I have added a hashtag: #TastyTrade to the last three posts that include videos on the subject of 0-dte trades. You can see them by clicking on that hashtag or by entering it in the search box in the right-hand column. I’m also updating the “Hashtag Strategies” in the menu bar at the top of the page.
Author Archives: Jeff
SPX 0-dte 2/16/24
#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX 4995/5025/5055 #IronButterfly for 17.845
Small accounts: Sold 4990/5020-5025/5055 condors for 16.20.
Sorry I forgot to press “Post” on this but the trade was placed at 6:37am
The Bistro Hall of Revolving Presidents
Back by popular demand, in observance of Presidents’ Day (and trading holiday) on Monday, it’s the Hall of Revolving Presidents. Click “Home/Refresh” or refresh your browser to change the featured President.
SPX 0dte 2/15/24
#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 15th 4975/5005/5035 #IronButterfly for 17.00, IV 19.3%
Small account alternative: Sold 4970/5000-5005/5035 condors for 15.40
SPX 0dte 2/14/24
#SPXodte Sold to Open $SPX 4945/4975/5005 #IronButterfly for 17.15, IV 19.4%
Small accounts: Sold 4945/4975-4980/5010 condors for 15.25
Upside Warning canceled
#VIXindicator The $VIX has spiked 25% over the 2-day closing low of 12.93. If we close above 16.16 this will trigger a Downside Warning.
CPI for January
Inflation up 0.4% MoM in January, vs expected 0.3%
That’s up 3.1% YoY, vs expected 2.9%.
So worse than expected, meaning negative market reaction is possible. Futures down 40 points at lows so far.
SPX 0-dte 2/13/24
#SPX0dte Wiaitng until afetr CPI report, probably until the open.
I checked ATM prices before the report and they are over 21.00 for the Iron Butterfly, so about the same as it was at last night’s close, so no benefit to placing the trade day before.
SPX 0-dte
#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 12th 4995/5025/5055 #IronButterfly for 14.90, IV 15.23%
Small account alt: 4995/5025-5030/5060 condors for 12.80
Earnings 2/12 – 2/16
Economic Calendar 2/12 – 2/16
CPI report on Tuesday could be a market mover
SPX 0-dte
#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 9th 4975/5005/5035 Iron Butterfly for 16.70, IV 19.3%
Small account alternative: 4970/5000-5005/5035 condor for 14.85.
Sold right after the open.
CPI revisions
Bloomberg TV talking about some CPI revisions coming in next few minutes, and given the monthly report is next week I’m going to wait until market has a chance to react before trading.
SPX 0-dte
#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 8th 4960/4990/5020 IB for 16.70, IV 17.44%, 5:53am
Small account alternative: 4955/4985/4990/5020 condors for 15.10.
Out today
Small injury this morning so I’m getting stitches, so no trade today
SPX 0-dte
#SPX0dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 6th 4915/4945/4975 iron butterflys for 15.868, IV 16.62% (ask set for 15.85, but some filled for 15.90)
Small accounts: Sold to Open $SPX Feb 6th 4915/4945-4950/4980 condors for 13.80.
SPX0dte
#SPX0dte Starting a new hashtag today to represent a shift in strategy, using a same-day #IronButterfly in non-volatile periods on days where no big moves are expected. I will still likely use condors on some days.
At 5:26am, Sold to Open $SPX Feb 5th 4920/4950-4950/4980 iron butterflys for 17.25, IV 19.5%. Profit goal is at least 10% of max, so close order is in to buy back for 15.50. Stop will be manual, I will look to exit if premium reaches 20.75.
I also have a tight condor in accounts that are under or near $25K, i have a tight condor as an alternative to avoid pattern day trading violations. This is 4915/4945-4950/4980 condors for 15.40. The order to close set for 13.85.
Earnings 2/5 – 2/9
Economic Calendar 2/5 – 2/9
SPX trades 2/2
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 2nd 4835/4855-4970/4990 condors for 1.15, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 25.5%
January Jobs Report
#Jobs — Big gains obliterate expectations. Earnings also soar; December revised up bigly.
Gain of +353,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 185K
Unemployment unchanged at 3.7%
U6 unemployment 7.2%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation unchanged at 62.5%
Average hourly earnings up by 0.6%; 4.5% increase over the year
December jobs revised up by +228K to +333K
November jobs revised up by +9K to 182K
SPX trades 2/1
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 1st 4785/4805-4910/4930 condors for 1.05, deltas -.05 +.06, IV 22.1%
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Not trade until after the Fed announcement
I did put on paper trades for the IB and 5-pt wide IC strategies, this time with both 30-point and 40-point wings.
SPX trades 1/30
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 30th 4860/4880-4955/4975 condors for 1.35, deltas -.08 +.08 IV 17.6%
Aggressive again on deltas… JOLT jobs report at 10am ET
SPX trades 1/29
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 29th 4835/4855-4925/4945 condors for 1.20, deltas -.09 +.07 IV 16.4%
A bit aggressive on deltas for what have been quiet Mondays lately.
Earnings 1/29 – 2/2
Please note the current week’s earnings calendar always available in the menu bar at top of this page.
Economic Calendar 1/29 – 2/2
Busy week with JOLT on Tuesday, FOMC decision on Wednesday, and Jobs report on Friday.
Please note the current week’s calendar always available in the menu bar at top of this page.
SPX trades 1/26
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 26th 4825/4845-4935/4955 condors for 1.25, deltas -.08 +.05, IV 20.3%
SPX trades 1/25
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 25th 4815/4835-4920/4940 condors for 1.00, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 18.15%
SPX trades 1/24
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 24th 4825/4845-4925/4945 condors for .85, deltas -.07 +.05, IV 15.6%
SPX trades 1/23
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 23rd 4800/4820-4890/4910 condors for 1.30, deltas -.09 +.07, IV 16.5%
This is fairly tight and aggressive, so needs a quiet day to slip through.
SPX trades 1/22
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 22nd 4790/4810-4895/4915 condors for 1.05, deltas -.07 +.06, IV 17.7%
Earnings 1/22 – 1/26
Economic calendar for 1/22 – 1/26
SPX all time high
#Market All time high just breached. The previous high of 4818.62 was hit on 1/4/22, so just over two years since we’ve been here.
SPX trades 1/19
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 19th 4750/4730 put spreads for .50, delta -.08, IV 20.6%
I will be able to see my long Jan 19th 4845/4865 call spreads for at least some profit today. Looking for another spike up to sell first half. I will also look to sell a higher call spread at that point.
SPX trades 1/18
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 18th 4690/4710-4790/4810 condors for 1.40, deltas -.08 +.08, IV 18.6%
SPX trades 1/17
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 17th 4680/4700-4790/4810 condors for 1.05, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 20%
SPX trades 1/16
#SPX1dte STOPPED Bought to close $SPX Jan 16th 4730/4710 put spreads for 1.70. Condors sold Friday for 1.05.
May be only second or third time I have ever gotten up two hours early because I rolled over in bed to check futures on my phone. Last January being down 27 points on SPX was not a worry, but with this year’s tighter spreads it is the stopping point. Stop was touched soon after midnight PT.
I’ll be back at normal waking hours to look for a new condor sale.
Earnings 1/15-1/19
Economic Calendar 1/15 – 1/19
SPX 1dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 16th 4710/4730-4840/4860 condors for 1.05, deltas -.07 +.06, IV 7.3%
SPX trades 1/12
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 12th 4710/4730-4820/4840 condors for 1.10, deltas -.06 +.07, IV 20.6%
SPX trades 1/11
#SPX1dte Right after the data release, sold to open $SPX Jan 11th 4720/4700 put spreads for .80, delta -.07, IV 24.9%.
Inflation hotter than expected, which means my long call spreads may be doomed.
SPX trades 1/10
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 10th 4700/4720-4790/4810 condors for 1.20, deltas -.08 +.07, IV 16.9%
SPX trades 1/9
#SPX1dte. Whipsaw week so far. Stopped out before the open on put side for 2.70.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 9th 4700/4720-4805/4825 condors for .95, deltas -.07 +.04, IV 11%
SPX trades 1/8
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX 4645/4660-4740/4755 condors for .80, deltas -.06 +.05, IV 17.7%
This is 15-wide wings, not my usual 20. For some reason I got “invalid order” when I tried it with the 4640 & 4760 long options, so perhaps one of them isn’t offered. Due to the lower risk with 150wide, I increased my position size by about a third.
Economic Calendar 1/8 – 1/12
CPI Report Thursday
Bond Auctions Wednesday & Thursday
SPX trades 1/5
#SPX1dte Waited for 30 minutes after Jobs report…
Sold to Open $SPX Jan 5th 4620/4640-4735/4755 condors for 1.05, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 22.1%
December Jobs Report
#Jobs — Higher than expected.
Gain of +216,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 175K
Unemployment unchanged at 3.7%
U6 unemployment 7.1%, up by 0.1
Labor force participation at 62.5%, down by 0.3
Average hourly earnings up by 0.4%; 4.1% increase over the year
October jobs revised down by -45K to +105K
November jobs revised down by -26K to 173K
SPX trades 1/4
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 5th (next day) 4625/4645-4780/4800 condors for 1.00, deltas -.05 +.05, IV 15.5%
Today’s condor nicely centered and should expire. This new one is for tomorrow… there is the Jobs report in the morning, but I’m getting a nice width here so I’m comfortable.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 4th 4635/4655-4750/4770 condors for .95, deltas -.05 +.06, IV 12.4%
Condor from this morning expired. My error in setting up a close order led me to keep watch, and since we didn’t went lower than the morning dip (until right before the close), I rode it out to victory!
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 3rd 4670/4690-4775/4795 condors for 1.05, deltas -.06 +.05, IV 18.9%
SPX trades 1/2
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 2nd 4680/4700-4795/4815 condors for 1.10, deltas -.06 +.05, IV 20.7%
SPX trades 12/29
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 29th 4720/4740-4825/4845 condors for .90, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 18.7%
Third day out of four this week that I have doubled down, taking advantage of the typically quiet holiday week. Watching today closely in case there is any larger moves due to last-day-of-year loading or unloading.
Economic Calendar 1/1 – 1/5
SPX trades 12/28
#SPX1dte Doubling down with a second condor: Sold to Open $SPX Dec 28th 4735/4755-4820/4840 condors for .90, deltas -.09 +.05, IV 14.9%
This is 20 points higher on put side and 5 points higher on call side.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 28th 4715/4735-4815/4835 condors for .90, deltas -.07 +.06, IV 10.6%
Expiring: Dec 27th 4845/4825 put spreads, sold yesterday for .80
Economic Calendar 12/25 – 12/29
SPX trades 12/26
#SPX1dte Adding to condor sold on Friday: Sold to Open $SPX Dec 26th 4705/4725-4790/4810 condors for 1.15, deltas -.07 +.07, IV 15.7%. Obviously, I’m assuming a pretty quiet day.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 26th 4690/4710-4800/4820 condors for 1.00, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 6.4%
SPX trades 12/22
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 22nd 4690/4710-4800/4820 condors for 1.25, deltas -.08 +.07, IV 21.4%
SPX trades 12/21
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 21st 4665/4685-4775/4795 condors for 1.35, deltas -.11 +.07, IV 21%
Aggressive on downside as bounce is likely.
Does anyone know…
…what news hit?
SPX trades 12/20
#SPX1de Adding another tight position on this quiet week: Sold to Open $SPX Dec 20th 4730/4750-4790/4810 condors for .75. Deltas -.08 +.08
SPX trades 12/19
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 19th 4720/4700 put spreads for .60, delta -.10, IV 14.2%
This is a bonus spread; my condor from yesterday still on.
SPX next day
#SPX1dte Filled 23 seconds after closing bell: Sold to Open $SPX Dec 19th 4685/4705-4785/4805 condors for .95. I wasn’t at my screen, but I estimate deltas were -.09 +.04
SPX 1dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 18th 4670/4690-4760/4780 condors for .85, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 15.3%
Economic Calendar 12/18 – 12/22
SPX trades 12/15
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 15th 4675/4655 put spreads for .75, delta -.08, IV 21.05%
SPX trades 12/14
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 14th 4650/4670-4765/4785 condors for .95, deltas -.06 +.06, IV 21%
SPX trades 12/13
#SPX1dte Unable to sell any puts as market just ran. Profit is availabe on the #RiskReversal I sold yesterday… gonna try to pick a top.
New SPX high
$SPX just exceeded the March 2022 high of 4637.30. Next would be the all-time high from Jan 2022 of 4818.62.
SPX trades 12/12
#SPX1dte #RiskReversal
Sold to Open $SPX Dec 13th (next day) 4520/4500 put spreads
Bought to Open Dec 13th 4700/4720 call spreads
Net DEBIT .50
I will hold this until after Fed press conference tomorrow, in case ultimate market reaction is bullish
