Is it fair?

So criticism is abound today toward Robinhood for shutting off new positions in $GME (Game Stop) and others. Many of these retail traders that drove the stock up ONLY have Robinhood or other restrictive platforms, while hedge funds and others can trade shares in myriad ways without restriction. Plus, it is mostly retail traders who are LONG, and can still close their positions by selling… and the Hedge Funds are SHORT, so they want to see that selling happen.

I’m of two minds about this… on the one hand Robinhood is closing new positions to ALL traders… but the effect is that only the smaller guys are being restricted. Robinhood enticed and attracted smaller players to the market, and when these traders suddenly succeed in a huge play that damaged hedge funds, they are then cut off. But in another sense, this also protects novice traders from buying GME at $300, only to see it drop back to $20 in a few days or weeks (maybe).

What do you guys think? Should Robinhood be a fault? Will further action from Washington just drive brokers like RH out of business, limiting access to the smaller guys once again?

AOC, Rashida Tlaib Rip Robinhood Over GameStop Trading Restrictions

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Feb 3rd 3800/3820-3830/3850 iron condors for 17.55, with SPX at 3827.

Will the GME game stop?

I hope everyone on Earth has now seen the dangers in selling short calls or stock. With the Natural Gas crash, and $SVXY, and now a bunch of Reddit geeks and $GME… I feel lucky to have escaped my earlier trading days when naked options were a regular part of my strategy. Even so, still got spanked badly last year with naked calls on $DRIP… that was my final gambit. Don’t be surprised if something like GME happens to the DOWN side on a high priced stock, imperiling naked put sellers.

Downside Warning taking effect at the close

#VIXIndicator Over 25% higher at the close means new Downside Warning… we are likely to see lower prices in the coming days or weeks.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte STOPPED: bought to close $SPX Jan 27th 3780/3760 put spreads for 3.90. Condors sold yesterday for 1.05. I have been riding this one up and down all day, from 9.00 to about 2.50, then back to 9.00.

#SPX7dteLong Expecting full credit of +20.00 on 3855/3835 put spreads. Condors bought for 15.60 last Thursday.

So between the two strategies came out 1.55 ahead on the day.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX 3760/3780-3905/3925 iron condors for 1.05, SPX at 3857, IV 14.55%, deltas -.06, +.07.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dte Bought to Open $SPX Feb 1st 3835/3855-3865/3885 iron condors for 16.25, with SPX at 3857.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to open $SPX Jan 29th 3815/3835-3845/3865 iron condors for 16.55, with SPX at 3841.

#SPX1dte Bought to close Jan 25th 3780/3760 put spreads for .10. Stop was hit on the huge dip so playing it safe.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Jan 25th 3835/3815 put spreads for 2.20. Banking on call side for a better return. Condors bought last Wednesday for 15.55.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 25th 3760/3780-3890/3910 iron condors for 1.15, SPX at 3848, IV 9.7%, deltas: -.07,+.07

Expiring: Jan 22nd 3780/3800-3905/3925 condors, sold yesterday for .85

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open Jan 27th $SPX 3835/3855-3865/3885 iron condors for 15.60, with SPX at 3860

#SPX1dte Sold to Open Jan 22nd $SPX 3780/3800-3905/3925 iron condors for .80, SPX at 3860, IV 11.6%, deltas -.06,+.06.

SPXpire

#SPX7dteLong Expiring for max credit of 20.00: $SPX Jan 20th 3825/3845 call spreads. Sold put side for 4.80 this morning, so that somewhat makes up for yesterday’s loss!

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX 3815/3835-3845/3865 iron condor for 15.55, with SPX at 3839.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Suffered a full loss yesterday (16.75) as I clung to the trade in hopes of a drop into the close. After that, not going to wait on today’s condor which could also end up in the dead zone.
Sold to close $SPX Jan 20th 3815/3795 put spreads for 4.80. Condors bought for 15.80 last Thursday. I think there’s the possibility for a strong rally today provided inauguration goes smoothly.

#SPX1dte Yesterday’s expired at max profit (1.35)… did not sell one for today given chance for a big move.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 19th 3645/3665-3835/3855 iron condors for 1.35, SPX at 3778, IV 13.1%, delats -.07,+.07

Expiring: Jan 15th 3710/3730-3855/3875 condors, sold yesterday for 1.00

#SPX7dteLong Expected to expire at max credit of 20.00: Jan 15th 3810/3790 put spreads. Condors bought for 16.50 on Monday.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 15th 3710/3730-3855/3875, with SPX at 3805, IV 15.55%, deltas: -.07,+.06

SPX 7 dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Jan 20th 3795/3815-3825/3845 iron condors for 15.80, with SPX at 3817.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong. Badly legged out of both sides, netted 8.20 total. Condors bought for 16.10 last Thursday.

#SPX1dte Expected to expire: condors sold yesterday for 1.00

SPX trades

#SPX7dtelong Bought to Open $SPX Jan 19th 3770/3790-3800/3820 iron condors for 16.75, with SPX at 3796. This is next TUESDAY expiration due to the Monday holiday.

#SPX1dte trade to follow

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Jan 15th 3790/3810-3820/3840 iron condors for 16.50, with SPX at 3815.

#SPX1dte Expected to expire: $SPX Jan 11th 3700/3720-3870/3890 condors, sold Friday for 1.00.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 11th 3700/3720-3870/3890 iron condors for 1.00, with SPX at 3816, IV 11.3%, deltas -.06, +.06.

#spx7dtelong

December Jobs Report

#Jobs — LOSS of jobs, first time in 8 months.

Loss of -140,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected gain of 50K
Unemployment at 6.7%, unchanged
U6 unemployment at 11.7%, down by 0.3%
Labor force participation 61.5%, unchanged
Avg hourly earnings +0.8%

Nov jobs revised up by +91K to +245K
Oct jobs revised up by +44K to +654K

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Jan 8th 3700/3720 call spreads for 19.70. Condors bought on Monday for 17.60. Put spreads remain as a hedge for tomorrow.

Skipping #SPX1dte for tomorrow as premium is low and #Jobs report is in the morning.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX 3775/3795-3805/3825 iron condors for 16.10, with SPX at 3802.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Jan 6th 3735/3755 call spreads for 19.00. Condors bought for 17.05 on 12/29.

#spx1dte

Unplugged

#Speculation Sold to close $PLUG Jan 15th 20 Calls for 16.00. Calls were bought for .80 on August 12th. I may reload if we get a deep enough pullback.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 6th 3590/3600-3790/3810 iron condors for 1.65, SPX at 3725, IV 23.3%, deltas -.06, +.08.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Jan 11th 3690/3710-3720/3740 iron condors for 17.55, with SPX at 3718.

SPX trades

Wow, what a wild day to start the year.

#SPX7dte Sold to close $SPX Jan 4th 3730/3710 put spreads for 19.30. Condors bought for 14.25 on Wednesday.

#SPX1dte – Got stopped out of call side the same day I placed the condor (Thursday), and now getting stopped out of 3665/3645 put side. Holding on now for a bounce to make the exit cheap.

SPX 1-dte STOPPED

#SPX1dte Earlier I thought I’d get cute and put this trade on early in the day to boost premium. I figured we ain’t going to move much in final hours of the year.

Ha!

Stopping out the call side, will post my fill.

Happy New Year to the Bistro world!

Click Home/REFRESH above for the celebratory view!!!

Thanks to all for being part of this site, which just turned FIVE years old! Looking forward to another exciting year in 2021…

Below is a screengrab of my very first post, along with the first replies…. oh so long ago.

And for those of you just following but not writing posts, please email me at jpayne.rdb@gmail.com to become a Contributor if you’d like to write your own posts.

All the best!

Jeff

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 4th 3645/3665-3785/3805 iron condors for 1.25, SPX at 3730, IV at 10.8%, deltas -.06, +.06

Expecting to expire: Dec 31st 3650/3670-37703790 condors, sold yesterday for 1.15.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dte Sold to close $SPX Dec 30th 3715/3735 call spreads for 19.65. Condors bought for 15.45 last Wednesday.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 31st 3650/3670-3770/3790 ieron condors for 1.10, SPX at 3731, IV 13.0%, deltas -.08,+.08.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Jan 4th 3710/3730/3740/3760 iron condors for 14.25, with SPX at 3733. I meant to buy Jan 4th yesterday, but I instead bought Jan 6th. So I’m doing the 4th today, even though it’s only two trading days away. Come get me.

SPX 7dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Jan 6th 3705/3725-3735/3755 iron condors for 17.05, with SPX at 3730.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Dec 28th 3745 calls for .30. Stop was breached. Condors sold for 1.00 on Thursday.

#SPX7dte Expiring for max 20.00 credit: Dec 28th 3700/3720 call spreads. Condors bought for 15.90 last Tuesday.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 28th 3595/3615-3745/3765 iron condors for 1.00, SPX at 3696, IV 9.2%, deltas -.06,+.06

#SPX7dte. Forced to take a break here with too many losses eating in to what had been a 45% annualized strategy. I did not buy one for next Thursday.

Today’s flirting with expiring in dead zone. Looks like I will get some on call side.

SPX 1 dte

#SPX1dte Skipping a trade for tomorrow’s half day, since premium is low and things in Washington are uncertain.

Expiring: $SPX Dec 23rd 3585/3605-3730/3750 condors, sold yesterday for 1.10.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 30th 3685/3705-3715/3735 iron condors for 15.45, with SPX at 3710.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Dec 23rd 3710/3690 put spreads for 9.00. Will sell call side on a spike. Likely another loss due to this murderous consolidation around 3700. Condors bought for 16.10 last Thursday.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 23rd 3585/3605-3730/3750 iron condors for 1.05, with SPX at 3684, IV 15.1%, delats: -.06,+.06

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX 3670/3690/3700/3720 iron condors for 15.90, with SPX at 3694.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 24th 3665/3685-3695/3715 iron condors for 16.25, with SPX at 3691.

I have the same strikes expiring t0day and I totally botched the exit. I didn’t think we would bounce this strongly, so I sold off the call side for 1.00, and then the put side dropped. My only hope is a significant pullback into the close.

I also failed to sell the long put side I bought for cheap for the #SPX1dte… think they got up to about 2.00, but was unfortunately not able to be at my computer at the crucial time… and again, thought we would go lower.

No big worries… this strategy still working strong in long term, despite hiccups in last couple of weeks.

Upside Warning canceled

#VIXIndicator The Upside warning was canceled this morning, with the $VIX above 26.96. Could be a pause before it resumes, or we could be headed down. A Downside Warning would take effect with a VIX close above 26.96.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Actually going LONG this time, due to possibility of Congress passing stimulus. Was considering RiskReversal, but if they pass and Trump refuses to sign, could be negative reaction. So long on both sides

Bought to Open $SPX Dec 21st 3565/3585-3760/3775 iron condors for .70 (broken-wing because I’m 15-wide on call side.). I don’t think this has much chance, but a cheap play.

Expiring: Dec 18th 3630/3650-3780/3800 condors, sold yesterday for 1.00.

#SPX7dte Sold to Close $SPX Dec 18th 3675/3695 call spreads for 19.50. Not a fun afternoon watching it drop, but I held in there and got lucky with the bounce. Put side sold earlier for 1.00, so 20.50 total. Condors bought for 16.55 on Monday.

PLUG

Bought the Jan2021 – 20 calls for .80 sometime in the summer for $PLUG. Still holding as it doesn’t want to stop!

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Dec 18th 3665/3645 put spreads for 1.00. Looking for a close here or higher to take full 20.00 on call side.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 23rd 3690/3710-3720/3740 iron condors for 16.10, with SPX at 3718.

#spx1dte

SPXpire

#SPX7dteLong Expiring at max credit of 20.00: $SPX Dec 16th 3670/3690 call spreads. Condors bought for 16.65 last Thursday.

#SPX1dte Expiring worthless: Dec 16th 3580/3600-3745/3765 condors, sold yesterday for .90

Fed’s gonna keep it up

Fed commits to keep buying bonds until the economy gets back to full employment

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/16/fed-decision-december-2020-fed-commits-to-keep-buying-bonds-until-the-economy-gets-back-to-full-employment.html?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_content=Main&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1608145264

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 21st 3665/3685-3695/3715 iron condors for 16.40, with SPX at 3690.

#spx1dte

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 18th 3645/3665-3675/3695 iron condors for 16.55, with SPX at 3669.

#SPX1dte Expected to expire worthless: Dec 14th 3540-/3560-3720/3740 condors, sold Friday for 1.05.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 14th 3540/3560-3720/3740 iron condors for 1.05, SPX at 3568, IV 13.4%, deltas: -.06, +.06

Expected to expire: Dec 11th 3585/3605-3720/3740 condors, sold yesterday for .90.

#spx7dtelong

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong. Sold to close $SPX Dec 14th 3710/3730 call spreads for 1.25. Put side sold for 12.60 on Wednesday. Condors bought for 15.40 on Tuesday, so loss is 1.65.

Now I’m rooting to stay below 3665 today for max credit on today’s expiry.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 11th 3585/3605-3720/3740 iron condors for .90, SPX at 3671, IV 13.8%, deltas -.06,+.06

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong – Bought to Open $SPX Dec 16th 3640/3660-3670/3690 iron condors for 16.65, with SPX at 3663.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Following my own suggestion from earlier and legging out on the swings, sold to close $SPX Dec 14th 3700/3680 put spreads for 12.60. Condors bought yesterday for 15.40. If this is the start of a big drop, this loss is fairly small. But I think it is more likely to see some bounce by Monday, which means I can then sell the call side.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Morning started out great, now a sticky situation. Sold to close $SPX Dec 9th 3665/3645 put spreads for 1.40. Looking for recovery from these lows to close out the 3675/3695 call side.

SPX7dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 14th 3680/3700-3710/3730 iron condors for 15.40, with SPX at 3702.

#spx1dte

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong SOld to close $SPX Dec 7th 3665/3685 cal spreads for 19.85. Bouncing around too much, so I closed to avoid a bigger loss if it drops again. Condors bought for 15.65 last Tuesday.

Expiring: Dec 7th 3590/3610-3740/3760 condors, sold Friday for 1.00.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 11th 3665/3685-3695/3715 iron condors for 15.70, with SPX at 3690.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Dec 7th 3590/3610-3740/3760 iron condors for 1.00, SPX at 3687, IV 10.5%, deltas: -.06,+.06.

November Jobs Report

#Jobs — pace of job growth slows; gains lower than expected

Gain of +245,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. expected 440K gain
Unemployment at 6.7%, down by 0.2%, as expected
U6 unemployment at 12.0%, down by 0.1%
Labor force participation 61.5%, down by 0.2
Avg hourly earnings +0.3% vs +0.1% expected

Oct jobs revised down by -28K to +610K
Sept jobs revised up by +39K to +711K

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Dec 4th 3620/3640 call spreads for 17.75. Iron condors bought Monday for 16.45. Will look to sell put spread if we go lower. Also happy to be safely in profit before #Jobs report in the morning.

Bought to Open $SPX Dec 9th 3645/3665-3675/3695 iron condors for 15.85, with SPX at 3669.

SPX trades

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Dec 2nd 3630/3650 call spreads for 19.10, to avoid any possible dump into the close. Iron Condors bought last Wednesday for 16.00; sold today for a total of 20.35.

#SPX1dte Expected to expire: 3575/3595-3710/3730 condors, sold yesterday for .90.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 7th 3635/3655-3665/3685 iron condors for 15.65, with SPX at 3659. Forgot to buy this one yesterday.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dte Sold to close $SPX Dec 2nd 3620/3600 put spreads for 1.25. Banking on 3630/3650 call side to make the bulk of profit. Condors bought last Wednesday for 16.00.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open (right after closing bell) $SPX Dec 2nd 3575/3595-3710/3730 iron condors for .90, SPX close at 3661, IV 13.6%, deltas: -.06, +.06

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 4th 3590/3610-3620/3640 iron condors for 16.45, with SPX at 3615.

Volatility has dropped, but still above 20. Today is the first expiration where this strategy has “missed” in several weeks. We may be in consolidation near 3600 so it could become tricky for awhile here.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Sold to close $SPX Nov 30th 3625/3605 put spreads for 6.10. Condors bought last Tuesday for 15.65. trading in the dead zone this morning but I am banking that we won’t go much lower and will rebound into afternoon, so i can get some scratch for the call side. Likely a loss, but fortunately this was the cheapest i have ever paid for a condor in this strategy.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Sold to open $SPX Nov 30th 3525/3545-3685-3705 iron condors for 1.05, SPX at 3630, IV 11.4%, deltas -.06,+.06

Expiring: Nov 27th 3570/3590-3680/3700 condors, sold Wednesday for 1.20.

#SPX7dteLong Expiring at max 20.00 credit: Nov 27th 3570/3590 call spreads. Condors bought for 16.00 on Monday.

SPX trades

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Nov 27th 3570/3590-3680/3700 iron condors for 1.20, SPX at 3633, IV 9.6%, deltas -.10, +.05. Leaning bullish for two reasons: I think we’ll go a bit higher into the close, and the half-day after thanksgiving is typically quiet.

Expiring: Nov 25th 3545/3565-3685/3705 condors, sold yesterday for 1.05

#SPX7dteLong Expecting a profitable expiration of Nov 25th 3615/3635, bought last Wednesday for 9.50. If I don’t get the max 20.00, it will still be a good trade.

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to Open $SPX Dec 2nd 3600/3620-3630/3650 iron condors for 16.00, with SPX at 3627.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Nov 25th 3545/3565-3685/3705 iron condors for 1.05, SPX 3632, IV 14.2%, deltas -.06,+.07