BTC WDC Jul 14 put…

BTC WDC Jul 14 put 83.5 at 0.39. Sold at 1.04. Did not want to close yet but TOS doing some weird stuff with margin again so had to to so i could roll an ITM position.

Rolled SWKS Jul 7 106 put to 8/4 104 put for 0.45 credit. Originally sold for 1.2 but ITM now so gaining 2 points lower for credit. Part of a ladder. Will need to roll next weeks 105 out and down when the new series is available on Thurs. The next 2 weeks are at 95 so hopefully after a 13 point drop they stay OTM then the decay catches up with the rolls.

#optionladder STO XBI Jul 21…

#optionladder
STO XBI Jul 21 and 28 76.5 and 77 puts at 0.92 and 1.

Will add new trade every Thurs. or Friday until 4 week ladder set up. Then roll each week there is expiration or the value drops below 0.20.

Rainy day vacation trades. First…

Rainy day vacation trades. First full on rain day all week, we had a few tstorms but they were short lived.

Not a bad week of profits for being on vacation.

Hope everyone has a good expiration.

#ladders
Rolled Jul 7 WDC 84 puts to 8/4 for 1.47 credit. Sold for 0.97 3 weeks ago.
STO Jul 28 SWKS 95 puts at 1.2. Could add another week because of VW diesel money just hit the account, thanks to VW and Bosch for screwing up the software I get to add another week to the ladder.
Rolled 6/23 WDC 87 puts to 6/30 90 puts for 0.85 and 0.65 credit. Originally sold for 1.53. Things up 3 points today so lost .20 in the time it took me to change platforms.

Next week should be busier, have multiple SVXY, WDC, SWKS and other ladders expiring.

Have a great weekend, sun just poked out here!

#optionladder

XBI 6/23 76.5 put for…

XBI 6/23 76.5 put for 0.4-0.47 is a today recommendation by options income blueprint. I would do it but have limited margin until Friday. Maybe do it for next week.

Also on vacation but saw this when I took a break at lunch.

Hope everyone is having a good week.

We get some VW money back this week for the diesel recall so will give me some more trading $ for next week.

#vxx game Rolled this week…

#vxx game

Rolled this week SVXY 125 puts to next week for credit of 0.56. Sold for 1.09 on the little vix spike last week.

#optionladder Rolled this week SVXY…

#optionladder
Rolled this week SVXY 115 puts to Jul 14 for 1.18 credit. Originally sold 2 weeks ago for 1.24.

#optionladder STO Jul 28 WDC…

#optionladder

STO Jul 28 WDC 80 puts at 1.5

Rather than click the like…

Rather than click the like button on all your expirations I will just say impressive!

It would be interesting to figure out the total value of all the expiring options for the entire group and the value of all the sold options in a week. Awesome!

Keep selling and we can all keep feeding each other ideas.

Cheers, Chris

Thanks bistro traders for showing…

Thanks bistro traders for showing me how to roll credit spreads and sell options on contango and leveraged etfs! It has supercharged my trading results lately but more importantly improved consistency.

I will be rolling some WDC puts at 87 and 88 that expire today, or may take assignment, there is 0.50 dividend coming up and can sell calls.

I have 19 patients left to see then vacation next week but will trade at least 1 day! Happy Fathers day to all the dads.

Thurs trade day and some rolls and laddering

Rolled SVXY 6/16 125 puts to 6/23 for credit of 1.00. Originally sold for 0.9 last Thurs.

STO 7/7 SVXY 95 puts for 0.85

Rolled SVXY 6/16 125 and 130 puts to 6/30 115 for credit of 1.2 and 1.15 originally sold for 1.04 and 1.10.

STO SVXY 7/7 100 put at 1.00 These were all IRA trades.

Tomorrow will roll some WDC 88 and 87 puts that are ITM out and down and expire tomorrow that are part of ladder trades. There is still a lot of time value in them because they are ATM and will wait until most of the juice is sucked out of them. There are times better to roll early but other times be greedy and get as much time value out of the option that you can. This is one of those times, have plenty of cash and margin to cover if someone is dumb enough to take early assignment and I will gladly take their money if they want to give it up early.

My SWKS positions may take little more work but still have 2-3 weeks left to decide what to do with them. Dropped 11 points in 4 days! Falling knife trade now?

Cheers and hope everyone has a good expiration tomorrow. The vol.is finally fun!

Ladder trade

STO July 21 SWKS 95 puts at 1.20

That’s it? That’s all we…

That’s it? That’s all we get in the sell off and volatility spike? Seems like the majority of investors are either hibernating, comatose, or just don’t care. Good to be a tasty/bistro trader and managing/growing our own money instead of some MBA pulling profits out in the form of fees.

Now if we could just get a volatility spike every 1-2 weeks would be perfect.

I love options! You can…

I love options! You can be wrong direction and still make money if you do it right.

Some trades based on that thought.

BTC TSo puts for 2-3 weeks expiration at 0.6 and 0.9 that were sold at 1.04 and 1.2. They were way OTM but did it to free up margin for the trades below.

Followed a lot you on SVXY: STO 6/23 115 puts at 1.49
STO SVXY 6/16 125 puts at 1.04 and 0.90 (slippage in the time it took me to change platforms)

Will be rolling some WDC puts that are now ITM on Thurs or Fri. No point is losing the time value, will let them decay until right before expiration so I only have to cover intrinsic and will be doing the same with SWKS over the next 2-3 weeks. Or if the call premiums look good then may take assignment and start rolling CC.

Thanks for the ideas! Down days are profitable days when you sell options…………

1 more

BTC TSO 6/30 put at 0.23, sold as part of a ladder at 1.03.

I may have been a little premature on SWKS, did not have time to look at the chart, down 2% today off all time highs. Oh well, will take assignment or roll it…….for those that like the falling knife trades the premium is spiking on it.

Trades and expiration

Only had a few minutes at lunch but managed to snap off a few trades
Establishing new ladders in SWKS. STO jul 7 puts at 0.95 and Jul 14 105 puts at 1.00.
STO WDC Jul 21 82.5 puts at 1.3.
BTC 6/23 83 puts at 0.30, sold at 2.04. Was not quite a roll, did not see the 83 puts hanging out until I had sold the next week.
SVXY in the money covered calls will expire today at full profit. Both IRAs, 1 made $850 the other $700. Not bad for 1 week work.
I am going to hold off further SVXY trades until we get a bump in volatility.
Rolled WDC 85 puts this week to next week for 0.68 credit. Small IRA account.
I am going back to individual names for a few weeks until the VIX pops up again or ETFS with good vol.
However with the cash that is freed up on the covered calls may set up Jade lizards or just puts on XBI on Monday.
Even with a loss on the oil trade, an excellent week and help everybody else has a good expiration and good weekend!

Closed out /CL strangles

BTC Jul 41.5/53.5 strangle at .59, .60, .61 and .62. Market makers kept making me go up a penny each contract.

BTC Aug 39/57 strangles at 0.62.

Loss of $550 on 8 contracts. It would have eventually worked out, but I forgot I am on vacation next week, will have limited computer access and don’t want to babysit positions while kiteboarding at the beach.

Maybe try again when the next series comes out in 2 weeks or if we get some vol restart my /ES strangle ladders. They are easier to manage because of weeklies but each contract requires $6000 to support it.

Now have some margin to play with for trades tomorrow.

Rolling ladder

Rolled TSO Jun 23 81 put to Jul 21 85 put for 1.2 credit. Sold for 1.04 originally

Dust/Nugt question

So sell puts on DUST and calls in NUGT?

Have the SVXY/UVXY sorted out, thanks again those trades work well.

Oil, slippery when volatile

Made a slight adjustment to the /CL strangles. So I finally had a break from seeing patients at lunch and did not realize oil was down 2.4 and my profitable trade 2 days ago now shows a paper loss. I am still well OTM but only have 7k margin left to play with so made adjustment.

Rolled the Aug 17 /CL 55 call down to 53.5 booking a $440 profit plus the $320 from 2 weeks ago previous roll and brought in another $170. If am doing the math right that is $930 profit against the $880 paper loss on the Aug put contracts. As long as it stays above 41.5 for another 2 weeks should be 30-50% profitable. Just need a little more decay and to stop moving downhill.

The Sep 17 57/39 strangle is being left alone, it is only down $320 on paper because of less gamma risk. That should decay 50% in 3-4 more weeks as well.

Will keep you posted although probably easier and more profitable just to set up SVXY ladders like the rest of the group.

However, I get tax benefit by trading the futures options.

Back to the oil field

STO /CL Sep 17 39/57 strangles at 0.50. Plan is to close in 3-4 weeks. Still have my previous 41.5/55 strangles and pocketed some profit on the call side when I rolled down from the 57. 1-2 more weeks on that should produce some $, theta is over $200 a day so at some point the decay will catch up with the vol.

Next cycle opens in 10 days and will roll the oldest into new ones.

#VXX game IRA sold Jun…

#VXX game

IRA sold Jun 16 SVXY 130 put @ 1.10

rolled TSO Jun 16 80 put to Jul 14 81 put at 0.88. Originally sold for 1.03 about 3 weeks ago.

That’s all I can do until Friday expiration when next batch of ladders expire or if something moves a lot between now and then.

Expiration

As long as nothing drastic changes in the next 2 hours I have:
TSO 80 and 80.5 puts expiring. Originally sold for 1.05.
There are some WDC 82 and 83.5 puts expiring sold for 1.1 to 2.4 but that was off a roll as a recovery but get to pocket the original credit now.
I also have some SVXY puts expiring from 100 and 125, sold for 1.25 and 2.5.
Don’t have specifics other than that, currently trading 6 accounts and I only have one open at the moment.
Should free up some cash for trades next week.
Everyone have a good weekend!

Thanks Bistro-ers

s

Closed out May with best month trading ever! Previous best month was way back in Oct. of 2013 or 2014, whenever there was that big vol spike. This month was also my most consistent, partly because of some of the vol and contango trades you showed me. 2.5 times my monthly salary, previous was 2 times monthly salary.

Unfortunately, most of that is in retirement accounts so can’t touch it for another 13.5 years but every little bit now will help then. Maybe get the jet instead of the single engine plane or have a ski house and a beach house, haha, unlikely on either but doesn’t hurt to dream.

one last trade

rolled 6/9 WDC 83 put to 7/14 put for credit of 0.96.

Following my own rule and rolled it when the premium dropped below 0.20. Sold for 1.85 about 3-4 weeks ago as part of the ladder.

Expiring tomorrow provided no big drop in TSO 80 and 80.5 puts that were sold at 0.99 and 1.05. Already have the next 4 weeks laddered so will deploy the margin somewhere else on Monday.

SVXY tweak and trades

Really appreciate everyone showing me the SVXY and similar trades. Today is my usual trading day so was looking around and saw how fat and juicy the premiums are on the SVXY calls. Not something want to trade naked on the call side so am trying a weekly ITM covered call. Covered call SVXY for 6/9 145 with stock at 156 and change. Bought for 143.25. Just a 4 lot to see how it plays out, $698 profit on a 4 lot in 1 week if assigned. If not will roll. At the time the same 4 lot on puts would only generate $420 so there is a call skew on these but looking at it at the time I am writing this it is getting close to parity so not sure this would work all the time, just another tool.

Also STO 7/7 TSO 79 puts at 1.05 and now have a 3-4 week ladder on TSO. Some expire tomorrow then weekly after that.

Rolled WDC 6/2 87.5 puts to 6/9 88 puts for credit of 0.57

BTC 6/2 87 puts at 0.03, sold last week for 0.51. Now have 3-4 week ladder here as well.

Might have a few quick trades tomorrow depending on what expires OTM.

Hope everyone has a good expiration tomorrow, going to enjoy a 50-60 mile bike ride in the nice weather now!

rolled Aug 17 /CL 57…

rolled Aug 17 /CL 57 calls down to 55 to take some profits and bring in more cash on the down move in oil.

STO Jun 30 TSO 81 put at 1.02.

There is a reason I do not trade directionally. As I was getting ready for work, /CL hit bottom and I would have shorted at the lows if I had not been busy.

Non directional or only slightly directional trading is where I need to stay. Does anyone have a monkey or dog we can train to bite my arm when I start thinking about directional trades?!

BTC Sep 15 SVXY 100…

BTC Sep 15 SVXY 100 call at 3.75. Sold for 6.4 but this was off a roll so after commissions made about $20 round trip. Mostly doing this to free up some margin for trades tomorrow.

/CL strangles

There is a long term elliott wave support level at 48.6. If it looks like it is punching through there with some momemtum I will short 4 /CL futures to gain an extra pop on the way down. Next support levels are 47.41 and 46.8 as lesser levels then another strong level at 45.73.

The strangle is at 41.5 and 57 so there is plenty of room on ether side but sometimes taking a directional trade can improve ROI.

Won’t do that unless 48.4 does nit hold, support from the over night session.

Lunch time trades.

STO 6/23 TSO 81 puts at 1.04. Setting up 3-4 week ladder. This stock keeps its premiums about 1-4 weeks out when vol is low in overall market.

STO 7/7 WDC 84 puts at 0.97 adding a week to the ladder, this thing is in booster phase so following it up.

STO IRA 6/17 SXVY 130 puts at 1.22 following below with a slight tweak.

My /CL trade from late last week decayed $400 over the weekend. Will keep open another week or so then start managing. When the next series gets to 60 DTE will add another strangle.

With the way most of…

With the way most of you trade svxy and uvxy, it made me think about some of the other 2-3 x ETFs so I took a look. Some of the bid-ask spreads are wide so you would have to work orders but it looks like TQQQ, TNA, FAS, ERX, UPRO, and SSO have decent premium. 1 month out all have 1.00 or more premium for delta 30 options and some have decent weekly premium.

As with SVXY they would probably be better to trade after a down move and the first 3 have better volume.

Hope everyone is having a good long weekend!

expiration

10 minutes to go and looks like my TSO positions will all be assigned at 83. Cost basis was down to 77 and change so good return after 12 weeks of rolling after being assigned at 87.5.

Will leave a lot of margin and cash for trades early next week. Now if we can just get some volatility.

Hope everyone has a great long weekend!

BTC Jun 9 WDC 83.5…

BTC Jun 9 WDC 83.5 put at 0.38. Sold on Monday for 0.70. Market gave a gift and I will take it to free up some more margin.

#shortstrangles borderline falling knife trade…

#shortstrangles borderline falling knife trade with oil down 4+% today.

STO /CL 41.5/57 Aug 17 (53 DTE) strangles at 0.41. Can only do this in margin account.

I have been doing these but have not been posting because the risk is up there but everyone here knows what they are doing so I will start sharing some of them. I only trade as many contracts as I have cash to cover a sustained move by either going long or short the future same # of contracts as options I sold. Currently $3000-4000 margin for each contract. You can also roll options but because of contract changes cannot always roll directly.

I start managing about 2-3 weeks after putting them on. There was a study a few years back that showed delta 8 options in oil decay almost 50-80% in 30 days from 60 days out. Can usually close around 30-50% profit in 3 weeks. As we all know, oil can move so these are positions you have to watch. I will first roll untested side and if that does not cover the move then add the future for some hard deltas. When you have a big move you can profit from both the option decay and the future movement and get a nice pop in your equity curve.

Cheer, Chris

We need some Volatility, this…

We need some Volatility, this is boring and having trouble finding good trades to sell premium! Even /ES right now delta 8 call 36 DTE is paying only 0.95 and at the low levels of vol do not want to sell puts on /ES or anything vol. related at the moment.

BTC 5/26 TSO 81 and…

BTC 5/26 TSO 81 and 80.5 puts for 0.03 and 0.05, sold at 0.58 and 0.60

STO 6/2 WDC 87.5 and 87 puts for .60 and 0.59

Hopefully the TSO positions will all be assigned tomorrow and free up a boat load of cash for other trades on Monday.

Looking at efficiency your SVXY trades may be the most capital efficient especially after a vol. spike. Any of the contango ETFs should be good, thanks for introducing me to those trades!

Roll or close?

Hey guys, quick poll. I have a TSO position that was assigned at 87.5. After 11-12 weeks of rolling (lost count) have the cost basis down to 77 and change. Currently short the 83 calls and stock at 83.09 so should be assigned at end of week.

I can A. roll the calls for more cash, right now generating about 1 dollar a week per contract
B. Get assigned and the cash will free up a ton of margin for other trades

I am profitable either way but right now I am not seeing a lot of premium in other names, especially on the weeklies. I am leaning towards B but have not really been able to find a weekly with the same premium.

Thoughts or anyone else seeing good premium in weeklies that I have overlooked?

STO Jun 16 TSO 80 puts at 1.03.

small account only 3 contracts.

STO June 16 WDC 82.5 puts at 1.07

STO June 9 WDC 83.5 puts at 0.90
Reestablishing put ladder. I actually did not think they would go through, gapped up this morning but on pullback the orders auto filled.

Thanks to all for showing…

Thanks to all for showing me the VXX trades. With the vol. spike I was able to see what happens, looks like 7:1 leverage on SVXY and now I see why the premiums are so high but awesome!

Rolled TSO May 19 80.5 put to May 26 81 put for 0.52 credit.

May try weekly SPY IC based on the spx campaign. Will establish 1-5 point wide wings and roll challenged options. See if it is any more efficient than SPX although may not get the tax benefit of SPX. Will let you know how it goes after a few weeks but this may be a better option for small accounts than SPX. Won’t start until next week when I have some expiring positions that will free up capital and margin.

Cheers and everyone have a good weekend! I am done trading for the week.

Rolled Jun 23 SVXY 110…

Rolled Jun 23 SVXY 110 put to Sep. 15 100 put for 1.90 credit. Reduced margin, brought in a few more bucks.

Then I went kiteboarding because staring at computer screens all day is not good for us and it was 88, sunny, and windy at assategue and is as close as we can get to flying without an engine or jumping off something really tall!

Looks like some of you have been selling the crap out of options……….

Few trades

STO Jun 17 TSO80 p at 94 in IRA

BTC Jun 16 SVXY 110 put at 4, sold at 1.4 so loss of 2.6.

Some weird calculations going on in my portfolio margin account. Everything is cash secured and only using about 20% margin total but had a margin call so had to close that trade at a loss just to get rid of the margin call. Only a $520 total loss so something easy to do to stay in my other trades which should make some $ in next 1-2 weeks.

Hope everyone is trading/doing well and enjoying the volatility!

Looks like the 2347 elliott…

Looks like the 2347 elliott wave level may be holding on /ES. A lot more support at 2331 the next level if we break further.

I like the vol but could use a pause to clear up or roll a few positions to keep out of neg. margin.

$Trin

only at 1.25 close to the close. There may be more down side tomorrow, who knows?

Rolled another WDC Jun 16 85 put to Jun 30 83.5 put for credit of 0.15.

Trying to avoid tapping into margin calls. I have others I can easily cover if needed.

WDC

Rolled jun 9 84.5 puts to june 23 83 puts for credit of 0.12. Had to do it early, my margin decreased by 8 k today so did this so I can stay in the svxy trades. They will probably be juicy later this week!

Vol. is up enough maybe…

Vol. is up enough maybe time to look at some /ES strangles. Delta 8 44 DTE puts are going for 5.25-5.50 and call 2.3. That equates to 2165 to 2455 on /ES.

Unfortunately I am almost at margin limit so have to wait until some trades close this week.

Maybe I should write a…

Maybe I should write a poem or song about theta decay. Even with a few positions making a mild move against them today still making money.

I like theta decay I like it a lot
Even when things don’t work out as planned, can still be hot
Some things go up, some go down
Even when wrong can still be around
I will enjoy the ride by selling you options but if you bought them from me you will not

How’s that I thought a Haiku or limerick would probably be the easiest

#VXX game STO Jun 23…

#VXX game

STO Jun 23 112 puts at 1.40

Looks like the vix will drop more in the short term.

SVXY question.

New to the vol. game. Will they split svxy when it reaches a certain level like they do with VXX and UVXY?

Because of contago seems to me like even if volatility remained flat over the long term SVXY should go higher.

BTC WDC Jun 2 83…

BTC WDC Jun 2 83 puts at 0.43, sold for 1.33 a few weeks ago. Mostly doing this to free up some margin for other trades that may develop this week.

Question for Jeff?

Sorry to post this here but I seem to have lost your email.
I have never had much success rolling credit spreads. Hard time getting enough credit to make it worth while or even a scratch trade. I know you do it successfully.

Do you tend to roll to the same strikes or will you try to move up or down as long as you can get a credit or break even? Does it only work on close spreads or can there be a fairly large spread between options (1 point on SPY or 10 on SPX or can you go say 5 point SPY and 50 SPX)?

On SPX or spy, how many days do you have to go to get extra credit? Average next week or roll to the next month?

Next time you roll an ITM credit spread can you post the entry, exit so I can see what strikes and times you are using?

Thanks and enjoy being here, great forum! Chris

STO SVXY June 16 110…

STO SVXY June 16 110 put at 1.40. Small size, only 2 contracts as first foray into vol. products other than some trades on VXX years ago.

Thanks, JSD501, Fuzzball, and Jeff for the education and pointers on the vol. trades. Great premiums!

BTC 5/26 WDC 84.5 puts at 0.35, originally sold for 1.07.
BTC 6.2 WDC 83 puts at 0.45, origianally sold for 1.33

Closed these just to free up a little margin over the weekend in case there is any news.

rolled WDC puts next week…

rolled WDC puts next week 85 to June 16 for credit of 1.2. Sold for 0.8 last week.

TMUS has fairly decent premiums…

TMUS has fairly decent premiums at the moment on weeklies. I am out of cash so can’t do any more trades today but FYI if anyone looking to sell something.

Bunch of trades

#rolled TSO assorted calls 83 strike this week to May 26 83 calls at 0.88-.94 with avg. fill at 0.88. Originally sold for around 1.24 just before earnings. Decided to roll to catch the dividend next week then hope to be called away. After 9 weeks in the trade and multiple rolls if I am called out at 83 will have a nice profit. Assigned at 87.5 back then, cost basis now around 79.75 on assorted trades and the dividend will reduce that to 79.20.

Rolled TSO 77 puts this week to next week 80.5 for credit of 0.78. Originally sold last week for 1.05.

New market measures on laddering strangles https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures

Still have WDC put ladders out 4 weeks, waiting for a little more theta decay through the weekend for some rolls.

Also have some EEM, DIA, SPY positions I am waiting to close to free up margin but they are longer term plays so still have 60-90 days on those.

VIX is almost up a whole point!!!! Yeah………

Raining here so if I see a good day trade will post but looks like the big moves are already settling down.

Collected more in premium on the above trades in 45 minutes than I get from a paycheck for 2 weeks and did the same last week. Most of it retirement so can’t touch it for 13.5 more years, but every bit now will help then!

I am now flat for expiration tomorrow.

Cheers Chris

These 2 are probably the…

These 2 are probably the bible on strangle/straddle selling. Occasionally watch tasytrade re-runs, wife and daughter at dance so catching a few of the more important re-runs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBBjR3NcyUM managing straddles and strangles

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pDz10RKJdp0 how big account for 1 lot trades

Volatility question

So i have been watching how you guys trade the volatility products. What happens in an Aug 24, 2015 type event where VIX quickly spikes to 100? Can you hedge those products? Say go long or short stock or can you only cover with other options?

I lost more money that day than ever trading but was largely a function of size. My accounts I was able to hedge actually did ok but one very large account was wiped out because options xpress would not let me hedge, said there was “too much risk” to hedge and locked my account so I could not trade. Needless to say we do not have any money with them any more and I do not recommend them, their risk dept. did not seem to understand that by hedging the risk was controlled.

But seriously, how easy is it to hedge those products? Most of the move 8/24/15 occurred Sunday night into Monday morning so you could hedge with futures over night but by the time the market opened Monday morning it was already limit down and I know a lot of people could not place trades.

Just curious, I think a military conflict with N.Korea could obviously cause a spike like that.

WDC ladder roll

BTC WDC May 12- 85 put at 0.125. Sold last week for 0.74.
Rolling that Jun 9- 84.5 put for around a buck.

Keep the ladder rolling. So far 3 contracts have paid out 3k in 6 weeks.

Also once an option is anything less than .20 I think about closing or rolling. I have had too many trades whip a profit to loss if I had just closed them a few days earlier. We have all been there and done that but holding out another week or few days for pennies, the proverbial picking up pennies in front of the steam roller.

That’s all I have for the week, everyone have a good weekend and hear from you Monday!

I see some others are…

I see some others are star wars geeks : )

Unwound EXPE puts at 0.15 and 0.30 and were sold for 1.25 for earnings last week.

Looking at weeklies, no real good premium. I am going to let a bunch of positions expire this week then start setting up ladders on higher vol stocks next week like TSO, WDC, GILD, EXPE, AAL, CELG etc. Just don’t see good risk/reward ratio in weeklies at the moment and definitely not on the indexes even going a few weeks out. Momentum seems to be running out, hopefully we get a shift and some downside and volatility. Dynamic trend indicator just fired a down side trade on the 4 hour chart on /es and it is pretty accurate for about the next week. About 80% accurate on a 4 hour chart for a 1 week trade.

Crazy windy and sunny here so going kiteboarding at assateague! May the fourth be with be with you!

WDC re-established put ladder

STO May 12 85 puts at 0.58
STO May 19 85 puts at 0.72
still have the may 26 and June 2 84.5 and 83 puts that were sold before earnings at 1.07 and 1.33.

If reverses will roll or convert to jade lizard.

Decent premiums, just 3 contracts last month with a 4 week ladder paid $2635 but that included the spike from earnings last month. Don’t expect it will do as well this month but still consistent.

Seems to carving out a new higher range.

BTC GILD 66.5 puts for…

BTC GILD 66.5 puts for .058. Sold for 0.68. With it down this morning after earnings I did not want another assignment that I have to roll for weeks to get rid of. Doing that with TSO now, 8 weeks. I am profitable but every time I sell a call it closes right below the strike. Hopefully next week or 2 I can finally unload the shares then go back to put writing.

# experiment and more thoughts…

  1. experiment and more thoughts on efficiency of capital.

So a few weeks into the options income blueprint. One of the things they recommend is higher $ return on covered calls vs. selling puts. In looking at the numbers may be right in terms of absolute dollars. However on a percentage basis selling puts is higher.

Example, buy write on TSO right now with stock at 79.3, you could do 10 lot on next weeks 77 strike and the call you would make $980 and on the put only $810. So in absolute terms make $170 more on the buy write than the put write. Looking at most stockso this seems to be true, even more with names that are skewing to the upside and the calls are more expensive than the equal distant puts.

Now on a percentage basis, the put writing is better but on an absolute basis make more with the buy writes. Maybe better to write puts on margin and buy writes in retirement accounts.

I used to trade deep ITM covered calls 3 months out. Gave good protection 10-20% but found theta decay to be slower than paint drying. However, was successful.

Thoughts? Any of you doing ITM covered call on a weekly basis?

#perpetualrollingstrangles

People are panicking, the vix…

People are panicking, the vix is up .12 today!!!

# short puts

Closing WDC May 26 77.5 puts early. They are down to 0.19 and originally sold for 1.15. They would probably go out worthless in 25 days but I can use the margin to open new positions.

#short puts STO 3 may…

#short puts

STO 3 may 19 76 puts at 0.97. I am long TSO and have cc on it at 83 in 2 weeks but am trying to increase returns.

# low vol.

Have a rare moment at lunch and looking at potential trades. Seems like the vol dried up after the earnings yesterday. Best thing I can find to do at the moment is set up put selling or jade lizard ladders on individual names. Starting 21 or 28 DTE add a new position each week. 3 I am looking at are TSO, WDC, GILD and possibly EXPE. Seem to have the best bang for the buck over the next few weeks as the premiums are still high, about $1 for delta 30 options. VIX is too low for /ES strangles.

#vol crush Thanks to volatility…

#vol crush
Thanks to volatility crush on WDC get to close out next 3 weeks of WDC puts at the 75 and 77.5 level for 0.06 and 0.13 and 0.14 3 weeks early. Originally sold for 1.10-1.25.
Too many patients to trade at the moment but maybe at lunch will be able to find a trade to re-deploy capital.
Anyone have good put selling ideas today? Or a jade lizard?

falling knife over trade

STO 3 next week GILD 66.5 puts at 0.65. Looks like it found a bottom at 66 and my dynamic trend wave indicator (one of the few tools I bought) is on a 4 hour buy signal which is usually good for a 1 week trade.

Bunch of trades

Rolled AAL 41.5 puts this week to May 12 for .81 credit
BTC IWM 135 puts this week for 0.02 sold for .77
STO EXPE May 129 May puts for 1.25
Rolled EXPE this week 125 puts to May 5 129 puts for 0.78 credit (market makers being greedy with earnings this week)
These are all retirement accounts so small size but still $1225 profit for the week and I will take it.

Vix is too low to sell indexes so sticking with individual names with better volatility and premiums. Apparently the markets only go up anymore.

Efficiency of capital

I did a mini study last year that was an extension of some of the tastytrade strangle work. I was trying to figure out what was the most efficient use of capital on both a percentage basis and ROC. I only did it with a few tickers and specifically was looking at use of margin and buying power reduction selling various options. I looked at uso, spy, dia, qqq, gld, and iwm against the futures or the index. It was fairly extensive so to keep it simple will just show /es/spy/spx. Here is the quick summary and it was true for the others with the exception of qqq, the futures options were not liquid enough in that.

Selling delta 8 options 45 DTE. Keep in mind spy was under 200 and the vix was around 14-15 so the #s are different today.
I looked at how much money it would require to actually cover the position or at least avoid a margin call.
SPY needs about $6000 per contract to cover a large move without a margin call
SPX needs about $40,000 per contract to cover
/ES needs about $6000 per contract to cover
What this means. From a percentage standpoint SPY actually wins but from a ROC /ES is the more efficient product because you are selling higher premiums. From a strangle standpoint SPX is the worst and tastytrade also did a study that found spy is more efficient than spx because of the tighter bid/ask spreads. However, there is a tax advantage and volume advantage to spx or /es.

What I take from this is if you have a smaller account stick with spy, medium account move up to /es and if you have a private jet trade spx or /es.
For those that do not know the ratio 10 SPY = 1 SPX = 2 /ES contracts.

Interestingly the most efficient market from a percentage basis was /CL oil futures requiring only about $4000 per contract. Just watch the leverage on any of them, that is the only thing that has ever cost me on trades gone bad. Now I always keep enough cash to cover the position in a black swan event.

Hope that helps, cheers, Chris

Trading brains

So it looks like most of the traders on this site have had similar trading journey’s. Start out trading some funds and stocks when younger. Realize it is a 50-50 game most of the time. Then try to trade directionally but really hard to predict the future all the time. Then get into options for the leverage and income and then finally realize the house always wins and selling options is how the professionals make big and steady money. Sure, may have to pay out the occasional lottery ticket but in the long run the casino/insurance company always wins. Good to be on the right side of the trade and glad to be here!! I will be picking some of your brains on these volatility trades.

I was thinking about selling…

I was thinking about selling some spy or /es strangles but with the vix back down to 11 will focus on individual names that have good vol and premiums.

My short list I watch every week is TSO, HAL, EOG, FSLR (falling knife), EXPE, DAL, AAL, WDC, SWKS, FB, BX, GS, GM (falling knife), JPM, GILD (falling knife) and CELG. Just watch the earnings dates, a lot of them are next week. You can typically make 1.00 several strikes OTM with these with only 1 week out.

market makes being greedy this…

market makes being greedy this morning with the pop in the market, the WDC roll went through for .91.

Rolling WDC 75 puts this…

Rolling WDC 75 puts this week to May 26 77.5 puts for credit of around .95
They were originally sold for 1.20 and are down to .15-.17. Only 3 contracts but part of a ladder rolling for 4 weeks.

Jade lizards for IRAs

A true jade lizard should have no upside risk. Could not do that with my WDC because I was at the top of the chain and the strikes were 2.5 wide. However, a good alternative to strangles in an IRA or non marginable account. You sell a put that is cash secured, then sell a call credit spread. If the credit exceeds the strike difference you have a strangle with no upside risk.

Another option with covered calls if you think the price will keep going up, sell a call credit spread. That way you cleect some credit but if the market takes off you can get a nice pop in your equity because you are net long call options.

Just random musings but I am sure some of you have tried these with good results. Jade lizards seem to be good for earnings. Manage them at 50% profit just like strangles.