Lots of stuff that used…

To continue the discussion from @jeffcp66 below.

Lots of stuff that used to work no longer works, and things that work now may not work in 6 months. If there is anything I have learned since starting serious trading in 2004 its that the market evolves and as traders we need to evolve with it. In fact, I am constantly tweaking the algo, my tactics, ratios, profit targets, and risk parameters. The algo is deadly accurate but with sudden changes in volatility it needs adjusting from time to time.

The 5 biggest things that have kept me profitable are:
1. Tactics = having multiple tactics on at once. Some make money when market going up, some down, and most make money when neutral
2. Position sizing = trade small trade often
3. Take as much money from the market as you can = premium selling
4. Controlling losses early and efficiently. I no longer hold onto losing trades for 1-2 years. Better to deploy the capital on something that works.
5. Keep margin to less than 50% then you never blow up an account again. That was learned the extra hard way in 2015 when /ES exploded and again in 2018 when SVXY imploded.

No offense to anyone here as we are all intelligent traders, but the advice I had on SVXY here and other places nearly bankrupted me. Never, ever trade unhedged volatility and I would also say that on the energy sector as well on any of the meme stocks or highly volatile tickers. And don’t get me started on Crypto. The only thing supporting crypto is the next person willing to pay more for it than you bought it. Kind of sounds like the early 2000s when people were paying top dollar for companies that never made a dime.

VIX indicator semi-retirement

#VIXindicator I created this in 2015 after having a bad day of losses. I wanted to find a warning that would fire at least a few days in advance to warn us to watch our step when playing the market neutrally. I used data from 2000 to 2015, and the signal did work pretty decently for about 4 years. But since the pandemic it has not been very helpful. It has lagged the market worse and worse each year and now seems to fire too late almost every time. I will keep the right-hand sidebar widget updated (this the “semi” before retirement) but won’t refer to it in the top widget or in separate posts. Feel free to ask any questions!

PLTR put spread

Sold $PLTR Apr 17 75/65 bull put spread @ 1.38

AMZN

Adding.

Sold AMZN Apr 17 2025 195.0 Put @ 2.51

Market,

I covered all the trades I put on Friday for a grand profit of $500 because I am not confident about what this administration is doing. Also, the IWM and MDY are trending down and moving below the 200 day MA. Not a good sign for the market.

SPX

Pre market roll. Guessing this is a weak bounce. (rally incoming! LOL)

Rolled SPX Feb 24 2025 6100.0 Puts to Feb 28 2025 6075.0 Puts @ 1.00 credit (20.95 total now)

NVDA Leap

On Friday, Sold 1 NVDA Sep 18 2026 65.0 LEAP Put at $3.40. Bought at $3.25.
Will look to re-load at about $2.90 if the stock bounces

SPX 0-dte trades for 2/24/25

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 24th 5935/5955-6090/6110 condors for 1.30, IV 23.24%, deltas -.06 +.06