#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 3rd 3990/4010-4260/4280 condors for 1.85, SPX at 4144, IV 37.7%, deltas -.06 +.07
Expiring: May 2nd 3900/3925-4265/4290 condors, sold Friday for 1.60.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 3rd 3990/4010-4260/4280 condors for 1.85, SPX at 4144, IV 37.7%, deltas -.06 +.07
Expiring: May 2nd 3900/3925-4265/4290 condors, sold Friday for 1.60.
#SPX1dte Sold To Open just after the closing bell: $SPX May 2nd 3900/3925-4265/4290 condors for 1.60, SPX closed at 4132, IV 27.8%, deltas -.06 +.06. *** 25-wide ***
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 29th 4145/4130 put spreads for 1.85. Condors sold for 1.15 yesterday. Was hoping a 4-for-4 week but alas, it was not to be as my stop was hit below 4167. Also, I mistakenly sold 15-wide rather than my usual 20-wide.
I hope y’all sold the crap out of yesterday’s rally.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 29th 4130/4150-4395/4415 condors for 1.15, SPX 4289, IV 34.8%, deltas -.06 +.06
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 27th 4020 puts for .10.
#SPX1dte After the close, sold to open $SPX Apr 27th 4000/4020-4280/4300 condors for 1.55. IV 38.6%, deltas -.07 +.06
Futures had dropped 20 points since the close.
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 26th 4160/4140 put spreads for .30. Condors sold yesterday for 1.60. Gotta leave my desk for a couple hours, and in the words of Public Enemy, I Can’t Truss It.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 26th 4140/4160-4375/4395 condors for 1.60, SPX at 4293, IV 30.7%, deltas -.05 +.08
First Tuesday series. Small error: I misread my screen, meant to sell the 4380 as the short call so I’m a little riskier on the call side than I’d prefer.
#VIXIndicator A double warning as $VIX closed 25% above Wednesday’s close AND 50% above the the recent low of 18.45 from April 4th.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 25th 4050/4100-4400/4450 condors for 1.50, SPX at 4275, IV 21.35%, deltas -.05 +.04
Insufficient strikes available on the put side to go with anything less than a 50-point spread. So I went a little safer on deltas as risk is higher.
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 22nd 4300/4280 put spreads for 3.00. Condors sold yesterday for 1.40.
$SPX options expiring Tuesdays start next week… not sure when they plan to start Thursdays but maybe someone will look it up.
#SPX1dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 22nd 4280/4300-4475/4495 condors for 1.40, SPX at 4398, IV 24.75%, deltas -.06 +.07
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $%SPX Apr 20th 4355/4375-4515/4535 condors for 1.35, a few minutes after the closing bell. Closing SPX: 4463, IV 19.5%, deltas -.06 +.06
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 18th 4280/4300-4480/4500 condors for 1.20, SPX at 4402, IV 12.45%, deltas -.05 +.06
Expiring: Apr 14th 4350/4370-4510/4530 condors, sold yesterday for 1.20
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX April 14th 4350/4370-4510/4530 condors for 1.20, SPX at 4447, IV 19.5%, deltas -.06 +.06. Markets closed Friday so these are Weekly options expiring Thursday.
Expiring: April 13th 4305/4325-4495/4515 condors, sold yesterday for 1.25
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 11th 4415/4395 put spreads for 1.75. Condors sold for 1.65 on Friday.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 11th 4395/4415-4565/4585 condors for 1.65, SPX at 4499, IV 12.4%, deltas -.07 +.07
Expiring: Apr 8th 4415/4435-4590/4610 condors, sold yesterday for 1.50.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 8th 4415/4435-4590/4610 condors for 1.50, SPX at 4518, IV 20.7%, deltas -.07 +.04
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 6th 4440/4420 put spreads for 2.95. Condors sold yesterday for 1.25
#VIXindicator Another run bites the dust.
#SPX1dte sold to open $SPX Apr 6th 4420/4440-4590/4610 condors for 1.25, SPX ar 4518, IV 20%, deltas -.06 +.06
#SPX1dte Expiring: $SPX April 4th 4455/4475-4600/4620 condors, sold Friday for 1.15.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Apr 4th 4455/4475-4600/4620 condors for 1.15, SPX 4546, 10.2%, delta -.06 +.06
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Apr 1st 4475/4555 put spreads for .35. Condors sold yesterday for 1.20. Normally don’t close before stop is hit, but I don’t have a good feeling about the market today. Also, SPX dropped over 30 points AFTER I sold this yesterday.
#Jobs — Slightly below expectations, but all stats are strong
Gain of +431,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 490K
Unemployment drops to 3.6%, down by 0.2 (vs expected drop of 0.1)
U6 unemployment fell to 6.9%, down by 0.3
Labor force participation 62.4%, up by 0.1
Average hourly earnings up 0.4%, and up 5.6% over 12 months.
February jobs revised up by +72K to +750K
January jobs revised up by +23K to +504K
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX April 1st 4455/4475-4635/4655 condors for 1.20, SPX at 4560, IV 21.2%, deltas -.06 +.06
Expiring: March 31st 4490/4510-4660/4680 condors, sold yesterday for 1.375
#SPX5dte Sold to close $SPX March 31st 4555/4575 call spreads for 9.85. Condors bought for 16.90 on Monday. Puts sold for 1.30 yesterday. So loss of 5.75. What a disappointment. Another Upside Warning that has fizzled out immediately (last one was similar, from Dec 27th, but that time we at least got a few days before a drop). This trade looked like it would survive only a few minutes ago. I have been playing this strategy very conservatively and should have stuck to that approach and sold for 18.00 earlier in the hour.
#SPX5dte Sold to close $SPX March 31st 4545/4525 put spreads for 1.30. Condors bought for 16.90 on Monday. Looking for 20.00 max credit tomorrow on the 4555/4575 call spreads.
#VIXIndicator A likelihood of higher levels in coming days or weeks.
#SPX1dte – at 12:34p PT, Sold to Open $SPX March 30th 4540/4560-4700/4720 condors for 1.15, SPX at 4632, deltas -.07 +.04
#VIXindicator Based on the $VIX close under 21.17, the Downside Warning is canceled. It first went into effect on January 20th, was canceled on Feb 9th, only to be reinstated only two days later on Feb 11th.
The arrow on this chart shows last time it was canceled. (Feb 9th).

So while it is usually a pre-cursor to an extended rally, the better sign will come with an Upside Warning, which will require two more CONSECUTIVE closes below 21.17.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 28th 4410/4430-4590/4610 condors for 1.40, SPX at 4519, OV 12.8%, deltas -.06 +.06
Expiring: March 25th 4405/4425-4585/4605 condors, sold yesterday for 1.45
#SPX5dte Sold to close $SPX March 25th 4445/4465-4475/4495 condors for 17.60. Condors bought yesterday for 16.30. I got the move, so 1.30 profit is good for 24 hours rather than waiting for more at the risk of a chunky loss.
#SPX1dte Sold to open $SPX March 25th 4405/4425-4575/4595 condors for 1.45, SPX at 4510, IV 19.4%, deltas -.06 +.06
#SPX5dte Bought to Open $SPX March 25th 4445/4465-4475/4495 condors for 16.30, with SPX at 4468.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 23rd 4430/4450-450/4600 condors for 1.95, SPX at 4513, IV 20.6%, deltas -.12 +.05.
The put side was an error, meant for the 4430 to be short strike, not the long one. But I will let it ride.
#SPX1dte Expiring: $SPX March 21st 4320/4340-4540/4560 condors, sold Friday for 1.60.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 21st 4320/4340-4540/4560 condors for 1.60, SPX at 4461, IV 15.9%, deltas -.07 +.06
Expiring: March 18th 4270/4290-4490/4510 condors, sold yesterday for 1.30.
Also expiring, ill-fated 4060/4040 bear put spread, when I foolishly thought we’d be headed down. Had I bought the same on call side it would be expiring for 20.00 today.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Mar 18th 4270/4290-4490/4510 condors for 1.35, SPX at 4406, IB 28.1%, deltas -.07 +.06.
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Mar 17th (monthlys) 4445/4465 call spreads for 1.75. Condors sold yesterday for 1.75. Lost commissions but otherwise breakeven… can’t risk overnight gap risk since these settle in the morning.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 17th (monthlys) 4160/4180-4445/4465 condors for 1.75, SPX at 4328, IV 28.8%, deltas -.06 +.06. These stop trading at tomorrow’s close… but settle on Friday morning’s open.
#FOMC A quarter percent increase, to a range of 0.25-0.50%
#SPX #SPX1dte Double loser for me today, clearly wrong about a short-term bearish direction (although still have until Friday on that trade), but also just stopped out on the 1-dte trade. Shouldn’t mess with the Fed, I guess.
Bought to close $SPX March 16th 4385/4405 call spreads for 3.30. Condors sold yesterday for 1.65.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 16th 4105/4125-4385/4405 condors for 1.65. SPX at 4268, IV 36.05%, deltas -.05 +.05
#SPX Taking a low risk trade to downside… The Fed will likely announce IR increase, but who really knows what short term effect will be? I believe we still have lower to go regardless of tomorrow’s decision. Right now we are hitting against the top of the downward channel on the daily chart.
Bought to Open $SPX March 18 4060/4040 put spreads for 1.75.
#SPX1dte Expiring: $SPX Mar 14th 4030/4050-4335/4355 condors, sold Friday for 1.60
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 14th 4030/4050-4335/4355 condors for 1.60, SPX at 4212, IV 24.1%, deltas -.06 +.06
On our way to 4000!
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX March 11th 4110/4130-4355/4375 condors for 1.75, SPX at 4253, IV 31.3%, deltas -.06 +.06
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX March 9th 4300/4320 call spreads for 2.60. Condors sold yesterday for 1.75. Stop level hit at the open as we traded over 4250, and the expected range of today’s move was +/-54.
#SPX Sold to close $SPX May 9th 4320/4340 call spreads for 3.85. Bought yesterday for 2.50. I was away from the computer, so I got filled on the limit order at 9:38am PT, a little before today’s high.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Mar 7th 4115/4135-4425/4445 condors for 1.65, SPX at 4314, IV 24.3%, deltas -.06 +.06
Expiring: Mar 4th 4220/4240-4470/4490 condors, sold yesterday for 1.55.
#Jobs — Above expectations again
Gain of +678,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 444K
Unemployment drops to 3.8%, down by 0.1 (vs. estimate of unchanged)
U6 unemployment at 7.2%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation 62.3%, up by 0.1
Wage growth sluggish at only 0.03%. increase, vs. 0.5% estimate.
December jobs revised up by +78K to +588K
January jobs revised up by +14K to +481K
#SPX1dte Sold to pen $SPX Mar 4th 4220/4240-4470/4490 condors for 1.55, SPX at 4366, IV 31.4%, deltas -.07 +.05
#SPX Sold to close $SPX Mar 2nd 4400/4420 call spreads for 1.95. Bought yesterday for 2.20. This did not work out the way I wanted, as we went lower rather than higher into yesterday’s close. I fortunately got the opening bounce I was looking for, but from the lower level it’s not enough, so I’m closing now to keep the loss small. Theta is a stone-cold killer on options expiring today. I’m not waiting for the small (but possible) chance of a huge spike up based on what Powell says. I’ll save the chips for another day.
#SPX Bought to open $SPX Mar 2nd 4400/4420 call spreads for 2.20, with SPX at 4305. Just a small trade that we will move up into the close, or open higher tomorrow. Looking for a double or triple, not the full 20 spread.
#SPX1dte Expired: $SPX Feb 28th 4190/4210-4490/4510 condors, sold Friday for 1.35
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 28th 4190/4210-4490/4510 condors for 1.35, SPX at 4377, IV 21%, deltas -.06 +.04.
Giving myself a lower delta on call side in case rally continues.
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Feb 25th 4385/4405 call spreads for 3.50. Condors sold yesterday for 1.55. Takes away much of this week’s profit, but that’s the way the ticker bounces.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 25th 4120/4140-4385/4405 condors for 1.55, SPX at 4271, IV 35.6%, deltas -.07 +.06
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Feb 23rd 4185/4165 put spreads for .15. Condors sold yesterday for 1.80.
#SPX1dte Still pretty far away from my stop point but not taking any chances. Bought to close $SPX Feb 22nd 4175/4155 put spreads for .15. Condors sold for 1.80 on Friday.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 22nd 4155/4175-4475/4495 condors for 1.80, SPX at 4356, IV 22.1%, deltas -.06 +.06
Expiring worthless: Feb 18th 4225/4245-4475/4495 condors, sold yesterday for 1.50.
#SPX5dte Expiring for max credit of 20.00: Feb 18th 4460/4440 put spreads. Condors bought for 17.50 on Tuesday.
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#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 18th 4225/4245-4475/4495 condors for 1.50, SPX at 4378, IV 32%, deltas -.06 +.06
#SPX1dte Stop hit at 4494 and then nothing but down movement since then… Bought to close $SPX Feb 17th (monthlys) 4355/4335 put spreads for 4.50. Condors sold for 1.55 yesterday. My closing trade probably means we get the bounce now.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 17th (monthlys) 4335/4355-4565/4585 condors for 1.45, SPX at 4485, IV 22%, deltas -.06 +.06.
Expiring: Feb 16th 4320/4340-4545/4565 condors, sold yesterday for 1.55.
So much for Wednesday’s headfake. #VIXindicator
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 14th 4210/4230-4545/4565 condors for 1.65, SPX at 4427, IV 23.5%, deltas -.06 +.06
Expiring: Feb 11th 4360/4380 – 4595/4615 condors, sold yesterday for 1.55.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 11th 4360/4380-4595/4615 condors for 1.55, SPX at 4494, IV 23%, deltas -.07 +.05
#VIXIndicator So the last UPSIDE warning was kind of a bust… let’s see if we get another shot this time. Two more consecutive $VIX closes below 21.17 will trigger it.
#SPX5dte This is falling under my 5-dte hashtag, but it’s actually 3 trading days to expiry. Since we’re currently trading between 4500 and 4600 and not too close to either, I’m trying this one-off betting we won’t end Monday near here. Hopefully the market will love me on Valentine’s Day .
Bought to open $SPX Feb 14th 4540/4560-4570/4590 condors for 17.20, with SPX at 4567.