Started a tiny new position in LW at $44.44. Decent dividend. Multiyear low
#FallingKnife
Author Archives: Option Iceman
OptionsExpiration
A very good week finally!
DLTR 139/133 Bear Call Spread
DLTR 134/130 Bear Call Spread
DLTR 134/132 Bear Call Spreads
DOW 20.5/22 Bull Put Spread
DOW 21/22 Bull Put Spread
DOW 21/22.5 Bull Put Spreads
EOG 97/100 Bull Put Spread
GLD 415/410 Bear Call Spread (my last GLD position)
NFLX 88/90.5 Bull Put Spread
NFLX 88.5/91 Bull Put Spread
NFLX 100.5/98 Bear Call Spread
NFLX 101.5/100 Bear Call Spread
SOXL 30/32.5 Bull Put Spread
SOXL 48/45.5 Bear Call Spread
TTD 35..5 Diagonal Put
TTD 35.0 Diagonal Put
TTD 40/38 Bear Call Spread
TTD 40/39 Bear Call Spread
VTRS 12.0 Covered Call
BAX 20.5 Covered Call
MSTX 6.0 Covered Call
SPCE 5.0 Covered Call
SPCE 4.5 Covered Calls
DOW 30.0 Covered Call
BAX 22.5 Covered Calls
IP 43.0 Covered Call
#EveryLittleBitHelps
DOW 21.5 Puts
DOW 22.0 Put
TTD 32.5 Put
PSKY 10.0 Put
PSKY 11.0 Put
PSKY 11.5 Put
MSTX 4.0 Put
GIS 45.0 Put
BOIL 22.0 Put
CPRT 35.0 Put
#TinyPuts
DJT Calls
Sold DJT 12/19/2025 17/15.5 Bear Call Spreads at $0.13 and $0.18 Credits
Sold DJT 12/19/2025 17/16 Bear Call Spreads at $0.14 and $0.19 Credits
#1DTE #EveryLittleBitHelps
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 12/17/2025 372/377 Bull Put Spread
1 GLD 12/17/2025 381/385 Bull Put Spread
1 GLD 12/17/2025 382/386 Bull Put Spread
GLD Calls Rolled
Rolled 1 GLD 12/17/2025 410/405 Bear Call Spread to 1 GLD 12/19/2025 415/410 Bear Call Spread at $0.16 Credit
SOXL Puts
Sold 1 SOXL 12/19/2025 28/32 Bull Put Spread at $0.22 Credit
NFLX SLV TTD Spreads
Sold 1 NFLX 12/19/2025 101.5/100 Bear Call Spread at $0.17 Credit
Sold 1 SLV 12/19/2025 65/62.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.18 Credit
Sold 1 TTD 12/19/2025 41/38.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.15 Credit
Sold 1 TTD 12/19/2025 40/39 Bear Call Spread at $0.17 Credit
SOXL DOW EOG DLTR TTD NFLX Spreads
Sold 1 SOXL 12/19/2025 48/45.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.14 Credit
Sold 1 DOW 12/19/2025 20.5/22 Bull Put Spread at $0.17 Credit
Sold 1 DOW 12/19/2025 21/22 Bull Put Spread at $0.15 Credit
Sold 1 EOG 12/19/2025 97/100 Bull Put Spread at $0.30 Credit
Sold 1 TTD 12/19/2025 40/38 Bear Call Spread at $0.18 Credit
Sold 1 NFLX 12/19/2025 100.5/98 Bear Call Spread at $0.17 Credit
Bought DLTR 12/26/2025 139.0 Calls / Sold DLTR 12/19/2025 135.0 Calls for Diagonal Bear Call Spreads of $0.13 and $0.18 Credits
DOW BOIL Puts
Sold DOW 12/19/2025 21.5 Puts at $0.06 and $0.12
Sold 1 BOIL 12/19/2025 22.0 Put at $0.08
#TinyPuts
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 12/15/2025 406/401 Bear Call Spread
DLTR Calls
Sod 1 DLTR 12/19/2025 139/134 Bear Call Spread at $0.84 Credit
GLD Puts
Rolled 1 GLD 12/15/2025 368/373 Bull Put Spread to 1 GLD 12/17/2025 382/386 Bull Put Spread at $0.21 Credit
Rolled 1 GLD 12/15/2025 379/384 Bull Put Spread to 1 GLD 12/17/2025 381/385 Bull Put Spread at $0.19 Credit
BAX MSTX TTD CPRT
Sold BAX 12/19/2025 22.5 Covered Calls at $0.02
Sold 1 MSTX 12/19/2025 6.0 Covered Call at $0.05
#EveryLittleBitHelps
Sold 1 CPRT 12/19/2025 35.0 Put at $0.10
Sold 1 DOW 12/19/2025 22.0 Put at $0.09
Sold 1 MSTX 12/19/2025 4.0 Put at $0.10
Sold 1 TTD 12/16/2025 32.5 Put at $0.05
#TinyPuts
OptionsExpiration
CPB 28.0 Put
CPB 27.5 Put
CPB 27.0 Put
DOW 22.5 Put
BAX 20.5 Covered Call
DOW 29.0 Covered Call
MSTX 6.0 Covered Call
SPCE 5.0 Covered Calls
GLD 375/378 Bull Put Spread
MSTX 8/6.5 Bear Call Spread
PG 137/138 Bull Put Spread
SOXL 57/54 Bear Call Spread
Assignments:
1 BAX 19.0 Covered Call
1 CMG 35.0 Covered Call
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 12/10/2025 373/377 Bull Put Spread
DOW Stock and put
Sold the DOW shares I acquired via a 23.0 Put assignment on Friday at $23.81
Then Sold 1 DOW 12/12/2025 22.5 Put at $0.06
#EveryLittleBitHelps
NVDA AAPL MSFT
These 3 stocks now account for 20% of the entire SP500 index
NFLX Spread
Sold 1 NFLX 12/12/2025 88/91.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.22 Credit
PG stock
Started a tiny new position in PG at $139.00.
#SP500 #FallingKnife
More Spreads
Sold 1 DLTR 12/12/2025 130/127 Bear Call Spread at $0.64 Credit
Sod 1 PG 12/12/2025 135/137 Bull Put Spread at $0.39 Credit
Spreads
Sold 1 SOXL 12/12/2025 57/54 Bear Call Spread at $0.24 Credit
Sold 1 CMG 12/12/2025 38/35 Bear Call Spread at $0.20 Credit
Sold 1 FISV 12/12/2025 71/69 Bear Call Spread at $0.22 Credit
Sold 1 ULTA 12/12/2025 560/565 Bull Put Spread at $0.90 Credit
Sold 1 ULTA 12/12/2025 555/557.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.30 Credit
Sold 1 GLD 12/10/2025 372/377 Bull Put Spread at $0.27 Credit
SPCE MSTX CMG Calls
Sold SPCE 12/12/2025 5.0 Covered Calls at $0.11
Sold 1 MSTX 12/12/2025 6.5 Covered Call at $0.15
Sold 1 CMG 12/12/2025 35.0 Covered Call at $0.31
#EveryLittleBitHelps
OptionsExpiration
TZA 10.0 Covered Calls
SPCE 4.5 Covered Calls
MSTX 6.5 Covered Call
IP 43.0 Covered Call
CMG 34.5 Covered Call
BAX 19.0 Covered Call
CPB 29.0 Put
DOW 22.5 Put
FBTC 66.0 Put
MSTX 3.5 Put
TZA 7.0 Put
Assignments:
1 DOW 23.0 Put
TZA
New low today on the strength of the Russell 2000 index
CPB Put
Sold 1 CPB 12/12/2025 28.0 Put at $0.43
#Earnings next week
GLD Calls
Bought to close 1 GLD 12/05/2025 405.0 Call at $0.01 then
Sold to close 1 GLD 12/05/2025 410.0 Call also at $0.01
Releases $500 margin a day early
DOW Put
Sold 1 DOW 12/05/2025 23.0 Put at $0.07
#TinyPuts #EveryLittleBitHelps
UVXY
New low today
GLD Puts rolled
Closed 1 GLD 12/03/2025 372/377 Bull Put Spread and rolled it to 1 GLD 12/052025 374/379 Bull Put Spread at $0.15 Credit
OKTA Calls closed
Bought to close 1 OKTA 12/05/2025 100.0 Call at $0.01 then
Sold to close 1 OKTA 12/05/2025 105.0 Call at $0.02
MSTX Calls
Bought 1 MSTX 12/12/2025 8.5 Call / Sold 1 12/05/2025 6.5 Call for a Diagonal Bear Call Spread of $0.14 Credit
OKTA Spreads
Sold 1 OKTA 12/05/2025 105/100 Bear Call Spread at $0.28 Credit
Sold 1 OKTA 12/05/2025 62/67 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit
#Earnings tonight
MSTX Calls
Sold 1 MSTX 12/05/2025 7.5/6.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.14 Credit
MSTX SOXL Calls
Sold 1 MSTX 12/05/2025 8.5/6.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.12 Credit
Bought 1 SOXL 12/12/2025 54 Call / Sold 1 12/05/2025 47 Call for a Diagonal Bear Call Spread at $0.20 Credit
ULTA Calls
Sold 1 ULTA 12/05/2025 610/607.50 Bear Call Spread at $0.33 Credit
Crypto trades
Sold 1 FBTC 12/05/2025 66.0 Put at $0.15
Sold 1 MSTX 12/05/2025 3.5 Put at $0.14
#FallingKnife #TinyPuts
Gold vs. Interest rates
If you take CPI data at face value, the current real rate is between 1.6 and 1.25 percent (That’s the Fed funds rate minus the current CPI of 2.9 percent).
If the Federal Reserve cuts its rate by 25 basis points, as expected, the average real rate will fall below 1 percent. Two or three more cuts will result in a negative real rate. And if price inflation continues to increase, negative rates will manifest even faster.
Keep in mind that the true price inflation rate is higher than the CPI indicates. The government revised the CPI formula in the 1990s so that it understates the actual rise in prices. Based on the formula used in the 1970s, CPI is closer to double the official numbers. So, given the current BLS estimate of 2.9 percent, under the old formula, you’d be looking at CPI closer to 6 percent. In other words, real rates may well already be negative.
And that means there is no opportunity cost to holding gold or silver.
This is extremely bullish for precious metals. It explains why their prices have rallied every time the Fed has hinted at cutting. And it’s one of the reasons many analysts believe the gold and silver rally has plenty of legs left.
The truth is (although they would never say it out loud), the central bankers over at the Federal Reserve prefer negative real rates because it softens the government’s massive debt burden.
GLD expiration
1 GLD 11/26/2025 391/390 Bear Call Spread
CPB Puts
Sold 1 CPB 11/28/2025 30.0 Put at $0.17
Sold 1 CPB 11/28/2025 29.5 Put at $0.07
#TinyPuts #EveryLittleBitHelps
MSFT Puts
Sold 1 MSFT 11/28/2025 442.5/447.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.24 Credit
BBY Puts
On Monday sold these low risk puts
Sold 1 BBY 11/28/2025 64.0 Put at $0.18
Sold 1 BBY 11/28/2025 61.0 Put at $0.16
#TinyPuts
GLD expiration
1 GLD 11/24/2025 384/381 Bear Call Spread
MSTX puts and stock
Got assigned on MSTX 5.50 put on Friday
Just dumped the stock at $5.61.
Then Sold 1 MSTX 11/28/2025 5.0 Put at $0.17
#TinyPuts
UVXY Reverse Split
Also split today after close. Will start trading after split on Thursday.
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 11/12/2025 356/362 Bull Put Spread
1 GLD 11/12/2025 358/363 Bull Put Spread
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 11/10/2025 360/364 Bull Put Spread
SP500 Falling knife
Bought a tiny bit more of BAX at $18.00
Bought a tiny bit more of CLX at $108.00
Bought a tiny bit more of KMB at $100.00
All yield north of 4% and are at new lows
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 358/361 Bull put spread
1 GLD 362/366 Bull put spread
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 10/29/2025 383/374 Bear Call Spread
Falling knife stocks
in the SP500 index with over 4% dividends at new lows
Bought a tiny bit of CPT at $97.50
Bought a tiny bit of MAA at $127.00
Bought a tiny bit of HRL at $22.00
Bought a tiny bit of CMCSA at $29.00
Bought a tiny bit of GIS at $47.00
Bought a tiny bit of ARE at $60.00
Bought a tiny bit of CAG at $17.50
Bought a tiny bit of CLX at $113.00
Bought a tiny bit of KMB at $117.00
FI
Nibbling on a spec trade.
Bought a tiny bit of FI at $75.00 and $76.00 pre-market. Previous close was $126.22
A real #FallingKnife
CLX KMB
Lightened up on a tiny bit of KMB at $121.68 (I have a bull put spread for Friday) while adding a tiny bit more of CLX at $115.00
#FallingKnife
Tuesday spreads
Sold 1 KMB 10/31/2025 114/116 Bull Put Spread at $0.30 Credit
Sold 1 TMO 10/31/2025 542.5/545 Bull Put Spread at $0.40 Credit
Sold 1 BMY 10/31/2025 38.5/40 Bull Put Spread at $0.15 Credit
Sold 1 CMG 10/31/2025 34/36 Bull Put Spread at $0.21 Credit
SPY/VIX
One of those odd days where both SPY/SPX and VXX/VIX are all up.
ALSO A LARGER THAN NORMAL NUMBER OF NEW 52-WEEK LOWS IN THE SP500 with the overall index at an all-time high
WTAF???
Tuesday trades
Bought to close 1 UPS 10/31/2025 73.0 Put at $0.01 (sold yesterday)
With the freed up buying power:
Sold 1 CMG 10/31/2025 34.5 Put at $0.12
Sold 1 CNC 10/31/2025 27.0 Put at $0.15
Sold 1 IP 10/31/2025 43.0 Put at $0.20
Also sold CE 11/21/2025 65.0 Covered Calls at $0.20
#EveryLittleBitHelps
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 10/27/2025 425/420 Bear Call Spread
Monday trades
Sold 1 BMY 10/31/2025 41.0 Put at $0.24
Sold 1 BMY 10/31/2025 40.0 Put at $0.16
Sold 1 BMY 10/31/2025 39.0 Put at $0.07
Sold 1 BAX 10/31/2025 19.0 Put at $0.05
Sold 1 OXY 10/31/2025 40.5 Put at $0.07
Sold 1 UPS 10/31/2025 73.0 Put at $0.16
#TinyPuts
For next week
Sold 1 BAX 10/31/2025 26.0 Covered Call at $0.20
Sold 1 BAX 10/31/2025 20.0 Put at $0.15
Sold 1 CMCSA 10/31/2025 26.0 Put at $0.09
OptionsExpiration
GLD 353/358 Bull Put Spread
GLD 366/370 Bull Put Spreads
GLD 367/372 Bull Put Spreads
SOXL 28.5/32 Bull Put Spread
KVUE 17.0 Covered Call
SPCE 5.0 Covered Calls
DOW 18.5 Puts
DOW 19.0 Put
F 11.0 Put
INTC 29.5 Put
KVUE 13.5 Puts
LUV 24.0 Put
T 24.0 Put
T 24.5 Puts
VXX Up
as is SPY and GLD (big time)
What could possibly go wrong!
Thursday/Friday trades
Yesterday:
Sold 1 OXY 10/03/2025 43.5 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 BMY 10/03/2025 44.0 Put at $0.09
Today:
Sold out of my tiny positions in PFE at $27.50 and $27.66
Sold out of my tiny positions in ARE at $85.01 (after capturing the last dividend)
Sold 1 TZA 10/10/2025 7.5 Put at $0.14
Sold 1 KVUE 10/10/2025 15.5 Put at $0.19
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 10/01/2025 360/359 Bear Call Spread
Tuesday Spreads
Keeping the strike prices close together to lower the risk
Sold 1 PSKY 10/03/2025 22/20.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.20 Credit
Sold 1 PSKY 10/03/2025 22.5/21 Bear Call Spread at $0.14 Credit
Sold 1 GLD 10/03/2025 362/361 Bear Call Spread at $0.15 Credit
Sold 1 GLD 10/01/2025 360/359 Bear Call Spread at $.015 Credit #1DTE
Sold 1 FI 10/03/2025 124/125 Bull Put Spread at $0.17 Credit
Sold 1 CL 10/03/2025 77/78 Bull Put Spread at $0.15 Credit
#EveryLittleBitHelps
OptionsExpiration
I would have made more but at 3:30 Tasty trade took it upon themselves to close out the short side of spreads that were about to expire:
Bought 1 UPS 82 Put at $0.01 – Low for the day 82.64
Bought 2 KMB 121 Puts at $0.02 – low for the day 121.48
Bought 1 TZA 8 Put at $0.01 – low for the day 8.23
Bought 2 GEV 585 Puts at $0.05 – low for the day 598.11
Bought 2 GEZV 575 Puts at $0.05 – low for the day 598.11
With Commissons/fees, that cost me $27.00 in additional profit
These were never in the money
Expired:
OKLO 85/90 Bull Put Spread
SOXL 35 Diagonal Call
PSKY 22.5/20 Bear Call Spread
PSKY 23/21 Bear Call Spread
BOIL 22.5 Put
BOIL 23.0 Put
CAG 18.0 Put
CMCSA 30.5 Put
CMG 37.0 Put
DOW 21.5 Put
HAL 21.0 Put
KVUE 16.0 Put
KVUE 14.0 Put
KVUE 13.0 Put
TTD 39.0 Put
TZA 7.5 Put
SPCE 4.5 Covered Calls
TZA 10.0 Covered Calls
Assignments:
1 KVUE 17.0 Put
1 HAL 24.0 Covered Call – vs stock acquired via put assignment on Apr 04 at $23.44
Thursday Spreads
Sold GEV 09/26/2025 580/585 Bull Put Spreads at $0.24 and $0.57 Credits
Sold GEV 09/26/2025 570/575 Bull Put Spreads at $0.14 and $0.48 Credits
Sold KMB 09/26/2025 120/121 Bull Put Spreads at $0.15 and $0.30 Credits
Sold 1 OKLO 09/26/2025 85/90 Bull Put Spread at $0.14 Credit
Sold 1 UPS 09/26/2025 81/82 Bull Put Spread at $0.14 Credit
#1DTE #OnlySpreads
GLD Expiration
1 GLD 09/24/2025 354/350 Bear Call Spread
1 GLD 09/24/2025 355/351 Bear Call Spread
1 GLD 09/24/2025 356/352 Bear Call Spread
Monday Spreads
Sold 1 PSKY 09/26/2025 22.5/20 Bear Call Spread at $0.27 Credit
Sold 1 GLD 09/24/2025 350/354 Bear Call Spread at $0.24 Credit #2DTE
Sold 1 TZA 09/26/2025 7.5/8 Bull Put Spread at $0.18 Credit
#OnlySpreads
Monday trades
Sold 1 KVUE 09/26/2025 16.5 Put at $0.26
Sold 1 KVUE 09/26/2025 16.0 Put at $0.20
Sold 1 TTD 09/26/2025 39.0 Put at$0.06
Sold 1 HAL 09/26/2025 21.0 Put at $0.07
Sold 1 CMG 09/26/2025 37.0 Put at $0.09
Sold 1 CMCSA 09/26/2025 30.5 Put at $0.12
Sold SPCE 09/26/2025 4.5 Covered Calls at $0.02
Sold 1 HAL 09/26/2025 24.0 Covered Call at $0.03
#EveryLittleBitHelps
OptionsExpiration
CLF 8.5/10 Bull Put Spread
CNC 37/33.5 Bear Call Spread
CNC 37/34.5 Bear Call Spread
SOXL 21/26.5 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 75/85 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 80/86.5 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 81/87 Bull Put Spread
CAG 20.0 Covered Call
CE 65.0 Covered Call
CE 60.0 Covered Call
CE 55.0 Covered Call
HAL 24.0 Covered Call
SPCE 4.5 Covered Calls
VTRS 12.0 Covered Call
CMCSA 31.0 Put
DOW 23.0 Put
GIS 45.0 Put
JHX 17.5 Put
LYB 50.0 Put
STZ 130.0 Put
TZA 8.0 Puts
TZA 7.5 Put
WU 8.0 Put
STZ DOW TZA Puts
TQQQ SOXL TZA post Fed
Sold 1 TQQQ 09/19/2025 80/86.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.14 Credit
Sold 1 TQQQ 09/19/2025 81/87 Bull Put Spread at $0.15 Credit
Sold 1 SOXL 09/19/2025 21/26.5 Bull Put Spread at $0.16 Credit
Sold TZA 09/19/2025 8.0 Puts at $0.18
Monday Trades
Sold SPCE Sep 19 2025 4.5 Covered Calls at $0.02
Sold 1 HAL Sep 19 2025 24.0 Covered Call at $0.04
Sold TZA Sep 26 2025 10.0 Covered Calls at $0.08 and $0.09
#EveryLittleBitHelps
Sold 1 CAG Sep 19 2025 18.5 Put at $0.10
Sold 1 CMCSA Sep 19 2025 31.0 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 GIS Sep 19 2025 45.0 Put at $0.10
Sold 1 WU Sep 26 2025 8.0 Put at $0.05
#TinyPuts
OptionsExpiration
After all rolls on call spreads
EXPIRED:
AAP 50/55 Bull Put Spread
CLF 9.5/10.5 Bull Put Spread
PLTR 135/140 Bull Put Spread
PLTR 145/155 Bull Put Spread
SOXL 16/22.5 Bull Put Spread
BOIL 27.0 Put
LCID 14.0 Put
CHWY 32.0 Put
CMG 37.5 Put
CNC 27.5 PUT
KR 60.0 Put
BAX 26.0 Covered Call
CAG 20.0 Covered Call
DOW 27.0 Covered Call
HAL 24.0 Covered Call
SPCE 4.5 Covered Calls
TZA 10.0 Covered Calls
ASSIGNMENTS:
1 CNC 33.0 Covered Call – vs. Assigned cost of $31.35 on 07/18
PSKY Calls
Sold 1 PSKY 09/12/2025 18.5/17.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.23 Credit
Sold 1 PSKY 09/12/2025 19/18 Bear Call Spread at $0.17 Credit
#1DTE
CNC CHWY CMG CAG
Sold 1 CNC 09/12/2025 36/33.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.20 Credit
(also short 1 CNC 33.0 Covered Call)
Sold 1 CHWY 09/12/2025 32.0 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 CMG 09/12/2025 37.5 Put at $0.08
Sold 1 CNC 09/12/2025 27.5 Put at $0.12
Sold 1 CAG 09/19/2025 20.0 Covered Call at $0.15
#EveryLittleBitHelps