NUGT inversion roll

Position was 180/155 inverted @ 28.70 for this Friday. Using the wild swing today and rolling out 2 weeks and actually getting un-inverted…(is that a word? LOL!)

Closed call side earlier on the selloff and re-sold out in Sep 2nd expiration on the bounce.

Sold NUGT SEP 2 2016 175.0 Call @ 7.00
Rolled 180 put to Sep 2 2016 170 put @ even.

All factored in the new position is now a normal 170/175 strangle for a nice 32.20 premium captured so far. I’ll wait and look to adjust later on. A single strangle next week also that I’ll look to roll out 2 weeks when (if) the time comes. Seems to be working nicely on the staggered 2 week roll schedule.

NUGT…back in on the call side

Not counting the scalp on the calls this morning…I’ll book those.

Sold NUGT AUG 26 2016 170.0 Call @ 5.00

Paired with 160 put for 15.15 total premium on the strangle…

XIV SVXY VIX…

Volatility dropping…did they leak the “no hike” decision? LOL…they wouldn’t do that!

Sosnoff said something interesting…

The other day he talked about how there are certain tickers that he ALWAYS has a position in. Said he makes the bulk of his money carrying these all the time and constantly adjusting and collecting theta. Most of the ones he mentioned were all the usual suspects….big and liquid.

Seemed like an interesting idea to me. That’s almost how I’ve been trading NUGT lately. Not so worried about selling and expiring….trading it for bigger premium with smaller positions and just planning on doing that indefinitely…(as long as premium stays elevated).

With all this in mind, I’d like to try it in a regular stock. Looking at CMG since it’s not crazy expensive (see PCLN) and offers weeklies. What do you guys think of his theory?

NUGT getting perky?

First multiple time frame buy signal of the day…

NUGT calls

KInda risky but taking advantage of the drop to close some calls sides of strangles. I’ll re-sell ’em at some point but this is too nice a selloff not to do something…

Bought to Close NUGT AUG 19 2016 155.0 Call @ 3.50 (I’ll re-sell it out in Sep when I roll inverted put side)
Bought to Close NUGT AUG 26 2016 180.0 Call @ 2.75 (sold yesterday for 6.40)

NUGT….gotta love this thing!

Any chance it closes flat on the day? Dan at OMM says ain’t no way, not even a possibility rates get raised. Gonna be fun to watch!

NUGT inversion for this week

180/155 inverted strangle for Friday…There’s only about 4 dollars of premium left in it. Wondering how far to push my luck before (or if) rolling. Since both sides are in the money I may do something a little sooner. These would be perfect for someone to hit me with an early exercise. On the bright side the entire position is sitting at breakeven.

Looking back this thing started out around 80/120. Rolled both sides up for awhile staying fairly even each roll. Finally got to the point where premium couldn’t keep up with roll cost and had to invert. So far so good. I’m gonna be stubborn and keep the trade going and try to “un-invert” it eventually…LOL

EDIT…the advantages of staying small allows this in an account my size. Thanks to TT for beating that into my head over and over!

NUGT…next week again

Little bounce there and needing some short deltas…gets all the strangles balanced again.

Sold NUGT AUG 26 2016 180.0 Call @ 6.40

NUGT…next week

Sold NUGT AUG 26 2016 190.0 Call @ 6.00

Paired with 160 put…position is now 160/190 strangle @ 12.50.

A little narrower than I would like but the put side was a reverse roll from last week. Debating whether to leave it by itself but decided what the neck…pair it up and see what happens.

NUGT inversion experiment update

What started out as a strangle with the short call getting killed this thing still has a chance. Went further inverted today. Position was next week’s 165/155 inverted strangle @ 21.70 credit. Rolled the 165 put up to 180 put for another 7.00 credit.

Position is now 180/155 inverted @ 28.70. As long as the credit received is more than the inverted width it will make money. Goal is to still have the stock price be inside the strangle at expiration. Pay the width of the strangle for the position to go away and keep the difference. If nothing else it has a lot better chance than if I would’ve let the original 100 put (or whatever it was…don’t remeber) just sit there.

NUGT…this week’s strangle

Was sitting on a 155/170 strangle for this week. 155 put almost worthless so reverse rolling the 170 call out 2 weeks to the put side.

Bought NUGT AUG 12 2016 170.0 Call @ 9.75
Sold NUGT AUG 26 2016 160.0 Put @ 9.15

Paid .60 debit but that’s ok…I’ll look to sell the call side at some point…or maybe not at all and just reduce my size a little.

SHAK earnings

Haven’t decided yet if I’ll do it. Iron fly 2.5 wide for 1.90. Risk 60 to make 190. MMM of 2.75. Could also widen to 3 for not much more risk…

/ES eminis hedge

Yesterday:

SOLD 2 Sep futures @ 2176.75
SOLD 2 Aug 17 2170 puts @ 9.75
Bought 4 Aug 17 2195 calls @ 4.45

After looking a lot closer at this last night I decided the max loss wasn’t worth the potential gain so closed it all this morning for a scratch. Watching TT last night a couple guys on there had what I felt was a much better hedge. Lower cost and higher reward than what I was trying. They were going out to Sep and just buying VIX 15/20 call spreads. Only paying about 85 cents so much better R/R than my futures trade.

I haven’t bought those yet but might if we get a pullback in VIX closer to 11…

DIS KORS YELP earnings

DIS 93.5/96/96/98.5 iron flies @ 1.93 (closed for 1.20)
KORS 46.5/50/50/53.5 iron fly @ 2.70 (closed for 1.55)

YELP 29.5/32.5/32.5/35.5 iron flies @ 2.39

YELP outside the move so waiting a little on it. Could get out at .50 loss right now. Since max loss is only .61 I’ll watch it awhile. Like to get out at a scratch but even if taking max loss the 3 trades combined are profitable. Could possibly roll the calls or take short position in the stock while waiting for reality to set in for YELP…LOL

Earnings…can we predict the move?

Interesting…

https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/daily_recaps/2016-08-09/episodes/reversals-after-earnings-08-09-2016

KORS anyone?

By the way…I’ve been a long time supporter of the hometown brewery but recently switched to the silver bullets…so gotta do this. Just one fly…

Sold this week’s 46.5/50/50/53.5 iron fly @ 2.70

Risk 80 to make 270 and once again needing a slightly less than MMM…

DIS earnings

Was just getting ready to adjust the strikes up a half point when it filled…

Sold this week’s 93.5/96/96/98.5 iron flies @ 1.93

Risk 57 to make 193. MMM is currently 2.94 so need something slightly less than that…

YELP earnings

Sold this week’s 29.5/32.5/32.5/35.5 iron flies @ 2.39

Risk 61 to make 239. MMM is currently 3.82 so need something slightly less than that…

Eminis…transgender trade?

Sorry about the National Enquirer headline…

What I meant to say is I’m taking an Emini trade where I won’t really care which way it goes…LOL It’s in a squeeze but hard to say which way it will go so taking a shot here.

SOLD 2 Sep futures @ 2176.75
SOLD 2 Aug 17 2170 puts @ 9.75
Bought 4 Aug 17 2195 calls @ 4.45

Makes money on any down move and makes money on anything above 2195…unless it gets there quickly before the calls decay. Then call side could make money slightly lower. It’s a loser on anything between 2177 and 2195. If it settles in up in that range I could roll the put side up for a little extra premium.

NUGT…back on track

Sold NUGT AUG 12 2016 170.0 Call @ 3.00

Paired with this week’s 155 put. Back in the routine now…selling a fairly aggressive strangle in this week and next week. That allows a 2 week rollout of the current week if needed and still collecting big theta while only requiring small margin.

VXX reverse split

Posted this last week. Maybe effective after the close today? Not seeing it yet.

Next VXX Reverse Split (No. 8) —July 24th, 2024 2023

VXX…destiny

http://sixfigureinvesting.com/2013/08/next-vxx-reverse-split/

PCLN…can’t win ’em all (unfortunately)

Yesterday:

Sold weekly PCLN 1305/1355/1355/1405 iron fly @ 42.00. Risking 8 to make 42

Obviously stock blasted through the entire call side so by the close today that side would be at full 50 loss unless there is a massive pullback. At the open today my goal was to close that side for anything less than 50. Anything less than 50 would reduce max loss by that amount. Managed to close the call side for 48.50, reducing max loss down to 6.50. Then, sold a weekly 1405 put for 2.00. Watching that now…if it expires max loss would then be reduced to 4.50. Not bad for an awful trade. Combined with all the other earnings plays so far it’s been a banner earnings season.

I’m now a PCLN bull for the day! LOL

PCLN…pushing my luck

It’s been a record setting earnings season so I’m pushing it one more time…

Sold weekly PCLN 1305/1355/1355/1405 iron fly @ 42.00. Risking 800 to make 4200. Short strikes centered at about the mid point of today’s range. MMM has dropped a little today so selling just inside that. 50 wide with a 66 move priced in. Win or lose I’ll be smiling!

Also…protective wings at a cluster of moving averages on the downside and the year high on the upside. Still, all bets are off with this thing! Could go anywhere…

Bill Gross…funny!

Saw this on Seeking Alpha:

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/03/investing-in-gold-big-players-put-money-into-the-precious-metal.html

Guess it’s time to sell gold if his track record is any indication. LMAO!!

http://www.aol.com/article/2009/02/26/bill-gross-the-747-billion-bond-man-declares-the-death-of-equ/1472266/

Notice the date he declared equities dead…about a week before the bottom…hahaha!

NUGT inversion

As an experiment I went inverted on my NUGT August monthly position a few days ago. Can’t remember what it started out as but I’ve been rolling the put side up all along against a short 155 call. Finally took the inverted plunge just to see how it works.

Position is now 165put/155call inverted strangle for net premium of 21.70. I can see a few different scenarios so here’s what I’m considering:

1. Stock closes outside the strangle then one side will expire. At that point I’ll roll the other side up or down as far as I can for even and then sell the other side. Hopefully can get the entire thing “un-inverted” and have credit jacked up close to 30.
2. If the stock closes in between the strikes I’ll let the position go for 10 bucks and pocket the remaining 11.70 that I’ve already collected.
3. Possibly close it at any point in time for something less than 21.70 and then reload a new strangle somewhere else.

PCLN…still debating

After the selling today MMM is down to 67 dollars. I’m looking at something like this:

Weekly 1300/1350/1350/1400 @ 43.00 Risking 700 to make 4300. 50 wide with a 67 move so not sure. Could widen it for better odds but a little higher max loss. No position yet…

REGN put spread

Sold REGN SEP 16 2016 400/375 Bull put spread @ 5.20

Went with the spread for this reason:

A series of proposals from the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services related to reimbursements could lead doctors to favor the use of rival eye drugs Avastin and Lucentis, made by Roche Holding AG, Regeneron executives said on a post-earnings conference call.

No matter what happens my worse case scenario is getting the stock 19.80 below current price. Let’s say this passes and REGN drops to 200. With the put spread I’d close the long put at a big gain and take the stock at a big loss but net basis in the stock would only be 219.80. If it doesn’t tank then it’s a nice return.

NUGT mining

Bought to Close NUGT AUG 5 2016 155.0 Put @ .70 (sold for 5.40 after multiple roll ups to capture additional premium)

REGN

Anyone looking at a put or put spread sale on this thing?

TSLA earnings

Bought to close TSLA 210/225/225/240 iron fly @ 6.23 (sold for 10.90)

Interesting…I was watching some tastytrade replays last night and at one point they were showing the TSLA options chain earlier in the day. This particular position was going for over 12 bucks. They commented this morning about how volatility was coming out of TSLA all afternoon…still feel like normally you’re better off waiting until last minute to set these to keep them centered…

TSLA iron fly 

Sold 210/225/225/240 @ 10.90. Risk 410 to make 1090. On my phone so not sure if I’m liking this but can’t resist. Lol

Good luck!

Fun with NUGT

Bought stock at 163.50 on the morning drop. Sold for 167.50 on the bounce. Seems like this thing always recovers a little after an opening drop…

EA earnings 

Out most of the day today so bought back the iron flies for 1.60. Sold for 2.40. I’ll take it for a little overnight quickie. Hoping to get a chance to do something in TSLA or PCLN later.

tastytrade iron fly research…

Quite a few segments on these. Think I’ll review a few tonight.

https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/learn/iron-fly

FIT earnings

Trying for the weekly 11/13/13/15 iron fly @ 1.30. Risking 70 to make 130 per fly. Expected move of 1.55 so selling just outside that. Possibility of a huge IV collapse on this one.

EA earnings

Trying for the weekly 74/77/77/80 iron fly @ 2.45. Risking 55 to make 245 per fly. Expected move of 3.90 but selling 3 wide so need a small move.

NEM…hey Jeff check it out

Similar to what we were talking about the other day…is this trade too late?

NEM Oct 2016 $45/$49 Diagonal Call Spread for $2.60 or better when NEM was trading at 45.44
Stop: 37.8 Stock Below (Stop at 37.8 )
Legs:
Buy 1 Oct 21 45 NEM Call
Sell 1 Sep 16 49 NEM Call

SRPT…premium too good to pass up

As thomberg pointed out this morning…premium is through the roof on this thing. I’ve gotta give it a shot but defining my risk (remember CLSN or was it CLDX?)

Sold SRPT SEP 16 2016 12/10 Bull put spreads @ .80

UVXY…no naked for Fuzzy

Promised myself I wouldn’t go naked on these anymore. Got squeezed pretty hard in Aug 2015 and a little last January. Didn’t like the feeling and it caused me to miss some really good opportunities in other places (like shorting VIX futures). Keeping these in an IRA and spreading a little closer to the money but no margin issues even if this thing goes to 100 again. Rolling strategy is to leave enough room to roll and widen slightly to allow a credit roll. This worked great during the Aug 2015 spike. Held a Dec 50/60 through that entire thing with no worries at all. Only regret was not selling more while they were in the money.

Sold to Open UVXY OCT 21 2016 40/50 Bear call spreads @ 1.00

I’ll sell more at the same strikes as UVXY rises…margin required is still the same so might as well be more aggressive on the sales.

PCLN and TSLA

Maybe this volatility coming in will help with earnings trades premium tomorrow. Today looks better than yesterday now. PCLN iron fly selling for 55 bucks on a 70 wide. Risking 15 to make 55 on a slightly less than expected move. MMM now showing 78. Maybe super wide iron condor the safer play? Still looking at TSLA….hopefully Jeff will take a look at these before the close tomorrow.

UVXY…I was mad

Did this as an anger trade…LOL (not really…just irritated). Was starting to look like this thing was gonna go right back to single digits without a chance to do anything. Right after the split I sold Sep 35/45 bear call spreads for 1.55 on a rare uptick.

Bought ’em back today for 1.05 since they are a little too close for comfort and volatility looks to be perking up a little. Made some beer money and looking to re-load higher…

NUGT reverse roll

Next week expiration:

Bought 1 180 call and sold 2 155 puts for 1.52 credit. Overall NUGT position still short but playing this breakout with shorter term puts. Still strangles for Aug and Sep with calls that are in the money now. I’ll see how these puts play out before any aggressive rolls on the put side of those strangles…

NUGT…inverted?

Great review of the tastytrade inverted strangle strategy this morning. May try it on one of my NUGT positions…

NUGT TOS Active Trader tab

Lost 33 dollars playing with NUGT in the TOS Active Trader tab. Seems like some interesting possibilities once you get the hang of it…

NUGT roll

Was short this week’s 155/165 strangle from a roll last week. Don’t want to let the call get in the money so rolled to next week’s 180 call for even. Leaving this week’s 155 put where it is for now. Position is about delta neutral. Watching for now…

NUGT…another crazy day

Quick flipper:

Sold NUGT AUG 5 2016 130.0 Puts @ 3.00
Bought NUGT AUG 5 2016 130.0 Puts @ 1.70

Roll: (this is getting old)

Rolled this week’s 145 call (sold for 6.10 net so trying to keep that) into next week’s 155/165 strangle for even.

Back to work now…have a great weekend everyone!

IBB…managing winners

Looking a little weak here at the top of it’s range for last 6 months so booking these.

Bought to close IBB Aug 19 2016 260 Put @ .86 (sold for 4.00)
Bought to close IBB Sep 16 2016 250 Put @ 1.80 (sold for 4.10)

AMZN earnings play

Bought to close weekly 700/750/750/800 iron fly @ 15.00 (sold for 40.25)

Can’t believe it worked this well. Weakness at the open allowed for a nice exit. In the trade for 16 minutes of “market open” time…LMAO . What’s that annualized? After scratching iron flies in FB and NFLX this earnings cycle, finally got something inside the expected move.

AMZN earnings….gulp

Here goes…putting all my CMG earnings profits on the line. (by the way…thank you Ramie for that awesome CMG trade!)

Sold AMZN 700/750/750/800 iron fly @ 40.25. Risking 9.75 to make 40.25. Anything inside the 45 dollar expected move would be nice. Otherwise it’s back to breakeven for earnings season!

CMG…??

One of the founders of CMG is a tastytrader…ripoff!

http://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/Chipotle+Mexican+Grill+(CMG)+Confirms+Burger+Restaurant+Tasty+Made/11874563.html

IBB…watching closely

Is that a quadruple top on the daily? Short some puts so watching it….may not try to squeeze it all out of these. Aug 260 and Sep 250 both up almost 75 percent of available premium.

AMZN or GOOGL earnings?

Waiting until 2:30 central time to see what Tony V. (the earnings slayer…LOL) at tastytrade is doing. He now has a 2 minute segment at 2:30 each day on an earnings play. He went with the double diagonal super bull on FB yesterday. Guessing he’ll talk about one of the biggies today.

FEYE…following DAN at OMM

Sold FEYE Aug 19 2016 17.0 Puts @ .90

NUGT put

Not even messing with this…unless I get a chance to sell it again!

Bought to Close NUGT JUL 29 2016 125.0 Put @ .20 (sold for 2.30)

FB…my earnings attempt

Was doing this quickly yesterday afternoon on my phone. Wasn’t sure of the exact expected move either. I would’ve liked to have waited until closer to the close to center it better but didn’t have time.

Sold the weekly 117/122/122/127 iron fly for 4.40. Risking 60 to make 440. Obviously a bigger move than this but with the massive volatility crush was able to exit the entire thing at 4.30 today. Made a dime so calling it a scratch and moving on. Doesn’t anything ever move inside the expected move any more?…LOL

Busy week…

Just checking in….keep an eye on Jumpin’ Janet for me. LOL! Crazy week at work so not much happening. Tiny Nuggets this week for fun. Good luck!

SVXY…more covered calls

I’ll plan on buying these back on the next volatility spike. If we don’t get it then they’re covered.

Sold SVXY JAN 20 2017 70.0 Call @ 6.50
Sold SVXY JAN 20 2017 75.0 Call @ 4.72
Sold SVXY JAN 20 2017 80.0 Call @ 3.30

#IRA

OPTT

Anybody back up the truck on this one last week? Wow!

SPX spread adjustment

Rolled short Aug 31 1900 puts up to 2000 for 2.65 credit. Gradually rolling up over last few weeks. Doubt if I go any higher since this is now sitting at the Brexit low.

NEM

With all of our NUGT positions, it will be interesting to see what Newmont reports after the close today…

NFLX recap

Posted yesterday:

Sold the weekly 89/99/99/109 for 7.30 yesterday for earnings.

Obviously a bigger move than the market expected. By staying small I can afford to mess with this for awhile. At the open today, I sold the long 89 puts at 3.65 (too early) giving me a total premium received for the trade of 10.95. This would give me the stock at a cost basis of 88.05. I’ll be looking for a rally to this number to close this week or start looking to sell covered calls beyond this week.

Update:

By staying small I’ve been able to adjust and extend duration. Trade is now back to even and with DAN over at OMM putting on a long trade this morning I’m feeling like there’s a decent chance to get out fairly profitably.

NUGT again

Little bounce there so:

Sold NUGT JUL 29 2016 160.0 Call @ 3.50

Looking to add put side soon…

NUGT adjustment

Sitting on an August 125/200 strangle from a rollout that only brought in 2.90 net after the roll. Making a delta adjustment and adding some premium to make it seem more worthwhile to hold this thing.

Rolled the 200 call down to 170 for 4.15 credit. Still above all time high bringing total strangle premium to 7.05…

Still looking to add some shorter term calls if the chance comes along….

NUGT…getting out of the way for now

Bought to Close NUGT JUL 22 2016 135.0 Put @ 6.10 (sold for 3.10)
Bought to Close NUGT JUL 29 2016 190.0 Call @ .78 (sold yesterday for 3.40)

38 cent loss on these so combined with the closing yesterday of this week’s call for a 2.20 gain still a decent week. Not going to ride the put side of this thing into a smoking hole so happy to be out with good profit. Looking to re-sell some calls on a bounce later…

IBB…getting back in the game

#401k was all cash so dipping a toe back in to this fairly reliable ticker…(so far). Starter positions small.

Sold IBB Aug 19 2016 260.0 Put @ 4.00
Sold IBB Sep 16 2016 250.0 Put @ 4.10

NUGT…keep the theta rolling

Bought to Close NUGT JUL 22 2016 195.0 Call @ .30 (sold for 2.50 as part of a weekly strangle)
Sold to Open NUGT JUL 29 2016 190.0 Call @ 3.40

I’ll add next week’s put side once this week’s looks a little safer.

NFLX earnings iron fly

Sold the weekly 89/99/99/109 for 7.30 yesterday.

Obviously a bigger move than the market expected. By staying small I can afford to mess with this for awhile. At the open today, I sold the long 89 puts at 3.65 (too early) giving me a total premium received for the trade of 10.95. This would give me the stock at a cost basis of 88.05. I’ll be looking for a rally to this number to close this week or start looking to sell covered calls beyond this week.

NUGT weekly strangles

As long as IV is through the roof I’ll keep selling these weeklies.

Sold NUGT JUL 22 2016 135.0 Put @ 3.10

Adding this to the 195 call sold yesterday for 2.50

NUGT…playing it safe again

Rolled this up a couple times so closing just in case she goes lower…already closed call side of strangle.

Bought to Close NUGT JUL 15 2016 155.0 Put @ 2.10 (sold for 5.90)

HLF…blast from the past

Looks like we have a winner!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100408608

NUGT weekly strangle

Been paying nicely each week…getting a jump start on next week. Already closed this week’s 190 call and rolled up the put side a couple times (currently 155). With the aggressive put roll I’ll start the call side for next week a little early.

Sold NUGT JUL 22 2016 195.0 Call @ 2.50

SPX….still on the fence about trading this regularly

I’ve been messing with SPX off and on for a year or so mainly with 60-90 day positions well out of the money. Making a little here and there but can’t decide if it’s worth the effort for the return I’m getting…especially with these seemingly impossible crazy moves we’ve gotten. Taking a step back for now…

Bought to Close SPX SEP 30 2016 2225/2250 Bear call spread @ 6.90 (sold for 2.25)
Bought to Close SPX OCT 31 2016 2250/2275 Bear call spread @ 6.30 (sold for 2.50)

Net loss on these 2 positions of 8.45. Only other position is twice as many Aug 31 1900/1775 put spreads where I’ve been rolling up the short side. Net credit on those is 4.30 at twice the size of the calls so bringing in 8.60. This was my intended stop point…when the call losses equaled the max possible put gains I would close. Risking a whipsaw here but could reload the calls if needed. I’d prefer the puts expire and walk away with a wash though…we’ll see!

SVXY closing puts

These were part of a short call reverse roll from awhile back so happy to have any profit. Taking them off now with VIX in the dump without much of an SVXY pop….things that make you go hmmm…LOL In an #IRA so freeing up lots of cash as well.

Bought to Close SVXY JUL 15 2016 55.0 Puts @ .25 (sold for .90 reverse roll)