NVDA

One add.

Sold NVDA Aug 16 2024 105.0 Put @ 3.45

SPX

Held out as long as I could for the theta. Roll out a day and down a strike now. Love a flat day!

Rolled SPX Jun 24 2024 5465.0 Puts to Jun 25 2024 5460.0 Puts @ 5.75 credit (24.70 total now)

SPX 0-dte trades 6/24/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Jun 24th 5405/5425-5505/5525 condors for 1.05, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 15.65%

#spxah

Earnings 6/24 – 6/28

Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.58.47 PM

Economic Calendar 6/24 – 6/28

Lotsa stuff dropping Friday

Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.51.47 PM
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.52.25 PM
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.53.49 PM
Screenshot 2024-06-23 at 6.54.44 PM

OptionsExpiration

EXPIRED:
ALB 90 Put
NVDA 121 Put
PARA 9.5 Put
SQQQ 8 Put
TSLA 165 Put
BMY 43.5 Covered Call
BMY 44.5 Covered Call
BOIL 23 Covered Calls
BOIL 25 Covered Call
SBUX 85 Covered Call
VFC 14.5 Covered Call
GME 10/23 Bull Put Spread
GME 48/40 Bear Call Spread

ASSIGNMENTS:
GILD 69 Covered Call (glad to get my cash back)

SPX

Out to Monday and down a strike.

Rolled SPX Jun 21 2024 5470.0 Puts to Jun 24 2024 5465.0 Puts @ 4.25 credit (18.95 total now)

NVDA

One more a little closer in. Plenty of rolling time before earnings.

Sold NVDA Jul 19 2024 115.0 Put @ 2.59

TLT

Doubling up the divvy again.

Bought to Close TLT Jun 21 2024 94.0 Calls @ .03 (sold for .45)

Sold TLT Jul 19 2024 97.0 Calls @ .42
Sold TLT Jul 19 2024 98.0 Calls @ .29

NVDA

Could’ve done a lot better earlier but missed it. Just a little starter at the expected move the week before earnings.

Sold NVDA Aug 16 2024 110.0 Put @ 2.70

TQQQ,

STO August 2, 60 puts at .95

TQQQ,

My June 21 40 puts and 50 puts will expire at zero today.

SPX 0-dte trades 6/21/24

#SPX0dte As posted below, at last night’s close I sold to open $SPX Jun 21st 5395/5415-5530/5550 condors for 1.15, IV 14.91%, deltas -.07 +.06. This morning, IV is 21.92%, and a similar delta condor is going for the same or more. The night-before entry didn’t help me. It may be the 9:45 PMI data, but traders knew that was coming yesterday too. Overnight moves were minor.

#SPXah Last night at 9:07pm PT sold to Open $SPX 5445/5475-5480/5510 condors for 18.35. At the overnight low (about 1:40am PT) it got up to 19.43. Now as we are currently rising in premarket, it is 17.70. I will close this before PMI. High to low swing overnight was over 20 points, so I’m glad to see it only got a buck in the hole. However, the IV remains high this morning so decay has been minimal.

TQQQ,

STO July 26, 60 puts at .75

GME WBA GILD Calls

Sold 1 GME Jun 21 2024 48/40 Bear Call Spread at $0.07 Credit
Paired with one of the Diagonal Put Spreads I sold yesterday

Sold 1 GILD Jun 28 2024 69.0 Covered Call at $0.23
Sold WBA Jun 28 2024 20.5 Covered Calls at $0.04
Replacing similar Calls that expired last week.
#EveryLittleBitHelps

ALB NVDA TSLA Puts

Sold 1 ALB Jun 21 2024 90.0 Put at $0.08.
Sold 1 NVDA Jun 21 2024 121.0 Put at $0.05.
Sold 1 TSLA Jun 21 2024 165.0 Put at $0.06.
Using up all my buying power. Expires tomorrow.
#EveryLittleBitHelps

SPX

Rolling to just inside the expected move. C’mon Mr. Market take a run at it.

Rolled SPX Jun 20 2024 5460.0 Puts to Jun 21 2024 5470.0 Puts @ 5.50 credit (14.70 total now)

SPX 0dte trades 6/20/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Jun 20th 5435/5455-5540/5560 condor for 1.05, deltas -.07 +.07, IV 16.05%

#spxah

VIX Put Expiration

1 VIX Jun 18 2024 12.0 Put

GME Diagonal Puts

Bought 1 GME Jun 28 2024 19.0 Put / Sold 1 Jun 21 2024 23.0 Put at $0.15 Credit
Bought 1 GME Jul 05 2024 18.0 Put / Sold 1 Jun 21 2024 23.0 Put at $0.16 Credit

Covering the cost of my original buy of Jun 21 2024 10.0 Puts a month ago

Overnight strategy details

#SPX0dte #SPXah I started “#SPXah” hashtag for this. It is basically the same IB/condor trade we have been doing same-day but placed around 9pm Pacific and closed before the next day’s open. I recently discovered that SPX options can be traded from 5:15pm to 6:15am PT, whereas before I thought it was only 3a-6:15a.

(I’m usually post times in ET but using PT time here since that’s where I live)

Overnight moves CAN be large, but lately we’ve been in a period with the market making its moves during market hours and the overnight being fairly calm. I tracked the price of the condors with a 5-pt middle and 30-pt wings from 5:15pm onward. I have seen little decay in the price between 5:15 and midnight, so waiting until 9pm to enter the trade. To exit trade before 5:30am, when data releases typically happen, we can usually only expect .85 t0 1.50 in profit.

The premium does NOT move very much with minor swings. It seems we need at least a 20 point move before we hit a 2-dollar stop level. So in the first two live trades I’ve done, I entered bracket orders to take profits at 1.10 and stop-loss at 2.00. I had one loss and one win.

The chart below shows the 10 days tested, with notes. For two weeks potential profit is +3.76.

You must monitor the /ES chart for movement, but look at the $SPX option chain to determine the centered strikes, looking at the puts and calls that are each closest to .50 delta.

I’m thinking best approach is to make sure the first 4 hours (5:15-9:15pm) have no major market moves from the close. If earnings or something have caused volatility, skip the trade as it is more likely to keep moving overnight. Also, may be best to avoid large events occurring the expiry day, even though test trades on both Jobs and CPI reports worked, because the premium sold was so high that the IV drop made up for the move in the index.

Check out the chart and let me know if you have questions.

Screenshot 2024-06-18 at 12.53.07 PM

SPX Update

Just looking at my oldest position (one spread). Dec 2027 5000/5000/5400. Set the position back on Feb 7th when the market was around 5000. Since then we’ve rallied 10 percent. There was about a month in there where I collected zero premium and had to roll the short put sales down while we were selling off a little. That can be expected. It is nice to see that decent money can be made even when the market is going big against your synthetic short LEAPS.

Here’s the actual numbers:

Cost to open the position: 22500 debit
Cost to close the position: 5400 credit

Loss on LEAPS: 17100

Total daily premium received: 32000

Net gain if closed everything today: 14900

That works out to about 46 cents on the dollar going to profit.

My thoughts: In a flatter market these would make really really good money. Been pretty much straight up the whole time but pretty easy to keep up with the lossses on the LEAPS. Already over halfway to covering max loss and the trade still has 182 weeks to run (130 weeks if I close it a year early).

Decision to make:

1. Do I close now and reset the LEAPS higher to reduce the risk and margin in the daily sales?

I say not yet since a selloff can still help the LEAPS and plenty of time to roll down the daily sales and margin requirements are still not terrible. I can’t confirm but it feels like the higher we go the less short deltas the LEAPS have. It feels like the losses are bigger as the LEAPS initially get out of the money and get closer to max loss. Pretty easy to sell the daily to flatten the delta on the overall position now with the LEAP deltas only being short 26 where they were initially around 50 at the beginning of the trade.

Gonna continue and see how things play out. So far so good.

#fuzzyspxexperiment (so I can find this post in a search LOL)

EDITED: Changed last paragraph from “in the money” to “out of the money”

SPX

This might cool things off a little…selling half the expected move.

Bought to Close SPX Jun 17 2024 5400.0 Puts @ .20 (sold for 12.55)

Sold SPX Jun 20 2024 5460.0 Puts @ 9.20

SPX 0-dte trades 6/18

#SPX0dte Overnight trade worked this time. At 12:14am ET, Sold to Open $SPX Jun 18th 5445/5475-5480/5510 condors for 16.45. Closed on bracket order at 8:02am for 15.30. Profit +1.15, 7%.

I will explain more in comments later.

#SPXah (SPX after-hours)

SPX

Gonna be on the road rest of the day so rolling early on the first little dip.

Rolled SPX Jun 17 2024 5400.0 Puts to Jun 18 2024 5405.0 Puts @ 6.00 credit (12.55 total now)

SPX 0-dte trades 6/17/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Jun 17th 5400/5430-5435/5465 condors for 13.70, IV 15.71%

Earnings 6/17 – 6/21

Screenshot 2024-06-15 at 1.46.55 PM

Economic Calendar 6/17 – 6/21

Retail Sales numbers Tuesday, market closed Wednesday, PMI reports Friday

Screenshot 2024-06-15 at 1.37.18 PM
Screenshot 2024-06-15 at 1.37.41 PM
Screenshot 2024-06-15 at 1.38.02 PM

Markets

GGyJpfjXcAAOX0E

Even within tech there is a staggering divergence – yesterday the Nasdaq hit a new record high despite more than 70% of the index closed lower on the session!

OptionsExpiration

The last one for a while as I wait for my account to be moved

EXPIRED:
1 BMY 43.5 Covered Call
1 BMY 44.5 Covered Call
1 CVS 61.0 Covered Call
1 GILD 69.0 Covered Call
1 VFC 14.0 Covered Call
VXX 13.0 Covered Calls
WBA 20.5 Covered Calls
1 UPS 133.0 Put
1 AAP 59.0 Put
1 KOLD 29.0 Put
1 BOIL 27.5/23.5 Bear Call Spread
1 GME 15.5/17.5/40/42 Short Iron Condor
1 GME 15.5/25/65/70 Short Iron Condor (now completely out of GME)
1 SBUX 86/80 Bear Call Spread
VXX 11.0 Diagonal Puts
VXX 17/13 Bear Call Spreads

ASSIGNMENTS:
1 SQQQ 9.0 Put (last night)
1 PARA 11.5 Put
CLF 16.0 Puts

Last Straw for Fidelity

After making a mistake and buying back at $0.01 a SPY put that I sold as part of a diagonal spread on the same day I sold it, Fidelity put my IRA on restriction for 90 days because I couldn’t meet a $28k day trade margin call.
I’m done with them. Moving this entire account to TT

SPX

Another round. Nice end to a record week…53.10 in premium. Thank you Fed! (technically 7 trading days going back to last Thursday)

Bought to Close SPX Jun 14 2024 5395.0 Puts @ 1.05 (sold for 15.90)

Sold SPX Jun 17 2024 5400.0 Puts @ 6.55

GME

#shortputs
#closing
#releasingcapitol

Btc GME 14 JUN 2024 29 PUT @1.11
sto Wednesday@3.19

XBI

Adding.

Sold XBI Jul 19 2024 88.0 Puts @ 1.30 and 1.40

TQQQ

STO August 2, 60 puts at 1.05

CSCO UPS Stock

Started tiny new positions
CSCO at $45.00
UPS at $133.00
#FallingKnife

TQQQ,

My June 14, 52 puts will expire at zero today.

VXX Long Term Puts

Bought VXX Jan 17 2025 6.0 Puts at $0.12
#VXXContango

SPX 0-dte trades 6/14/24

#SPX0dte After a week of wild swings and all-time highs, I think today’s market has a chance of bouncing from this overnight dip. Going with a #riskreversal

Sold to open $SPX Jun 14th 5350/5330 put spreads, delta -.07
Bought to open Jun 14th 5450/5465 call spreads, delta +.10
Total DEBIT -.30

Not looking for an ITM expiration; just 2 to 4 dollars on the intraday high.

Later I will share a new overnight trade I’ve been testing. Of course, after 8 straight days of testing success, my first day trying it live was a loss (due to this morning’s pre-market pullback). Seems to befall me every time I first switch from test to live!

#ironbutterfly

SPX

A little early on these today.

Rolled SPX Jun 13 2024 5390.0 Puts to Jun 14 2024 5395.0 Puts @ 4.00 credit ( 15.90 total now)

TAP Stock

Started a tiny new position in TAP at $50.00
Time to buy a six pack 🙂
#FallingKnife

VIX Put

Sold 1 VIX Jun 18 2024 12.00 Put at $0.14
#EveryLittleBitHelps

SPX 0-dte trades 6/13/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open Jun 13th 5400/5430-5435/5465 condors for 16.15, IV 18.54, at 8:49 ET

GME

#shortputs
#Walkingonthewildside

STO GME 14 JUN 2024 29 PUT @3.09

VXX Long Term Puts

Bought VXX Jan 17 2025 6.0 Puts at $0.16 and $0.14
#VXXContango

HE F

#coveredcalls
#everylittlebithelps

Sto HE 14 JUN 2024 10.5 CALL @.08
Sto F 14 JUN 2024 12.5 CALL @.04

TQQQ,

STO July 26, 60 puts at .91

SPX

Moving up into the gap and just below the big even number. Doing this early today to get the higher premium still priced into tomorrow for JP today. More data tomorrow too. Come and get it Mr. Market!

Bought to Close SPX Jun 12 2024 5340.0 Puts @ 1.15 (sold for 13.20)

Sold SPX Jun 13 2024 5390.0 Puts @ 11.90

CPI unchanged in May; up 3.3% Y/Y

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a 0.1% monthly gain and a 3.4% annual rate.

Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core CPI increased 0.2% on the month and 3.4% from a year ago, compared to respective estimates of 0.3% and 3.5%.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/12/cpi-report-june-inflation.html

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 06/11/2024 523/528 Bull Put Spread – sold yesterday at $0.22
Flat (at least in the near term) in SPY

SPX

Could’ve gotten 19 bucks for a roll this morning. Just couldn’t get any sort of weakness all afternoon which is what you really need when waiting later in the day.

Bought to Close SPX Jun 11 2024 5340.0 Puts @ .20 (sold for 3.10)

Sold SPX Jun 12 2024 5340.0 Puts @ 13.20

OK Mr. Market you are now free to sell off last hour. LOL

SPX 0-dte trades 6/11/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Jun 11th 5315/5345-5350/5380 condors for 14.15, IV 15.71%, at 8:26 ET

SPX

Premium gets a LOT better on Wed.

Bought to Close SPX Jun 10 2024 5330.0 Puts @ .10 (sold for 4.25)

Sold SPX Jun 11 2024 5340.0 Puts @ 3.10

SPY Puts

Sold 1 SPY 06/11/2024 523/528 Bull Put Spread at $0.22 Credit

Covered Calls and small Puts

Sold 1 BMY 06/14/2024 44.5 Covered Call at $0.04
Sold 1 BMY 06/21/2024 43.5 Covered Call at $0.17
Sold 1 BMY 06/21/2024 44.5 Covered Call at $0.09
Sold 1 BMY 06/28/2024 45.0 Covered Call at $0.12
Sold 1 GILD 06/21/2024 69.0 Covered Call at $0.07
Sold VXX 06/14/2024 13.0 Covered Calls at $0.05

Sold 1 PARA 06/14/2024 11.5 Put at $0.10
Sold 1 AAP 06/14/2024 59.0 Put at $0.12
Sold 1 SQQQ 06/14/2024 9.0 Put at $0.12
Sold 1 UPS 06/14/2024 133.0 Put at $0.38
Sold 1 KOLD 06/14/2024 29.0 Put at $0.40
#EveryLittleBitHelps

Earnings 6/10 – 6/14

Screenshot 2024-06-10 at 6.16.30 AM

Economic Calendar 6/10 – 6/14

The big day is Wednesday.

Screenshot 2024-06-10 at 6.11.13 AM
Screenshot 2024-06-10 at 6.11.37 AM
Screenshot 2024-06-10 at 6.11.55 AM

SPX 0-dte 6/10/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX 5275/5295-5380/5400 condors for 1.15, IV 17.17%, deltas -.07 +.07

OptionsExpiration

Expired:
1 CPB 41 Put
1 CSCO 44.5 Put
1 HAL 33.5 Put
1 SLB 41.5 Put
1 PARA 11.5 Put
1 AAP 61 Put
1 KOLD 36 Put
1 BMY 43.5 Covered Call
1 BMY 45.5 Covered Call
1 BMY 47.0 Covered Call
1 BOIL 13.5/15/23/24.5 Iron Condor
1 CVS 63.0 Covered Call
1 GILD 69.0 Covered Call
1 GME 12.5/21.5/65/75 Iron Condor
1 GME 12.5/22.5/65/75 Iron Condor
1 GME 85/80 Bear Call Spread
1 VFC 14.0 Covered Call
1 VXX 16/13 Bear Call Spread
VXX 13.0 Covered Calls

Assignments:
CLF 17.0 Puts (last night)
CVS 61.0 Covered Call – stock put to me at 60 a few weeks ago
SBUX 80.0 Covered Call – stock put to me at 80 a few weeks ago

SPY Expiration

1 SPY Jun 06 2024 517/520 Bull Put Spread
The last of my current put ladder

VXX Long Term Puts

Bought 2 VXX Jan 17 2025 6.0 Puts at $0.17.
#VXXContango

GME on the open

Sold 1 GME Jun 07 85/80 Bear Call Spread at $0.23 Credit

Sold 1 GME Jun 14 2024 70/65 Bear Call Spread at $0.50 Credit

Sold GME Jun 07 2024 15/21.5 Bull Put Spreads at $0.12 Credit

SPX

Not a lot of premium first two days next week. Things crank up again on Wed.

Bought to Close Jun 07 2024 5320.0 Puts @ .75 (sold for 14.05)
Bought to Close Jun 07 2024 5320.0 Put @ .75 (sold for 11.20)

Sold SPX Jun 10 2024 5330.0 Puts @ 4.25

Totally flat, only my 401k…

Totally flat, only my 401k has some open ETF long positions. Feels weird, first time totally flat since 2004 but wife said NO TRADING on vacation…….I will miss it!!!

TQQQ,

My June 7, 50 puts will expire at zero today.

NVDA pin

Theory is that the stock will pin at 1200 at the close today. Sold to open $NVDA Jun 7 1195/1200/1205 iron fly @ 4.50. Risking .50.

Going flat for 2 weeks…

Going flat for 2 weeks as we will be in France on a well deserved vacation. I may trade once I get over there but at least wanted to be flat for the first part as anytime I cannot access the market (airplane, train, deep in the woods) the market does some stupid stuff. I try to learn something everyday but this was the hardest lesson.

Anyway, over the last few years I have been perfecting butterfly tactics with adjustments when needed and am currently working on asymmetric iron condors. If interested I will post them when I get back. Not as a “service style” but you are all skilled traders. I could just post a screenshot and you can trade it from there.

We charged 5k a year for the service and my official results are about 168% returns since October 2022 when we started it. Better returns in higher VIX but still works now. Just $500 profits on 10 SPX contracts instead of 1-3k when the VIX is over 20.

But I don’t want to overload posting so if no interest no hard feelings, I trade it myself anyway.

But I will say from the professional side it was a lot of work and not enough return and even if we gave them explicit instructions people would still screw it up. I know those here will not.

Have a great few weeks and will catch up when we are back in the USA!

XBI

Starter. Come and get it.

Sold XBI Jul 19 2024 87.0 Put @ 1.40

GME

If anyone is interested:

Roaring Kitty Livestream:

May Jobs Report

#Jobs — Gains blow out expectations, UE rises to highest since Jan 2022

Gain of +272,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 190K
Unemployment up 0.1% to 4.0%, vs expectation of unchanged
U6 unemployment 7.4%, unchanged
Labor force participation down 0.2 to 62.5%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%, more than expected; +4.1% Y/Y

March jobs revised down by -5K to +310K
April jobs revised down by -10K to +165K

SPY Expiration

1 SPY Jun 06 2024 513/521 Bull Put Spread

GME

The Roaring Kitty guy is doing a livestream tomorrow so closing for safety.

Bought to Close Jun 21st 17.5/10.0 Bull Put Spreads @ .29 (sold for .48)

NVDA

Wow! What happened? Nearly 90 points in 15 minutes.

SPX

Since these were only worth about a dollar and the market doesn’t feel like a big selloff is coming today (LOL famous last words!) rolling early to keep the theta going. More data coming tomorrow so still nice premium down at the expected move.

Rolled SPX Jun 06 2024 5310.0 Puts to Jun 07 2024 5320.0 Puts @ 7.00 credit (14.05 total now)
Rolled SPX Jun 06 2024 5320.0 Put to Jun 07 2024 5320.0 Put @ 6.50 credit (11.20 total now)

TICK down

Interesting morning with the $TICK, we opened higher and have had upside mini-spikes but TICK chart opened at and has stayed near -600. What does it meeeeaaannn?