E dub dub cal

#Earnings Bought $EW Oct25/Nov01 222.5p/225c #DoubleCalendar for 1.60.

XLNX earnings analysis

#Earnings $XLNX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 24, 2019 AC -3.44%
April 24, 2019 AC -17.07% Biggest DOWN
Jan. 23, 2019 AC +18.43% Biggest UP
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +15.00%
July 25, 2018 AC +9.59%
April 25, 2018 AC +1.69%
Jan. 24, 2018 AC -5.08%
Oct. 25, 2017 AC -0.12%
July 26, 2017 AC -2.26%
April 26, 2017 AC +7.35%
Jan. 25, 2017 AC -3.67%
Oct. 19, 2016 AC +0.96%

Avg (+ or -) 7.06%
Bias 1.78%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 95.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 87.54 to 102.46
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 88.30 to 101.70
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (18.4%): 77.49 to 112.51
Based on UP max only (-17.1%): 78.78

Open to requests for other symbols.

ALGN earnings analysis

#Earnings $ALGN reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 24, 2019 AC -26.98% Biggest DOWN
April 24, 2019 AC -0.11%
Jan. 29, 2019 AC +4.86%
Oct. 24, 2018 AC -20.20%
July 25, 2018 AC -4.91%
April 25, 2018 AC +5.80%
Jan. 30, 2018 AC -2.99%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC +16.23% Biggest UP
July 27, 2017 AC +10.04%
April 27, 2017 AC +12.09%
Jan. 31, 2017 AC +6.06%
Nov. 7, 2016 AC +1.05%

Avg (+ or -) 9.28%
Bias 0.08%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 215.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 190.68 to 239.32
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 195.06 to 234.94
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (27.0%): 156.99 to 273.01
Based on UP max only (+16.2%): 249.89

Open to requests for other symbols.

EW earnings analysis

#Earnings $EW reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 23, 2019 AC +9.93%
April 23, 2019 AC -1.79%
Jan. 31, 2019 AC -1.00%
Oct. 23, 2018 AC -5.35%
July 26, 2018 AC -8.50%
April 24, 2018 AC -3.82%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC +3.81%
Oct. 24, 2017 AC -9.55%
July 26, 2017 AC +0.64%
April 25, 2017 AC +10.49% Biggest UP
Feb. 1, 2017 AC -8.45%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC -17.09% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 6.70%
Bias -2.56%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 225.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 211.82 to 238.18
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 209.92 to 240.08
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (17.1%): 186.55 to 263.45
Based on UP max only (+10.5%): 248.60

Open to requests for other symbols.

TRTN Straddle

#shortstraddle

$TRTN STO 11/15 35 straddle at 2.45. Short call is covered.

TSLA earnings analysis

#Earnings $TSLA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 24, 2019 AC -13.61% Biggest DOWN
April 24, 2019 AC -4.26%
Jan. 30, 2019 AC -0.56%
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +9.13%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC +16.18% Biggest UP
May 2, 2018 AC -5.54%
Feb. 7, 2018 AC -8.62%
Nov. 1, 2017 AC -6.79%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC +6.50%
May 3, 2017 AC -5.00%
Feb. 22, 2017 AC -6.40%
Oct. 26, 2016 AC +0.87%

Avg (+ or -) 6.96%
Bias -1.51%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 252.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 232.19 to 272.81
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 234.94 to 270.06
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (16.2%): 211.65 to 293.35
Based on DOWN max only (-13.6%): 218.13

Open to requests for other symbols.

SOXL

#ShortPuts – One of my best performers over the last year. Jumping back in here. One contract in two different accounts.

Sold SOXL NOV 15 2019 150.0 Put @ 4.90
Sold SOXL DEC 20 2019 125.0 Put @ 4.70

SOXL weeklies are on my Christmas wish list… 🙂 🙂

BA put spread

Sold $BA 11/15 330/320 bull put spread @ 1.85

IRBT

I closed out the 40 p[ut of the 40/70 strangle  for .45 cents. I will let the call side expire on November 15

#earnings #closing WHR Yesterday sold…

#earnings #closing WHR IRBT

WHR Yesterday sold Nov. 15, 140/175 strangle for 2.31, bought today for .90
IRBT Yesterday sold Nov. 15 40/70 strangle for 1.42, bought today for 55
Thanks for the earnings data Jeff

all SPX stopped

#SPX1dte Today I said to myself, nothing is happening so I might as well sell the 1-day trade early. Immediately after the fill, something happened. Now that daily trade news has quieted, we get to worry about Brexit again?

My spread was tight to begin with, so really can’t withstand even a little volatility. I was looking for the bounce to make it okay, but we fell again and are within expected move.

BTC $SPX Oct 23rd 2985/2965 put spreads for 2.50, after the bell. Condors sold for .90 about 100 minutes earlier. I’ll leave call side to expire.

I was going to leave the 3-day put spread to fight another day, but the end of the day was too ugly, then it just got worse after the bell.
BTC $SPX 2990/2965 put spreads for 6.25. Sold for 3.45 earlier today.

Upside Warning gave us a little this time around; hopefully it’s not done but I ain’t betting on it after the last few weeks.

Stopping SPX

Not filled yet but closing the 1-dte put side before the 4:15pm cut off

Yippee, finally back in. Took…

Yippee, finally back in. Took me a couple of days, before I hit the jackpot. Don’t know why I can post for months, and then can’t????? Thank you for your help Jeff. ;>) Goo.. um HonkHonk81

#fallingknife HAS is down 16%

#fallingknife

HAS is down 16%

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Oct 23rd 2965/2985-3035/3050 condors for .90, IV: 8.25%, SPX 3012

ISRG

#ShortPuts – After last week plenty of firepower to put back to work. High margin here but below a lot of support and only 30 days out. One of the biggest drops on my watchlists today…

Sold ISRG NOV 22 2019 505.0 Put @ 3.50

#bups

SPX 3-dte

#SPX1dte Following the trend: Sold $SPX Oct 25th 2990/2965 put spreads for 3.45. Filled on the dip at the top of the hour.

KEYS

STO November 15, 100 put at 2.10, earnings are on November 18

#earnings IRBT Sold a Nov….

#earnings IRBT WHR

IRBT Sold a Nov. 15, 40/70 strangle for 1.42.
WHR Sold a Nov. 15 140/175 strangle for 2.31
Thanks for the data Jeff
#shortstrangles

#closing #shortputs HP October 9…

#closing #shortputs HP

October 9 sold Nov. 15 35 put for 1.55, bought today for .76.
Thanks Iceman

WHR earnings analysis

#Earnings $WHR reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 22, 2019 BO +0.10%
April 22, 2019 AC +0.40%
Jan. 28, 2019 AC +9.66% Biggest UP
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +6.78%
July 23, 2018 AC -14.52% Biggest DOWN
April 23, 2018 AC +3.75%
Jan. 24, 2018 AC +2.30%
Oct. 23, 2017 AC -10.54%
July 26, 2017 AC -6.28%
April 25, 2017 BO +3.51%
Jan. 26, 2017 BO -8.54%
Oct. 25, 2016 BO -10.77%

Avg (+ or -) 6.43%
Bias -2.01%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 161.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 151.16 to 170.84
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 149.71 to 170.29
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.5%): 136.77 to 183.23
Based on UP max only (+9.7%): 175.46

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar

SNAP earnings analysis

#Earnings $SNAP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over its entire history (10 quarters).

July 23, 2019 AC +18.74%
April 23, 2019 AC -6.08%
Feb. 5, 2019 AC +22.01%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC -10.15%
Aug. 7, 2018 AC -6.78%
May 1, 2018 AC -21.93% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 6, 2018 AC +47.58% Biggest UP
Nov. 7, 2017 AC -14.61%
Aug. 10, 2017 AC -14.08%
May 10, 2017 AC -21.45%

Avg (+ or -) 18.34%
Bias -0.68%, tiny negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 14.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 12.16 to 16.84
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 11.84 to 17.16
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (47.6%): 7.60 to 21.40
Based on DOWN max only (-21.9%): 11.32

Open to requests for other symbols.

#longstraddle

Earnings Chart Update

$T (AT&T) reports Monday before the bell, not tomorrow.

IRBT earnings analysis

#Earnings $IRBT reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 23, 2019 AC -16.86%
April 23, 2019 AC -23.09%
Feb. 6, 2019 AC +9.63%
Oct. 23, 2018 AC -12.33%
July 24, 2018 AC +16.99%
April 24, 2018 AC -3.41%
Feb. 7, 2018 AC -32.07% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 24, 2017 AC -13.48%
July 25, 2017 AC +21.14% Biggest UP
April 25, 2017 AC +15.73%
Feb. 8, 2017 AC -12.93%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC +11.35%

Avg (+ or -) 15.75%
Bias -3.28%%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 55.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 46.28 to 63.72
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 46.34 to 63.66
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (32.1%): 37.36 to 72.64
Based on UP max only (+21.1%): 66.63

Open to requests for other symbols.

SKX earnings analysis

#Earnings $SKX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 18, 2019 AC +11.96%
April 18, 2019 BO -10.43%
Feb. 7, 2019 AC +15.19%
Oct. 18, 2018 AC +13.78%
July 19, 2018 AC -20.99%
April 19, 2018 AC -27.04% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 8, 2018 AC +7.54%
Oct. 19, 2017 AC +41.44% Biggest UP
July 20, 2017 AC +0.67%
April 20, 2017 AC -2.56%
Feb. 9, 2017 AC +19.32%
Oct. 20, 2016 AC -17.26%

Avg (+ or -) 15.68%
Bias 2.64%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 37.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 33.26 to 41.74
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 31.74 to 43.54
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (41.4%): 22.04 to 53.24
Based on DOWN max only (-27.0%): 27.46

Open to requests for other symbols.

#longstraddle

CMG earnings analysis

#Earnings $BIIB reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 23, 2019 AC +5.18%
April 24, 2019 AC -4.46%
Feb. 6, 2019 AC +11.35%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC +3.42%
July 26, 2018 AC +5.71%
April 25, 2018 AC +24.44% Biggest UP
Feb. 6, 2018 AC -10.55%
Oct. 24, 2017 AC -14.58% Biggest DOWN
July 25, 2017 AC -2.30%
April 25, 2017 AC +2.38%
Feb. 2, 2017 AC -4.54%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC -9.28%

Avg (+ or -) 8.18%
Bias 0.56%, slight positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 850.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 792.17 to 907.83
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 780.45 to 919.55
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (24.4%): 642.26 to 1,057.74
Based on DOWN max only (-14.6%): 726.07

Open to requests for other symbols.

SPX expires

#SPX1dte Expiring today:

$SPX Oct 21st 2935/2955-3025/3040 condors, sold Friday for 1.20
$SPX Oct 21st 2975/2950, put spreads sold last Tuesday for 4.90.

I am flat SPX tonight.

SEDG

BTO December 90/110 call spread at 5.40

BIIB earnings analysis and trade

#Earnings $BIIB reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 23, 2019 BO +4.90% Biggest UP
April 24, 2019 BO -2.52%
Jan. 29, 2019 BO +1.35%
Oct. 23, 2018 BO +0.19%
July 24, 2018 BO +4.10%
April 24, 2018 BO +1.09%
Jan. 25, 2018 BO +2.08%
Oct. 24, 2017 BO -3.90% Biggest DOWN
July 25, 2017 BO -0.61%
April 25, 2017 BO +3.62%
Jan. 26, 2017 BO +2.06%
Oct. 26, 2016 AC -1.87%

Avg (+ or -) 2.36%
Bias 0.87%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 225.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 212.84 to 237.16
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 219.70 to 230.30
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (4.9%): 213.98 to 236.03
Based on DOWN max only (-3.9%): 216.23

Open to requests for other symbols.

UVXY

#ShortCalls – Really trying to stir things up now. Selling calls as UVXY hits lifetime lows. Still outside the expected move and against more puts so hope they take some heat.

Sold UVXY NOV 8 2019 25.0 Calls @ .72

NTES

#ShortPuts – Haven’t been in this one in awhile. Trying to stir things up. Selling at the 50ma the week before earnings…

Sold NTES NOV 08 2019 265.0 Put @ 2.90

ISRG

BTC $ISRG 10/25 585/595 #BeCS @.20. STO 10/18/2019 @1.20

#closing CHWY Sept. 18, sold…

#closing CHWY
Sept. 18, sold an Oct. 18, 27 put as a post earnings trade after a big drop. CHWY continued down to around 22 in October. October 1, rolled it to November. I was able to close it for a small gain today as CHWY has crossed 27.

#shortputspread UNG #tastytradefollow Sold 16/19…

#shortputspread UNG

#tastytradefollow Sold 16/19 put spread for 1.15

OSTK

#coveredcalls

STO $OSTK 15 11/15/2019 Calls @0.35. Replacing calls that expired 10.18.

#assignment WDC This weekend I…

#assignment WDC
This weekend I say good bye to an old friend, we weren’t friends at first, a very trying relationship, but we somehow worked it out.
In July of 2018 I sold a 76 put as WDC had dropped from around 106. I rolled to 75 and was promptly assigned at 75. Through put and call sales I was assigned 3 more times as recently as June of 2019 at much lower strikes. Option premium as been good, easy to roll, plus dividends made it profitable for my 200 shares to be called away at 55, making around $600.
Thanks to so many of you who have demonstrated how to roll and adjust, making lemonade.

Test

Test

ISRG NFLX OSTK

STO $ISRG 585/595 Oct 25 #BeCS @1.20. Stock @566.69

#optionsexpiration

Expiring $ISRG 470/480 #BuPS – STO 9/12 @1.5
Expiring $NFLX 225/235 #BuPS – STO 10/3 @1.56
Expiring $OSTK 20 Calls (covered) – STO 9/20@ 0.95 when the stock was a lot closer to $20.

Have a good weekend all!

There’s no high in TEAM

#Earnings Sold to close $TEAM Oct18/Oct25 122 #DoubleCalendar for 1.60. Bought yesterday for 1.34

The time to close this was at the open…. it unfortunately dropped most of the day, but then came back enough to give us a small profit.

Have a nice weekend

I am done for the day and who knows what the news will be on the weekend.

Closing SFIX call/synthetic long

$SFIX has had a good run in the past week, so I’m taking profits.  I entered into a Synthetic Long Call $21.00 with Nov 15 expiration on 10/10 for $0.25 debit.  I closed the Nov 15 $21.00 put side yesterday at a $0.50 debit.  Day traded a Nov 8 $22.00 call today at the lows (BTO $1.60) and closed it with my Nov 15 $21.00 Call for credit of $4.80 – so net profit at $2.45.

Still bullish on this one long term, but it looks like a pattern is forming, and while not overbought yet, I could see it dipping back down over the next few days.  I’m a “TastyBites” guy as well, so I don’t have the margin to trade multiple lots and take profits off of table a bit at a time!

All cash going into weekend– have a good couple of days off and see you next week.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Oct 21st 2935/2955-3025/3040 condors for 1.20, IV: 8.07%, SPX 2993.

Expiring worthless today: Oct 18th 2950/2960-3025/3035, sold yesterday for .45 (dbl size)

BA

STO January 300 put at 5.40 on 1 contract. I will be adding if it goes lower.It works out to an 11% return for 91 days.

Stuff happening next week

Screen Shot 2019-10-18 at 11.02.17 AM
Screen Shot 2019-10-18 at 11.02.17 AM

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=21&month=10&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

SHOP

STO November 15,250 put at 2.65, adding to the position so, now short 2 at 3.95

ISRG Earnings

#JadeLizards #Earnings – Well that didn’t go how I wanted but no harm no foul. Letting it go out exercised (for free!!) and a 25 dollar profit.

Original trade:

Sold ISRG OCT 18 2019 460.0/505.0/530.0/535.0 Jade Lizard @ 5.25

XBI

#ShortPuts – Jumping back in with a starter out in Dec. Hopefully get chances to add a few more before then.

Sold XBI DEC 20 2019 75.0 Put @ 1.93

LABU

#CoveredCalls – Still chipping away to get out of the last bit of this position…

Bought to Close LABU OCT 18 2019 34.0 Call @ .05 (sold for 1.81)
Sold LABU NOV 01 2019 34.0 Call @ 1.30

#closing #shortputs TRTN Oct. 1,…

#closing #shortputs TRTN

Oct. 1, sold a Nov. 15, 30 put for .60, bought today for .20.

LABU NVDA REGN SQ TNA WYNN

#CoveredCalls – Almost done for the day finishing a nice week. Just a bunch of ITM covered calls to roll so the little pullback today is helping.

LABU: Still watching 34 strike today…

NVDA: Completely run over after selling ITM call. Debit roll but gets call to breakeven. I’ll add on a pullback.
Rolled NVDA OCT 18 2019 155.0 Call to DEC 20 2019 160.0 Call @ 2.25 debit

REGN: Another roll after this then the big roll into earnings.
Rolled REGN OCT 18 2019 297.5 Call to OCT 25 2019 300.0 Call @ .95 credit

SQ: Roll into the week before earnings.
Rolled SQ OCT 18 2019 60.0 Calls to NOV 1 2019 61.0 Calls @ .35 credit

TNA: Nicely profitable on these so holding a little longer picking up 1.10 while keeping some protection.
Rolled TNA OCT 18 2019 54.0 Calls to NOV 01 2019 54.5 Calls @ .60 credit

WYNN: Rolled into earnings.
Rolled WYNN OCT 18 2019 105.0 Calls to NOV 08 2019 107.0 Calls @ .10 credit

XBI

#ShortPuts – Nice rally right up to the 50ma. Completely out now but watching for a re-load…

Bought to Close XBI NOV 01 2019 75.0 Put @ .24 (sold for 2.10)
Bought to Close XBI NOV 15 2019 73.0 Put @ .34 (sold for 2.10)

TEAM

BTC $TEAM 135/145 10/25 #BeCs @0.07 STO 10/17 @1.02 as part of a 100/110/135/145 #IC (overall sold @2.05).

ULTA GOOGL BUCS BUPS Closed / NUGT CHWY Puts Rolled / IBM NFLX BUPS

#bucs
$GOOGL STC 10/18 1230/1240 BUCS at 8.49. BTO at 5.32 on 9/24
$ULTA STC 10/18 230/250 BUCS at 16.50. BTO at 9.45 on 9/24

#bups
$GOOGL BTC 10/18 1200/1210 BUPS at .20. STO at 3.30 on 9/18

#shortputs
$NUGT BTC 10/18 31 put and STO 11/1 30 put at added .35 credit.
$CHWY BTC 10/18 28 put and STO 11/1 28 put at added .23 credit.

#bups
$NFLX STO 11/15 265/275 BUPS at 1.60. Thank you @ramie
$IBM STO 11/15 130/135 BUPS at 2.25

HON closed

#Earnings Sold to close $HON Oct18/Oct25 165 #DoubleCalendar for .96. Bought yesterday for .86, so I basically covered commissions. Now it has pulled back and better profit is available. But that’s three calendars in one day… one breakeven, one 50% winner, one double+.

#earnings #closing FDX Sept. 17…

#earnings #closing FDX

Sept. 17 sold an Oct. 18, 150/190 call, FDX went down down down, ended up with a Nov. 15 straddle, closed today for a small gain as FDX has worked its way to 151.

#callratiospread GLD #tastytradefollow Sold Dec….

#callratiospread GLD

#tastytradefollow Sold Dec. 20 long 142/short 145/short 145 ratio spread for 1.06

ISRG Earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizards – Going back into this one with the lizard and adding a protective put in case it pulls an “ULTA”. Need a down move anywhere inside the expected move with no upside risk.

Sold ISRG OCT 18 2019 460.0/505.0/530.0/535.0 Jade Lizard @ 5.25

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Oct 18th (Friday PM) 2950/2960-3025/3035 condors for .45. 10-wide, double size. IV 9.42%, SPX 2997.

MAN earnings analysis

#Earnings $MAN reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 19, 2019 BO +0.03%
April 18, 2019 BO +11.60% Biggest UP
Jan. 31, 2019 BO +3.95%
Oct. 19, 2018 BO -3.77%
July 20, 2018 BO +0.52%
April 20, 2018 BO -14.48% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 2, 2018 BO -7.35%
Oct. 20, 2017 BO +0.04%
July 24, 2017 BO -8.96%
April 21, 2017 BO -2.89%
Jan. 31, 2017 BO +0.84%
Oct. 21, 2016 BO +9.71%

Avg (+ or -) 5.35%
Bias -0.90%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 85.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 80.84 to 90.16
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 80.93 to 90.07
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.5%): 73.12 to 97.88
Based on UP max only (+11.6%): 95.42

Open to requests for other symbols.

TEAM earnings analysis

#Earnings $TEAM reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 25, 2019 AC +8.57%
April 17, 2019 AC -8.31%
Jan. 17, 2019 AC -2.42%
Oct. 18, 2018 AC -14.29% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2018 AC +10.48%
April 19, 2018 AC -6.53%
Jan. 18, 2018 AC -4.55%
Oct. 19, 2017 AC +24.64% Biggest UP
July 27, 2017 AC -2.18%
April 27, 2017 AC +3.01%
Jan. 19, 2017 AC +2.22%
Oct. 27, 2016 AC -3.92%

Avg (+ or -) 7.59%
Bias 0.56%, slight positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 122.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 112.00 to 132.00
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 112.74 to 131.26
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (24.6%): 91.94 to 152.06
Based on DOWN max only (-14.3%): 104.57

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar

CMG

BTC $CMG 790/800 10/18/2019 #BuPS @0.14. Was STO 10/10 @1.5.

URI closed

#Earnings . Sold to close $URI Oct18/Oct25 122p/123p #DoubleCalendar for 1.55. Possible to get over 2.00 now. Bought yesterday for .97 – 1.05.

NFLX

BTC $NFLX 315/325 #BeCS @0.10. Was STO 10/7 @1.05. Only partial fill so far.
Holding, though expecting to expire $NFLX 10/18/2019 225/235 #BuPS which was STO 10/3 @ 1.56.

Closing ROKU

Bought to close $ROKU 10/18 130/140/155/165 iron condor @ 3.73. Overall profit on rolled/adjusted position:
-Original sale 9/20 170/180 BeCS @ 2.82
-Rolled 9/20 170/180 BeCS out to 10/18 130/140/180/190 iron condor @ .54 credit
-Rolled 9/20 170/180 BeCS down to 155/165 BeCS @ 1.37 credit
Total credit taken in: 4.73
Debit to close: 3.73
Profit: 1.00

I was running out of time (as of Monday was looking at a full loss on the put spread side) but the move up over the last couple of days has helped this position. Been on the wrong end of strong moves enough times so I’ll take this one and move on.

XBI

#ShortPuts – Nice recovery in this thing…

Bought to Close XBI OCT 18 2019 78.0 Puts @ .09 (sold for 1.55)

#earnings #closing URI HON URI…

#earnings #closing URI HON
URI #shortstrangles Sold Nov. 15, 105/140 for 2.08, bought today for 1.00
URI #doublecalendar Following Jeff-bought double calendar for 1.00, sold today for 1.62
HON #doublecalendar Following Jeff-bought double calendar for .89, sold today for 1.21
Thank you Jeff for the data and trade ideas

NFLX put spread

Sold $NFLX 11/15 275/265 bull put spread @ 1.72

URI

#ShortPuts – Not an earnings trade but still gotta book for an overnight gain. This filled immediately and I had placed the order a dime under the mid. Might be able to do even better.

Bought to Close URI NOV 22 2019 112.0 Put @ .90 (sold for 2.65)

TSLA

STO $TSLA 300/310 Nov 15 2019 #BeCS @1.21

SOXL

#ShortPuts – Just a small one taking off 30 days early…

Bought to Close SOXL NOV 15 2019 100.0 Put @ .30 (sold fat finger for 2.80)

UVXY

#BearCallSpreads – Completely out of Nov call spreads now. Will be looking to add to Dec and start Jan on next spike…

Bought to Close UVXY NOV 15 2019 37.0/47.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .15 (sold for 1.60 average)
Bought to Close UVXY NOV 15 2019 35.0/45.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .18 (sold for 1.30 average)

Closing NUGT

Bought to close 10/18 27 calls @ .96 (sold for 5.07 on 9/16). This was a rollout from 9/20 26 calls. Overall profit .74.

DRIP

#BearCallSpreads – OK…I’m really done now. Full position.

Sold DRIP DEC 20 2019 130.0/140.0 Bear Call Spreads @ 1.50

NFLX dub cal closed

#Earnings Sold to close $NFLX Oct18/Oct25 285 #DoubleCalendar for 3.00. Bought yesterday for 1.37. You will be able to get more if price continued to drop toward the strike.

NFLX short calls

Sold $NFLX 11/15 340 calls @ 1.30. Covered (against long stock).