WFC Covered Calls

Sold WFC SEP 25 2020 $30 CALLS @ 0.11
The stock is bouncing around just above 25.
The premium is about equal to the new quarterly dividend, which is not a lot these days.
In my estimation banks are pretty Covid-proof so I’ll hold on for an eventual recovery.
It would be nice if they managed their business better though 😦

New VXX Diagonal

Sold 1 VXX Sep 04 2020 28 Call / Bought 1 VXX Sep 25 2020 50 Call @ 0.15 Credit

VIX SPY

Big ramp up is SPY plus a big move up in VIX/VXX

Today’s all-time-high in the S&P 500 was accompanied by the highest level ever for VIX at an all-time high stock print…
2020-08-31_7-47-50

How long can this last?

VIX

/VX Futures, VIX and VXX all up again

Really afraid of the VIX move if the SPY were to actually go down

WDC

New diagonal call spread to go along with my covered calls @ 38 and my Put diagonal spread @ 37.
Bought WDC Oct 16 2020 47.5 Calls / Sold WDC Sep 04 2020 38.5 Calls @ 0.21 Credit.
If the stock stays up I will roll the covered calls and the diagonal calls out while the puts expire.
All the shorts expire with the stock ending the week between 37 and 38
#ShortDiagonalCalendar

SQQQ

Sold 1 SQQQ Sep 04 2020 19 Put @ 0.22 on the open when the stock got down to 19.55

AAPL

Apple’s Market Cap Surpasses The Entire Russell 2000 Due To “Option Insanity”

The convexity skew picture on big-name equities like Apple $AAPL has gone parabolically stupid. Let’s keep this simple and draw a conclusion.

Apple $AAPL Stock near $130
Jan $180 Strike Calls costs $4
Jan $80 Strike Puts costs $1
*Both options are $50 out of the money, approx data, BUT it is nearly 3x more expensive to buy upside risk in AAPL equity. What does this mean?

Apple closed near $130, while the cost of speculative upside calls is weighted heavily against the buyer.

AAPL RUT

WBA Option Ladder

#FallingKnife at a new low of 36.50
Sold 1 WBA 10/02/2020 36.00 Put @ 1.20
Sold 1 WBA 10/16/2020 35.00 Put @ 1.15

HII WBA

Both within 1% of their YTD low
Both in the S&P500
Both profitable and pay dividends

Also GILD bears watching
#FallingKnife

VIX and SPY

Another new all time high in the SPY (ignoring pre/post markets) and /VX futures are still up, though not as much as yesterday.
VIX is down a bit now but opened at a new high for this move at 26.59

ZM

Another day, another tech stock rocketing higher after crushing earnings. Ho hum.
Huge earnings beats are becoming a weekly event, and there is no denying that the recent stock market action is producing some interesting results. With index inclusion decisions looming, trading should stay interesting.
Zoom Video Communications (ticker: ZM) stock is up 27% in premarket trading Tuesday after reporting second quarter numbers Monday evening. The company earned 92 cents a share. Analysts were looking for 45 cents in per-share earnings. It was a huge beat.
The stock is at $411 in premarket trading, bringing year-to-date gains to roughly 500%. Zoom’s market capitalization is now roughly $115 billion , making it worth more than IBM ( IBM ). Impressive.

TSLA

Tesla Announces $5 Billion “At The Market” Stock Offering
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-announces-5-billion-market-stock-offering

In short, for those asking why TSLA picked an ATM, it was to avoid an institutional roadshow where buyers can perform due diligence or simply ask questions.


https://www.wsj.com/articles/beware-as-wall-street-goes-direct-to-consumer-11592389980

TSLA

Crazy town again – today’s move equivalent to 278 points on the old stock.
On my watch list, only TSLA and /NQ futures, WDC and every VIX related stock index or future is up.
Everything else down.

Anther new high for S&P500 although it reversed into the red at the end.
Seven straight days with new all time highs

VIX & markets


In fact as the S&P hits all-time-highs, this is a level of VIX that has not been seen since those heady days of extreme speculation and retail day-trading muppetry. This is a very different regime of ‘walls of worry’ that we saw during the 2017/2018 all-time-highs…
This level of co-movement between VIX and stocks is highly unusual – and has typically not ended well for stocks. Except this time is even more extreme, as the correlation between stocks and vol is at its highest since the collapse of XIV and Volmageddon 2018…

2020-08-31_7-47-50

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/last-time-happened-was-day-dot-com-bubble-burst

VXX Calls

Sold 1 VXX Sep 04 2020 30.00 Call at $0.47
Sold 1 VXX Sep 04 2020 30.50 Call at $0.43
Sold 1 VXX Sep 04 2020 31.00 Call at $0.39
Sold 1 VXX Sep 04 2020 32.00 Call at $0.33
Holding Long VXX October and November calls as a hedge

VXX

New Diagonal Call spread
Bought Open VXX Oct 16 2020 65 Calls / Sold VXX Sep 04 2020 27.5 Calls @ 0.03 Credit.
It’s not about how much you make in the first week of the diagonal spread, it’s how much you can make with re-writes.

TSLA

Tesla ‘Losing Ground’ In Europe’s Biggest EV Market As July Registrations Crash

“Tesla posted a 76% decline…”

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tesla-losing-ground-europes-biggest-ev-market-july-registrations-crash

SPY

Ignoring the pre/post market moves, we just got another new high in the SPY. Six day run with new highs every day.

The VIX has dropped 3 points since 11 AM

AAL Covered Call

Bought to close 1 AAL 08/28/2020 14.0 Covered Call / Sold 1 AAL 09/04/2020 14.0 Covered Call @ 0.46 Credit

TSLA – into the split

Bought to close TSLA Aug 28 2020 2500/2700 Bear Call Spread @ 0.05. Sold 2 days ago @ 2.10

Replaced it with TSLA Sep 04 2020 2800/3000 Bear Call Spread @ 7.60 Credit

I have no idea what the stock does after the split but my short for next week is 300 points above the short for this week. (this week’s move low to high was about 375 points and peaked at 2318.49)

Stock is 2220

WDC

I should have waited one more day rolling my short 37 Puts 😦
At least I own some stock 🙂

Bought to close WDC 08/28/2020 37.0 Covered Calls / Sold WDC 09/04/2020 38.0 Covered Calls @ 0.22 Credit Plus a point higher on the strike price

KSS Roll

Bought to close KSS 08/28/2020 23.0 Covered Calls / Sold KSS 09/04/2020 24.0 Covered Calls @ 0.12 Credit plus a point higher strike.
KSS is recovering from it’s swoon after earnings.

AAL Roll

Bought to close AAL 08/28/2020 14.50 Diagonal Calls / Sold AAL 09/04/2020 15.50 Diagonal Calls @ 0.15 Credit plus a point higher strike

VXX

And so it begins
My VXX November Calls are all up (between 38% and 66%) above my cost.
Let the November madness do it’s work

480206

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/correction-watch-divergences-are-developing-between-large-us-stocks-everything-else

TSLA spread – What are they smoking?

With only hours to go before expiration my 2500/2700 BCS still is trading @ 1.85
Stock is 2305

WDC

Highest close in 8 trading days.
Rolled my WDC 08/28/2020 37.0 Puts to WDC 09/04/2020 37.0 Puts @ 0.17 Credit

VXX – the beauty of diagonal puts

So the long puts I buy as part of the diagonal put spreads I have been setting up for months have been written against multiple times, but this week looks like a big winner for this strategy:
Just some examples:
Long 2 Jan 15 2021 12.00 Puts @ 58.29 while being short 2 Aug 28 2020 23.00 Puts @ 58.62
Long 2 Jan 15 2021 13.00 Puts @ 106.38 while being short 2 Aug 28 2020 24.00 Puts @ 123.43
Long 1 Jan 15 2021 14.00 Put @ 55.69 while being short 1 Aug 28 2020 24.00 Put @ 61.71
Long 2 Jan 15 2021 15.00 Puts @ 141.38 while being short 2 Aug 28 2020 24.00 Puts @ 123.43
Long 2 Jan 15 2021 16.00 Puts @ 163.38 while being short 2 Aug 28 2020 24.00 Puts @ 123.43

As you can see, this week’s short puts pretty much cover the costs of the long positions yet again. #DoubleDip
The real beauty is that the short positions are gone tomorrow, but the longs are still there until January.
Contango losses in VXX have recently been about a point per week, except for the occasional spikes like we are seeing in the last two days.
It’s entirely possible that eventually, the long position go in the money before expiration.

VIX

a bit more strength on the VIX and the upside warning will be cancelled
High 27.09 so far, up 15%

VIX SPY

It’s getting a bit crazy again.
SPY sets a new all time high (almost to 350) and then reverses a bit back to unchanged.
However, the VIX explodes from 22.85 to 24.28 in just 20 minutes.

Something is going on under the surface but I don’t know what.
Algos at work?

VXX

Sold 1 VXX 08/28/2020 26.0 Diagonal Call @ 0.21
Sold 2 VXX 08/28/2020 27.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.13

Creating Short Calendar Iron Condor Spreads to help balance out a lot of short Puts.
Sold the Calls against already long November Calls.
Hoping to keep VXX above 24 through Friday.

I would add to these if higher prices come along tomorrow.

TSLA

Another new all time high @ 2166

Sold 1 TSLA 08/28/2020 2500 Call / Bought 1 TSLA 08/28/2020 2700 Call @ 2.10 Credit.

2 days to expiration

SPY bearish Diagonal

Sold 1 SPY Sep 02 2020 333.0 Call / Bought 1 SPY Oct 16 2020 346.0 Call @ 5.19 Credit.
If there is no market pullback in the next week, I can do a roll every few days after that.

SPY is at an all time high just above 347

Dividend info

Stocks in the SP500 that have eliminated their dividend – just a FYI
Carnival Corp.
Coty Inc. Class A
Nordstrom Inc.
Kohl’s Corp.
Macy’s Inc.
Marathon Oil Corp.
American Airlines Group Inc.
Royal Caribbean Group
Delta Air Lines Inc.
National Oilwell Varco Inc.
PVH Corp.
DXC Technology Co.
Boeing Co.
Alaska Air Group Inc.
Western Digital Corp.
Tapestry Inc.
Kimco Realty Corp.
Ralph Lauren Corp. Class A
Host Hotels & Resorts Inc.
Wynn Resorts Ltd.
Marriott International Inc. Class A
Southwest Airlines Co.
Molson Coors Beverage Co. Class B
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Ford Motor Co.
Ross Stores Inc.
Universal Health Services Inc. Class B
Darden Restaurants Inc.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
General Motors Co.
Gap Inc.
Expedia Group Inc.
TJX Cos.
Walt Disney Co.
Aptiv PLC
HCA Healthcare Inc.
Weyerhaeuser Co.
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Maxim Integrated Products Inc.
L Brands Inc.

AAL KSS Calls

Sold AAL 08/28/2020 15.00 Diagonal Calls @ 0.18 against already long Oct 25 Calls #DoubleDip
Sold KSS 08/28/2020 23.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.06 against already long Oct 30 Calls #DoubleDip
Sold KSS 09/04/2020 23.0 Covered Calls @ 0.21
Pays for next week’s beer run 🙂 🙂

Also:
Bought AAL 10/16/2020 23.0 Calls / Sold AAL 08/28/2020 14.50 Calls @ 0.05 Credit – Adding longs at a lower strike (corrected this one – originally posted wrong)

AAPL TSLA split euphoria

AAPL new high at 515.98
TSLA new high at 2140

AAL ADS WBA WDC WFC Calls

Sold AAL 08/28/2020 14.0 Covered Call @ 0.09
Sold AAL 08/28/2020 14.50 Diagonal Calls @ 0.06
Sold ADC 08/28/2020 50.0 Covered Call @ 0.10
Sold WBA 08/28/2020 42.0 Covered Calls @ 0.07
Sold WDC 08/28/2020 37.0 Covered Calls @ 0.06
Sold WFC 08/28/2020 25.0 Covered Call @ 0.09
Pays for this week’s beer run 🙂

Also:
Bought ADS 10/16/2020 70.0 Calls / Sold ADS 09/04/2020 50.0 Calls @ 0.25 Credit

VXX New Diagonal and other puts sales

Bought VXX Jan 21 2022 6.0 Puts / Sold VXX Aug 28 2020 24.0 Puts @ 0.12 Credit.
Also sold these against similar long positions left over from earlier diagonals:
Sold VXX Aug 28 2020 23.50 Puts @ 0.53
Sold VXX Aug 28 2020 23.0 Puts @ 0.30
#DoubleDip

SPY bearish Diagonal

Sold 1 SPY Sep 18 2020 335.0 Call / Bought 1 SPY Oct 16 2020 345.0 Call @ 3.61 Credit.
If there is no market pullback in the next month I can do a weekly roll after that.

SPY was down near 335 several times in the last 10 trading days

TSLA

Bought to close 1 TSLA 08/21/2020 2300 Call @ 0.01
Sold this yesterday as part of a spread @ 1.96

VXX roll

Bought to close VXX 08/21/2020 25.0 Puts / Sold VXX 08/28/2020 24.0 Puts @ 0.15 Credit plus a point lower on the strike.

Sold these last Friday @ 0.71 and closed @ 0.45 today

TSLA

I’ve been away from this one since January.

Taking a flyer here with 1 DTE

Sold 1 TSLA 08/21/2020 2300 Call / Bought 1 TSLA 2500 Call @ 1.52 Credit.

This stock topped out at 2021.99 so far, up 140 ish

TSLA hits 2003.16

Just WOW

WFC GILD WBA HII

S&P500 Dividend payers within 10% of their yearly lows.
On my watch list for now

KSS covered calls

Bought to Close KSS Aug 21 2020 22.5 Covered Calls 0.01. Sold before earnings @ 1.88.
So it didn’t quite protect me from the drop in the stock, but it did help.

Some diagonal bear spreads helped a bit too.

VXX

Completing some Short Calendar Iron Condor Spreads.
Bought to Open VXX Oct 16 2020 70 Calls / Sold VXX Aug 21 2020 26.0 Calls @ 0.05 Credit.
Bought to Open VXX Sep 18 2020 60 Calls / Sold VXX Aug 21 2020 27.0 Calls @ 0.08 Credit.

Still trying to keep my 25.0 Puts out of the money by the close tomorrow.

As a kicker I also sold some VXX Aug 21 2020 28.0 Calls @ 0.25 against already long calls that expire tomorrow but are fully paid for from earlier spreads.
#DoubleDip

VXX

Adding some calls for this week hoping to pull my large put positions back out of the money before Friday
Sold VXX 08/21/2020 26.0 Calls @ 0.29
Sold VXX 08/21/2020 27.0 Calls @ 0.18.
Sold these against November long calls I’ve been adding for the last two weeks.

If the markets decline badly, these can easily be rolled.

SPY bearish Diagonal

Sold 1 SPY Sep 18 2020 333.0 Call / Bought 1 SPY Oct 16 2020 346.0 Call @ 5.02 Credit.
If there is no market pullback in the next month I can do a weekly roll after that.

SPY was down below 333 three times in the last 10 trading days

AAL

A bit of a bounce in the stock and so I wrote against half of my October long calls again
Sold AAL 08/21/2020 14.50 Calls @ 0.12
#DoubleDip

KSS

Bought to close KSS Aug 21 2020 24.50 Diagonal Calls @ $0.01.
They won’t trade any lower.

Interestingly the Aug 25 calls have not traded there yet

VXX new diagonals

I have not yet replaced the dozen or so strike 25 short Puts I had that expired Friday, leaving a bunch of 2021 fully paid for long positions.

Tiptoeing back in with new diagonals:
Bought to open VXX Jun 18 2021 9.0 Puts / Sold VXX Aug 21 2020 24.5 Puts @ 0.12 Credit.

It would be nice if we got just a tiny market pullback this week.

WBA

Ex-div tomorrow for 0.4675 for those wanting a dividend capture trade.
Stock is close to the low for the last week.

Dividend Yield 4.46%

#dividendcapture

AAL

Sold AAL 08/21/2020 14.0 Covered Call @ 0.28.
This replaces the 13.50 Call that expired Friday

VXX

Bought to open 1 VXX Nov 20 2020 60.00 Call @ 0.98.
Adding this to my stable of longs in November.
I don’t average down old positions. I lower the strike of new positions instead.
Next target is the Nov 55 Call at the same price.
Election chaos is coming …

Rolls

My timing sucked today 😦

VXX roll Down

Bought to close VXX 08/14/2020 26.0 Puts @ 0.59.
Sold VXX 08/21/2020 25.0 Puts @ 0.71.
VXX is at 25.48

Sold the 26 puts all during the last week at 0.92, 0.60, 0.67, 0.70 and 0.69

KSS roll

Another one I was hoping would expire after it dropped to 22.56 this morning. I hate Friday explosions
Bought to close KSS 08/14/2020 23.0 Diagonal Calls / Sold VIAC 08/21/2020 25.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.12 Credit.
KSS is at 23.87

VIAC roll dangit

I spent all of the last few days hoping this would expire. I hate Friday explosions
Bought to close VIAC 08/14/2020 28.0 Diagonal Calls / Sold VIAC 08/21/2020 30.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.07 Credit.
VIAC is at 28.21

VXX

Sold VXX 08/21/2020 32.50 Calls @ 0.23 with the stock at 25.60
Will replace similar calls expiring tomorrow.
Written against Sept, Oct and Nov long calls.

KSS – rolling into earnings

Bought to close KSS 08/14/2020 22.00 Covered Calls / Sold KSS 08/21/2020 22.50 Covered Calls @ 0.80 Credit plus another half point on the strike.
That’s a pretty big premium with the stock at 23.0.

Also Bought to close KSS 08/14/2020 22.50 Diagonal calls / Sold 08/21/2020 24.50 Diagonal Calls @ 0.27 Credit plus a big 2 point jump in the short strike.

TSLA

Peak Insanity: Tesla Adds $16 Billion In Market Cap After Announcing 5-For-1 Stock Split
Tesla stock has added almost half of GM’s market cap after hours on the news of the stock split.

VXX

Sold VXX 08/14/2020 31.50 Diagonal Calls @ 0.15.
Sold against long Sep 38 and 40 calls.

Sold VXX 08/14/2020 32.00 Diagonal Calls @ 0.16.
Sold against long Oct 48 and 51 calls.

Getting back 15% of the cost of my longs.

Converting some short diagonal put spreads to “Short Calendar Iron Condor Spreads”

VXX

Bought to open 1 VXX 11/20/2020 65.0 Call @ 0.94.
Preparing for election fireworks.

VIAC ADS

Sold VIAC 08/14/2020 28.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.35
Sold ADS 08/14/2020 55.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.25
#DoubleDip

VXX KSS AAL WFC Diagonals

Bought VXX 01/21/2022 5.0 Puts / Sold VXX 08/14/2020 25.0 Puts @ 0.37 Credit
Bought KSS 10/16/2020 30.0 Calls / Sold KSS 08/14/2020 23.0 Calls @ 0.13 Credit
Bought AAL 10/16/2020 25.0 Calls / Sold AAL 08/14/2020 15.0 Calls @ 0.12 Credit
Bought WFC 09/25/2020 30.0 Calls / Sold WFC 08/14/2020 26.0 Calls @ 0.04 Credit

Markets

Why is it still rising?

Earnings Season Shocker: FAAMG Earnings Grew By 2% While EPS For The Other 495 S&P Companies Plunged 38%.
Meanwhile the carnage among small caps was unprecedented with Russell 2000 EPS plunging by 97%.

“Goldman, which over the weekend turned incrementally more bullish on the economy and hiked its GDP forecast as it now expects that a covid vaccine will be discovered and widely distributed in Q1 2021, resulting in what Goldman believes will be a sharp jump in consumption in the first half of next year (whether that actually happens in a country where more than half refuse to get vaccinated is a different story completely), has done a post-mortem on Q2 earnings season and also found some more “good news.”

First, after expecting a 60% plunge in EPS in Q2, Goldman’s David Kostin was delighted to report that S&P 500 EPS declined by “only” 34% year/year, well above both consensus expectations for a -45% decline, and Goldman’s own forecast of a nearly double drop.”

#vixindicator

VXX new diagonal

Bought to open 06/18/2021 10.0 Puts / Sold VXX 08/14/2020 26.0 Puts @ 0.14 Credit with VXX at 26.05.
The long has 312 Days to Expiration so the short can be rolled a few times 🙂

ADS

Sold ADS 08/14/2020 51.0 Covered Calls @ 0.25 replacing similar calls from last week
Sold ADS 08/14/2020 52.0 Diagonal Call @ 0.30 replacing a similar call from last week

VXX

Another #Boredtodeath trade 🙂
Bought VXX Jun 21 2021 9.0 Puts / Sold VXX Aug 14 2020 26.0 Puts @ 0.18 Credit with the stock at 26.85.
Normal #Contango drift in VXX will help the long Puts between now and next June

VXX Puts

Bought to close VXX 08/07/2020 27.0 Diagonal Puts @ 0.30

Sold these during the week @ 0.56/0.50/0.33 and 0.60

Replaced them with half the number of 08/14/2020 26.0 Puts @ 0.61.
Even swap on the cash.
New shorts are sold against 2021/2022 long puts.

Will add to my shorts for next week if higher prices become available.

AAL Rollups

Riding this rally a little longer
Bought to close AAL 08/07/2020 14.0 Diagonal Calls @ 0.02. Sold these @ 0.26 Yesterday.
Replaced them with AAL 08/14/2020 15.0 Calls @ 0.16.

Also rolled up 1 AAL 08/07/2020 13.0 Covered Call to AAL 08/14/2020 13.50 Covered Call @ 0.30 Credit

VXX

Bought to Open 1 VXX Nov 20 2020 70 Call at $0.98.
Preparing for election fireworks.

WBA Covered rollup

Bought to close WBA 08/07/2020 41.50 Covered Calls / Sold WBA 08/14/2020 42.0 Covered Calls @ 0.17 Credit.
I want to keep this dividend payer a bit longer and it goes ex-div on 08/18 for 0.4675 per share.
I’m guessing the stock will run a bit next week as the dividend date approaches.

KSS Covered and Diagonal rollups

Bought to close KSS 08/07/2020 21.50 Covered Calls / Sold KSS 08/14/2020 22.0 Covered Calls @ 0.32 Credit
Bought to close KSS 08/07/2020 22.0 Diagonal Calls / Sold KSS 08/14/2020 23.0 Covered Calls @ 0.17 Credit

WDC earnings blowup

Rolled my WDC 08/07/2020 40.0 Puts out a week to 08/14/2020 40.0 Puts for a 0.15 Credit

VIAC calls

Bought to close VIAC AUG 07 2020 28.00 Calls @ 0.01. Sold these before earnings @ 0.49 on 08/03