CINF puts

Sold $CINF 6/19 40 puts @ 1.45. Delta 19. Stock at 48.53.
Thanks again for the heads up on this @optioniceman.

AMZN iron condor

Sold $AMZN 6/19 2130/2150/2600/2620 iron condor @ 6.00. Short deltas 20 (puts) and 17 (calls).

AAPL short calls

Sold $AAPL 6/19 335 calls @ 2.12. Wrote against long stock so the calls are covered.

CODX–closing and reinitiating

Bought to close $CODX diagonal call spread (long 8/21 9 calls + short 5/15 15 calls) @ 5.83 for a quick .50 profit with the stock running. Thanks for the great idea @smasty.

But I just can’t quit you, CODX. Reinitiated another diagonal call: bought 8/21 10 calls + sold 6/19 20 calls @ 6.00 debit. Earnings tomorrow (5/14) after the bell.

Taking profits on XLE

Bought to close $XLE 6/19 jade lizard (28 puts + 36.21/37.21 bear call spread) for .87. Sold for 2.10 on 4/20.

Corrected: Originally posted .66 as the closing price but that was just the call spread. Total to close .87 so 59% of possible profit.

Closing PTON

Stock showing strength again so I’m giving a quick hook to this trade, keeping the loss to a minimum (.38). Bought to close $PTON 6/19 45/50 bear call spread @ 1.80. Sold earlier today for 1.42.

PTON post-earnings

Sold $PTON 6/19 45/50 bear call spread @ 1.42. Post-earnings, looking like it may have hit its high on the gap up. Short leash–if the stock moves back toward the morning high I’ll cut bait.

Closing AMZN

Bought to close $AMZN 5/15 2130/2150/2480/2500 iron condor @ 1.96. Sold for 6.00 on 5/1.

Closing TLT

Bought to close $TLT 6/19 170/175 bear call spread @ .70. Sold for 1.50 on 4/27.

Going back into DIS

Slowly. Sold $DIS 6/19 90 puts @ 2.08. Delta 21.

Going long SBUX

Via short puts. Sold $SBUX 6/19 60 puts @ 1.90 with the stock at 71.61. Delta 19. Cost basis if assigned 58.10.

UVXY June

Sold $UVXY 6/19 60/70 bear call spread @ 1.61

AMZN post-earnings

Sold $AMZN 5/15 2130/2150/2480/2500 iron condor @ 6.00 with the stock around 2300. Short strikes are at 18 delta. Credit received 30% of the width of the strikes.

AAPL post-earnings

Sold $AAPL 6/19 275/265 bull put spread @ 2.61

Closing TQQQ for an overall profit

Bought to close $TQQQ 5/15 65 puts @ 3.60
Original sale: 4/17 65 puts for 2.40 on 2/25
Rolled out to 5/15 65 puts for 1.70 credit on 3/31
Overall profit per contract: .50
Feeling lucky to get out for a profit considering how deep in the money these were in March.

Fading TLT

Sold $TLT 6/19 170/175 bear call spread @ 1.50

XLU iron condor

Sold $XLU 48/53/58/63 iron condor @ 1.48. IV rank 56.

SMH iron condor

Sold $SMH 6/19 100/110/150/160 iron condor @ 2.49. Short put/call strikes at 16 and 19 delta.

Closing JPM

Bought to close $JPM 5/15 75/110 strangle @ .77. Sold for 1.75 on 4/20.

Closing XOP

Bought to close $XOP 5/15 35 puts @ .70. Sold for 2.30 on 4/8.

XLE Jade Lizard

And another idea borrowed from TastyTrade.
Sold $XLE 6/19 jade lizard (sold 28 puts + 36.21/37.21 bear call spread) for 2.10 credit. No upside risk (1.10 capped profit above 37.21) and downside breakeven of 25.90.

JPM strangle

Borrowing an idea from TastyTrade.
Sold $JPM 5/15 75/110 strangle @ 1.75. Put and call deltas at 10 and 13.

UVXY call spread

Sold $UVXY 5/15 60/70 bear call spread @ 1.55

Closing XOP short calls

Bought to close $XOP 5/15 53 calls @ .24. Sold for 1.12 on 4/9. They were paired as a short strangle with 5/15 35 puts which I am still short.

ZM put spread

Sold $ZM 5/15 120/110 bull put spread @ 2.00

XOP adding calls to create a strangle

Sold $XOP 5/15 53 calls @ 1.12 (22 delta) to create a short strangle with my 35 puts. Total premium taken now 3.42.

NVDA put spread

Sold $NVDA 5/15 250/240 bull put spread @ 3.00

XOP short puts

Sold $XOP 5/15 35 puts @ 2.30

UVXY call spread

Sold $UVXY 5/1 70/80 bear call spread @ 1.39

QQQ iron condor

Sold $QQQ 5/15 175/180/220/225 iron condor @ 1.77

ROKU put spread

Sold $ROKU 5/15 80/75 bull put spread @ 1.46

AAPL put spread

Sold $AAPL 4/17 230/220 bull put spread @ 2.33

Rolling TQQQ

Rolled $TQQQ 4/17 65 puts out to 5/15 65 puts @ 1.70 credit. Still a ways to go but getting closer and buying some time and a little more credit.

GLD iron condor

Sold $GLD May 15 138/143/163/168 iron condor for 1.66

AAPL put spread

Sold $AAPL 4/17 220/210 bull put spread @ 1.83. Short puts at 22 delta.

AAPL put spread

Sold $AAPL 4/17 220/210 bull put spread @ 1.78

VIX was down today, and other thoughts

With the markets off another 4+% I found it interesting that the VIX was down. I remember so many days in the last few months when the opposite was true (markets up/VIX up) and it signaled caution (probably should have sold everything then right? LOL). Today, it could be a function of it having been so high previously, but what is high? We’ve never been through anything like this before. Still it’s interesting that on a day like today, you would have expected another spike in the VIX but it was actually down over 8% (albeit even quite a bit lower earlier in the day). It could be the down action is more orderly without as much panic, and could that signal we’re near some kind of low or bottom?

I also looked at how backwardation has been the last 2 weeks. Of course we’ve been deep in it for some time but the % backwardation has been trending down:

3/9 18.37%
3/10 16.86%
3/11 16.77%
3/12 21.40%
3/13 17.83%
3/16 18.55%
3/17 10.75%
3/18 14.97%
3/19 11.05%
3/20 8.15%

A flattening for sure, but the real important curve flattening is with new Covid-19 cases/deaths. We’re in the thick of the explosion in new cases now mostly because of the increased testing. But I remain optimistic that these extreme measures will pay off very soon in a deceleration of new cases (that would be a negative second derivative for all you calculus experts). Combine that with unprecedented speed through the normal FDA red tape to get medications to severely ill patients and we could be looking at slowing growth in cases on the front end and a reduction of fatality % on the back end. I believe we will absolutely beat this thing even though it seems overwhelming to think about. The panic and fear will hopefully abate here (I’m talking about just out there, not necessarily in the financial markets). I wish people would watch less TV and sensationalized websites/social media. It’s feeding the panic for viewers and clicks. I’m in the media business so I understand they make a lot of money during times like this but man it feels like it’s such a disservice to people to go over the top with fear tactics for ratings. Look what’s happening in Washington DC. Did you ever think that there would be so much love between Democrats and Republicans? I hardly recognize these people. For the most part everyone is working together and that’s as it should be and unimaginable even 2 months ago. And I think that has been a great thing for the country to see. But…(and it will never happen because of the nature of the beast) I also wish the media would be more responsible in their reporting and be sensitive to the fact that so many people blindly listen to what is reported and behave and act accordingly. I can’t tell you how many texts and other messages I get with the craziest things someone just “heard about”, or someone texted them a meme saying something insane. People are passing these things along without doing the simplest due diligence and it’s spreading incredible anxiety and that has made this crisis 10 times worse in my opinion.

What we’re going through is bad and difficult for sure, but it is being exacerbated by panic and fear. Let’s try to appreciate the things we do have right now and one day (hopefully sooner than we think) we’ll look back on this time in our lives and say “Can you believe what we went through?”

Peace, serenity and love to you all, my Bistro family.

UVXY puts

Bought 4/3 70 puts @ 12.99

Hydroxychloroquine

You may have heard about this but this drug, but there are more and more articles about its effectiveness against Covid-19. China and South Korea are using it now with great results. Combined with an antibiotic, it is reducing the sick time for those infected from a couple of weeks to a few days. It can be mass produced. Promising.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost.com/2020/03/19/old-malaria-drug-hydroxychloroquine-may-help-cure-coronavirus-study/amp/

UVXY long puts

Bought 4/9 100 puts @ 25.00

DIS short puts

Sold $DIS 4/17 90 puts @ 7.00

UVXY 4/3

Sold $UVXY 4/3 75/85 bear call spread @ 2.22

UVXY 3/27

Sold $UVXY 3/27 80/90 bear call spread @ 1.77

Support?

There certainly doesn’t seem to be any on the daily chart–moving averages, areas of prior support, pivot points, etc. Looking at the weekly chart, the low from the Q4 2018 mini-bear was 2,351.10 on Christmas Eve. If you think looking at that low is relevant 15 months later, that’s only around 166 points lower than where are are now. Another day like the down days we’ve had the last couple of weeks and we’re there.

T2108

Currently 4.70. Today’s low was 3.68.

Testing the waters with TLT

With $TLT now around its lows of the day, sold 3/20 180/185 bear call spread @ 1.20. Obviously it will be on a tight leash.

TLT insanity

Sold $TLT 3/20 170.50/175.50 bear call spread @ 1.28. Meant to sell the 170/175 but I’ll leave it.

NVDA rolls

Rolled the following:
$NVDA 3/13 280 put out to 4/17 and down 20 points to the 260 strike for 1.09 credit
$NVDA 3/20 270 put out to 4/9 and down 10 points to the 260 strike for 2.10 credit
New strikes are now back out of the money, if only slightly, with the stock hovering just over 260

DRIP roll

With this thing now back out of the money but showing strength, I rolled 3/20 186 calls out to 4/17 200 calls @ 4.90 credit. Buys me some breathing room (another 14 points out of the money plus the premium) but the way this thing moves I think I’m going to need a multi-day rally in oil to get an acceptable score on the dismount.

FB put spread

Sold $FB 4/17 180/170 bull put spread for 1.95 with the stock between 193-194. Short strike below Friday’s low, at 27 delta.

Ending reading for T2108

9.35
The lowest since the Q4 2018 selloff, then before that, Feb 2018. Before that you have to go back to Jan 2016 to get readings under 10.

TLT call spread

Sold $TLT 3/20 152/157 bear call spread @ 1.36 with TLT at 151.06

VXX long put spread

With the VIX so extended, taking a small position in the other direction. Bought $VXX 3/20 21/17 bear put spread for 1.80 debit.

T2108

Now at 11.34

AAPL collar

Put on a zero cost collar to protect my long stock in $AAPL from any more potential big shocks:
Bought $AAPL 3/20 250 puts @ 2.03
Sold $AAPL 3/20 317.50 calls @ 2.03
Stock around 291.

The puts are above the 200 day moving average, the calls up at resistance.

DRIP adjustment/adds

I did these a little while ago when DRIP was still under 150. What a crazy move in oil.

Rolled in the money 3/20 125 call up and out to 6/19 155 call (which was out of the money at the time but not anymore) for 1.95 credit.

Sold the new highest strike 3/20 220 call @ 5.00. Obviously you can do quite a bit better now. I have an offer in for another contract above where it’s trading now.

#contangoetfs

TC2000 indicator update

For those of you that follow these:
T2108 (% stocks above their 40 day moving average): 26.56
T2122 (4 wk new high/new low ratio): 1.85

DRIP adding

Sold $DRIP 3/20 186 call @ 7.00. Highest strike in March.

New highest strikes for DRIP

Sold $DRIP 3/20 186 call @ 3.50

PANW post-earnings

Sold $PANW 3/20 190/180 bull put spread @ 1.65 with the stock around 201. IV still high (IV rank 55).

Going back into NUGT calls

My first position shorting calls in quite a while. Sold $NUGT 6/19 52 call @ 3.00. Highest strike in June. Starting slowly.

Sep DRIP

Sold $DRIP 9/18 160 call @ 17.00. Highest strike.

NVDA 3/20

Sold $NVDA 3/20 270 put @ 4.20

Trimming DRIP

Bought to close 3/20 140 call @ 1.95. Sold for 4.30 on 1/24.

TSLA management

Shaking my head in wonder but I have to do something here. Stock is just about through my 3/20 900/920 bear call spread (it was worse earlier) so I just sold the 3/20 800/780 bull put spread for 5.35 bringing the total collected to 9.35 for a 20 point spread. If it calms down a bit I may be able to get out of this. If not I’ll roll the put spread up and collect as much as I can before letting the stock declare victory.

Selling puts on AAPL

Sold $AAPL 3/20 305/295 bull put spread @ 1.78

Closing HES

Bought to close $HES 3/20 52.50 puts 2 .45. Sold for 1.15 on 1/29.

Completing ROKU iron condor

Sold $ROKU 3/20 115/110 bull put spread @ 1.25 to complete the iron condor with the 160/165 bear call spread I sold earlier today. Total premium taken in for the IC 2.55, a little more than 50% of the width of the strikes.

Fading ROKU

Sold $ROKU 3/20 160/165 bear call spread @ 1.30

Closing UNH

Bought to close $UNH 3/20 250P @ .94. Sold for 4.50 on 1/31.

Rolling BA

From my adjusted iron condor (to a 330/340/350 iron butterfly in 2/21), rolled to 3/20 335/345/350/360 iron condor @ .63 credit. Total premium for position now 6.94 against 10 point wide wings. Stock at 346.80.

LYFT earnings

Sold $LYFT 2/21 48/61 strangles @ 1.23. Earnings idea from TastyTrade. Strikes outside the expected move.

Closing and re-establishing AMD

Taking profits on the short puts and establishing a new trade to continue selling premium on this (IV rank 41).
-Bought to close $AMD 3/20 42 puts @ .40 (sold for 1.20 on 1/29)
-Sold $AMD 3/20 46/60 strangle @ 1.71 with the stock now at 52.20. Delta neutral with both puts and calls at 19

DRIP highest strike in June

Sold 6/19 160 call @ 11.30

GILD short puts

Been looking for an opportunity to get back into this stock. Nice setup and still high IV (IVR 60). Sold 3/20 65 puts @ 1.59. The major moving averages converging above the strike price so if support doesn’t hold down there I’ll exit. Alternative trade 3/20 65/60 bull put spread for 1.30-1.35.

#fuzzy