#Earnings $JPM reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Jan. 14, 2020 BO +1.16%
Oct. 15, 2019 BO +3.01%
July 16, 2019 BO +1.07%
April 12, 2019 BO +4.68%
Jan. 15, 2019 BO +0.73%
Oct. 12, 2018 BO -1.09%
July 13, 2018 BO -0.45%
April 13, 2018 BO -2.70%
Jan. 12, 2018 BO +1.65%
Oct. 12, 2017 BO -0.28%
July 14, 2017 BO -0.91%
April 13, 2017 BO -1.17%
Avg (+ or -) 1.58%
Bias 0.48%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 99.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 91.39 to 106.61 (+/- 7.7%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 97.44 to 100.56
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (4.7%): 94.37 to 103.63
Based on DOWN max only (-2.7%): 96.33
NOTE: 5-day maxes are virtually the same as 1-day: -2.8% and +4.6%. But projected move into Friday is higher than any of these previous moves (+/- 7.7%)
Open to requests for other symbols.