SPY Expiration

SPY Dec 05 2023 457 Calls
SPY Dec 05 2023 458 Call
SPY Dec 05 2023 459 Call

BOIL CVS SPY

BOIL vs Put Assignment Friday
Sold 1 BOIL Dec 08 2023 38 Covered Call at $0.90

CVS Covered Call Ladder
Sold 1 CVS Dec 08 2023 73 Covered Call at $0.28
Sold CVS Dec 15 2023 73 Covered Calls at $0.58 and $0.68
Sold 1 CVS Dec 22 2023 74 Covered Call at $0.59

SPY Calls for today
Sold SPY Dec 05 2023 457 Calls at $0.98
Sold 1 SPY Dec 05 2023 458 Call at $0.22
Sold 1 SPY Dec 05 2023 459 Call at $0.13
#OnlySpreads

Something I Read

Sentiment always reverses faster than you’d expect. At first, it might feel like the bad times will only worsen. But when they don’t, folks begin to look at the bright side – and the next thing you know, everyone’s bullish again.

Typically, that process takes time… usually months, not weeks or days. But the recent stock reversal is an exception.

You see, stocks were oversold at the October bottom based on the relative strength index (“RSI”).

The RSI looks at recent prices to determine if a stock has moved too far, too fast. When that happens, a snapback rally is possible. So it’s worth paying attention to this indicator.

We generally refer to an RSI reading below 30 as “oversold.” In other words, a rally is likely. And we refer to an RSI above 70 as “overbought,” meaning a decline is likely. The S&P 500 Index just went from oversold to overbought in just a month.

Reversals that quick have only happened 10 other times since 1950. That makes today’s action incredibly rare.

More important, the market sees consistently higher gains after these setups.

You might expect stocks to suffer after becoming overbought. But history shows the opposite is likely to happen after a quick RSI reversal. In fact, the market tends to massively outperform the typical 7.9% annual gains we’ve seen since 1950.

Similar instances led to 4.4% gains in three months, 8% gains in six months, and an impressive 12.5% gain over the next year. Those are solid results. Plus, stocks were higher a year later 70% of the time.

This isn’t what we’d typically expect after the RSI shows stocks are overbought. And most folks out there are still looking for reasons to sell.

But the data is clear. It tells us that the recent rally will continue. So don’t get caught on the sidelines as it unfolds.

SPX 12/5

#spx0dte
STO 12/5 $SPX 4500/4520 – 4595/4615 at .85

SPX trades 12/5

#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Dec 5th 4610/4630 call spreads for .10. Condors sold yesterday for 1.45. 4520/4500 put spreads still short. Econ data coming at 9:45 & 10 ET.