Econ Calendar 12/16 – 12/20

Very busy week including Fed decision on Wednesday

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#optionepiration #assignment SPCE 6.5 and…

SOXL SPCE
#optionepiration
SOXL 25 puts
SPCE 7 calls
#assignment
SPCE 6.5 and 7 puts

Options Expiration

Big losses on old AVGO, SPY and TQQQ Call spreads, and an early assignment on a NUE 140 Put destroyed my week, despite the winners below:

Expired:
AVGO 143/150 Bull Put Spread
AVGO 145/152.5 Bull Put Spreads
AVGO 147/155 Bull Put Spread
BOIL 60/50 Bear Call Spread
BOIL 59/50 Bear Call Spread
BOIL 32/35.5 Bull Put Spread
CVS 65/57 Bear Call Spread
NUE 167.5/155 Bear Call Spread
NUGT 53.5/49.5 Bear Call Spread
ORCL 145/157.5 Bull Put Spread
ORCL 150/160 Bull Put Spread
SPY 579/599 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 74/80 Bull Put Spread
VFC 24/22 Bear Call Spread
VXX 54/47.5 Bear Call Spreads
VXX 57/48 Bear Call Spreads
VXX 56/47.5 Bear Call Spreads
VXX 45/47 Bear Call Spreads

CLF 13.5 Covered Calls
NUGT 47 Covered Call
NUGT 49 Covered Call
SOXL 38.5 Covered Call
WBA 10.5 Covered Calls

AI 27 Put
AVGO 145 Put
SOXL 24 Put
SPCE 6 Puts
TQQQ 77 Put

SPX

Keep going sideways until I have to roll down.

Rolled SPX Dec 13 2024 6070.0 Puts to Dec 16 2024 6070.0 Puts @ 2.90 credit (13.50 total now)

AI TOL NUE

Closed 1 AI 12/13/2024 25.5/35 Bull Put Spread at $0.01 #releasingmargin

Rolled 1 TOL 134/140 Bull Put Spread to next week’s TOL 130/139 Bull Put Spread at $0.08 Credit
Rolled 1 TOL 133/139 Bull Put Spread to next week’s TOL 130/139 Bull Put Spread at $0.75 Credit

Rolled 1 NUE 12/123/2024 129.0 Put to next week’s NUE 125.0 Put at $0.05 Credit

DOW LYB Stocks

Added a tiny bit to DOW at $41.00
Added a tiny bit to LYB at $75.00
#SP500 #FallingKnife

TQQQ,

STO Dec. 27, $91 puts at 3.35And My $85 puts will expire today at zero.

QQQ

Rolled today’s $534 short calls out and up to 12/18/24 $540 for $.16 Credit

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 598 Diagonal Put

SPX

Rolled SPX Dec 12 2024 6070.0 Puts to Dec 13 2024 6070.0 Puts @ 6.00 credit (10.60 toal now)

NUE Diagonal Put

Bought 1 NUE 12/20/2024 120 Put / Sold 1 NUE 12/13/2024 129 Put at $0.27 Credit
#1DTE

VXX Put Rolldown

Rolled 1 VXX 12/13/2024 43.0 Put to next week’s VXX 42.0 Put for $0.03 Credit

CVS DVN Stock

Added tiny bit to my CVS position at $51.00 and $50.00
Added tiny bit to my DVN position at $34.00 (ex-div tomorrow – yield 5.75%)
#SP500 #FallingKnife

QQQ

Rolled 12/12 $534 short calls to 12/13/24 for $.21 Credit

SPX 0-dte trades for 12/12/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 12th 6015/6035-6105/6125 condors for .70, IV 12.03%, deltas -.08 +.04

Pretty low premium for a narrow condor, but it filled on the down move.

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 616/608 Bear Call Spread
1 SPY 593/601 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 1 600.0 Diagonal Put

SPX

Gotta love it. Six straight days of chopping around the 6070 level. Let’s do it for six more months! LOL

Bought to Close SPX Dec 11 2024 6070.0 Puts @ .35 (sold for 30.60)

Sold SPX Dec 12 2024 6070.0 Puts @ 4.60

BAX CVS

#TinyTrades
Bought BAX at $31.00 and $30.83
Bought CVS at $52.71
#SP500 #FallingKnife

QQQ

#coveredcalls STO 12/12/24 QQQ 534 calls @.25

Selling against the LEAPS position

SPCE Put

Sold 1 SPCE 12/13/2024 6.0 Put at $0.09
#EveryLittleBitHelps

SPY Calls

Bought 1 SPY 12/12/2024 613 Call / Sold 1 SPY 12/11/2024 608 Call at $0.15 Diagonal Credit

SPX 0-dte trades for 12/11/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 11th 5985/6005-6095/6115 condors for 1.00, IV 14.54%, deltas -.05 +.06

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 607 Diagonal Call

XRP Crypto

Been gradually adding to my lottery ticket. Enter at your own risk!

Owned a bunch at 1.70 forever. Added a little more at 2.00. Will buy dips below 2.00 until reaching my limit. Could go to zero or 10.

I remember Bitcoin at 20 and thought it had no chance. I’m still not a believer but want to be involved with defined risk if we get another run on a cheap one.

SPY

Starting a new ladder at the 50 day and lower.

Sold SPY Jan 17 2025 580.0 Put @ 3.05
Sold SPY Jan 17 2025 585.0 Put @ 3.70

SPY Put

Sold 1 SPY 12/11/2024 600 Put at $0.28

RDDT

Adding to 1/15/27 RDDT $80 CALL long LEAPS position for $97.50 debit on today’s weakness (initial lot purchased on 10/30 for $27.46)

Housekeeping: BTC RDDT 1/15/27 $95 short PUTS for $18.

WBA TQQQ SPCE

Sold WBA 01/17/2025 17.5 Covered Calls at $0.06
Walgreens Shares Spike Off 28-Year Lows On Private-Equity Interest

Sold 1 TQQQ 12/13/2024 77.0 Put at $0.08
Sold 1 SPCE 12/13/2024 6.0 Put at $0.08
#TinyTrades

BA

Rolling short calls again out to the week before earnings. Still short a bunch of Dec 20 160 strike puts.

Rolled BA Jan 10 2025 160.0 Calls to Jan 24 2025 165.0 Calls @ 1.10 debit (2.35 total now)

More Spreads

Sold 1 AVGO 12/13/2024 145/150 Bull Put Spread at $0.25 Credit
Sold 1 BOIL 12/13/2024 32/35.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.18 Credit

ORCL AVGO SOXL Puts

Tiny Trades:
Bought to close 1 ORCL 12/13/2024 150.0 Put at $0.01
#ReleasingMargin

Sold 1 AVGO 12/13/2024 145.0 Put at $0.08

Sold 1 SOXL 12/13/2024 24.0 Put at $0.06
#EveryLittleBitHelps
Thanks for the idea @walter6871

SPX

Keep rolling sideways as long as the premium is still there.

Rolled SPX Dec 10 2024 6070.0 Puts to Dec 11 2024 6070.0 Puts @ 6.50 credit (30.75 total now)

SPCE SOXL

#everylittlebithelps
#shortputs
SOLD SPCE 13 DEC 24 7 CALL @.10
SOLD SOXL 13 DEC 24 25 PUT @.07

#dividends
#addingtostable
BOT CRF @8.72
BOT CLM @8.51

TOL Puts

Sold 1 TOL 12/13/2024 134/139 Bull Put Spread at $0.25 Credit (post-earnings)

SPX 0-dte trades for 12/10/24

#SPX0dte Sold 1 minute aftyer open: $SPX Dec 10th 6005/6025-6095/6115 condors for 1.00, IV 13.21%, deltas -.11 +.03

MSTY YMAX SDIV

#dividends
BOT MSTY @33.49
tIP BOT YMAX @18.55
tIP BOT CONY @17.10
————–
#selling
#releasecapital
#weakdividends
SOLD SDIV

GLD SPY Expiration

1 GLD 235/245 Bull Put Spread

1 SPY 594/604 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 617/611 Bear Call Spread

TQQQ,

STO December 13, $85 puts at 1.45

TOL Puts

Sold 1 TOL 12/13/2024 133/140 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit (earnings today AMC)

0-dte Strangles

#SPX0dte I have been testing a new strategy and just completed my second attempt at doing it live.

Recently we’ve seen fairly significant moves in SPX toward end of day. For a couple weeks I’ve been watching ATM strangles with 5-point centers. Once these drop below 6 or even 5 bucks (after 1pm ET), it is a fair bet to BUY one and then wait for a move. The idea is to cover the full cost of the trade plus some profit on the first move, then try to get as much as you can extra profit from the other side.

Today I bought $SPX Dec 9th 6060/6065 strangles for 4.70 at 2:17pm ET.

I had to wait over 20 minutes for a move, and in that time it dropped to 3.85. Loss of less than a dollar… if it had gone more than a dollar in the red I may have stopped out. But then the spike down happened and my put option sold for 6.00. So I was 1.30 in profit. Now I can choose to wait for a total bounce and perhaps even get a double. On some test days this DID happen. But when I saw no immediate strong bounce, I closed today’s for .90. Sure enough, SPX took a further drop so .90 was nice to catch. Had I been willing to sit with the risk longer, I could have sold put side for as much as 7.00 (at least so far), but I think these trades are best when goal is 1.00 to 2.00 in profit. For this one I got 2.20.

On Friday I bought a strangle for 5.60 and got the down move almost immediately. It didn’t go very far and started to recover, so I sold put for 6.00. With .40 profit I decided to wait for a full recovery and sell call if it got to 4.00. It didn’t; the drop continued so it expired.

SPY Puts

Bought 1 SPY 12/16/2024 589 Put / Sold 1 SPY 12/12/2024 598 Put at $0.21 Diagonal Credit
#EveryLittleBitHelps

SPX

Rolled SPX Dec 09 2024 6070.0 Puts to Dec 10 2024 6070.0 Puts @ 6.00 credit (24.15 total now)

Monday Spreads

Sold 1 AI 12/13/2024 25.50/35 Bull Put Spread at $1.04 Credit (earnings today AMC)
Sold 1 ORCL 12/13/2024 150/160 Bull Put Spread at $0.26 Credit (earnings today AMC)
Sold 1 ORCL 12/13/2024 145/157.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.26 Credit (earnings today AMC)

Sold 1 AVGO 12/09/2024 135/155 Bull Put Spread at $0.63 Credit
Sold 1 AVGO 12/09/2024 143/152.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.22 Credit
Sold 1 NUGT 12/09/2024 53.5/49.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.16 Credit
Sold 1 VFC 12/13/2024 24/22 Bear Call Spread at $0.24 Credit

Sold 1 TSLA 12/20/2024 280/310 Bull Put Spread at $0.43 Credit

Bought 1 CVS 12/27/2024 63 Call / Sold 1 CVS 12/13/2024 57.0 Call at $0.23 Diagonal Credit

Sold VXX 12/09/2024 54/47.5 Bear Call Spreads at $0.16 Credit

SPX 0-dte trades for 12/9/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 9th 6035/6055-6115/6135 condors for 1.05, IV 12.00%, deltas -.09, +.07

Fairly narrow with aggressive deltas but only way to get premium. Overnight moves pretty mellow, so looking for a sideways goong into Wednesday’s CPI.

Earnings 12/9 – 12/13

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Econ Calendar 12/9 – 12/13

CPI on Wednesday, then PPI and bond auction on Thursday.

Screenshot 2024-12-09 at 5.48.13 AM
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Screenshot 2024-12-09 at 5.48.55 AM

OptionsExpiration

AVGO 135/160 Bull Put Spread
BOIL 28/33 Bull Put Spread
BOIL 60/50 Bear Call Spread
BOIL 65/55 Bear Call Spread
CRM 270/280 Bull Put Spread4
CVS 65/60 Bear Call Spread
NUGT 50/47 Bear Call Spread
SPY 604 Diagonal Put
TQQQ 55/70.5 Bull Put Spread
VXX 50/45 Bear Call Spreads
VXX 51/45 Bear Call Spread
VXX 52/45 Bear Call Spreads
VXX 41 Diagonal Put

DLTR 49 Put
DG 55 Put
SOXS 18.5 Put
INTC 20 Put
FL 17.5 Put

CLF 14.0 Covered Calls
NUGT 47.0 Covered Calls
SOXL 36.0 Covered Call
SOXL 37.0 Covered Call

TQQQ,

I will be calles away on my $85 calls that I sold so will look to reload next week.

SPY Calls and Puts

Sold 1 SPY 12/10/2024 603 Put at $0.44
Sold 1 SPY 12/09/2024 604 Put at $0.27

Sold 1 SPY 12/09/2024 611 Call at $0.25
#OnlySpreads

SPX

Staying a little inside the expected move until something changes.

Rolled SPX Dec 06 2024 6065.0 Puts to Dec 09 2024 6070.0 Puts @ 5.50 credit (18.15 total now)

QQQ

Closed 12/10/24 545 short calls for $.02 debit

SPX-0dte for 12/6/24

#SPX0dte Sold 6065/6095-6100/6130 condors for 10.10, IV 12.09%

Tight leash…. this has been a chase as premium dropping pretty rapidly.

NWL TROW APA CE DVN LYB OXY Stock

Sold my last tiny bit of NWL at $10.24
Sold a bit of TROW at $125.01
#FormerFallingKnife

Added a tiny bit of APA at $21.00
Added a tiny bit of CE at $69.00
Added a tiny bit of DVN at $35.00
Added a tiny bit of LYB at $76.00
Added a tiny bit of OXY at $48.00
#FallingKnife

November Jobs Report

#Jobs — Higher than expected, UE rate rising

Gain of +227,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 214K
Unemployment up 0.1 to 4.2%, as expected
U6 unemployment 7.8%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation down 0.1 at 62.5%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; +4.0% Y/Y

October jobs revised up by +24K to +36K
September jobs revised up by +32K to +255K

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 612/608 Bear Call Spread
1 SPY 612/607 Bear Call Spread

SPY Puts

The relentless move up has kept me from setting up new put Spreads
Sort of forcing this …
Bought 1 SPY Dec 09/2024 594 Put / Sold 1 SPY Dec 06 2024 604 Put at $0.38 Credit

SPCE

#shortputs
#everylittlebithelps
SOLD SPCE 13 DEC 24 6.5 PUT @.36

INTC Put

Sold 1 INTC Dec 06 2024 20.0 Put at $0.06
#TinyTrade

DJT

#onlyspreads closed DJT 1/17/25 34 C/P @ $1.95 Credit

Grabbed for the chicken, got only feathers

BA

Rolling the rest of the short puts up. 160 short calls need all the help they can get.

Rolled BA Dec 20 2024 155.0 Puts to Dec 20 2024 160.0 Puts @ 2.40 credit (8.65 total now)

DVN DOW MCHP CE LYB Stock

Added tiny bits of these at new lows
DVN at $36.00
DOW at $42.00
MCHP at $60.00
CE at $70.00
LYB at $77.00
#SP500 #FallingKnife

VXX Calls

Last one for this week
Sold 1 VXX Dec 06/2024 50/45 Bear Call Spread at $0.14 Credit

SPX

Not a lot of premium left today so rolling early.

Rolled SPX Dec 05 2024 6055.0 Puts to Dec 06 2024 6065.0 Puts 7.25 credit (12.65 total now)

SPX 0-dte trades for 12/5/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 5th 6035/6055-6115/6135 condors for .95, IV 12.37%, deltas -.10 +.05

Bullish leaning. Quiet overnight, so hopefully we stay sideways because this is a tight range. All attention seems to be on BitCoin topping 100k.

SPX LEAPS and 0DTE

Been getting a lot of requests so hopefully this explains things. My first try at something like this.

Critiques or corrections requested. Don’t want to redo anything though. LOL

GLD Expiration

1 GLD 249/246 Bear Call Spread

VXX Calls

Sold VXX Dec 06/2024 52/45 Bear Call Spreads at $0.13 and $0.14
Sold VXX Dec 06/2024 51/45 Bear Call Spreads at $0.14 and $0.15
Offsetting VXX Puts that I’m forced to roll out

SPX

Another round. Selling tomorrow just inside the expected move.

Bought to Close SPX Dec 04 2024 6035.0 Puts @ .40 (sold for 6.65)

Sold SPX Dec 05 2024 6055.0 Puts @ 5.40

VXX Puts

Sold to close VXX Dec 06 2024 40.0 Puts at $0.08. Bought at $0.03 and $0.05

Bought 1 VXX Jan 17 2025 35 Put at $0.26
Paid for it by selling i VXX Dec 06 2024 41.0 Put at $0.33

NWL DVN LYB

#TinyTrades
Sold NWL at $9.82
Bought DVN at $37.00
Bought LYB at $78.66

BOIL SOXS FL Puts

Sold 1 BOIL Dec 06 2024 28/33 Bull Put Spread at $0.18 Credit

Sold 1 SOXS Dec 06 2024 18.5 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 FL Dec 06 2024 17.5 Put at $0.10 (post earnings)
#EveryLittleBitHelps

QQQ

Yesterday Rolled 12/6/24 short calls out to 12/9/24 and up to 530 for $.33 Credit
Today Rolled again 12/9/24 short calls out to 12/10/24 and up to 545 for $.34 Credit

Ridin’ the Bull

SPX 0-dte trades for 12/4/24

#SPX0dte Nine minutes after the open, sold to open $SPX Dec 4th 6005/6025-6095/6115 condors for .95, deltas -.07 +.07, IV 13.97%

Probably need to go back to pre-market sale on this trade, given the low premium and narrow widths. Premium drops very quickly after the open, and it probably will be this way through the holiday.

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 610/606 Bear Call Spread
1 SPY 609/606 Bear Call Spread

SPX

Staying aggressive. IV picks up a little on Thur and Fri in case a roll is needed.

Bought to Close SPX Dec 03 2024 6025.0 Puts @ .35 (sold for 5.00)
Bought to Close SPX Dec 03 2024 6030.0 Put @ .55 (sold for 5.50)

Sold SPX Dec 04 2024 6035.0 Puts @ 6.65