NFLX earnings analysis

#Earnings $NFLX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 16, 2020 AC -6.52%
April 21, 2020 AC -2.86%
Jan. 21, 2020 AC -3.58%
Oct. 16, 2019 AC +2.46%
July 17, 2019 AC -10.27% Biggest DOWN
April 16, 2019 AC -1.31%
Jan. 17, 2019 AC -3.98%
Oct. 16, 2018 AC +5.28%
July 16, 2018 AC -5.24%
April 16, 2018 AC +9.18%
Jan. 22, 2018 AC +9.97% Biggest UP
Oct. 16, 2017 AC -1.57%

Avg (+ or -) 5.19%
Bias -0.70%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 530.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 484.26 to 575.74 (+/- 8.6%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 502.52 to 557.48
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (10.3%): 475.57 to 584.43
Based on UP max only (+10.0%): 582.84

NOTE: 3-day data: Max UP +18.5%, Max DOWN -13.1%. Avg Move +/- 6.5%, Bias: -1.24%

Open to requests for other symbols.