Barring a reversal on day and a close lower, today will be the third consecutive day where the VIX will close below the Fib 78.6% retracement line (from the recent VIX low of April 20 to high of June 27th). This will trigger an Upside Warning. Since we are already close to both the recent SPX high and the all-time high, it’s hard to say how far and how strongly it can run. Of course, it could also be a head-fake. But for now, VIX is telling us the risk is more to the upside.