NVDA earnings analysis

#Earnings $NVDA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Aug. 19, 2020 AC +0.02%
May 21, 2020 AC +2.86%
Feb. 13, 2020 AC +7.02%
Nov. 14, 2019 AC -2.66%
Aug. 15, 2019 AC +7.25% Biggest UP
May 16, 2019 AC -2.28%
Feb. 14, 2019 AC +1.81%
Nov. 15, 2018 AC -18.75% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 16, 2018 AC -4.90%
May 10, 2018 AC -2.15%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC +6.69%
Nov. 9, 2017 AC +5.26%

Avg (+ or -) 5.14%
Bias 0.01%, no bias on earnings.

With stock at 537.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 501.81 to 572.19 (+/- 6.6%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 509.41 to 564.59
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (18.8%): 436.31 to 637.69
Based on UP max only (+7.3%): 575.93

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