#FallingKnife stocks today – $COP

#FallingKnife stocks today – $COP $MUR

#52weeklows

$UVXY #CoveredCall #IRA – Rolled…

$UVXY #CoveredCall #IRA – Rolled forward my UVXY Apr 23.0 Call one week for an 0.88 Credit

$SVXY #ShortPuts – a couple…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – a couple of small trades to begin replacing positions expiring today.
Sold 1 SVXY May 19 2017 85.0 Put @ 1.28
Sold 1 SVXY May 26 2017 85.0 Put @ 1.45

$VIX – http://www.businessinsider.com/mystery-trader-50-cent-cant-stop-betting-on-a-stock-market-shock-2017-4?r=UK&IR=T

$VIX – http://www.businessinsider.com/mystery-trader-50-cent-cant-stop-betting-on-a-stock-market-shock-2017-4?r=UK&IR=T

$MRO ShortCalls – Bought to…

$MRO ShortCalls – Bought to close MRO JUL 21 2017 25.0 Calls @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower and don’t expire for 3 months.
Originally sold on 12/01/16 @ 0.87

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought…

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought to close URI Apr 21 2017 105.0 Puts @ 0.05. They won’t trade any lower. Sold these yesterday.

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought…

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought to close URI Apr 21 2017 104.0 Puts @ 0.05. They won’t trade any lower. Sold these yesterday.

$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought…

$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Bought to close AXP Apr 21 2017 72.0 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower. Sold these yesterday.

$SVXY $UVXY – Prior pivot…

$SVXY $UVXY – Prior pivot points to watch for a potential breakout (prices are approximate)
$UVXY Late Feb High 23.85/ Late Mar High 20.18 (followed by new low of 15.16)/Mid Apr High 21.75
$SVXY Late Feb Low 118.40/ Late Mar Low 127(followed by new high of 146)//Mid Apr Low 120.19

So a move in UVXY above 22 would signal caution and open the door for a bigger move.
The expectation is that SVXY breaks below the 118/120 band.

For UVXY, except for 2-3 day scalping trades like I did today, I’d keep selling weeklys in the $40-42 strike area, and for longer trades I’d stay at the 60 strike.

The sweet spot for Weekly Put sales in SVXY continues to be in the 75 to 85 strike price area. Selling too close in the 90-105 area could leave you exposed to a sudden downdraft in SVXY. It has moved 10 points lower in two days 2 or 3 times since late March.
Strike prices beyond the weeklys should be in the 60’s, although they are illiquid and not very high priced. Maybe it’s better to keep the powder dry and concentrate on the weeklys 5 and 6 weeks out.

Just my humble opinion.
Now watch volatility collapse. Just what I don’t want 😉

$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation – two…

$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation – two more trades with the stock at 20
Sold UVXY Apr 21 2017 22.5 Calls @ 0.26
Sold UVXY Apr 21 2017 23.0 Calls @ 0.22
Very slight backwardation in the VIX futures
http://vixcentral.com/

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold…

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold URI Apr 21 2017 104.0 Puts @ 0.30 with the stock at 119.26

$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold…

$AXP #ShortPuts #Earnings – Sold AXP Apr 21 2017 72.0 Puts @ 0.29 with the stock at 75.69

$UVXY #CoveredCall #Rollout – Rolled…

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Rollout – Rolled 1 UVXY Apr 21 2017 22.5 Call out one more week for 1.04 Credit.
Better than the 0.80 credit I got last week

$QCOM #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold QCOM…

$QCOM #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold QCOM APR 21 2017 49.0 Puts @ 0.29 with the stock at 52.33

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold URI…

$URI #ShortPuts #Earnings Sold URI APR 21 2017 105.0 Puts @ 0.35 with the stock at 119.59

$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation- Sold UVXY…

$UVXY #ShortCalls #Speculation- Sold UVXY Apr 21 2017 22.0 Calls @ 0.26
The 2 week high on the stock is 21.75 and they can always be rolled.

$TSO #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Thanks…

$TSO #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Thanks @hcgdavis for pointing this one out
Sold 1 TSO Jun 2 2017 68.5 Put @ 1.09
Sold 1 TSO Aug 18 2017 65.0 Put @ 65.0 Put @ 1.72

$NUGT #ShortPuts #OptionLadder – Selling…

$NUGT #ShortPuts #OptionLadder – Selling more to force DUST up 🙂
Sold NUGT Jun 2 2017 7.5 Puts @ 0.49
Sold NUGT Jun 2 2017 7.0 Puts @ 0.36

$GWW $APA $IBM – #FallingKnife…

$GWW $APA $IBM $CVX – #FallingKnife candidates today

$VFC #ShortPuts – Bought to…

$VFC #ShortPuts – Bought to close 1 VFC May 19 2017 45.0 Put @ 0.05.
It won’t trade any lower and I’m out a month early.
A former #FallingKnife trade. Originally Sold @ 1.55 on 2/7/17
This is how these trades are supposed to work 🙂

$NUGT #ShortPuts – Sold NUGT…

$NUGT #ShortPuts – Gold miners are weak after a big run last week. Glad I sold some of my NUGT Friday.
Sold NUGT MAY 12 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.32
Sold NUGT MAY 19 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.41
Sold NUGT MAY 26 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.52
Sold NUGT MAY 26 2017 7.5 Puts @ 0.39

$ISRG #ShortPuts #Earning – covered…

$ISRG #ShortPuts #Earning – covered two sets of puts sold yesterday. They won’t trade any lower.
Bought to close ISRG Apr 21 2017 680.0 and 685.0 Puts @ 0.05

$VIX $VVIX – a little…

$VIX $VVIX – a little light reading for VIX followers
Forecasting a Volatility Tsunami
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2949847

$VIX – The small rally…

$VIX – The small rally lasted for just an hour or two. Then it got crushed. Apr futures will be gone tomorrow, and so will backwardation.
www.vixcentral.com
I’m glad I sold some UVXY calls today while I had the chance.

$ISRG #ShortStrangle #Earning – Sold…

$ISRG #ShortStrangles #Earning – Sold ISRG APR 21 2017 830.0 Calls @ 0.65. Along with the ISRG APR 21 2017 685.0 Puts @ 0.55, that makes the total strangle proceeds 1.20.

My covering orders are already in at a nickel.

$QCOM $APA – #FallingKnife candidates…

$QCOM $APA $GWW – #FallingKnife candidates today

$UVXY #ShortCalls – Sold 1…

$UVXY #ShortCalls – Sold 1 UVXY Jun 2 2017 40.0 Call @ 1.50. Highest available strike.

$NUGT #ShortPuts #IRA – Sold…

$NUGT #ShortPuts #IRA – Sold NUGT May 12 2017 8.0 Puts @ 0.25 for an account that just got most of their NUGT called away at 10.50 on Friday.

$ISRG #ShortPuts #Earning – Sold…

$ISRG #ShortPuts #Earning – Sold ISRG APR 21 2017 685.0 Puts @ 0.55

Then lowered the strike price and Sold ISRG APR 21 2017 680.0 Puts @ 0.55

$UVXY $ShortCalls – Bought to…

$UVXY $ShortCalls – Bought to close a bunch of UVXY Apr 21 2017 41.0 Calls @ 0.01.
Replaced them with the following calls at the top of the chain:
Sold UVXY May 5 2017 42.0 Calls @ 0.44
Sold UVXY May 12 2017 42.0 Calls @ 0.85
Sold UVXY May 19 2017 42.0 Calls @ 1.03

$NFLX #ShortStrangle #Earnings – Out…

$NFLX #ShortStrangles #Earnings – Out in one day. They won’t trade any lower
Bought to close NFLX APR 21 2017 167.5 Calls @ 0.01
Bought to close NFLX APR 21 2017 124.0 Puts @ 0..01

$NFLX – little reaction to…

$NFLX – little reaction to earnings. – All short strangles will work.
My buy orders are already in at a penny

$UVXY $SVXY $VIX – volatility…

$UVXY $SVXY $VIX – volatility is rolling over as expected (see my earlier post). I got a few trades off.
Sold 1 UVXY May 19 2017 42.0 Call @ 1.20
Sold 1 UVXY Jun 2 2017 40.0 Call @ 1.64

Sold 1 SVXY Jun 2 2017 70.0 Put @ 1.21
Sold SVXY Sep 15 2017 50.0 Puts @ 0.97

#Earnings this week Mon $NFLX…

#Earnings this week
Mon $NFLX $UAL
Tue $BAC $GS $IBM $JNJ
Wed $QCOM $MS $AXP
Thu $VZ $V $BX
Fri $GE $HONEarnings

$NFLX #ShortCalls #Earnings – Sold…

$NFLX #ShortCalls #Earnings – edit: Turned this into a strangle with the stock at 146.76
Sold NFLX APR 21 2017 167.5 Calls @ 0.40
Sold NFLX APR 21 2017 124.0 Puts @ 0.40

What earnings looks like – $NFLX reports today – 4/21 and 4/28 implied volatility skew from @LiveVolPro @CBOE

NFLX

$VIX – I found something…

$VIX – I found something interesting over the weekend.
$SPY 1, 5 and 20 day Forward returns when $VIX closed above upper BB 4 days in a row. 27 prior instances. $VXX $UVXY

VIXaboveBB

$UAA #ShortPuts #IRA – Bought…

$UAA #ShortPuts #IRA – Bought to close UAA Apr 21 2017 17.5 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower and it frees up cash for other trades that might expire this week.
A former #FallingKnife trade.

$CVX $TRIP #FallingKnife trades today

$CVX $TRIP $TSCO #FallingKnife trades today

$DUST #ShortPuts – Sold 1…

$DUST #ShortPuts – Sold 1 DUST JAN 19 2018 20.0 Put @ 6.40. I have a number of Jan 90 Calls already short.

#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Apr13 – A…

#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Apr13 – A rather light week for expirations but very profitable.
$SVXY and $UVXY weekly positions are all set up for the next 5-6 weeks, more $DUST Puts expired, and $NUGT stock was called away at a nice profit.

The big Monthly expiration is next week plus earnings trades are on the horizon.

— Expirations —
DUST (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 22.5 Puts
NUGT (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 8 Puts

SVXY (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 80 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 85 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 105 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 110 Puts

UVXY (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 35 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 40 Calls

— Assignments —
NUGT (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 10 Calls (Covered)
NUGT (Weekly) Apr 13 2017 10.5 Calls (Covered)

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #IRA #Rollup -…

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #IRA #Rollup
Bought to close UVXY Apr 13 2017 21.0 Call/ Sold UVXY Apr 21 23.0 Call @ 0.80 Credit.
Plus added 2 points to the strike price.

$UVXY #ShortCalls #Afterhours – Sold…

$UVXY #ShortCalls #Afterhours – Sold 1 UVXY May 19 2017 40.0 Call @ 1.91

$SVXY #ShortPuts – #Afterhours fills…

$SVXY #ShortPuts#Afterhours fills
Sold 1 SVXY May 12 2017 75.0 Put @ 1.29
Sold 1 SVXY May 19 2017 75.0 Put @ 1.53
Sold 1 SVXY Jun 2 2017 75.0 Put @ 1.95

$SVXY #ShortStrangle – I’m switching…

$SVXY #ShortStrangles – I’m switching to some strangle trades to boost total return on margin.
Sold SVXY Apr 28 2017 150.0 Calls/75.0 Puts @ 0.63 total credit. Only two weeks out.

SVXY #ShortPuts #OptionLadder – sold…

SVXY #ShortPuts #OptionLadder – sold all these today at life of contract highs with SVXY @ 122
SVXY May 12 2017 75.0 Puts @ 1.17
SVXY May 12 2017 80.0 Puts @ 1.59
SVXY May 12 2017 85.0 Puts @ 1.92
SVXY May 12 2017 90.0 Puts @ 2.61

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Rollup #IRA –…

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Rollup #IRA – Bought back my Apr13 21.0 Calls and Sold Apr 21 22.5.0 Calls @ 0.85 Credit.
Not waiting for these to expire(if they even do) and then trying to sell the new ones on Monday.

$DUST #ShortPuts – Bought to…

$DUST #ShortPuts – Bought to close DUST Apr 13 2017 24.0 Puts @ 0.05 to avoid possible assignment.
At 1:00 the stock was at 23.66.

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Rollup #IRA -…

$UVXY #CoveredCalls #Rollup #IRA – Bought back my Apr13 21.5 Calls at a gain and Sold Apr 21 23.0 Calls @ 0.85 Credit.
Not waiting for these to expire and trying to sell the new one’s on Monday.

$NUGT #ShortCalls – Sold a…

$NUGT #ShortCalls – Sold a few more this morning
Sold NUGT May 5 2017 14.0 Calls @ 0.39
Sold NUGT May 12 2017 14.0 Calls @ 0.57

$TSCO #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…

$TSCO #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold TSCO OCT 20 2017 55.0 Puts @ 1.25

#Nikkei 225 Chart shows a…

#Nikkei 225 Chart shows a clear break of support. It could only be the first of the big indexes to break down
http://www.finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=NKD&p=d1

$NUGT #ShortCalls – Sold NUGT…

$NUGT #ShortCalls – Sold NUGT Sep 15 2017 18.0 Calls @ 1.29. Highest strike.

$DUST #ShortPuts #Rollout – going…

$DUST #ShortPuts #Rollout – going out a few weeks and down a couple 0f strike prices.
Bought to close DUST APR 13 2017 29.0 Puts/Sold DUST MAY 5 2017 27.0 Puts for 0.20 Credit
Last week at this time it looked liked this week’s puts had a chance of expiring.

$TSLA – Dan Fitzpatrick on…

$TSLA – Dan Fitzpatrick on OMM finally posts a trade I agree with
Sell TSLA May 2017 $320/$330 Bear Call Spread for $2.80 or better when TSLA was trading at 303.88. Stop: 318 Stock Above (Stop at 318 )

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY May 5 2017 90.0 Puts @ 1.54 with the stock at 123.
Assignment would be below the 2017 low on the stock.

$NUGT #CoveredCalls #OptionLadder – partially…

$NUGT #CoveredCalls #OptionLadder – partially covered with long stock, with a few short puts thrown in. All with the stock at 11.
Sold NUGT MAY 5 2017 13.5 Calls @ 0.37
Sold NUGT MAY 12 2017 14.0 Calls @ 0.43
Sold NUGT MAY 19 2017 15.0 Calls @ 0.40
Sold NUGT MAY 26 2017 15.5 Calls @ 0.43
Sold NUGT JUN 16 2017 16.0 Calls @ 0.64
Sold NUGT SEP 15 2017 18.0 Calls @ 1.25

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Sold SVXY May 12 2017 65.0 Puts @ 0.53 with the stock at 122.70. This is a gift!

$VXX #ShortCalls – Sold VXX…

$VXX #ShortCalls – Sold VXX May 12 2017 30.0 Calls @ 0.24. VXX is half as volatile as UVXY.
Highest strike.

$UVXY #ShortCalls #VXXGame – Sold…

$UVXY #ShortCalls #VXXGame – Sold UVXY May 5 2017 40.0 Calls @ 0.75. New Highest strike.
Strike 40’s are now available for all weekly expirations.

$UVXY #ShortCalls #ClassicVXXGame – Sold…

$UVXY #ShortCalls #ClassicVXXGame – Sold 1 UVXY JAN 18 2019 60.0 Call @ 7.30

$SVXY #ShortPuts – filled these…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – filled these on the drop to 123 in SVXY
Sold 1 SVXY Apr 28 2017 87.0 Put @ 1.16
Sold 1 SVXY May 5 2017 83.0 Put @ 1.22
Sold 1 SVXY May 19 2017 76.0 Put @ 1.52
Sold 1 SVXY May 19 2017 77.0 Put @ 1.61

$SVXY #ShortPuts #IRA – covered…

$SVXY #ShortPuts #IRA – covered some of this weeks Puts to get buying power.
Bought to close SVXY APR 13 2017 85.0 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower.
Replaced them with:
SVXY MAY 5 2017 82.0 Puts @ 1.05
SVXY MAY 12 2017 75.0 Puts @ 0.95
SVXY MAY 12 2017 70.0 Puts @ 0.75

$UVXY #ShortCalls #VXXGame – staying…

$UVXY #ShortCalls #VXXGame – staying small at the top of the chain with the stock at 20.44
Sold 1 UVXY MAY 12 2017 30.0 Call @ 2.14
Sold 1 UVXY MAY 19 2017 39.0 Call @ 1.59
Sold 1 UVXY MAY 26 2017 30.0 Call @ 2.63

$SVXY #ShortPuts #IRA – No…

$SVXY #ShortPuts #IRA – No need to go out any farther than the weeklys with the stock at 125.
Sold SVXY May 5 2017 83.0 Puts @ 1.05
Sold SVXY May 12 2017 80.0 Puts @ 1.05
Sold SVXY May 19 2017 67.0 Puts @ 0.67
Sold SVXY May 26 2017 65.0 Puts @ 0.65

$NUGT #CoveredCalls #IRA – Sold…

$NUGT #CoveredCalls #IRA – Sold NUGT Apr 13 2017 10.5 Calls @ 0.28. These gapped up this morning.

$UVXY #ShortCalls – new weeklys,…

$UVXY #ShortCalls – new weeklys, new strikes – with the stock at 18.50.
Sold UVXY May 12 2017 30.0 Calls @ 1.37
Sold UVXY May 26 2017 30.0 Calls @ 1.76

$SVXY #ShortPuts – new weeklys,…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – new weeklys, new strikes – with the stock at 131.
Sold SVXY May 26 2017 70.0 Puts @ 0.80

$SVXY #ShortPuts – new weeklys,…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – new weeklys, new strikes – with the stock at 135.
Sold 1 SVXY May 26 2017 85.0 Put @ 1.60
Sold 1 SVXY May 26 2017 80.0 Put @ 1.20

$ALXN #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…

$ALXN #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 ALXN Aug 18 2017 90.0 Put @ 2.45

#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Apr7 – first…

#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Apr7 – first expiration in quarter 2.
Everything expired. No Assignments

— Expirations —
DUST (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 22.5 Puts
DUST (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 38 Calls

NUGT (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 7.5 Puts
NUGT (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 8 Puts
NUGT (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 10 Calls (Covered)
NUGT (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 11 Calls (Covered)

SVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 85 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 86.5 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 110 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 117 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 146 Calls

UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 17.5 Calls (Covered)
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 18 Calls (Covered)
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 18.5 Calls (Covered)
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 19 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 19.5 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 20 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 31 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 35 Calls
UVXY (Weekly) Apr 7 2017 40 Calls

$UVXY #ShortCalls – Bought to…

$UVXY #ShortCalls – Bought to close UVXY APR 7 2017 17.5 Calls @ 0.05 to avoid possible assignment with the stock at 17.50 at the close

$VIX – the 1st and…

$VIX – the 1st and 2nd month futures are in backwardation. Further VIX rallies are likely.
http://vixcentral.com/

$NUGT #CoveredCalls #Rollout – repeating…

$NUGT #CoveredCalls #Rollout – repeating my weekly roll in an IRA account. The best one so far.
Bought to close NUGT Apr 7 2017 10.0 Calls @ 0.02
Sold NUGT Apr 13 2017 10.0 Calls @ 0.35 – only 4 trading days next week as the options expire on Thursday.

$ALXN #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…

$ALXN #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold ALXN Aug 18 2017 85.0 Puts @ 1.65 with the stock at 114

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Bought to…

$SVXY #ShortPuts – Bought to close SVXY APR 21 2017 65.0 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower and I’m out two weeks early. Sold 02/24/17 @ 0.87
Creating a little dry powder in case world events cause the VIX to spike again.