So here is an example…

So here is an example of what I have been working on the last few years. Has taken a while to get the structure and ratios correct. Profits develop slowly but there is a huge range that you can have profits and if you notice no risk to the upside. Also to the downside SPX has to fall another 250 points before I lose any money.

You start with a butterfly, regular or slightly broken wing butterfly. Then I go long a call to the upside so that the positions starts out delta neutral. 30 DTE. Then you let the market move. This one took and adjustment about 2 weeks ago and another last week. Theta accelerates as we get closer to expiration. Has been 4-6 k daily since Friday and as you can see I am developing profit of about 4k today. There is potential for another 11-44k if I held all the way to expiration but be aware now that Schwab is messing up TOS I usually get phone calls and multiple warnings to close the position by noon to 1 EST. Even if I have a winning position and want the “cash settled close” they will not let me hold it to market close. They will close it as a market order and you lose thousands.

Adjustments are either verticals, adjusting the short or long strikes, or in this case I added 2 calendar spreads. To the downside we can pull in the long lower put wing on the butterfly.

Here is what it looks like from the close today until expiration Friday. The trick is don’t be super greedy with these. You have a 10-70%profit take it. Don’t hold out for another 10k if you already have 23k in profits. Take the money and run. I will probably close this at 10K profits (total risk around 26k between the 10k margin and the cost of the butterfly, long call, and calendars). But if it is still dead center all week I may try carrying this one into Friday.

As soon as it closes I open the next 30 DTE cycle. Rinse and repeat, don’t have to watch the market all day, adjustments are as needed not all over the place. Have a life and make a bunch trading. The ideal trade, only time will tell 🙂 2022-04-29-Desktop.36

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 525/547 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 553/563 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 583/576 Bear Call Spread

TQQQ Calls

Sold 1 TQQQ 10/11/2024 82/76 Bear Call Spread at $0.15 Credit

Upside Warning canceled

#VIXindicator. Afternoon surprise… despite the volatility last week the Upside Warning survived. Not today. A Downside warning will take effect if $VIX closes above 22.34.

SPY Puts

Sold 1 SPY 10/08/2024 544/558 Bull Put Spread at $0.32 Credit

QQQ

#ShortPuts QQQ 10/09/24 480 @ 1.18 Credit

Monday Spreads

Bought 1 AMZN Oct 18 2024 155 Put / Sold 1 AMZN Oct 11 2024 175 Put at $0.33 Diagonal Credit
Sold 1 AVGO Oct 11 2024 147/160 Bull Put Spread at $0.16 Credit
Sold 1 SOXL Oct 11 2024 25/30 Bull Put Spread at $0.15 Credit
Sold 1 TQQQ Oct 11 2024 51/61 Bull Put Spread at $0.14 Credit

Sold 1 VXX Oct 11 2024 80/65 Bear Call Spread at $0.34 Credit
Sold 1 VXX Oct 11 2024 80/58 Bear Call Spread at $1.14 Credit

SPX 0-dte trades for 10/7/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Oct 7th 5640/5660-5790/5810 condors for 1.10, IV 22.90%, deltas -.06 +.05

#protectprofits

Earnings 10/7 – 10/11

Final earnings season of the year kicks off Friday with bank earnings.

Screenshot 2024-10-06 at 9.07.09 AM

Econ Calendar 10/7 – 10/11

Two bond auctions this week, and the big CPI on Thursday.

Screenshot 2024-10-06 at 8.52.00 AM
Screenshot 2024-10-06 at 8.52.29 AM
Screenshot 2024-10-06 at 8.53.00 AM

Expiration

#assignment
$VKTX 66 put

#optionsexpiration
$TQQQ 70 put
$ENPH 115 call

OptionsExpirations

SOXL 30 and 33 put
SOXL 45.5 call

OptionsExpiration

After a bunch of Call rolls I’m left with:

EXPIRED:
AMZN 172.5/180 Bull Put Spread
AMZN 172.5/182.5 Bull Put Spread
AMZN 197.5/187.5 Bear Call Spread
AVGO 145/155 Bull Put Spread
AVGO 150/160 Bull Put Spread
AVGO 182.5/177.5 Bear Call Spread
BBY 107/100 Bear Call Spread – finally out of BBY
BBY 106/100 Bear Call Spread
GLD 227.5/236 Bull Put Spread
NUGT 41/46 Bull Put Spread
NUGT 62/57 Bear Call Spread
SPY 543/556 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 55/62 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 57/64 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 57/65 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 80/77 Bear Call Spread
TQQQ 80/76 Bear Call Spread
TQQQ 79/75 Bear Call Spread
TQQQ 78/72.5 Bear Call Spread
VXX 46 Diagonal Puts
VXX 49 Diagonal Put
VXX 68/61 Bear Call Spread
VXX 63/58 Bear Call Spread
VXX 66/56 Bear Call Spread

AVGO 150 Put
DVN 36.5 Put
NIKE 72 Put
NUGT 42.5 Put
OXY 46.5 Put
SOXL 25 Put
TQQQ 58.5 Put

SOXL 47 Covered Call

ASSIGNMENTS:
1 DVN 40.5 Covered Call – vs.stock put to me at 39.50 last Friday

SPY Calls

Had to roll it once again – only $0.02 out of the money at 4:00
Rolled SPY 10/04/2024 580/573 Bear Call Spread to 1 SPY 10/07/2024 583/576 Bear Call Spread $0.28 Credit

SPY Puts

Starting a new Put Ladder after most of my SPY put spreads expired yesterday.
Sold 1 SPY 10/07/2024 553/563 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit
Sold 1 SPY 10/09/2024 541/556 Bull Put Spread at $0.30 Credit

VXX

Got the rest finally.

Bought to Close VXX Oct 04 2024 53.0 Puts @ .05 (sold for 1.30)

Sold VXX Oct 11 2024 53.0 Puts @ 1.60

BA SPX TLT VXX

A few.

BA: Selling against synthetic stock.

Bought to Close BA Oct 04 2024 160.0 Calls @ .03 (sold for 2.70)

Sold BA Oct 11 2024 155.0 Calls @ 2.45

SPX: Roll up for a little more premium. Staying slightly long deltas but keeping some downside room.

Rolled SPX Oct 18 2024 5630.0 Puts to Oct 18 2024 5650.0 Puts @ 3.75 credit (24.45 total now)

TLT: Got the regular divvy and keeping the stock. And 6 months of divvys on the call sales. LOL

Bought to Close TLT Oct 04 2024 97.0 Calls @ .01 (sold for 2.10)

Sold TLT Oct 18 2024 97.0 Calls @ .55

VXX: Sold against synthetic short stock.

Bought to Close VXX Oct 04 2024 50.0 Puts @ .05 (sold for 1.15)…waiting on 53s to fill also.

Sold VXX Oct 11 2024 52.5 Puts @ 1.45

TQQQ

STO October 11, $77 covered calls at .47

SPX 0-dte trades for 10/4/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Oct 4th 5635/5655-5800/5820 condors for 1.35, IV 26.95%, deltas -.08 +.05

I waited for the first red candle after the Jobs report on the 5-min futures chart. Took 35 minutes.

September Jobs Report

#Jobs — Wildly beating expectations, including upward revisions to July and August

Gain of +254,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 151K
Unemployment down 0.1% to 4.1%, vs expected unchanged
U6 unemployment 7.7%, down by 0.2
Labor force participation unchanged at 62.7%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; +4.0% Y/Y

August jobs revised up by +17K to +159K
July jobs revised up by +55K to +144K

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 542/552 Bull Put Spread
1 SPT 544/559 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 550/560 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 545/561 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 554/562 Bull Put Spread

1 SPY 580/573 Bear Call Spread (rolled up yesterday)

Was hoping this one would expire but it got over 568 just after 4:00 so ….
Rolled 1 SPY Oct 03 2024 580/568 Bear Call Spread to tomorrow’s SPY 10/04/2024 580/573 Bear Call Spread for $0.40 Credit

Markets and SPY

The S&P 500’s Dividend Yield has moved down to 1.27%, tied with Q4 2021 for the lowest yield since 2000.
GY5LD9uXgAAB0hC

SPY Puts

Today’s morning low in SPY was $566.82
Sold 1 SPY 10/03/2024 561.00 Put at $0.21 – Expires today
Sold 1 SPY 10/04/2024 556.00 Put at $0.40.
Both sold against leftover long puts from previous diagonal put spreads.

#DoubleDip

HES AAP Stock

Sold a tiny bit of HES stock at $141.85. Bought in early Sept at $129.00
#FormerFallingKnife

Added a tiny bit of AAP at $36.75. New low.
#FallingKnife

SPX 0-dte trades for 10/3/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Oct 3rd 5610/5630-5765/5785 condors for 1.25, IV 24.96%, deltas -.06 +.05

EBF CRSH YMAG TSLY GDXY YMAX

#smallbuy
#dividends
#exdivtomorrow
#ACROSS3ACCOUNTS

BOT EBF @24.31 …../special 2.50 /divvy coming up/ #dividendcapture
BOT CRSH @13.09
BOT YMAG @19.14
BOT TSLY @13.64
BOT GDXY @18.45
BOT YMAX @17.58

SPY and GLD Expirations

1 SPY 550/560 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 551/561 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 554/562 Bull Put Spread

1 GLD 526/536 Bull Put Spread

SPY Calls

Was hoping this one would expire but ….
Rolled 1 SPY Oct 02 2024 583/569 Bear Call Spread to tomorrow’s SPY 10/03/2024 580/573 Bear Call Spread for $0.22 Credit

SPX 0-dte for 10/2/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Oct 2nd 5605/5625-5765/5785 condors for 1.15, IV 24.61%, deltas -.05 +.05

VXX Long Term Puts

Shifting longs to March 2025 while financing the buy with 1 week Put Sales
Bought 1 VXX March 21 2024 23.0 Put at $0.42
Sold 1 VXX Oct 04 2024 49.0 Put at $0.58 for a $0.16 Diagonal Credit
#VXXContango

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 550/560 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 557/564 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 565 Diagonal Put
1 SPY 566 Diagonal Put
1 SPY 584/573 Bear Call Spread
1 SPY 580/572 Bear Call Spread

NVDA Put

#shortputs

$NVDA STO 11/15 114 put at 6.50

VXX Calls

Sold 1 VXX 10/04/2024 71/61 Bear Call Spread at $0.48 Credit
Sold 1 VXX 10/04/2024 72/62 Bear Call Spread at $0.44 Credit

SPY Calls

Bought to close 1 SPY 10/01/2024 577.00 Call at $0.01. Sold yesterday at $0.31
Sold 1 SPY 10/01/2024 572.00 Call at $0.15
#DoubleDip

Tuesday Spreads

Sold 1 NUGT 10/04/2024 64/57 Bear Call Spread at $0.18 Credit
Sold 1 TQQQ 10/04/2024 57/64 Bull Put Spread at $0.42 Credit
Sold 1 TQQQ 10/04/2024 55/62 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit
Sold 1 AVGO 10/04/2024 145/155 Bull Put Spread at $0.24 Credit
Sell 1 VXX 10/04/2024 68/58 Bear Call Spread at $0.43 Credit

Bought 1 SPY 10/02/2024 554.00 Put / Sold 1 SPY 10/01/2024 564.00 Put at $0.25 Diagonal Credit
Sold 1 SPY 10/03/2024 542/552 Bull Put Spread at $0.26 Credit

Port Strike

You wonder why they want the restriction on automation in the new contract? No putting the AI genie back in the bottle now.

https://x.com/ShangguanJiewen/status/1840736962564559310

NVDA

Starter just before the election.

Sold NVDA Nov 01 2024 110.0 Put @ 3.42

SPX 0-dte trades for 10/1/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX 5670/5690-5810/5830 condors for 1.25, IV 21.54%, deltas -.06 +.06

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 549/560 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 550/562 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 567 Diagonal Put
1 SPY 577/574 Bear Call Spread (ended up surprisingly close)

TQQQ,

BTC October 4, ocvered calls and sold the TQQQ shares at 71.22 and now 100% cash.

I got back in.

BTO the TQQQ and sold the October 4, 71.50 calls at 69.32

Monday Spreads

Sold 1 SPY 10/02/2024 550/560 Bull Put Spread at $0.30 Credit
Sold 1 TQQQ 10/04/2024 57/65 Bull Put Spread at $0.33 Credit
Sold 1 AVGO 10/04/2024 150/160 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit
Sold 1 NUGT 10/04/2024 41/46 Bull Put Spread at $0.33 Credit
Sold 1 GLD 10/04/2024 227.5/236 Bull Put Spread at $0.17 Credit
Sold 1 AMZN 10/04/2024 172.5/180 Bull Put Spread at $0.41 Credit
Bought 1 AMZN 10/11/2024 172.5 Put / Sold 1 AMZN 10/04/2024 182.5 Put at $0.64 Diagonal Credit

Sold 1 CVS 10/04/2024 67/64 Bear Call Spread at $0.44 Credit
Sold 1 VXX 10/04/2024 66/56 Bear Call Spread at $0.64 Credit

Monday Puts

Sold 1 AVGO Oct 04 2024 150 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 TQQQ Oct 04 2024 58.5 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 NKE Oct 04 2024 72 Put at $0.06
Sold 1 OXY Oct 04 2024 46.5 Put at $0.09
Sold 1 DVN Oct 04 2024 36.5 Put at $0.13
Sold 1 NUGT Oct 04 2024 42.5 Put at $0.15
#Tiny99PercentPuts
#EveryLittleBitHelps

VXX

Adding to synthetic short.

VXX Jan 16 2026 55/55/85 @ 17.00 debit.

And:

Sold VXX Oct 04 2024 51.0 Puts @ 1.15

SPX 0-dte trades for 9/30/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Sept 30th 5630/5650-5780/5800 condors for 1.20, IV 23.12%, deltas -.06 +.06

$VIX moving higher and deltas wider than last week

Earnings 9/30 – 10/4

Screenshot 2024-09-29 at 9.34.02 PM

Econ Calendar 9/30 – 10/4

JOBS report Friday… potential market movers every other day, too.

Screenshot 2024-09-29 at 9.27.22 PM
Screenshot 2024-09-29 at 9.28.31 PM
Screenshot 2024-09-29 at 9.28.54 PM

Not your normal Friday VIX….

VIX is Waking Up

OptionsExpiration

After rolling TQQQ Calls and VXX Calls up, here is what’s left:

Expired:
AVGO 138/172.5 Bull Put Spread
DVN 38 Put
JDST 23 Put
MU 74 Put
NUGT 38/48 Bull Put Spread
NUGT 54 Diagonal Call
CLF 13 Covered Calls
SOXS 19 Put
SOXS 18 Put
SPY 543/558 Bull Put Spread
SPY 552/562 Bull Put Spread
SPY 567 Diagonal Put
SPY 574 Diagonal Call
UPS 117/126 Bull Put Spread
TQQQ 73.5 Diagonal Call
VXX 47 Diagonal Put
VXX 40/45 Bull Put Spread
VXX 45 Diagonal Puts

Assignments:
1 TQQQ 71.0 Covered Call – vs. stock put to me at $71 Aug 1st
1 FCX 46.0 Covered Call – vs. stock put to me at $46 Jul 19th
1 DVN 39.5 Put (5% dividend payer)

SPY

SPY 567/557 Bull PUT expiring today – Likely OTM into the Close

QQQ

#CoveredCalls QQQ 499 expiring today

#CoveredCalls QQQ 9/30/24 490 @ 0.96 Credit opening a new position

VXX Calls

Rolled 1 VXX 68/48 Bear Call Spread to next week for $0.40 Credit

BOIL Covered Calls

Bought to close BOIL 09/27/2024 12.00 Covered Calls at $0.04
Sold BOIL 10/04/2024 13.50 Covered Calls at $0.23

TQQQ,

BTO, October 18, $65 calls at 8.50

BA SNOW SPX TLT XLU

A few:

BA: Sold against synthetic stock.

Rolled BA Sep 27 2024 155.0 Calls to Oct 04 2024 160.0 Calls @ .25 credit (2.70 total now)

SNOW: Sold against synthetic stock.

Rolled SNOW Sep 27 2024 110.0 Calls to Oct 18 2024 115.0 Calls @ .05 credit (3.90 total now)

SPX: No changes but looking at a possible roll up of the short puts.

TLT: Covered stock I’m hanging onto for one more week to get the divvy.

Rolled Sep 27 2024 97.0 Calls to Oct 04 2024 97.0 Calls @ .14 credit (2.10 total now)

XLU: Sold against synthetic short stock.

Bought to Close XLU Sep 27 2024 77.5 Puts @ .01 filled yesterday (sold for .28)

Sold XLU Oct 18 2024 77.5 Puts @ .31

TQQQ Calls

Bought 1 TQQQ Oct 11 2024 85 Call / Sold 1 TQQQ Oct 04 2024 76 Call at $0.84 Diagonal Credit
#OnlySpreads

VXX Long term Puts

Financing more long Jan 2025 Puts
Bought 1 VXX 01/17/2025 25.00 Put / Sold 1 VXX 10/04/2024 46.00 Put at $0.18 Credit
Bought 1 VXX 01/17/2025 26.00 Put / Sold 1 VXX 10/04/2024 46.00 Put at $0.18 Credit

Bought back to close 1 VXX 09/27/2024 46.0 Diagonal Put at $0.01 to release some margin
#VXXContango

SPX 0-dte for 9/27/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Sept 27th 5680/5700-5795/5815 condors for 1.10, IV 16.88%, deltas -.07 +.06

#protectprofits

SPY Expiration

1 SPY 580/576 Bear Call Spread

EL Stock

The revival of China really pushed this one
Bought on 09/10 at $85.00. Sold today at $101.08
#TinyBuy

#fallingknife

SPY Puts

Sold 1 SPY 09/27/2024 558/567 Bull Put Spread at $0.28 Credit
#EveryLittleBitHelps

XBI

Starting a pre-election ladder at the 200 day.

Sold XBI Nov 01 2024 93.0 Puts @ 1.30

TLT

Another round.

Sold TLT Oct 18 2024 100.0 Calls @ .41

TQQQ Put

#shortputs
$TQQQ STO 10/4 70 put at 1.07

QQQ

#CoveredCalls QQQ 9/27/24 499 @ 0.34 Credit (1DTE)

SPX 0-dte trades for 9/26/24

#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Sept 26th 5675/5695-5800/5820 condors for 1.40, IV 17.42%, deltas -.08 +.06. First time with strikes over 5800

#protectprofits

TLT

On the road this week so not doing much. These were sold against synthetic long stock.

Bought to Close TLT Sep 30 2024 102.0 Calls @ .01 (sold for .80)

SPY and GLD Expirations

1 SPY 531/541 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 558/567 Bull Put Spread – sold today
1 SPY 551/567 Bull Put Spread
1 SPY 579/571 Bear Call Spread
1 SPY 579/574 Bear Call Spread

1 GLD 248/246 Bear Call Spread

SPY

#BullPutSpread STO SPY 9/27/24 567/557 @ 0.83 Credit

#CoveredCalls QQQ 492 expiring today

SPY 0DTE

Sold 1 SPY 09/25/2024 558/567 Bull Put Spread at $0.17 Credit

SOXL

#everylittlebithelps
#shortputs
SOLD SOXL 27 SEP 24 31.5 PUT @.13

#coveredcalls
SOLD SOXL 4 OCT 24 45.5 CALL @.14

CVS

Sold 1 CVS Oct 11 2024 64.0 Covered Call at $0.30
Sold 1 CVS Oct 18 2024 64.0 Covered Call at $0.44

SOXL

Rolled my SOXL 09/27/2024 45.0 Covered Calls to SOXL 10/04/2024 45.5 Covered Calls for $0.14 Credit

TQQQ,

I rolled my Sept. 27, 75 calls to October 4, 77calls for a credit of .38

TQQQ Diagonal Calls

Bought 1 TQQQ 10/04/2024 80 Call / Sold 1 TQQQ 09/27/2024 73.50 Call at $0.34 Diagonal Credit
#OnlySpreads

SPY Puts and Calls

Sold 1 SPY 09/25/2024 579/574 Bear Call Spread at $0.21 Credit – #0DTE
Sold 1 SPY 09/26/2024 580/576 Bear Call Spread at $0.19 Credit

Sold 1 SPY 09/27/2024 543/567 Bull Put Spread at $0.86 Credit