PPG closed

#Earnings Sold to close $PPG Jan17/Jan24 131 #DoubleCalendar for .12. Bought Wednesday for .50.

Several chances to get out at small profit or breakeven. The rage of profitability really decreases quickly as we approach expiration. I need to take money and run and quit waiting for the long shot of a jackpot.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 21st 3270/3290-3350/3370 condors for 1.00, IV 5.44%, SPX 3323.

Expiring today: Jan 17th 3255/3275-3330/3350 condors, sold yesterday for .90

Econ Calendar for week of 1/20/20

Screen Shot 2020-01-17 at 11.13.34 AM
Screen Shot 2020-01-17 at 11.13.34 AM

Link to Calendar: https://research.investors.com/economic-calendar/

JPM closed

#Earnings Sold to close $JPM Jan 17th 138 calls for .40 (large accounts), and 38/40 call spreads for .35 (smaller accounts). #CallButterfly bought for .33 on Monday, so all about breakeven after commissions.

PNC closed

#Earnings #Assignment On Tuesday I bought $PNC Jan17/Jan24 160 #DoubleCalendar for .50.

Stock dropped too much so trade was a loser. Assigned last night on the puts at 160.00.
Today, sold long puts for 6.60 and stock for 153.53. So I managed to squeeze .13 out of closing the trade.

SLB earnings analysis

#Earnings $SLB reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 18, 2019 BO +1.31%
July 19, 2019 BO -0.18%
April 18, 2019 BO -3.90% Biggest DOWN
Jan. 18, 2019 BO +8.12% Biggest UP
Oct. 19, 2018 BO +0.06%
July 20, 2018 BO -1.24%
April 20, 2018 BO -1.49%
Jan. 19, 2018 BO +0.06%
Oct. 20, 2017 BO -2.09%
July 21, 2017 BO -0.73%
April 21, 2017 BO -2.18%
Jan. 20, 2017 BO -0.81%

Avg (+ or -) 1.85%
Bias -0.26%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 38.60 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 37.06 to 40.14
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 37.89 to 39.31
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (8.1%): 35.47 to 41.73
Based on DOWN max only (-3.9%): 37.09

Open to requests for other symbols.

STT earnings analysis

#Earnings $STT reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 18, 2019 BO +6.09%
July 19, 2019 BO +6.73% Biggest UP
April 23, 2019 BO -4.34%
Jan. 18, 2019 BO +0.35%
Oct. 19, 2018 BO -8.53% Biggest DOWN
July 20, 2018 BO -7.40%
April 20, 2018 BO -4.33%
Jan. 23, 2018 BO +2.92%
Oct. 23, 2017 BO -2.97%
July 26, 2017 BO +1.88%
April 26, 2017 BO +3.63%
Jan. 25, 2017 BO -3.37%

Avg (+ or -) 4.38%
Bias -0.78%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 80.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 76.01 to 83.99
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 76.50 to 83.50
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (8.5%): 73.18 to 86.82
Based on UP max only (+6.7%): 85.38

Open to requests for other symbols.