Rolling out SNOW puts

Originally sold the $SNOW Sep 15 150 puts (for 5.15) to potentially go long. With the move up, I’m rolling the position out to Oct 20 150 puts (29 delta) @ 3.65 credit. Total premium taken in now 8.80.

Rolling up SHOP puts

Originally sold the $SHOP Sep 15 60 puts (for 3.48) to potentially go long. With the move up, I’m rolling the position up and out to Oct 20 65 puts (40 delta) @ 2.86 credit. Total premium taken in: 6.34.

DG

Sold DG Sep 08 2023 140.0 Calls at $0.20
Sold DG Sep 08 2023 139.0 Calls $0.30
Sold DG Sep 08 2023 138.0 Calls at $0.40
Sold DG Sep 08 2023 136.0 Calls at $0.50
All these against leftover long calls from last week

Sold DG 124/127 Bull Put Spreads at $0.60 Credit
#OnlySpreads

BOIL VXX UVXY

Sold BOIL Sep 08 2023 47/53.5 Bull Put Spreads at $0.80 Credit

Bought VXX Sep 15 2023 27.5 Calls / Sold VXX Sep 08 2023 22.0 Calls at $0.22 Credit
Bought VXX Sep 15 2023 27.5 Calls / Sold VXX Sep 08 2023 21.5 Calls at $0.37 Credit

Bought UVXY Sep 15 2023 25.0 Calls / Sold UVXY Sep 08 2023 15.0 Calls at $0.27 Credit
#OnlySpreads

HE

#shortputs
STO HE 8 SEP 2023 14.5 PUT @.85

Economic Calendar 9/4 – 9/8

Screenshot 2023-09-05 at 5.52.06 AM

SPX same day

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Sep 5th 4445/4465-4540/4560 condors for 1.00, deltas -.06 +.07, IV 18%

Upside Warning is reinstated

#VIXIndicator An Upside Warning took effect at the close Friday after three consecutive closes of $VIX below the 78.6 Fib line drawn from pre-correction low and correction high. This could mean higher prices in coming days or weeks.

This is the FOURTH Upside Warning we’ve seen WITHOUT any intervening Downside Warnings. That’s the first time that has happened in the 20+ years of tracking this indicator.

Here is data on last several Upside Warnings.

July 14, 2023: close on that day: 4,505. Subsequent high was 4,607 on July 27. 9 trading days, +2.3%
June 5, 2023: close on that day: 4,274. Subsequent high was 4,458 on June 30. 18 trading days, +4.3%
Mar 30, 2023: close on that day: 4,051. Subsequent high was 4,187 on May 1. 21 trading days, +3.4%
Nov 23, 2022: close on that day: 4,027. Subsequent high was 4195 on Feb 2. 47 trading days, +4.2%
Aug 5, 2022: close on that day: 4145. Subsequent high was 4325 on Aug 16. 7 trading days, +4.3%
Mar 29, 2022: (failed) close on that day: 4631. SPX did not go higher. UpW was canceled after 6 trading days
Dec 27, 2021: close on that day: 4791. Subsequent high was 4818 on Jan 4. 6 trading days, +0.6%
Oct 18, 2021: close on that day: 4486. Subsequent high was 4743 on Nov 22. 14 trading days, +5.7%
Aug 25, 2021: close on that day: 4496. Subsequent high was 4595 on Sep 2. 6 trading days, +1.1%
Aug 13, 2021: (headfake) close on that day: 4468. Subsequent high was 4480 the next day. Canceled the day after that.
May 28, 2021: close on that day: 4204. Subsequent high was 4393 on July 7. 31 trading days, +4.5%
Mar 15, 2021: close on that day: 3969. Subsequent high was 4238 on May 7. 40 trading days, +6.8%
Feb 5, 2021: close on that day: 3886. Subsequent high was 3950 on Feb 16. 6 trading days, +1.6%
Nov 11, 2020: close that day: 3585. Subsequent high was 3726 on Dec 18. 25 trading days, +3.9%

Closing SMCI

Bought to close $SMCI Sep 15 210/220/340/350 iron condor for .62. Sold for 2.65 on 8/9.

AMZN

#rolling
sept 1 to sept 8th 132 call/credit .32/total so far 8.72

SPY,

STO October 20, 440 puts at 4.01 for a small starter position and will add more on a pull back.

XBI

#CoveredCalls – Easing these up a little.

Rolled XBI Sep 01 2023 75.0 Calls to Oct 06 2023 75.5 Calls @ .30 credit (3.95 total now)

TLT

#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls – Picking up a little more credit and adding.

Rolled TLT Sep 15 2023 99.0 Calls to Sep 15 2023 97.5 Calls @ .17 credit (.57 total now)
Rolled TLT Sep 15 2023 99.0 Calls to Sep 15 2023 97.0 Calls @ .26 credit (.66 total now)

Sold TLT Oct 20 2023 95.0 Put @ 2.10
Sold TLT Oct 20 2023 96.0 Put @ 2.25

TQQQ,

STO October 20, 33 puts at .66 cents.

TQQQ, STO october 13, 35…

TQQQ, STO october 13, 35 puts at .74 cents.

August Jobs Report

#Jobs — Higher than expected, but downward revisions of past months and UE ticks up.

Gain of +187,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 170K
Unemployment up 0.2 to 3.7%, highest since Feb 2022
U6 unemployment 7.1%, up by 0.4
Labor force participation at 62.8%, up to pre-Covid levels
Average hourly earnings up by 0.2%; 4.3% increase over the year, each 0 .1 weaker than expected

July jobs revised down by -30K to +157K
June jobs revised down by -80K to +105K

SPX same day

#SPX1dte Sold 3 minutes after Jobs report release: $SPX 4455/4575-4570/4590 condors for 1.10, deltas -.07 +.06

Risk Reversal

#SPX1dte #RiskReversal
Sold to Open $SPX Sept 8th 4390/4370 put spreads
Bought to open Sept 8th 4620/4640 call spreads
Total DEBIT is -0.10. This is a double-sized position

SPXpire

#SPX1dte Expiring $SPX Aug 31st 4445/4465-4570/4590 condors, sold yesterday for 1.00.

Waiting until after the morning’s Job report before placing tomorrow’s trade.

TLT

#ShortPuts – Add to the Oct ladder.

Sold TLT Oct 20 2023 97.0 Put @ 2.20

Risk off

#SPX1dte Closed the add-on put spread effectively for .50, by selling the $SPX Aug 31st 4470/4490 call spread for 19.50

DG

Sold DG 09/01/2023 145/136 Bear Call Spreads at $0.33 Credit.
Sold DG 09/01/2023 144/137 Bear Call Spreads at $0.25 Credit.
#OnlySpreads

Bought 1 DG 09/08/2023 122.0 Put / Sold 1 DG 09/01/2023 128.0 Put at $0.80 Credit.
Bought 1 DG 09/08/2023 121.0 Put / Sold 1 DG 09/01/2023 129.0 Put at $0.91 Credit.
#DiagonalBullPut Spreads

XOMO

#smallbuy
BOT XOMO @20.01

TQQQ,

STO September 15, 38 puts at .42

SPX add-on

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Aug 31st 4490/4470 put spreads for 1.05, delta -.13

This is aggressive, but $VIX got below 14 and on track for a renewed Upside Warning.

BOIL Call

Sold 1 BOIL Sep 01 2023 75/69 Bear Call Spread at $0.37 Credit
Sold 1 BOIL Sep 01 2023 75/69.5 Bear Call Spread at $0.32 Credit
#OnlySpreads

Bought CPB 09/08/2023 38.00 Puts / Sold CPB 09/01/2023 41.00 Puts at $0.27 Credit
#DiagonalBullPut Spreads

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Aug 31st 4445/4465-4570/4590 condors for 1.00, deltas -.07 +.05, IV 14.6%

Expiring: Condor sold yesterday and additional put spread sold this morning.

Earnings After Hours COST CRWD CRM

A few notable earnings reports will drop after markets close in New York, including software giant Salesforce, cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike and retailer Costco Wholesale.

XBI

#ShortPuts – Bought to Close XBI Sep 01 2023 77.5 Put @ .08 (sold for 1.50)

DLR

Bought 1 DLR Sep 08 2023 137 call/ Sold 1 DLR Sep 01 2023 133 Call at $0.22 Credit
#DiagonalBearCall Spread

VIXspire

My short VIX 08/30/2023 24/20 Bear Call Spreads expired on the open this morning.

Sold VIX 09/06/2023 13/14 Bull Put Spreads at $0.18

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte I wasn’t able to post yeterday, but around 12:30 PT…

Sold to Open $SPX Aug 30th 4420/4440-4545/4565 condors for 1.05, deltas -.07 +.06

DLR

Sold 1 DLR Sep 01 2023 137/132 Bear Call Spread at $0.37 Credit
#OnlySpreads

NVDA BOIL ILMN

Bought 1 NVDA 09/08/2023 560 Call / Sold 1 NVDA 09/01/2023 520 Call at $0.37 Credit
#DiagonalBearCall Spread

Sold BOIL 46/54 Bull Put Spreads at $0.42 Credit.
Sold ILMN 09/01/2023 172.5/167.5 Bear Call Spreads at $0.30 Credit
#OnlySpreads

TLT

#ShortPuts – Taking a couple more off on the bounce.

Bought to Close TLT Sep 15 2023 92.0 Put @ .19 (sold for 1.62)
Bought to Close TLT Sep 15 2023 95.0 Put @ .69 (sold for 2.25)

SPY

#ShortPuts – Taking some decent profits on the big bounce.

Bought to Close SPY Sep 15 2023 415.0 Puts @ .31 (sold for 1.50 and 2.15)
Bought to Close SPY Sep 15 2023 420.0 Put @ .43 (sold for 2.15)
Bought to Close SPY Sep 15 2023 425.0 Puts @ .60 (sold for 2.50)
Bought to Close SPY Sep 15 2023 430.0 Put @ .89 (sold for 3.26)
Bought to Close SPY Sep 22 2023 425.0 Put @ 1.12 (sold for 2.86)
Bought to Close SPY Oct 20 2023 410.0 Put @ 1.49 (sold for 3.15)

HE

#shortputs
STO HE 1 SEP 2023 13 PUT @.65

MARA

#coveredcalls
STO MARA 8 SEP 2023 16 CALL @.14

MMM NVDA Bear Call

MMM Sep 01 2023 112/108 Bear Call Spread at $0.44 Credit
NVDA Sep 01 2023 535/515 Bear Call Spread at $0.73 Credit
#OnlySpreads

SPX roll

#SPX1dte #Rolling Sold to Open $SPX Aug 29th 4410/4430-4495/4515 condors for 1.10, deltas -.08 +.08, SPX at 4468

SPX stopped

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Aug 29th 4465/4485 call spreads for 1.95. Played with fire by going with 8-deltas today. Will probably sell something else in a little while once we see if this rally has more steam.

NVDA TQQQ VIX

Sold 1 NVDA Sep 01 2023 525/502.50 Bear Call Spread at $0.81 Credit.
Sold 1 NVDA Sep 01 2023 530/507.50 Bear Call Spread at $0.87 Credit.
Paired with yesterday’s Bull Put spreads so no additional margin required.

Bought TQQQ 09/08/2021 44.5 Calls / Sold TQQQ 09/01/2023 41.5 Calls at $0.27 Credit
#DiagonalBearCall Spread

Sold VIX Sep 06 2023 13.5/14.5 Bull Put Spreads at $0.12 Credit
#OnlySpreads

SPX same day

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Aug 29th 4370/4390-4465/4485 condors for 1.387, deltas -.08 +.08, IV 20.5%

SNOW Puts

Adding 1 more tighter spread
Sold 1 Sep 01 2023 136/141 Bull Put Spread at $0.47 Credit
#OnlySpreads

AI PENN Calls

#coveredcalls
$AI STO 9/1 30.5 call at .46
$PENN STO 9/1 24 call at .32 Sold against stock put to me on Friday

BOIL

Sold BOIL Sep 01 2023 50/54 Bull Put Spreads at $0.35 Credit
Sold 1 BOIL Sep 01 2023 77/72 Bear Call Spread at $0.50 Credit
Sold 1 BOIL Sep 01 2023 78/73 Bear Call Spread at $0.39 Credit
#OnlySpreads

MARKETS

Today’s sale of $45 billion in 2Y government paper stopped at a high yield of 5.024%, the first auction pricing north of 5% since July 2006.
#InterestRates

AMZN BBY CPB DG NVDA SNOW Puts

Sold 1 AMZN Sep 01 2023 123/129 Bull Put Spread at $0.44 Credit
Sold 1 BBY Sep 01 2023 60/65 Bull Put Spread at $0.22 Credit #Earnings
Sold 1 CPB Sep 01 2023 39/41 Bull Put Spread at $0.32 Credit #Earnings
Sold DG Sep 01 2023 130/140 Bull Put Spreads at $0.85 Credit #Earnings
Sold 1 NVDA Sep 01 2023 402.5/422.5 Bull Put Spread at $1.20 Credit
Sold 1 SNOW Sep 01 2023 135/142 Bull Put Spread at $0.46 Credit
#OnlySpreads

SPX same day

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Aug 28th 4350/4370-4460/4480 condors for 1.10, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 21.1%

Economic Calendar for 8/28 – 9/1

Screen Shot 2023-08-27 at 10.54.47 AM
Screen Shot 2023-08-27 at 10.55.14 AM

BOIL

Rolled 1 BOIL Aug 25 2023 60.5 Put to 1 BOIL 09/01/2023 56.0 Put at $0.51 Credit
Rolled 1 BOIL Aug 25 2023 59.0 Put to 1 BOIL 09/01/2023 55.0 Put at $0.40 Credit

Sold 1 BOIL Sep 01 2023 76/71 Bear Call Spread at $0.35 Credit
#OnlySpreads

UVXY VXX BOIL

Sold UVXY Sep 01 2023 30/23.5 Bear Call Spreads at $0.12 Credit

Sold VXX Sep 08 2023 33/28 Bear Call Spreads at $0.41 Credit

Sold 1 BOIL Sep 01 2023 75/70 Bear Call Spread at $0.35 Credit
#OnlySpreads

AMZN

#shortputs
STO AMZN 1 SEP 2023 132 PUT @1.86

SPX same day

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX 4300/4320-4460/4480 condors for 1.20, deltas -.05 +.05, IV 33.1%

IV & premium elevated since Powell will be speaking at Jackson Hole at 10am ET

AMZN

#rolling
rolled 132 call ,8/25/2023 to 9/01/2023 –credit 1.40 (8.40 so far)
late yesterday, market EOD.

VIX Spreads

Sold VIX 08/30/2023 24/20 Bear Call Spreads
#OnlySpreads

SPY

#ShortPuts – Let’s bring the 200 day into play finally.

Sold SPY Oct 20 2023 410.0 Put @ 3.15

SPX

Seems like crazy selling but actually still green for the week. 4300 was the bottom of the expected move for the week. We were well outside the top so today just gets us back into range. Still slightly positive from the unchanged level. I’m watching for a break of last week’s low to really see the selling start. FWIW LOL.

em

TSLA

#CoveredCalls – Keeping protection at the 200 day. Assigned at 270.25 with basis now at 201.35 and covered at 200. It was a wild bullish shot last earnings so out at close to even would be ok with me.

Rolled TSLA Aug 25 2023 200.0 Call to Sep 15 2023 200.0 Call @ 2.15 credit (68.90 total now)

NVDA Call Closed

#syntheticcoveredcalls #earnings
$NVDA BTC 8/25 510 call at .20. STO at 9.75.

SNOW

#ShortPuts – A little early on it this morning. Starter position at the expected move and near recent lows.

Sold SNOW Oct 20 2023 130 Put @ 2.85

SPY XBI

#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls – A few today.

SPY: Adding.

Sold SPY Sep 22 2023 425.0 Put @ 2.85

XBI: Keeping a little downside protection. Covered.

Rolled XBI Aug 25 2023 75.0 Calls to Sep 01 2023 75.0 Calls @ .35 credit (3.40 abd 3.65 total now)

Upcoming

Calendar
Aug. 25: Fed Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole Summit, and final August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

Aug. 29: June S&P Case-Schiller home price index, August Consumer Confidence Index, and expected earnings from Best Buy Co. (BBY), Big Lots (BIG), Box, Inc. (BOX), and HP Inc. (HPQ).

Aug. 30: August ADP employment and revised Q2 Gross Domestic Product.

Aug. 31: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, July Personal Income and Spending, August Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), and expected earnings from Dell Technologies (DELL), Dollar General (DG), Hormel Foods (HRL), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and UBS AG (UBS).

Sept. 1: August Employment Report, Construction Spending, and the Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Index.

NVDY

#takingprofits
BTC NVDY @24.03/BTO@22.00
Was to be long term dividend play//but… cha-ching— 4 days!

VXX Call Spreads

Sold VXX 09/01/2023 32/27 Bear Call Spreads at $0.21 and $0.26 Credit

Sold VXX 09/01/2023 33/28 Bear Call Spreads at $0.22 Credit
#OnlySpreads

Bad SPX week

#SPX1dte Another day, another stop hit. That’s 4 for 4 on days with troubled trades. Since the week has been such a whipsaw and so far ALL of my closing stop trades ended up being more costly than necessary, I’m waiting this one out and not closing hastily.

SNOW Put (not patrol) Close

#shortputs
$SNOW BTC 8/25 148 pt at 1.69. STO at 9.33. Therre was rolling on this one but net credit for the ride was 5.09. Thank you @fuzzballl for the idea.

NVDA

Bought to close 1 NVDA 08/25/2023 610.0 Call at $0.01
Sold Tuesday at $1.69 as part for a 700/610 Bear Call Spread

Bought to close 1 NVDA 08/25/2023 600.0 Call at $0.01
Sold Tuesday at $2.18 as part for a 680/600 Bear Call Spread

Bought to close 1 NVDA 08/25/2023 370.0 Put at $0.01
Sold Tuesday at $1.37 as part for a 310/370 Bull Put Spread

Bought to close 1 NVDA 08/25/2023 380.0 Put at $0.01
Sold Tuesday at $1.85 as part for a 320/380 Bull Put Spread

Reclaiming the margin for other trades

NVDA Call Close / AMD Roll Call

#coveredcalls #earnings
$NVDA BTC 8/25 490 call at 6.80. STO yesterday at 14.17. Keeping the stock for now.
$AMD BTC 8/25 107 call and STO 9/1 (September already!!) 109 call at added credit of .40 and $2 more if called away

SPX same day

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Aug 24th 4385/4405-4495/4515 condors for 1.15, deltas -.08 +.06, IV 22%

NVDA Strong SNOW Strong

TLT

#CoveredCalls #SyntheticCoveredCalls – A move like this I just have to sell into it. Selling up at the 50 day and outside the expected move.

Sold TLT Sep 15 2023 99.0 Calls @ .40

TTD Spurting Roll Call (Present)

#coveredcalls
$TTD BTC 8/25 76 call and STO 9/1 78 call at cost of .20, but gain $2 if called away next week. Stock at 77.78.

Stopped again

#SPX1dte BTC $SPX Aug 23rd 4450/4470 call spreads for .95. Condors sold earlier as a roll for 1.10. At least this one got me a tad bit a profit. Some day I will pick the right day to be long.

TLT

#CoveredCalls #SyntheticCoveredCalls – Getting out of the way in case JP goes full dove on Friday.

Bought to Close TLT Aug 25 2023 96.0 Calls @ .17 (sold for .35)
Bought to Close TLT Aug 25 2023 96.5 Calls @ .11 (sold for .47)