Covered Call Strategy on EW

Good return on the strategy so far…..but it would have been better to just buy the shares. Shares dropped after establishing the CC and I rolled down for credit. When stock came back with strong momentum I have been too conservative selling at the money calls. Should have sold out of the money calls but volatility made me conservative. Can’t complain about the rate of return….EW is a stock I would like to keep.

SPX 1-dte

$SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX April 15th 2705/2725-2940/2960 condors for 1.15, IV: 31.8%, SPX 2841, deltas -.05, +.04.

GS Earnings

#JadeLizards – Going with the ‘ol lizard here. Breakeven outside the expected move and near or outside Jeff’s data. Playing for a move similar to the JPM move…down but inside the expected move.

Sold GS APR 17 2020 165.0/175.0/177.5 Jade Lizards @ 2.55

GILD

#ShortPuts – Nice run in this one today so taking it off a couple weeks early. Will watch for an earnings entry near end of month…

Bought to Close GILD APR 24 2020 70.0 Puts @ .44 (sold for 1.90)

TRADES:

CODX STO 4/17/20 10.0 PUTS @.70 .75 .80. Also short the 12.5, &14.0 Calls, same expiration.

And 1 more SPY

#ShortPuts – An older one that’s been underwater forever. Happy to be out with a nice gain…

Bought to Close SPY APR 17 2020 275.0 Put @ 1.40 (sold for 5.60)

More SPY

#ShortPuts – Feel like I have to book these on a move like today. Looking to get back in for Friday or next week if we ever have a down day…

Bought to Close SPY APR 15 2020 271.0 Put @ .16 (sold for 2.10)
Bought to Close SPY APR 17 2020 260.0 Puts @ .18 (sold for 1.69)

SPY

#ShortPuts – Paying the nickel to get out a day early…

Bought to Close SPY APR 15 2020 265.0 Put @ .05 (sold for 1.55)

A TRADE:

#SHORT PUTS RCL STO 4/17/20 34.0 PUTS @1.24 Laying it off against ITM covered calls @35.0

GS earnings analysis

#Earnings $GS reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Jan. 15, 2020 BO -0.18%
Oct. 15, 2019 BO +0.31%
July 16, 2019 BO +1.86%
April 15, 2019 BO -3.81%
Jan. 16, 2019 BO +9.54% Biggest UP
Oct. 16, 2018 BO +3.01%
July 17, 2018 BO -0.18%
April 17, 2018 BO -1.64%
Jan. 17, 2018 BO -1.86%
Oct. 17, 2017 BO -2.60%
July 18, 2017 BO -2.59%
April 18, 2017 BO -4.71% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 2.69%
Bias -0.24%, small negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 177.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 167.70 to 187.30 (+/- 5.5%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 172.72 to 182.28
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (9.5%): 160.57 to 194.43
Based on DOWN max only (-4.7%): 169.14

Open to requests for other symbols.

ZM put spread

Sold $ZM 5/15 120/110 bull put spread @ 2.00

AMD ROKU Roll

#coveredcalls
$AMD BTC 4/17 52 call and STO 5/1 55 call at .30 added credit
$ROKU BTC 4/17 97 call and STO 5/1 110 call at 4.60 debit

TSLA

Up another 80 today
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/130-billion-tesla-has-unilaterally-decided-tell-its-landlords-itll-be-paying-less-rent

XBI

#ShortPuts – Jumping back in with a starter position outside the expected move.

Sold XBI MAY 15 2020 75.0 Puts @ 1.20

T

#ShortPuts – Pretty aggressive roll up on these the other day so booking now. Hopefully get a pullback into earnings next week…

Bought to Close T APR 17 2020 30.0 Puts @ .21 (sold for 1.85)

JPM

#ShortPuts – Jumping back in outside the expected move and down near recent lows.

Sold JPM MAY 8 2020 85.0 Puts @ 1.20

JPM XBI

#Earnings #ShortPuts – Nice start to the day…

Bought to Close JPM APR 17 2020 92.5/80.0 Bull Put Spreads @ .37 (sold for 1.20 average)

Bought to Close XBI APR 17 2020 75.0 Puts @ .05 (sold for 4.55 total after rollups starting at 60 🙂 )

VIX

Vix futures and VXX below 40 for the first time in a month