Nov….

#earnings #ironcondor NFLX
Sold Nov. 16, 265/270/400/405 for 1.01, it was either that or the short straddle for $4,375 heh heh

NFLX earnings play

Betting NFLX will stay between 300 and 400 after ER today.
BOT NFLX double calendar Oct19/Oct26 -342.5c/-342.5p/+342.5c/+342.5p @ 3.15

#earnings