IWM TQQQ SPY META

#onlyspreads
#everylittlebithelps

STO IWM 22 MAR 2024 194/193 PUT @.11
STO TQQQ 15 MAR 2024 51/48 PUT @.08
STO SPY 18 MAR 2024 488/484 PUT @.12
STO SPY 18 MAR 2024 489/485 PUT @.11
tIP STO META 15 MAR 2024 445/440 PUT @.16

Another Recap of 0DTE Trades

The link with charts and data is here:
https://optionalpha.com/blog/0dte-options-strategy-performance#:~:text=Top%20Performing%20Trades-,0DTE%20Options%3A,-Strategy%20Insights%20fromCharacteristics of Profitable 0DTE Traders

This research represents the activity and habits of the roughly 20% of Option Alpha 0DTE traders who have over 100 trades and are net profitable. 100 trades were chosen arbitrarily but should provide a “good enough” filter to represent a serious 0DTE trader.
The results provide an overview of the trading behaviors and performance of profitable traders for different strategy types, holding periods, and entry and exit conditions.
The research showed that three key variables led to better performance:
• Strategy type
• Entry & exit times
• Profit targets & stop losses
Neutral strategies
Neutral strategies were not only the most popular setups, they also had the best performance overall. Iron butterflies and iron condors comprised 78% of 0DTE positions and had win rates of 66.76% and 70.19%, respectively.
Entry & exit time of profitable trades
Most profitable trades were entered after the morning volatility and remained open for an average of approximately two hours. Broadly, consistently profitable traders opened positions at approximately 10:15 AM ET and closed shortly after 12:00 PM ET.

Line graph showing the entry time for all profitable 0DTE trades at Option Alpha.

Line graph showing the exit time for all profitable 0DTE trades at Option Alpha.
Optimizing profit targets and stop losses
Next, we wanted to determine what the most common exits were for both profitable and losing trades since the majority of these trades were not held until expiration.
The average percentage gain and loss for each strategy type highlights where successful traders are putting their profit-taking and stop losses.

The average gain and loss % for profitable 0DTE positions.
The data shows that targeting iron butterflies with small profit targets and stop losses led to successful trading based on the research. Profitable Option Alpha traders opened trades at 10:15 am EST on Mondays and Wednesdays and closed the position when it hit a profit of 15%, cut losses at -25%, or exited the trade at 12:00pm EST if neither exit criteria were met.

AAP Stock

Sold a tiny bit of AAP at 75.15. Bought last May at 73.50

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 495/500 Bull Put Spread

PFE

#BullPutSpreads – Taking the quickie on the bounce up to the 50 day.

Bought to Close PFE Aug 16 2024 30.0/25.0 Bull Put Spreads @ 2.45 (sold for 3.20)

TSLA

#SyntheticStock – Roll down into strength.

Rolled TSLA Mar 15 2024 195.0 Calls to Mar 15 2024 180.0 Calls @ 3.15 credit (6.40 total now)

BA

#CoveredCalls – Fairly aggressive roll.

Rolled BA Mar 15 2024 197.5 Calls @ to Mar 22 2024 192.5 Calls @ 3.40 credit (8.90 total now)

XBI

#ShortPuts – One add.

Sold XBI Apr 19 2024 89.0 Put @ 1.10

SPX

#SyntheticShortStock – A nice VIX pop and good IV tomorrow for CPI allows for a nice roll and credit.

Rolled SPX Mar 11 2024 5145.0 Puts to Mar 12 2024 5135.0 Puts @ 3.75 credit (13.75 and 20.40 total now)

SPY Puts

Sold 1 SPY 03/18/2024 490/495 Bull Put Spread at $0.29

ORCL KSS GRPN ARM AZO Puts

Sold 1 ORCL 03/15/2024 94/99 Bull Put Spread at $0.45
Sold 1 KSS 03/15/2024 19/23 Bull Put Spread at $0.31 Credit
Sold 1 GRPN 03/15/2024 9/14 Bull Put Spread at $0.42 Credit
#Earnings this week

Sold 1 ARM 03/15/2024 90/96 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit
Sold 1 AZO 03/15/2024 2800/2850 Bull Put Spread at $0.53 (paired with the 3250/3200 Bear Call Spread sold last week)

NVDA Calls

Sold 1 NVDA 03/15/2024 1100/1070 Bear Call Spread at $0.60 Credit

VXX UVXY

Sold VXX 03/15/2024 19.00 Covered Calls at $0.06
Sold UVXY 03/15/2024 10.00 Covered Calls at $0.06

NVDY

#dividends
BOT NVDY @26.96

Earnings this week

SPX 0-dte 3/11/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Mar 11th 5070/5100-5105/5135 condors for 18.80, IV 23.39%

20-winged test at 14.50

This is high IV and high premium for a day with nothing major scheduled. $VIX is up as well. CPI report tomorrow morning.