STO $NFLX 315/325 6/19 #bups…

STO $NFLX 315/325 6/21/19 #bups @1.25. 325 puts are ~21 delta.

TSLA AVGO

BTC $TSLA 6/14 195/205 #BuPS @0.12 Was STO 6/11 @1.35 to offset the loss from a 215/225 #BeCS that started as a 6/19 and got rolled to 7/19 @ -1.09.

BTC $AVGO 305/315 6/19 #BeCS @0.06. Added this to my previously noted 240/250 6/19 #BuPS late yesterday pm @.68. Considered, and now wish I’d done the 300/310 #BeCS instead. #BuPS side is bouncing about break even, at the moment, but is still 7 DTE.

AVGO earnings analysis

#Earnings $AVGO reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

March 14, 2019 AC +8.23% Biggest UP
Dec. 6, 2018 AC +0.58%
Sept. 6, 2018 AC +7.69%
June 7, 2018 AC -2.53%
March 15, 2018 AC -4.81% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 6, 2017 AC 0.00%
Aug. 24, 2017 AC -3.70%
June 1, 2017 AC +8.49%
March 1, 2017 AC +0.99%
Dec. 8, 2016 AC +4.90%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -2.24%
June 2, 2016 AC +4.93%

Avg (+ or -) 4.09%
Bias 1.88%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 282.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 265.11 to 299.89
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 270.94 to 294.06
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (8.5%): 258.52 to 306.48
Based on DOWN Max only (-4.8%): 268.91

Open to requests for other symbols.

#bups

LULU

BTC $LULU 6/19 145/155 #BuPS @.10 was STO 5/20 @1.65. #earnings

AMZN Partial Close BUPS

#bups
$AMZN BTC 6/21 1750/1740 BUPS at .40. STO at 2.61 on 5/29. Thank you @ramie77

BA Close BECS / CRM BUPS

#bearcallspreads
$BA BTC 6/21 370/380 BECS at .70. STO at 1.88 on 5/23. Thank you @ramie77

#bups
$CRM STO 7/19 145/155 BUPS at 4.00

SPX 1-dte expiring

STO #spx1dte 6/10 2860/2875 #BuPS @0.85 early today. Expiring worthless.

Chipping away at an SPX #IC loss from last week that I waited too long to close.