PINS earnings analysis

#Earnings $PINS reports tonight after the bell. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 9 quarters, which represents its entire history.

April 27, 2021 AC -14.50%
Feb. 4, 2021 AC +5.29%
Oct. 28, 2020 AC +26.92%
July 30, 2020 AC +36.12%
May 5, 2020 AC -14.84%
Feb. 6, 2020 AC +9.51%
Oct. 31, 2019 AC -17.02%
Aug. 1, 2019 AC +18.62%
May 16, 2019 AC -13.48%

Avg (+ or -) 17.37%
Bias 4.07%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 72.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 64.69 to 80.31
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 59.91 to 85.09
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (36.1%): 46.31 to 98.69
Based on DOWN max only (-17.0%): 60.16

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