#Earnings $GS reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Jan. 15, 2020 BO -0.18%
Oct. 15, 2019 BO +0.31%
July 16, 2019 BO +1.86%
April 15, 2019 BO -3.81%
Jan. 16, 2019 BO +9.54% Biggest UP
Oct. 16, 2018 BO +3.01%
July 17, 2018 BO -0.18%
April 17, 2018 BO -1.64%
Jan. 17, 2018 BO -1.86%
Oct. 17, 2017 BO -2.60%
July 18, 2017 BO -2.59%
April 18, 2017 BO -4.71% Biggest DOWN
Avg (+ or -) 2.69%
Bias -0.24%, small negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 177.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 167.70 to 187.30 (+/- 5.5%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 172.72 to 182.28
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (9.5%): 160.57 to 194.43
Based on DOWN max only (-4.7%): 169.14
Open to requests for other symbols.