SPX

Learned something very interesting this week about rolling these. With a VIX curve like this the increased short term volatility outweighs the time added so it’s very tough to roll for a credit. With Sep vol much lower went out to Oct to get more even vol and was able to roll down a few strikes. Luckily, this isn’t the norm. Crazy stuff going on and election coming up things might calm down after that and get back into a contango situation.

An increasing VIX without going to backwardation still seems to be great for rolling vs a short term shock to the market with near term super spikes in vol. I am considering only selling put spreads from now on when the market is at nose bleeds. Had that been the case here I would have booked the losses on the spreads and possibly closed the LEAP shorts for bigly gains.

Right at the open:

Rolled SPX Aug 16 2024 5585.0 Puts to Oct 18 2024 5570.0 Puts @ .25 credit (10.05 total now)

vix