IBB…playing it safe

Not holding out for the last nickel since it’s looking a little weak. Might even get a chance to reload today or tomorrow. In an #IRA so freeing up lots and lots of cash.

Bought to Close IBB JUL 15 2016 260.0 Puts @ .20 (sold for 3.20)

SPX put spread adjustment

Rolled August 31st short 1825 puts up to 1900 for 2.55 credit. Might seem like a big roll but it’s only from delta .03 to delta .08. Still a 90.78 percent chance of expiring according to TOS. Accelerating theta should help protect these on anything other than a major selloff…maybe 🙂

NUGT weekly strangle

Jumping back in for next week….

Sold July 15 2016 125/190 strangle @ 4.60

NUGT update

Been messing around this week with the rolling up of an original 95 strike put sale to see how it works out. Busy at work, but Wednesday afternoon made a super aggressive roll up from 150 to 162.5. This brought total credit for the week to 13.10. Of course Mr. Market noticed this and NUGT dumped…LOL funny how that happens! In any case, closed it on the bounce this morning at 7.55 for net gain of 5.55. Looking like I might have been a little early but leaving soon and not sure I’ll see the close. Interesting experiment….slightly too aggressive but still good for a week.

Tastytrade suggests rolling to delta 30 on the non threatened side of a strangle. I went a little beyond that but got lucky. The 150 strike would’ve been about right. All’s well that ends well!

NUGT rolls…

Busy at work most of the morning but managed a couple rolls…

Rolled Aug 105/175 strangle up to 125/200 for .74 debit
Rolled Sep 105/180 strangle up to 120/200 for .71 debit

I’ll take the 1.45 cost for these rolls out of the 11.05 received for selling this week’s put…still a nice return for the week.

NUGT – taking one for the team

If this doesn’t make NUGT roll over and die nothing will…hedging my Aug 105/175 and Sep 105/180 short strangle positions.

Originally sold this week’s 125 put last week. Rolled it up Friday to 135 for nice credit. Very aggressive roll this morning to 150…LOL! 4.50 credit on today’s roll bringing the total to 11.05. Breakeven down to 138.95. Even after this I’m slightly short overall. If NUGT continues up I’ll use some of the premium from this put to roll up the call side of the existing strangles.

Good luck!

SPX call spreads

Closed the put side of these already…finally getting a chance to sell the call side since it looks like we might be near a top. Starter positions small…

Sold SPX SEP 30 2016 2225/2250 Bear call spreads @ 2.25
Sold SPX OCT 31 2016 2250/2275 Bear call spread @ 2.50

/GC Gold futures

Boring rainy days here in STL so to liven things up a little took a shot scalping gold from the long side….

Stopped out overnight with -1.9

This morning:

In 1350.50 Out 1353.20 +2.7
In 1351.20 Out 1352.90 +1.7
In 1352.00 Out 1352.50 +0.5

Net gain 3 points…I’ll take it! (this contract is fairly large trading at 100 dollars per point)

From VIXCONTANGO.com

Key Market Levels

The market traveled more than 200 SPX points this week on the way down and back. Here are all the instances where the SPX has traveled 200 points or more in the span of 5 consecutive trading days.

These instances are Apr of 2000, Sep/Oct/Nov of 2008, Aug of 2011, Aug of 2015 and now Jun of 2016. All of these are associated with market stress – Tech Bubble Burst, Lehman, AAA downgrade, Sudden China Devaluation and now Brexit. In all of these instances, there is no comparable where the rally ended this close to the All-Time-High. In each prior instance, the bounce ended well below -5% from the ATH. This is what makes this week’s recovery stand alone in the pantheon of sudden reversals. You have never had reversal this quickly this fast this close near a top. Only April of 2000 is somewhat similar and after an extended flat-market in 2000, the market turned into the bear market of 2000-2003.

The market now has to push above the 2100-2135 resistance area in order for anybody to get convinced that this rally will last. Right now, we are back right smack in the resistance area. Whether we break through depends on the following incoming data over the next 2-3 weeks:

US Non-Manufacturing PMI (Service PMI)
FOMC Minutes on Wednesday
ADP/BLS Job Reports (180K expected)
Corporate earnings

For the SPX, at resistance there is only 2 trades from a technical standpoint:

Short SPX with a stop over the breakout level which is at 2135
Long SPX after a breakout over 2135

This is going to be an epic tug of war here over the next 2-3 weeks as this data is rolling in.

Seasonally, July is the strongest summer month, which is not really saying much as the average July SPY return is 0.5% or the 6th weakest month in a year with 12 months. More notably, the year’s worst months on average are ahead of us. So you can’t expect seasonal factors to favor the bulls or bears here and the price will be entirely determined by external factors. However, you should expect seasonal factors and low volume to favor the bears in August and September.

Resistance levels on the topside is the 2100-2135 area where rally petered out multiple times over the past 2 months and over the past 2 years.

Support area is at the 2080 level where the 10-50MAs are and after that 2020-2040 area where the 100-200MAs are.

Key Volatility Levels:

We already discussed the historic nature of the VIX drop this week. The VIX futures curve also went from a “Bear Market” formation to a “Rally” formation in the span of one week. Technically this is defined as Contango going from negative to positive (above 5%) with the jump being more than 10 basis points. Here are all the prior occurrences of this phenomenon:

There are 3 instances in 2007, one during the European Crisis in 2010, one at the start of 2013 (Fiscal Cliff Deal), one at the end (Government Shutdown), end of 2014 and July of 2015.

2007 instances were precursors to the historically high volatility regime of 2008, from 2010-2014 they were amazing buying opportunities for XIV, in 2015 the August crash of 2015 followed soon after and now Brexit.

So no verdict can be reached from a technical standpoint, but the verdict is pretty clear once you take into account qualitative factors. These volatility curve formation changes were great times to short volatility when the result was “market positive” such as the attainment of a deal during the Fiscal Cliff or the Government Shutdown. But shorting volatility was precisely the wrong trade during times where no such deal was present. Nobody really looks at Brexit as a market positive. Christine Lagarde of the IMF projected that the UK GDP loss will be anywhere between -1.5% and -4.5% by 2019 and the IMF routinely overestimates growth. In other words, this is the best case scenario. So buying the dip here in XIV may not be a wise thing.

XIV had a heck of a rally this week with a nearly 20% run, but remains -20% over the past month. VXX is -20% for the week and +2% over the past month. However, the drop this week was way too fast for my taste and rushing in to buy the dip in XIV right here is probably a very bad idea. This is the “picking up pennies in front a steamroller” period now. VATR and VVIX remain very high and in all prior instance where VVIX remained high, a higher volatility regime ensued in the not so distant future. August is still ahead of us and August stands alone from a seasonal perspective as the one really bad month for XIV.

UVXY and KOLD

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/proshares-announces-etf-share-splits-201000848.html

ETE…Lou over at OMM likes it

He suggested RLYP and it worked out nicely so I’ll follow again.

Sold ETE JUL 15 2016 14.0 Puts @ .65

#ira, #shortputs

NUGT adjustments

All of my nuggets were in this week and tiny positions…(stay small!)

Bought to Close NUGT JUL 1 2016 117.0 Puts @ .05 (sold for 8.40 after multiple roll ups)

This left me with short 105 and 115 calls for today.

Rolled the 115’s to August 160/90 strangles for .50 debit
Rolled the 105’s to Sept 160/90 strangles for .06 debit

Paid for the debit rolls with a quick scalp of this week’s 138 puts right at the open. A quick in and out for 30 cents on a few contracts…

Now will be looking to sell some weekly shorter term puts on any weakness to stay fairly delta neutral. Current position short 71 deltas and would become long at 104 so there is some room for some sales on the put side for now…

SVXY puts

Not even messing with this stuff anymore after having a nickel nugget a few weeks ago turn into nearly 3 bucks on expiration day.

Bought SVXY JUL 1 2016 45.0 Puts @ .05 (sold for 1.50)

RLYP called early

Lost the last of my stock. Called away last night at 17 with a 16.25 basis. I’ll take it since it was originally a basis of 25 but reduced using weekly covered calls.

UVXY call spreads

Took these off today for a 3 day quickie…

Bought to Close UVXY AUG 19 2016 20/30 Bear call spreads @ .43 (sold for 1.05)

SVXY covered calls

Replacing a few I closed earlier this week.

Sold SVXY JUL 15 2016 53.0 Calls @ 1.25

#CoveredCalls

/VX VIX futures

Sold at 22.75 on the last second spike earlier and just covered at 21.75. A full point while packing for work..LOL I’ll take it!

/VX VIX futures

Sold at 22.50 and covered at 22.30

Little 20 tick winner…sold too early so looking to re-enter closer to 23 on this current drop.

SVXY covered calls

Bought to Close SVXY JUL 15 2016 65.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for .90)

Joining SPX party…

Bought to Close SPX SEP 16 2016 2250/2275 Bear call spreads @ .25 (sold for 1.60)

NUGT…playing it safe

I’ve been burned by this thing on huge Friday afternoon moves before so booking these just in case. A few weeks ago had a chance to close puts for a nickel but waited. They ended up in the money and trading for over 2 bucks a few hours later. Not this time!

Bought to Close NUGT JUN 24 2016 95.0 Put @ .15 (sold for 4.20)
Bought to Close NUGT JUN 24 2016 100.0 Put @ .29 (sold for 5.40)

NUGT again

Rolled my last call from this week earlier this morning. Starting a put position again for next since all other puts are expiring today. IV’s still crazy on both sides of the line of scrimmage today.

Sold NUGT JUL 1 2016 100.0 Put @ 4.67

Sold against 105 and 115 calls…looking to add a little more on a pullback.

UVXY call spreads

Staying small and looking to add… #IRA

Sold UVXY AUG 19 2016 20/30 Bear call spreads @ .85

SVXY

Sold SVXY JUL 1 2016 45.0 Put @ 1.50

NUGT crazy fills

Rolled 105 call to next week 115 for even when mid price was 1.00 debit…

🙂 🙂

Off topic…just had to laugh!

Rolling up to a stop light this morning…looks like a fan club forming in Missouri!

20160623_112445_resized

RLYP covered calls

Half position called away last week. Aggressively covering the other half now.

Sold RLYP Jun 24 2016 17.50 Calls @ .70

BIB covered calls

Replacing the 40’s that expired Friday…lowering cost basis to 35.40

Sold BIB Jul 15 2016 40.0 Calls @ 2.35

NUGT misc

Taking care of these now since tomorrow will be a fairly busy day. These weeklies keep paying quite nicely. Selling pretty aggressive strangles then rolling whichever side I have to and then selling the other side. Staying small!

Bought to Close NUGT JUN 17 2016 95.0 Put @ .20 (sold for 2.40)
Bought to Close NUGT JUN 17 2016 100.0 Put @ .49 (sold for 3.10)
Bought to Close NUGT JUN 17 2016 105.0 Put @ 1.00 (sold for 4.70)

Sold NUGT JUN 24 2016 95.0 Put @ 4.20
Sold NUGT JUN 24 2016 100.0 Put @ 5.40

Still slightly short delta overall down to around 98…

New indicator from John Carter…

Got this recently…seems kinda cool. The red/green dots at the bottom signal bearish or bullish on each of the next 4 higher time frames based on the time frame of the current chart. Haven’t quite figured out exactly how to trade it since I missed most of the webinar Saturday. Hoping to catch up over the weekend…seems like it could be a powerful tool combined with the squeeze indicator.

2016-06-16-TOS_CHARTS

From VIXCONTANGO.com

Of course they are just guessing like any body else…LOL

The SPX broke 2064 overnight which was the latest mini-support level of the alst 2 days. We’re in a vacuum here down to the 2040 level where the Nov-Dec lower highs support line sits. Underneath that is the 2020 level where the 100MA and 200MA sit.

The goal here is to go long volatility as the VIX will go to 25 or 30 or more as the SPX goes from 2060 to 2040 and ideally to the 2020 level.

Somewhere after the open, I will enter in a “Long VXX” trade at 50% of allocation. This trade should be executed in a margin account only because I may close the trade intraday at any time if the trade action goes against the trade or the VIX is seeming to peak (or the VX1 future stops responding to the VIX spiking). If you are using a 401(k), I recommend sitting this one out.

We are just entering negative contango here for a second time in a week (not a good sign for SPX bulls). VDelta is very negative. VCO and VTRO are also negative. VCO in particular is now negative for 4th straight day, a very ominous development for the SPX with a 100% volatility spike track record.

This is a good spot to go Long VXX even though the SmartVXX algo is not yet ready to pounce. The SmartVXX algo needs Contango and Roll Yield to get significantly negative (ie the Volatility Curve is heavily inverted). As such there is still risk of reversal (ie volatility reversing and starting to go down) here and for that I will have a pretty tight stop here at 5%. The worst loss should be 5% of 50% or about 2.5% of the portfolio. The target gain on this trade is anywhere from 10% to 25% over the next week. For those that are more adventurous, you can go with UVXY here to capture even more of the VIX pop. We could end up with a spike to VIX of 40 here. The Brexit will be the excuse, but the FED’s fumble yesterday will most likely be the real reason.

SPX roll

Rolled SPX JUN 24 2016 2025/1950 BuPS to Aug 31 1825/1775 for .20 credit. (2x size but still very small)

This was originally a 1975/1950 put side of an iron condor where I had greedily rolled up the short side for extra credit. Approaching delta 25 so taking action. Now paired up with 2225/2250 calls for a new condor.

SPX spreads

Bought to Close SPX JUL 29 2016 1800/1775 Bull put spreads @ 1.20 (sold for 1.70)

Just playing it safe here…

This was more of a…

This was more of a delta play vs a theta type trade. Taking it off now to cover margaritas for the week…LOL

Bought to Close SVXY DEC 16 2016 75.0 Call @ 3.00 (sold for 6.00)

No volatility here this week! 🙂 🙂 🙂

20160613_154917_resized

20160613_154413_resized

#vacation

Fuzzy out…for awhile

Pretty much trimmed my positions back to minimal…some covered calls on a few stocks, a little SPX, and a few NUGT strangles. Gonna be in Nassau all next week (my daughter’s Dean’s list reward…LOL). Not sure how the wifi is there and how much time I’ll have to watch the market. I’m guessing it’ll be a crazy week with the FOMC, Grexit, and triple witching so good luck everyone and stay small!

Now…where is that little umbrella for my drink???

IBB put

Adding another one…

Sold IBB Jul 15 2015 260 Put @ 3.20

NUGT puts

Bought to Close NUGT JUN 10 2016 55.0 Put @ .05 (part of 55/95 strangle)
Bought to Close NUGT JUN 17 2016 55.0 Put @ .35 (part of 55/105 strangle)

Looking to double dip on a pullback…

IBB puts

Attempting to replace stock getting called away today…

Sold IBB Jul 15 260 Puts @ 3.20

Looking like I’ll be out of BIB and RLYP in a couple weeks so trying to maintain a little biotech exposure…

NUGT learned my lesson

Had 95 calls expiring today that were worth .025 yesterday and I didn’t close them knowing a big number today was coming that could possibly move gold a lot. Now sitting at 2.40 so probably stuck with them a little longer on the roll out. Woulda coulda shoulda….

SVXY covered call

I’m betting I’ll get a chance to close this at a profit before December but if not, I’d let the stock go there.

Sold SVXY DEC 16 2016 75.0 Call @ 6.00

#IRA

VIXCONTANGO.com update

Around 2085 is where the SPX daily vstop is and where the Aug-Nov trendline sits as support. The SPX has a hard time breaking through that so far today. After a quick visit above 15, the VIX is back below 15. The SPX needs to break through 2085 to see a spike of the VIX to 16. And if it does that the moving average fan for the 10-50MAs in the 2070-2075 looks to be a very hard area to break for this market which continues to receive good news, the 51.2 manufacturing ISM with a stunning 63 prices reading being the latest one and a 45 reading for inventories. We have demand, we don’t have supply folks. Not to mention all kinds of positive merger news – Benioff was just on CNBC talking how hard it is to get a good MA deal because everybody is positioning for growth in 2017.

But even if the VIX spikes to 16, the VX1 and VX2 futures seem to already have this move priced in. VX2 is at 17.85 earlier today about 50 cents above VXV and the VX1 is at 15.85 about a point above VIX at 14.85. So the futures curve remains really elevated compared to the spots and there is only 9 trading days left to expiration.

Volatility Analytics remain strong. VForce is actually in the yellow as the VIX has gone above the VIX 50MA which is only at 14.51 by now. But the VIX 50MA should act as resistance and the reversion to the mean may have run its course for the VIX in the near term. At worst this looks like a move to 16 VIX and the futures have already priced it. So from here on out the surprise is for the VIX to go down and for the VIX futures to go down. And that is XIV bullish.

As such EliteVolatility is at 50% exposure to XIV, but should I see some confirmation that the SPX downdraft is over, will be going full 100% soon. So far what is happening today does not look like a “hanging man” confirmation to me even though it appear so on the surface early on in the day. A green candle today is not a “hanging man” confirmation…

NUGT strangles

Slow day…

Sold NUGT JUN 10 2016 55/95 Strangles @ 2.75

VIX calls

Bought a few calls at the close for fun. Never seems to stay at or below 13 for very long…

SPX put spreads

Bought to Close SPX JUN 30 2016 1825/1800 Bull put spreads @ .25 (sold for 1.40)

SPX call spreads

One quickie today. With June practically worthless moving out to Sep.

Sold SPX SEP 16 2016 2250/2275 Bear call spreads @ 1.60

Off topic….

Checking in from a parking lot in Lehigh Acres, Florida. Haven’t moved the crash pad in a year so got her out for a little week long shakedown. Have a great weekend everyone!

20160526_092925_resized

BIB covered calls

I’m a little heavy in biotech (long IBB also) so covering these with an aggressive ITM position for more protection. This strike still makes a nice profit even if the stock gets called away here.

Sold BIB Jun 17 2016 40 Calls @ 4.40

RLYP….another batch

Sold RLYP JUN 17 2016 20.0 Calls @ 1.15 (basis now 17.55)

Covered my lower basis (11.20) batch last week (too early!) @ 15 strike…

NUGT reverse roll

Just to keep deltas fairly neutral…

Rolled 1 June 3rd 75 put into 2 June 3rd 95 calls for .25 credit.

And to reduce the risk of getting whipsawed:

Bought to Close NUGT MAY 27 2016 100.0 Calls @ .40 (sold for 1.30)

RLYP covered calls

In the #IRA :

Bought to Close RLYP MAY 20 2016 15.0 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.30)
Sold RLYP JUN 17 2016 15.0 Calls @ 1.90

Cost basis now down to 11.15.

SPX call spreads

Bought to Close SPX JUN 30 2016 2200/2225 Bear call spreads @ .25 (sold for 1.75)
Bought to Close SPX JUL 29 2016 2225/2250 Bear call spreads @ .25 (sold for 2.05)

NUGT legging out

Bought to Close NUGT MAY 27 2016 150.0 Calls @ .10 (sold for 1.40 as part of a strangle)
Bought to Close NUGT JUN 3 2016 170.0 Calls @ .20 (sold for 1.75 as part of a strangle)

Other sides of these was 70 and 75 puts that I rolled 1 for 2 into 100 and 105 calls in same expiration staying fairly delta neutral now…

NUGT…staying cautious

Closing this thing a little early just in case we get a 30 point 2 day run…I’m happy since the 145 was originally a 175 that got rolled down for additional premium.

Bought to Close NUGT MAY 20 2016 75/145 Strangles @ .32 (sold for 3.80)

NUGT

Sold NUGT JUN 3 2016 170.0 Calls @ 1.75

I’ll leg into the strangle on a pullback…

SPX put spreads

Sold SPX JUL 29 2016 1800/1775 Bull put spreads @ 1.70

Legs me into the iron condor against 2225/2250 call spreads sold a few weeks ago.

NUGT strangles

This week’s 75/145 looking pretty good…adding to next week. Lower premium than last week but hopefully safe.

Sold NUGT MAY 27 2016 70/150 strangle @ 2.35 (already down from 3.40 last Friday)

SPX call spreads

Jun and July looking pretty safe so heading out to August…

Sold SPX AUG 31 2016 2225/2250 Bear call spreads @ 1.60

NUGT strangle

Easing in again…staying short term and small. Thinking (hoping 🙂 ) that next week’s 75/145 will start decaying pretty rapidly after the weekend.

Sold 1 NUGT MAY 27 2016 70/150 Strangle @ 3.40

XIV flipper

In at 28.05 yesterday and out at 29.05 today. Wouldn’t mind seeing it trade down to the 27.50 area for a possible re-entry.

NUGT call roll

Rolled next week’s 185 calls down to 145 for 1.20 credit. Trying to squeeze a little more out of this one but hopefully still safe… 🙂 Paired with 75 puts…

IBB covered calls

One little adjustment today:

Rolled May 20 250.0 covered calls out to Jun 3 252.50 for .50 credit.

NUGT calls

Gradually easing back in after taking all my call positions off due to a busy couple weeks away from the market…finally catching up here.

Sold NUGT MAY 20 2016 185.0 Calls @ 1.25

These are against 75 strike puts…you would think a 110 point wide strangle would be safe with 2 weeks to go but….

SPX put spreads

Sold SPX JUN 30 2016 1825/1800 Bull put spreads @ 1.40

These are against 2200/2225 call spreads…

NUGT thoughts and reflections…

Crazy couple weeks with a lot going on with more to come this week…LOL Caught up on the NUGT conversation from the last couple days. Thanks everyone for posting thoughts and ideas.

I closed some of my short call positions on Friday morning (so far I’m up on those trades!) at hopefully temporary losses. Taking a page from Jeff’s SPX book and setting them off to the side until I can find a safer entry point to get back in.

After watching this thing rise 300 percent I’ve thought all weekend about how I maybe could have played this better. I’ve decided to start playing my option selling trades a little more directional sometimes but still with an emphasis on time decay.

For example, when NUGT started breaking out a little in early Feb I started looking at recent resistance to establish some call sales. To my eyes that was up over 50 with the 200ma and a couple short term tops looking like they would hold. Of course hindsight is 20/20 and nobody could have seen a 300 percent run coming. I feel like what I should have done was start selling PUTS on the breakout above the 20ma and using the moving average as a stop. Seems like if I were to add a little directional bias into my sales and get out when I’m obviously wrong might be a safer play in the long run.

I’m certainly open to any thoughts or crticisms on this way of thinking…

Using this theory, I would re-sell my short call positions on NUGT when it starts showing signs of weakness and closes back below some major moving averages and then using those levels as stops if it breaks back above. Basically trading it the way I would trade a stock with entries near support or resistance and then having a nice close “I’m wrong” level. I’d just like to avoid selling a call for a 2 bucks and watching it go to 50! At least then I know what I’m risking and I think I could put on more positions knowing my risk is small and avoiding all the rolling and reverse rolling and margin worries. Of course I’ll never capture the entire move but I’m ok with sacrificing that for some safety.

So for now sitting on the NUGT sidelines (except for my short puts that are still out there) until we get a definite break of the uptrend. Then I’ll jump back in with some call sales possibly closer to the money with a (mental) stop loss level in mind.

I’m thick skinned so tell me if I’m crazy…LOL!

Off to training this week then back home to move my daughter back in for the summer. Happy trading everyone and SVXY and XIV you just keep on doing what you’ve been doing!

FB iron butterfly

Filled at the close…

Sold 105/110/110/115 IB @ 4.15 skewing slightly to the upside…

SPX Suz style

Doesn’t seem a lot different than Jeff’s…nice article

http://realmoney.thestreet.com/articles/04/22/2016/trading-income-make-money-non-directional-trading

NUGT adjustment

Didn’t do much last week but did do a little higher risk adjustment on some NUGT positions:

Had short June 50/70 bear call spreads sold too early for 1.10

Obviously the long 70’s were massively profitable so sold them for 27 bucks each. Then rolled the short 50’s out to Jan 2018 90’s for .40 credit. Also bought a few shares to help control margin if we continue higher. If the stock drops I’m willing to take a loss on it since I’m making the 27 baggers on the closed 70’s. Stop loss on the stock is a close below the 20ma…little higher risk with this adjustment but since the spread was completely in the money a debit roll would’ve been required anyway.

NUGT adjustments

Busy most of this week but did a couple NUGT adjustments this morning….

Bought to Close NUGT APR 22 2016 70.0 Puts @ .28 (sold for 3.08)

Split this week’s calls into May monthly 75/85 strangles:

Rolled this week’s 75 call out to May monthly 85 call for .50 credit
Reverse rolled this week’s 75 call out to May monthly 75 puts (x2) for even

This leaves me for May with 65 and 75 puts and 85 and 95 calls. Let’s wait and see where we end up. Could possibly have to roll back to calls with these puts (or not LOL)

SVXY covered calls

The last few weeks I’ve rolled these out and up. With the market up at resistance I’m going out but not up this week.

Rolled SVXY 50 strike covered calls out to next week for 1.30 credit. Wouldn’t mind this thing sitting at 50 forever. This roll is about 145 percent annualized. (basis now 46.70)

🙂

Outta here…

Duty calls….back to the old salt mine. Have a great day everyone. JFK-MIA…hopefully they leave me alone tomorrow!

Missing Jeff…BTW NS/GG banned for life I think

From Bridget at OMM:

@mirony $FB one of our old members JeffCP was great at those OTM selling option before earnings trades. I learned a lot from him, sad he’s no longer with OMM.

/VX VIX futures

Just a little quickie when the VIX dropped below 14…

Bought May futures at 17.55 and sold at 17.75. Sweet little 20 tick winner.

NUGT reverse roll

Bought to Close 1 NUGT MAY 20 2016 95.0 Call @ 10.82
Sold 2 NUGT MAY 20 2016 65.0 Puts @ 6.16

Reverse roll 1 for 2 for a 1.50 net credit…reducing deltas slightly but would still like this thing lower.

NUGT puts

Added one more:

Sold NUGT APR 22 2016 70.0 Put @ 3.10

More NUGT

Bought to Close NUGT APR 15 2016 50.0 Puts @ .05 (sold for 2.40)