CCL

#Earnings TOS is showing that $CCL reported during market hours today, .22 per share vs. 0.33 consensus.

WBA earnings analysis

#Earnings $WBA reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 8, 2020 BO -5.83%
Oct. 28, 2019 BO +0.68%
June 27, 2019 BO +4.08% Biggest UP
April 2, 2019 BO -12.80% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 20, 2018 BO -5.02%
Oct. 11, 2018 BO -1.94%
June 28, 2018 BO -9.90%
March 28, 2018 BO +2.47%
Jan. 4, 2018 BO -5.17%
Oct. 25, 2017 BO +3.07%
June 29, 2017 BO +1.66%
April 5, 2017 BO -1.61%

Avg (+ or -) 4.52%
Bias -2.53%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 44.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 40.21 to 48.79
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 42.49 to 46.51
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (12.8%): 38.80 to 50.20
Based on UP max only (+4.1%): 46.32

Open to requests for other symbols.

Hey, anyone remember earnings trades?

#Earnings $MU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Dec. 18, 2019 AC +2.80%
Sept. 26, 2019 AC -11.09% Biggest DOWN
June 25, 2019 AC +13.34% Biggest UP
March 20, 2019 AC +9.61%
Dec. 18, 2018 AC -7.91%
Sept. 20, 2018 AC -2.86%
June 20, 2018 AC +0.83%
March 22, 2018 AC -7.99%
Dec. 19, 2017 AC +4.02%
Sept. 26, 2017 AC +8.51%
June 29, 2017 AC -5.11%
March 23, 2017 AC +7.40%

Avg (+ or -) 6.79%
Bias 0.96%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 41.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 35.64 to 46.36
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 38.22 to 43.78
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.3%): 35.53 to 46.47
Based on DOWN max only (-11.1%): 36.45

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings #closing COST Bought #ironcondor…

#earnings #closing COST

Bought #ironcondor for 1.33, sold yesterday for 1.91. COST is down about 6 points today, I’ll take the gain while I can.
Thanks for the data Jeff

SPLK Earnings

#ShortStrangles #ShortPuts #Earnings – Booked at the open since I’ll be out most of the day…

Bought to Close SPLK MAR 13 2020 130.0/172.5 Strangle @ 1.20 (sold for 3.00)
Bought to Close SPLK MAR 13 2020 135.0 Put @ 1.60 (sold for 2.10)

#earnings #ironcondor COST Sold March…

#earnings #ironcondor COST

Sold March 20, 265/275/345/355 for 1.91. The price is jumping all over.

Thanks for the data Jeff.

COST earnings analysis

#Earnings $COST reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Dec. 12, 2019 AC -1.83%
Oct. 3, 2019 AC +0.92%
May 30, 2019 AC -0.81%
March 7, 2019 AC +5.08% Biggest UP
Dec. 13, 2018 AC -8.58% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 4, 2018 AC -5.55%
May 31, 2018 AC -0.55%
March 7, 2018 AC -0.89%
Dec. 14, 2017 AC +3.32%
Oct. 5, 2017 AC -5.97%
May 25, 2017 AC +1.79%
March 2, 2017 AC -4.33%

Avg (+ or -) 3.30%
Bias -1.45%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 317.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 303.56 to 331.44
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 307.02 to 327.98
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (8.6%): 290.26 to 344.74
Based on UP max only (+5.1%): 333.63

Open to requests for other symbols.