ANF earnings analysis

#Earnings $ANF reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

May 28, 2020 BO -11.11%
March 4, 2020 BO +8.98%
Nov. 26, 2019 BO -2.57%
Aug. 29, 2019 BO -15.09%
May 29, 2019 BO -26.46% Biggest DOWN
March 6, 2019 BO +20.37%
Nov. 29, 2018 BO +20.91%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO -17.15%
June 1, 2018 BO -8.72%
March 7, 2018 BO +11.90%
Nov. 17, 2017 BO +23.90% Biggest UP
Aug. 24, 2017 BO +17.06%

Avg (+ or -) 15.35%
Bias 1.84%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 11.25 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 9.88 to 12.62 (+/- 12.2%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 9.52 to 12.98
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (26.5%): 8.27 to 14.23
Based on UP max only (+23.9%): 13.94

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