AMZN earnings analysis

#Earnings $AMZN reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 30, 2020 AC +3.69%
April 30, 2020 AC -7.59% Biggest DOWN
Jan. 30, 2020 AC +7.37%
Oct. 24, 2019 AC -1.09%
July 25, 2019 AC -1.55%
April 25, 2019 AC +2.54%
Jan. 31, 2019 AC -5.38%
Oct. 25, 2018 AC -7.81%
July 26, 2018 AC +0.51%
April 26, 2018 AC +3.60%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC +2.87%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC +13.21% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 4.77%
Bias 0.86%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 3210.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 3045.70 to 3374.30 (+/- 5.1%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 3056.96 to 363.04
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.2%): 2785.96 to 3634.04
Based on DOWN max only (-7.8%): 2959.30

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