#VIXIndicator An Upside Warning fired today with the third consecutive day below the 78.6% Fib retracement. This means higher index prices are very likely in the coming days or weeks. Below is the VIX chart for the mini-correction we just completed, and today’s warning. Below that is data from last summer on the Upside Warning. I will be updating this soon.

ARROWS: Yellow=1st downside signal; Green=reset 50% warning level; Red=Downside Warning; Pink=Cancel Downside Warning; Cyan=Upside Warning
Upside Warning Data as of last summer:
1. 33 corrections since Nov 1999, as determined by the VIX Indicator’s downside signals. These corrections average 12.5% each. Smallest was 3% and largest was 53.7% (2008-9).
2. Of those corrections, an Upside Warning fired 28 of the 33 times.
3. In 27 out of 28 times, the SPX continued higher after the Warning.
4. The average SPX bottom to top recovery was 16.4%. The average rise AFTER the Warning was 6.40%. This means that the Upside Warning captured an average of 38.9% of each recovery.
5. The average amount of time between an Upside Warning and the next SPX high is 2.5 months.
In summary, when an Upside Warning fires it is almost guaranteed that more upside will come, and it could last several weeks.