SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Five minutes after closing bell: Sold to Open $SPX Oct 21st 3340/3360-3510/3530 iron condors for 1.60, with SPX close at 3443, IV 21%, delats: -.07,+.07

AAL SLB Covered Calls

Sold AAL Oct 23 2020 13.50 Calls @ 0.24
Sold SLB Oct 30 2020 18.0 Calls @ 0.11

VXX

Playing around a bit with diagonal call spreads
Bought VXX Jan 15 2021 85.0 Calls / Sold VXX Oct 23 2020 24 Calls @ 0.02 Net Credit.
Because of all the short puts I have I would like the stock a point higher by Friday.

Also sold some VXX Oct 23 2020 26.50 Calls @ 0.23.
This strike price is almost outside the 20 day( 1 month) trading range for the stock

SPX 7-dte

#SPX7dteLong Bought to open $SPX Oct 26th 3450/3470-3480/3500 iron condors for 17.20, with SPX at 3463. Placed order when we were at 3474, but filled on the drop.

NFLX Earnings

#ShortStrangles – In a different account….fairly aggressive.

Sold NFLX OCT 23 2020 480.0/600.0 Strangle @ 6.32

KSS SLB Covered Calls

Sold 1 KSS 11/20/2020 25.0 Covered Call @ 0.68
Sold SLB 11/06/2020 18.0 Covered Calls @ 0.13

GILD T

#fallingknife trades
Both stocks flirting with 52week lows
Sold 1 GILD 10/30/2020 60.0 Put @ 1.31
Sold 1 T 11/27/2020 26.0 Put @ 0.60

Nice dividend yields down here too

#closing #shortputs DKNG Oct. 9,…

#closing #shortputs DKNG
Oct. 9, sold an Oct. 16, 45 put for .56, Oct. 16 rolled to Oct. 23 for 1.68, closed today on a brief increase for 2.15.
Holding a short Nov. 20, 35 put

NIO Puts Closed

#shortputs

$NIO BTC 10/23 27 put at .50 STO 10/15 at 1.58

PENN MGM VXX MRVL Puts Rolled / NIO Strangle

#shortputs

$PENN BTC 10/23 72 put and STO 10/30 71 put at added .61 credit
$MGM BTC 10/23 23 put and STO 10/30 22.50 put at a debit of .09 but gain .50 in strike
$VXX BTC 10/23 24 put and STO 10/30 23.50 put at added .17 credit
$MRVL BTC 10/23 43.5 put and STO 10/30 43.5 put at added .30 credit

#shortstrangles

$NIO STO 10/23 26/30 strangle at .50

LABU

#ShortPuts – Starter position. First trade beyond the election..

Sold LABU NOV 20 2020 40.0 Put @ 1.55

OSTK

#ShortPuts – Reducing size slightly…

Bought to Close OSTK OCT 23 2020 70.0 Put @ 1.20 (sold for 2.20)
Bought to Close OSTK OCT 23 2020 67.5 Put @ .65 (sold for 1.60)

NVAX

Roll $NVAX 23-Oct-2020 92/102 #BuPS // 30-Oct-2020 @0.30 Credit.

Not sure how long I’m going to try to ride this out, but we’ll give it another week.

AAPL

BTC $AAPL Oct-23-2020 125/135 #BeCS @0.10 debit. Was STO 10/5/2020 @0.76.
Roll $AAPL Oct-23-2020 110/120 #BuPS // Oct-30-2020 @0.50 Credit.

Will probably STO another #BeCS to rebuild the condor.

NFLX earnings analysis

#Earnings $NFLX reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 16, 2020 AC -6.52%
April 21, 2020 AC -2.86%
Jan. 21, 2020 AC -3.58%
Oct. 16, 2019 AC +2.46%
July 17, 2019 AC -10.27% Biggest DOWN
April 16, 2019 AC -1.31%
Jan. 17, 2019 AC -3.98%
Oct. 16, 2018 AC +5.28%
July 16, 2018 AC -5.24%
April 16, 2018 AC +9.18%
Jan. 22, 2018 AC +9.97% Biggest UP
Oct. 16, 2017 AC -1.57%

Avg (+ or -) 5.19%
Bias -0.70%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 530.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 484.26 to 575.74 (+/- 8.6%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 502.52 to 557.48
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (10.3%): 475.57 to 584.43
Based on UP max only (+10.0%): 582.84

NOTE: 3-day data: Max UP +18.5%, Max DOWN -13.1%. Avg Move +/- 6.5%, Bias: -1.24%

Open to requests for other symbols.

NFLX Earnings

#ShortPuts – You can do better now. Selling below all the major moving averages and at recent lows and just outside the expected move.

Sold NFLX OCT 23 2020 475.0 Put @ 4.05

OSTK

#ShortPuts #ShortStrangles – Pulled a “WYNN” on me. Moved their earnings up a week so outstanding positions for next week jumped in value. You never know until it’s actually confirmed. Earnings last two years were in first or second week of Nov. Not this time…I’m guessing they wanted to avoid possible election fallout.