MELI rolling

With the stock at 1237, rolled short $MELI Oct 20 1120 put down and out to Nov 17 1050 put (13 delta) @ 12.80 credit. Earnings expected 11/2. Total credit now 18.50.

$SPX trades 10/17

1. STO 10/17 4310/4290 put spread @ 1.75
Rolled 4310 puts up to 4325 @ 1.45 credit
Rolled 4325 puts up to 4335 @ .80 credit
BTC @ .45
Profit: 3.55

2. STO 10/17 4370/4390 call spread @ 1.80
BTC @ 2.80
Loss: (1.00)

3. STO 10/18 4315/4285 put spread @ 2.40, short put 15 delta. Lowering position size by 40%.
Rolled 4315 puts up to 4335 @ 2.00 credit
BTC @ 3.55
Profit: .85

4. STO 10/18 4345/4325 put spread @ 1.80, short puts 15 delta
BTC @ 3.00
Loss: (1.20)

5. STO 10/18 4420/4440 call spread @ 1.75, short calls 13 delta
BTC @ 1.00
Profit: .75

6. STO 10/18 4320/4300 put spread @ 1.90, short puts 15 delta
BTC @ 2.85
Loss: (.95)

I’m likely done for today.
Total profit for the day: 2.00

Rolling out SHOP puts/early assignment

I was assigned overnight on the in the money Oct 20 65 puts. Instead of holding the stock and selling calls I decided to close it out and reinitiated the 65 puts in November:
Sold $SHOP @ 52.15 (12.85) loss
Expiration of 10/20 65 puts = +3.03
Net loss per contract: (9.82)
Total premium previously collected on this position: 6.34, so I’m negative now 3.48 per contract.

Sold Nov 17 65 puts @ 13.25
Looking at the double bottom on the daily chart I’m willing to stay bullish here. If the lows don’t hold and the stock falls below 50.50 I will exit the position without another roll.

Rolling out SNOW puts

With the stock at 151.89, rolling short $SNOW Oct 20 150 puts out to Nov 17 150 puts (42 delta) @ 3.75 credit. The original position was Sep 15 150 puts. With 2 rolls, total credit is now 12.55.

T2108

At 15.29, lowest level since last October.
Screen Shot 2023-10-03 at 8.58.56 AM

MELI short put

Sold to open $MELI Oct 20 1120 put (09 delta) @ 5.70 with the stock at 1301.

COIN put spread

Sold to open $COIN Oct 20 75/70 bull put spread @ 1.24 with the stock at 82

Closing ADBE

Pre-earnings (after the bell today) bought to close $ADBE Oct 20 530/540/580/590 iron condor at 4.90. With 1 roll up, total premium taken in was 4.77 so taking a small (.13) overall loss.

ADBE adjustment

With the stock at 569, rolled $ADBE Sep 15 465/455 bull put spread up to 540/530 for 2.03 credit. Position is now a 530/540/580/590 iron condor, with 4.77 total premium taken in. I will take this position off before the end of the day on Thursday 9/14 (earnings after the bell).

Rolling out SNOW puts

Originally sold the $SNOW Sep 15 150 puts (for 5.15) to potentially go long. With the move up, I’m rolling the position out to Oct 20 150 puts (29 delta) @ 3.65 credit. Total premium taken in now 8.80.

Rolling up SHOP puts

Originally sold the $SHOP Sep 15 60 puts (for 3.48) to potentially go long. With the move up, I’m rolling the position up and out to Oct 20 65 puts (40 delta) @ 2.86 credit. Total premium taken in: 6.34.

Closing SMCI

Bought to close $SMCI Sep 15 210/220/340/350 iron condor for .62. Sold for 2.65 on 8/9.

ADBE Iron Condor

Sold to open $ADBE Sep 15 455/465/580/590 iron condor @ 2.74. Earnings expected 9/14, the day before opex.

SMCI Iron Condor

Sold to open $SMCI Sep 15 210/220/340/350 iron condor @ 2.65. Post-earnings.

UVXY call spread

Sold to open $UVXY Sep 15 22/27 bear call spread @ .78

#onlyspreads

SNOW short puts

Sold to open $SNOW Sep 15 150 puts @ 5.15 (23 delta) with the stock at 169.06. To go long or keep the premium.

SHOP short puts

Sold to open $SHOP Sep 15 60 puts @ 3.48 with the stock at 59.82. Looking to go long.

QQQ call butterfly

With high volume and OI at the 380 strike, playing for a 380 pin in the Qs today.
Bought 377/380/383 call butterfly @ .53 debit.

UVXY finally reverse splitting

Along with $VIXY and $BOIL
https://www.proshares.com/press-releases/proshares-announces-etf-share-splits

$UVXY 1:10 reverse split effective as of 6/23.

UVXY splitting anytime soon?

Last split was May 2021, a 1:10 reverse split announced on 5/11/21 when it was trading around 4.50. The split was effective 5/26/21 when it was trading for 3.80. It’s exactly 2 years later and UVXY is currently 3.20. Wondering what ProShares has planned.

AAPL Diagonal Call Spread

BTO Jul 21 170 calls
STO Jun 16 180 calls
Net debit: 8.30

UVXY call spread

Sold to open $UVXY Apr 21 7/12 bear call spread @ .62

CRWD put spread

Sold to open $CRWD Jan 20 110/100 bull put spread @ 2.03 with the stock at 123.05

$TSLA Put Spread

I think the Musk/Twitter panic is played out. Sold to open $TSLA Dec 16 160/150 bull put spread @ 1.78.

State of the market

T2108: 11.30 (low of the day 9.96)
Fear and Greed Index: 21 (Extreme Fear)
VIX futures in backwardation (www.vixcentral.com)

Closed TTD

Finally took this one off for just about a scratch/very small loss after it ran away from me after earnings. Originally put the trade on 8/9 and did several rolls and adjustments bringing in net 2.85 in premium. Bought the final position (Oct 21 55/75 strangle) back for 3.15 for an overall .30 loss.

For T2108 watchers

It got as low as 17.66 this morning. Not in the single digits like in June but notable. We’ll see if there’s anything behind today’s move. It closed at 26.07.

NFLX put spread

I’m liking this strong move in a weak tape with the stock more than recovering from Tuesday’s market bloodbath.
Sold to open $NFLX Oct 21 200/190 bull put spread @ 1.80. Short puts 19 delta.

Closed SPY iron fly

BTC Sep 9 406/407/408 iron butterfly @ .66. Sold for .89 earlier.

SPY iron fly

A little bit of speculation, low risk high reward. Looking for the Friday afternoon rally that could make another appearance today. STO Sep 9 406/407/408 iron butterfly @ .89 credit. Max loss .11.

SMH put spread

Going long semiconductors here. Sold to open Oct 21 195/185 bull put spread @ 2.05, short puts 26 delta.

Rolling TTD out

Rolling this position out to what I’m hoping will be the last iteration before I take it off for an overall profit: Rolled $TTD Sep 16 60 straddle out to Oct 21 55/75 strangle for 1.10 debit.

Accumulated credits so far are 2.87.

If the strangle gets to around 50% of what I sold it for (Oct 55/75 sold for 4.68), I’ll close it for an overall profit on an earnings trade gone rogue. But first things first, TTD needs to behave for a couple of weeks.

Rolling TTD

Rolled $TTD Sep 16 67 calls down to 60. Position is now a 60 straddle with 2.76 net credit from rolls and adjustments.

Adjusting TTD

With the stock at 62.92 resetting strikes, rolling Sep 16 $TTD 75/65 inverted strangle to Sep 16 60/67 strangle @ 10.48 debit.

Previous trades:
Original (8/9): STO 45/65 strangle as an earnings trade @ 4.11
8/10: Rolled 45 puts up to 65 @ 3.20 credit
8/11: Rolled 65 puts up to 75 @ 3.70 credit
8/16: Added 80/85 bear call spread @ 1.21 credit

Adding a TTD position

Sold $TTD Sep 20 80/85 bear call spread @ 1.21 with the stock around 73.40. Looks like it’s exhausted its post-earnings move up so I’m bringing premium against my inverted strangle (75/65).

TTD roll up

With the huge post-earnings move (stock up over 33%), rolled Sep 16 45 puts up to 65 puts @ 3.20 credit. Position is now a short 65 straddle, with 7.31 total credit taken in.

TTD earnings strangle

Borrowing an idea from TastyTrade. Sold $TTD Sep 16 45/65 strangle @ 4.11. Earnings after the bell today.

Closing ROKU

Bought to close $ROKU Aug 19 60/55 bull put spread @ .47. Sold for 1.50 on 7/29.

SPY 8/5

BTO $SPY Aug 5 410 calls @ 3.94 for a daytrade. Looking for what could be that long forgotten Friday afternoon rally we used to see so much of before 2022. Will close out on a pullback, but definitely before the end of the day regardless.

ROKU post earnings

Sold to open $ROKU 8/19 60/55 bull put spread @ 1.50

FOMC

Looking for a big move here post announcement (likely 75 bps) and planning to fade whatever that move is after the dust settles. GDP report tomorrow as well which will probably be a confirmation that we’re in a recession. Or not…

T2108 now under 10

Latest reading 9.90

T2108

Around 16.50, 15 minutes after the open.

Closing MRNA

Bought to close $MRNA Jun 17 150/160 bear call spread @ .24. Sold for 1.60 on 5/24.

Fading MRNA

The bloom is off the rose. Sell to open $MRNA Jun 17 150/160 bear call spread @ 1.60.

AMZN falling knife

I’m thinking this could be a good level but with a huge price tag and a 20:1 split coming up I think I’ll wait until after it officially starts trading split adjusted on June 6. Once options open up I’ll probably look to sell something that would be 1,000-1,100 today so maybe 50-60 in mid June, with maybe a Jan 2023 expiration, if the stock doesn’t take off to the upside between now and then.

T2108

Currently 13.50

NFLX put spread

Sold to open $NFLX Jun 17 160/150 bull put spread @ 2.03

BYND put spread

Post earnings bouncing off the lows, sold to open $BYND Jun 17 20/15 bull put spread @ 1.20

T2108 update

Got to around 12 today

SPOT put spread

Sold $SPOT Jun 17 90/80 bull put spread @ 1.85

DIS Falling Knife

Tempted to bite at this #FallingKnife. Maybe sell Jan 2023 60 puts currently around 1.00. Strike is the lowest in the chain and 20 points below the pandemic low from March 2020. Watching. Does Mickey still have further to fall?

NFLX put spread

The craziness seems to be slowing down. Sold to open $NFLX May 20 190/180 bull put spread @ 2.05 credit, short puts 22 delta. Price got down to -4 standard deviations.

USO Butterfly

Borrowing an idea from TastyTrade.
Sold $USO May 20 77/80/89 broken wing butterfly @ .90 credit.

Closing June TSLA

Bought to close $TSLA Jun 17 600 put @ 4.35. Sold for 21.00 on 1/6. Taking it off for around 80% of the max profit a couple of months early.

SNOW Mar

Post-earnings sold to open $SNOW Mar 18 200/190 bull put spread @ 1.90

Rolling TQQQ

Rolled $TQQQ Feb 18 62.50 puts out to Mar 18 62.50 @ .85 credit

TQQQ March

Sold to open $TQQQ Mar 18 40 puts @ 1.20

Rolling LABU

Rolled Feb 18 24 puts down and out to Mar 18 23 puts @ .40 credit with the underlying at 19.50

Closing SPOT

Bought to close Feb 18 150/140 bull put spread @ .60. Sold for 2.00 on 2/3.

VXX puts

Bought to open $VXX Feb 25 22 puts @ 3.11 with VXX around 20. Looking for further contract in volatility. VIX still above 22.

SPOT Feb

Post-earnings sold to open $SPOT Feb 18 150/140 bull put spread @ 2.00

Volatility

And here comes the $VIX and /VX futures back down

SPY head & shoulder

$SPY On 1/13 I posted about a completed head & shoulder on the daily. If we just went with pure technicals/measured move then the projected moved down would have been around 23 points from the top of the head to the neckline. Going 23 points down from there to calculate measured move would bring us to around SPY 433. Currently trading near there at 432.50.

Of course this is a minimum measured move but still notable IMO. For what it’s worth.

NFLX put spread

Sold $NFLX Feb 18 350/340 bull put spread @ 2.55. IV rank 87.

UVXY call spreads

Sold to open Mar 18 30/40 bear call spread @ 1.10

Worden charts

T2108
Screen Shot 2022-01-24 at 8.52.18 AM

T2122
Screen Shot 2022-01-24 at 8.52.34 AM

T2108

Bouncing around 14

VIX futures

Not that it’s much of a surprise but the futures have flipped to backwardation.
http://vixcentral.com/

SPY chart

$SPY Seeing what looks like the completion of a head & shoulder on the daily. Be careful out there.

AMZN 1/28

Speculative trade/small position. Sold to open $AMZN Jan 28 3090/3080 bull put spread @ 1.80. Strikes are below the big flush/intraday low on 1/10. Expiration is prior to earnings.

TQQQ 2/25

Sold to open $TQQQ Feb 25 110 put @ 5.55

Rolling TQQQ

Rolled $TQQQ Jan 14 140 put down 15 points and out to 2/18 125 put @ 1.60 credit.

Closing AMC

Bought to close $AMC Jan 21 22 puts @ 2.12. Sold for 2.30 on 12/17.

Closing AMZN

Bought to close $AMZN Jan 21 3150/3200/3800/3850 iron condor @ 26.55. Sold for 14.40 on 12/9.