TSCO earnings analysis

#Earnings $TSCO reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 23, 2020 BO +0.03%
April 23, 2020 BO -0.36%
Jan. 30, 2020 BO -1.25%
Oct. 24, 2019 BO +3.02%
July 25, 2019 BO -0.90%
April 25, 2019 BO +0.96%
Jan. 31, 2019 BO -4.70%
Oct. 25, 2018 BO +5.80%
July 26, 2018 BO +2.81%
April 26, 2018 BO +7.18% Biggest UP
Jan. 31, 2018 AC -6.30% Biggest DOWN
Oct. 25, 2017 AC -0.98%

Avg (+ or -) 2.86%
Bias 0.44%, small positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 150.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 142.77 to 157.23 (+/- 4.8%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 145.71 to 154.29
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (7.2%): 139.23 to 160.77
Based on DOWN max only (-6.3%): 140.55

Open to requests for other symbols.

#shortputs