#classicvxxgame
$SVXY STO 1/19/2018 77.50 put @ 5.75 Balancing some of my short calls which are having a rough time.
Category Archives: Uncategorized
T
#FallingKnife #IRA – Could be a long term hold. Dividend over 5 percent now with the selloff.
Sold T APR 20 2018 35.0 Puts @ 1.47
$DISH #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$DISH #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 DISH MAR 16 2018 42.5 Put @ 1.50 with the stock at 49.5.
Morning all $SPX #spxcampaign STO…
Morning all $SPX #spxcampaign STO Oct 31st 2485/2460 BuPS for 1.05 when SPX was at 2552.88. 19 days to OpEx. Stop if Mark hits 2.00. Profit target 80% or mark at 0.20. Lets hope this doesn’t turn into a Halloween Horror. I have been trying 5 Delta short Puts per the class I took but just can’t get filled. I suspect there just are not many buyers/sellers at this level in the chain. So I elected to move the Delta up, -13 and was filled immediately which is in itself not so good either. Anyway I have a plan, my inner demons have been tamed a bit. And to quote the Late Great Paul Harvey ….. “That is the rest of the story.”
Closed Early – Fear Factor Increasing Personally
$AAPL 10/20 BTC 150/155 BUPS @.60 STO 8/29 @ 1.08 43% profit
$REGN 10/20 BTC 465 call @ 2.50 STO @ 10.02 as roll from 10/6 447.5 call Small loss
$FB 10/20 BTC 185/175 BECS @ 3.25 STO on 10/2 @ 2.66 Another small loss
AMZN
STO November 10, 890/840 bull put spread for 2.53
AVGO adjustment
#ShortStrangles – Rolling up the put side for additional credit. Original sale was just below the 200 ma. Rolling up to just below the 50 ma.
Rolled AVGO NOV 10 2017 225.0 Put to NOV 10 2017 240.0 Put @ 2.03 credit
New position is Nov 10 240.0/260.0 @ 6.48 credit
SPX trades yesterday
#SPXcampaign.
Closed on GTC order: $SPX Oct 16th 2515/2490 put spreads for .40. Sold last week for 3.70.
Sold Oct 13th 2560/2585 call spreads for 1.70 in last hour of day when SPX peaked. I entered that order in the morning and it filled while on the road.
In Dunsmuir, CA this morning… we’ll be home in Portland by tonight.
Follow up to the high accuracy discussion below.
So on SPY the risk is fairly high to the reward. As @fuzzballl pointed out would take 33 winning trades or so to make up for 1 loss. However @jeffcp66 has figured out how to adjust credit spreads and losses could probably be contained to a reasonable level or a break even.
Regardless, I think the most efficient way to play this would be with /ES options (so excludes IRA accounts, need margin).
Full disclosure, I used to do this and was hugely successful, paid cash for 2 VWs in 6 months but then lost my shirt and a bunch more on 8/24/2015. My wife swore me to secrecy that I would never tell anyone exactly how much but will leave it as I gave back 6 months of profits in 1 day. Enough for another 2 fully decked out VWs.
So I figured out my issue since then and it had to do with leverage and a broker that did not understand futures options (optionsxpress). TOS and Tradestation allowed me to adjust my positions and broke even 2 weeks later. I have been doing this a little since and as long as you keep the leverage under control can manage the losers. I have not been posting because if you do not understand that part it is very risky. If you guys want me to post these trades I will. I tried it with oil but harder to do since no weekly options.
So here it is with a few tweaks. Combo of tastytrade and fishback techniques with my own addition.
Sell the closest to 45 DTE strangle on /ES. Currently would be the 37DTE 2405 put and 2620 call. These are both delta 9 options with prob. of 90% of being OTM at expiration. Current margin is $3895 per contract. They typically decay to delta 4 options in 3-4 weeks and can take 50-60% profits then as well. Then roll to next cycle closest to 45 DTE and start over, rinse and repeat.
Here is my tweak, I keep 6k on hand for each contract, that way I can cover with short or long /ES contract on a sustained move. If the delta gets to 30 will either roll, or if it appears will keep moving use the /ES contract. At that point you become directional but your risk is covered if you have 1 contract for every option and the only extra margin is to fulfill the futures contract. To the upside a covered call and downside a covered put. If you are exercised the contract fulfills the option, both positions close and you just made a tone of cash. That only happens a few times a year if lucky.
Advantages over SPY: trades almost 24/7. I tried to adjust at midnight on 8/24/17 and then went to sleep but the market moved another 300 points over night, only panic attack since getting caught in an avalanche skiing back country 20+ years ago.
Tax advantage 60/40 treatment like SPX
Much lower margin than on SPX. To do 1 contract on SPX is like 109k margin.
Liquidity although was not so good 8/24/17. The spreads went 25 points wide that day and getting anything filled was hard to impossible.
The put call/skew is still really good since 1987 so you could also do it one way directional on the puts and still have good return. Then would only have to adjust in 1 direction. The 2405 put is 4.85 as I type this and the 2620 call is only 1.85.
Disadvantages: a flash crash may move too quickly to cover, see above and you can lose a lot more than you get out or put in.
The double leverage of the options on the futures cuts both ways.
2 /ES = 1 SPX = 10 SPY so effectively 10-20:1 leverage compared to SPY options which are already 10:1. Like nitrous on a turbo car, fun until you melt the turbine wheel and the resulting shrapnel punctures the engine block! Been there done that and have the t-shirt and don’t want to do either again.
So that’s the best way I can come up to trade the SP500. Thoughts, comments, suggestions always appreciated and if you want me to post these trades I will. Just understand the leverage before doing it.
$VIAB #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$VIAB #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 VIAB Mar 16 2018 22.5 Put @ 1.25
$TDG #ShortPuts – Bought to…
$TDG #ShortPuts – Bought to close TDG Nov 17 2017 98.0 Puts @ 0.05.
The stock & options were adjusted by a corporate event since they were sold.
On 03/22/2017 Sold TDG Nov 17 2017 120.0 Puts @ 3.00 and on 3/24/17 I added to the position @ 4.20.
It was a real #FallingKnife back then.
$GPC #ShortPuts – Bought to…
$GPC #ShortPuts – Bought to close GPC Nov 17 2017 75.0 Puts @ 0.05. They won’t trade any lower and still have over a month to run.
Originally sold as a #FallingKnife trade on 07/13/2017 @ 1.50
AMZN
#LongCallDiagonals – Taking advantage of high IV in earnings week and rolling my front month as high as I can for even. Weekly squeeze and looking like it’s ready to run…
Rolled AMZN OCT 20 2017 975.0 Call to AMZN OCT 27 2017 1000.0 Call @ .13 credit
Almost right back where the whole thing started but…front month premium received of 44.50 during the dip.
$UVXY #ShortPuts – probably a…
$UVXY #ShortPuts – probably a stunningly stupid trade –
Sold UVXY Oct 27 2017 16.0 Puts @ 0.61 with UVXY at 17.62 and VIX at 9.75
UVXY: Closing one of my last Dec positions
Bought to close $UVXY Dec 15 91 call @ .54. Sold for 7.40 on 8/17. I was on vacation at the time and was lucky to get some #VXXGame trades on during the last relatively decent volatility spike. I’ll try to plan my vacation better next time 🙂
What’s left are Nov 60 and 70 calls, Dec 37 calls (pre-split so 148 equivalent), then starting in January nothing lower than 82 strike. Definitely need to get some volatility but I know I’m preaching to the converted.
$DUST #CoveredCalls #Rollup – Another…
$DUST #CoveredCalls #Rollout – Another roll as the stock drops back toward the low of the day.
Bought to close DUST Oct 13 2017 27.5 Calls/Sold DUST Oct 27 2017 27.5 Calls @ 0.25 Credit.
Taking off another NUGT position
Bought to close $NUGT1 (pre-split strike) Dec 15 19.00 calls @ .04. Sold for .85 on 5/17.
SBH and ULTA
#FallingKnife – I’d say SBH is there and ULTA may not be far behind. More AMZN victims?
TLT
#ShortStrangles – Got a little wiggle in TLT on the Fed minutes and my standing order filled. Increasing position size slightly on this #PerpetualRollingStrangles position.
Sold TLT DEC 15 2017 121.0/129.0 Strangles @ 1.55
High accuracy options update. Finally…
High accuracy options update. Finally watched the DVD. Did not learn anything new but Fishback has found that a 1.21815 standard deviation tends to have the best risk/reward ratio. For those that do not want to do the math that works out to 90% probability of being OTM at expiration on TOS.
This is only for indexes, not individual names. But trading SPY the last 12 months using the 90% OTM short strike then going 3-5 points out on the long with iron condors they had a 300% return on investment and only 1 or 2 loosing trades. I don’t think they adjusted them looking at the spreadsheet, if they had probably would have been 100% winners.
Next week some WDC cc expire/assign in a small account. I will set up a new experiment. SPY 21-28 DTE 1.2 STD deviation iron condors. Add a new cycle each week and let the worthless ones expire. Anything goes ITM will adjust and see what happens. The account only has 6k in it so will see if I can get the same results in a rolling year.
#longcalldiagonals SVXY synthetic rolled the…
SVXY synthetic rolled the 10/27 78 call out to 11/17 for 1.35 credit. Cost basis now 9.62 and 14.70 depending on lot against original basis of 16.06 and 21.14. It went up too fast to roll the short call weekly.
Lesson learned, next spike will set up additional synthetics with disaster put but will not sell short term calls against it. Not trying to be greedy but had I left it synthetic would be up almost 10k on 4 contracts. By selling calls I have limited it to 8k so still a great return no doubt.
I will keep the experiment going until Jan 2019 but I think we can all see it works and there is such a directional bias with UVXY, XIV, VXX, SVXY probably better to set them up on a vol. spike then leave them alone or sell really far OTM like 30 or lower delta.
SVXY Roll Out
#ShortPuts #RollOut Rolled out Oct 20 70 @ .30 puts to Nov 17 70 puts @ 1.48 for 1.18 credit. Shares at 100.12
HIMX lottery ticket
#SyntheticStock #IRA -For lack of anything better to do I’m putting on a cheap long shot that a buddy of mine has been talking about for awhile. It caught a downgrade this morning so pulling back enough for an entry.
Going synthetic long stock with the 2019 LEAPS and buying protection slightly below that. With the skew the initial position was only a .06 debit. Selling front month calls also a couple weeks out.
Bought to Open HIMX JAN 18 2019 10.0 Calls @ 2.49
Sold to Open HIMX JAN 18 2019 10.0 Puts @ 2.99
Bought to Open HIMX JAN 18 2019 5.0 Puts @ .56
That’s .06 out of pocket but still a 5 dollar downside risk if this thing goes to zero….(you never know)
Then:
Sold to Open HIMX OCT 27 2017 10.0 Calls @ .25
Capping my upside slightly but even if HIMX goes nowhere and the front months average .10 it’s still a nice winner by the end of the run…
$DUST #CoveredCalls #Rollup – not…
$DUST #CoveredCalls #Rollup – not much premium for next week so I went out 2 weeks.
Bought to close DUST Oct 13 2017 27.0 Calls/Sold DUST Oct 27 2017 27.5 Calls @ 0.30 Credit/
Gained 1/2 point on the strike price along with the extra cash.
SVXY breached 100 anybody long?
SVXY breached 100 anybody long?
UVXY
tt Cherry Picks for this week
http://tinyurl.com/ydxzj93h
Sorry, didn’t get to post yesterday out celebrating 36th wedding anniversary…woo, hoo!
#coveredcalls MET Rolled Oct. 50…
#coveredcalls MET
Rolled Oct. 50 call to November for .36, following TradeWise
Good morning
Is anyone out there?
#spxcampaign sto after close call…
#spxcampaign
sto after close call oct 11/2017,//2560/2570 @ .40
DGX
#FallingKnife – Sold 1 DGX May 18 2018 80.0 Put @ 2.20
From FINVIZ….oversold
There were a few more but they were less than 5 bucks so not interested. DGX seemed to have the most potential here.
$DGX (looks interesting)
$TTS
$TV
$WBA
$SVXY #Shortputs Sold 1 to…
$SVXY #Shortputs Sold 1 to open Nov 10 75 Put @ 1.65 with $SVXY at 98.30 Trying to tease a pull back.
GIS
#ShortPuts #IRA – Using @Iceman ‘s idea on K but using GIS since I’m a Cheerios fan. 🙂 🙂 This would be a long term hold if I get the stock…
Sold 2 GIS Apr 20 2018 47.5 Puts @ 1.62
SVXY
In my IRA, STO December 37.5 puts @ .70
CVS
Sold to open, May 2018 60 puts @1.25
Hat tip to Iceman for the idea.
$SLV #ShortPuts #IRA – Bought…
$SLV #ShortPuts #IRA – Bought to close SLV Dec 29 2017 13.0 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower and they don’t expire until year-end.
Sold on 05/08/2017 @ 0.24
$WBA #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$WBA #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 WBA Apr 20 2018 60.0 Put @ 1.47 with the stock at 70.36.
SPX puts closed
#SPXcampaign In pre-market, closed on GTC order: $SPX Oct 11th 2515/2490 put spreads for .20. Half of this filled yesterday, and the remainder filled this morning.
$WBA #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$WBA #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 WBA Jun 15 2018 60.0 Put @ 1.76
$K #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$K #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 K Mar 16 2018 57.5 Put @ 1.60
$COST #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$COST #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 COST Jun 15 2018 118.0 Put @ 1.33
$XEC #ShortPuts – Bought to…
$XEC #ShortPuts – Bought to close XEC Dec 15 2017 75.0 Puts @ 0.05. They wont trade any lower and still have over 2 months until expiration.
Sold in June as a #FallingKnife trade at 1.30, 1.60 and 2.10 (the stock was obviously falling at the time)
$CVS #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold…
$CVS #ShortPuts #FallingKnife – Sold 1 CVS Feb 16 2018 65.0 Put @ 1.40.
$GILD #Shortputs – Bought to…
$GILD #Shortputs – Bought to close GILD Nov 17 2017 55.0 Puts @ 0.01. They won’t trade any lower.
Originally sold on 5/18/17 @ 1.34
$DUST #ShortCalls – Bought to…
$DUST #ShortCalls – Bought to close DUST Nov 17 2017 35.0 Calls @ 0.20 to release some margin.
Sold on 9/20 @ 0.60
AZO
#ShortPuts #IRA -Looks like she might be rolling over after a nice run. Held this all the way through the dip so finally booking it and freeing up a ton of margin…
Bought to Close AZO DEC 15 2017 500.0 Put @ 4.40 (sold for 10.00)
#ironcondor COST From Tastytrade Nov….
#ironcondor COST
From Tastytrade
Nov. 17 145/150/160/165 for 2.10 stock price at 154.60
SPX puts
#SPXcampaign. Sold to Open $SPX Oct 13th 2530/2505 put spreads for 2.35. Expires this Friday, or will be rolled if there’s no bounce from here. Are we finally getting some volatility?
Closed PLCE position
#Earnings #LongStocks #CoveredCalls This one dropped big since its highs so I’m exiting since the position is nicely in profit but could lose it if the stock drops more. Originally sold 110 puts on Aug 11th for 2.00, then took assignment of the stock and sold covered calls. Final profit is about 2.27.
Sold PLCE stock for 110.05.
BTC Oct 20th 115 covered calls for .95. Sold for 1.73 (avg price).
SPX trades
#SPXcampaign. Here are my trades today:
Closed on GTC orders:
Oct 9th 2540/2515 put spread for .20. Sold for 3.70 on Thursday.
Oct 9th 2555/2580 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 on Thursday.
Oct 19th 2420/2395 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 on Sept 19th.
Oct 13th 2490/2465 put spreads for .25.
Oct 11th 2515/2490 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.80 last Wednesday.
STOPPED: Nov 3rd 2585/2610 call spreads for 3.00. Sold for 1.90 on Thursday. Not sure why I had an order in for 3.00 on this one, but it was a mistake. Now a roll would be difficult since market dropped so much from this morning.
Closed Oct 16th 2475/2500 call spreads for 24.50. Sold for 22.50 last Monday.
#ITMroll. Sold Oct 23rd 2485/2510 call spreads for 23.05.
Sold Nov 10th 2600/2625 call spreads for 1.70
Sold Nov 10th 2460/2435 put spreads for 1.45
Closed a Jan NUGT position
A total bonehead move. I was putting bids in to close a bunch of positions that were mostly profitable and I mistakenly closed this one that, had I waited 2 more weeks, would have become a long term capital gain. I was toying with the idea of leaving January positions on to defer taxes to 2018 but I changed my mind, and for some reason I wasn’t paying attention to this one. Of course none of my others got filled so I guess I deserved it 🙂
Bought to close $NUGT1 (pre 1:4 reverse split) Jan 19 2018 52 calls @ .04. Sold for 2.50 on 10/19/16.
I’ll still look to take positions off that are less than double the current price (i.e., with NUGT at 35, I will look to close Jan 58 calls, Jan 66 calls and Mar 60 calls). I’d like to clear those out to make room for potential sales if gold were to spike over the next couple of months. Quite a few potential stimuli out there for a gold rally.
Shotgun trades, new #optionladder Setting…
Shotgun trades, new #optionladder
Setting up some new ladders in names with good premium. Some have earnings in a few weeks.
STO EOG 11/3 93 put at 1
GILD 11/3 79 put at 1.04
MU 11/3 39 put at 0.93
Will add new trades each week until 3-4 rolling weeks on the ladders.
BTC 11/3 XBI 79 put at 0.23. Sold 0.94. Premiums dried up on this since it went booster phase. Should improve with next big pull back. Only 1 week left on the ladder on this then will be out until the premiums improve again.
KOLD adding
Putting on a position at the highest strike in Feb.
Sold $KOLD Feb 16 2018 55 call @ 2.40
$WBA #FallingKnife Sold $WBA Apr…
$WBA #FallingKnife
Sold $WBA Apr 20 2018 60 puts @ 1.43 with the stock at 70.45
#T sto put 11.10.17 37.5…
#T
sto put 11.10.17 37.5 @ .58
#TLT sto TLT call 11.10.17…
#TLT
sto TLT call 11.10.17 126 @ .67 and .68
cost basis and received this months dividend.
selling outside of next months divi on about the 6th of each month.
when called out will sell puts.
$NVDA Oct strangle
Borrowing an idea from TastyTrade
Sold $NVDA Oct 20 175/195 strangle @ 2.13 with the stock at 186.24
Good morning
I hope for more volatility this week.
Econ Calendar for week of 10/9/17
#spxexpectedmove
Not much relief for the short
#OptionsExporation #VXXGame #SPXstrategy
Only expiration is a long $SPX Oct 6th 2400/2375 put spread. Bought it last week for the bargain price of .20. Other than that, closed $VXX Oct 6th 44 puts for 6.53 (avg price). These are the “covered” puts against #LongPutDiagonals. This one’s gotten rough. Will have to figure a way of #Rolling later.
Have a good weekend all! I will be on or near the beach.
#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Oct06 – A…
#OptionsExpiration #Weeklys #Oct06 – A very light week and next week will be too.
Almost the last $SVXY Puts for the current year expired.
I need some more volatility.
— Expirations —
NUGT (Weekly) Oct 6 2017 28.5 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Oct 6 2017 55 Puts
SVXY (Weekly) Oct 6 2017 65 Puts
$UVXY #ShortPuts – Forced into…
$UVXY #ShortPuts – Forced into a roll with a drop in $UVXY in the last 5 minutes of the trading day.
Bought to Close UVXY Oct 6 2017 18.5 Puts @ 0.08 to avoid assignment – Sold these @ 0.27
Sold UVXY Oct 13 2017 17.5 Puts @ 0.30 to replace them.
Expirations
Full Profit (Alleluia)
$COST 170 covered call The rest of the $COST trades went south after earnings
$SPX 2330/2355 BUPS
$T 38.5 put
$REGN 412.5 put Thank you @fuzzballl
Have a great weekend. Is it still Columbus Day Monday or has it been taken down. How will retail get there mojo back if there are no more holidays. 😁
AAPL
#LongCallDiagonals – Looks like a 155 pin today. Not gonna quite get it all so selling slightly higher next week…
Bought to Close AAPL OCT 6 2017 155.0 Calls @ .15 (sold for .95)
Sold AAPL OCT 13 2017 157.5 Calls @ .40
Rolling (the dice?) With WYNN
#rolling
$WYNN BTC 10/6 148 put and STO 10/20 148 put @ 1.15 credit
SPX Campaign
#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 10/16 2490/2515 BUPS @ 1.00 As always, thank you @jeffcp66
OptionsExpiration
Hey Guy’s, I’m going to be away from the market the rest of the day so posting these a few minutes early. Have a great weekend.
SVXY $60 puts
UVXY $40 calls
That’s all I have for this week, just not getting any opportunities to put on new positions.
$AAOI Afternoon all. I hope…
$AAOI Afternoon all. I hope everyone is doing well and looking forward to the weekend. Rolled my AAOI Oct 60 Puts out and down to Oct 13th 58 Puts for 0.75 credit. Other than that I have nothing for this weeks’ expiration. Have a great weekend all.
Have a nice weekend everyone
I have no expirations today but did put some cash to work this week. I went from 70% cash to 50%. I am still waiting for that elusive correction which I now predict will happen someday. I am off to the gym and the tread mill.
CVS and WBA
#FallingKnife – Could be the beginning. Not sure what the news was…
$UVXY #ShortPuts #Speculation – Yesterday…
$UVXY #ShortPuts #Speculation – Yesterday I sold UVXY Oct 6 2017 18.5 Puts @ 0.27.
I’m hoping they expire in a few hours.
Not my usual trade 🙂
$UVXY #ShortPuts – Bought to…
$UVXY #ShortPuts – Bought to close UVXY Oct 6 2017 19.0 Puts @ 0.23 to avoid assignment.
Sold them on 10/02 @ 0.25, so I cleared commissions.

