AMZN earnings analysis

#Earnings $AMZN reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

April 29, 2021 AC -0.11%
Feb. 2, 2021 AC -1.99%
Oct. 29, 2020 AC -5.44%
July 30, 2020 AC +3.69%
April 30, 2020 AC -7.59%
Jan. 30, 2020 AC +7.37%
Oct. 24, 2019 AC -1.09%
July 25, 2019 AC -1.55%
April 25, 2019 AC +2.54%
Jan. 31, 2019 AC -5.38%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC -7.81%
July 26, 2018 AC +0.51%

Avg (+ or -) 3.76%
Bias -1.40%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 3,595.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 3,478.20 to 3,711.80
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 3,459.98 to 3,730.02
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (7.8%): 3,314.23 to 3,875.77
Based on UP max only (+7.4): 3,859.95

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