Volatility and SPX rallies

I trade VIX and VXX based on extremes I see in the price channels. I’ll start by sharing a few trades and more on strategy later.

Closed trades
STO VXX Jul13 38/39 BeCS @ .38 x 10. Bot back @ .10
Bot VIX Jul11 16P @ 1.62. Sold @ 2.02 x2
Bot VIX Jul11 15P @ .90. Sold @ 1.15 x2
Bot VXX Jul13 35P @ 1.02. Sold @ 1.45

Open trades
Rolled VIX Jul18 15/20 BuCS bot @ 1.12 to create a Jul18 15/13 BeCS for 1.90 credit – directional bias changed
Bot SPX Jul9 2780c @ 1.75 x2 in anticipation of the rally continuing thru today and perhaps Monday.

#vxxgame

Call sales

#LEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCall Sold $PYPL July 20th 87 calls for .90
#PieTrades Sold $AMAT July 13th 46 call for .70.
#CoveredCallCampaign Closed $SQ July 6th 66.5 put for 1.35 to avoid assignment. Sold for 1.43 on June 21st.
#Rolling to: SQ July 27th 68 call for 1.53.

SPX calls stopped

#SPXcampaign Stopped $SPX July 13th 2765/2790 call spreads for 8.55. Sold Monday for 3.65.
Since I have a total of one other position in SPX, I have the margin to roll this not a double sized spread. I’m looking at a July 20th condor for 4.30 or more.

#condorroll

Hedge/lottery ticket idea from OIB/income masters.

Use a LEAPS sale to finance SPX hedges. You could sell a LEAPs put or buy write on something you want to own long term, then use the cash generated to pay for monthly puts on SPX but with a twist. They budget for a 10% market correction and only costs about 3% of your income yearly. Most months it expires and you lose everything you put in but in Feb. a few people in the service made a ton. 1 guy had puts worth 55k each while most of us were losing on SVXY. So occasionally the lottery ticket pays off.

Here is how it works. Not saying I am doing this right now but there is potential, especially when VIX is down. I have also heard this called the Hindenburg trade, buy insurance when it is cheap.

With SPX at 2757 as I type this, a 10% correction would put SPX at 2481. You do not want to buy that put because at expiration it would be worthless. What they suggest is buying a put that would have a value of roughly 10k if it dropped that much. So at current prices that would mean buying the 2550 put 31 DTE for 4.5. If we had a 10% drop 1 put would be worth about 8k if we made it to 2481. However, because of the volatility expansion it would likely be worth much more.

Figure out how much insurance you want on your portfolio, then figure out how many options to buy. Keep in mind more options will cost more but will also be a bigger payout when they finally pay out.

I may start experimenting with this when the market is complacent. Don’t think I need a full time hedge. The income masters hedge about 80-85% of the time but only pays off on the big down spikes.

#shortputs #coveredcallcampaign #rolling Rolling day…

#shortputs #coveredcallcampaign #rolling
Rolling day of in the money puts and calls, July 20 to Aug 17
GPRO 8 put for .17
JCI 37 put for .14
FEYE 17 put for .42
MGM 30 put for.53
UVXY 15 put for .65
MAT 15 call for .34
OIH 25 call for .42

XBI roll and reduce

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Another one similar to XLY. Caught a great move and weeklies got run over so trade hasn’t really made anything. Rolling the short calls out a few weeks but not up much. Using the credit to remove one short call. This gives a 10×9 ratio reducing the upside risk. I’ll be watching it closely…in case of a pullback I might be able to get out at even and then reset to 2020 (or add to LABU instead)

Bought to Close 10 XBI JUL 13 2018 94.0 Calls
Sold 9 XBI AUG 10 2018 94.5 Calls

Did the roll for a total debit of .60. Since it was unbalanced that debit is not per contract. It’s 60 dollars total for the trade. A small price to pay to remove a lot of risk…

LABU roll

BTC July20, 99 calls and sold the July 27 100 calls for a credit of .32 cents. LABU jumped up this morning so every time I get a chance to roll up and get a credit, I take it.

A few trades

#Earnings #Rolling BTC $RH 150 puts for 13.65. Sold July 20th 125 calls for 12.40. I’m actually looking for this one to fill the gap. It has tended to do that often after a big rise on earnings. I will add puts to this if we trade lower. I almost never get away from an earnings trade on this one easily.

#Earnings #Assignment #PieTrades Assigned $YY stock when July 6th 110 put was assigned early. Sold July 13th 97 call for 1.25. I’ll turn this into a PieTrade for recovery.

#PieTrades Sold $MU July 13th 53.5 #CoveredCalls for 1.00

TSLA

#LongPuts #LongCalls #LongLEAPStraddles – Re-loading the call side…

Bought to Close TSLA JUL 6 2018 320.0 Calls @ .10 (sold for 5.00)

Sold TSLA JUL 13 2018 320.0 Calls @ 4.21

RTN

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Replacing this week’s…

Sold RTN JUL 20 2018 195.0 Calls @ 1.35

XLY

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Instead of messing with this one any more I’m booking it at breakeven. Caught a great move on the entry months ago but weekly (1×1) call sales got run over and the trade just never worked. I’ll re-load on a pullback.

Sold to Close XLY JAN 18 2019 105.0 Calls
Bought to Close XLY JUL 6 2018 107.5 Calls

LMT earnings report

Unfortunately, LMT moved their earnings report date from 7/17 to 7/24. This means that our Jul20 trades are not positioned to capture the high point of earnings momentum. My recommendation is roll them out to Jul27 expiry for a loss or close them. I haven’t seen earnings reports get moved around like this until the last couple quarters. This is the risk that comes with these trades.

June Jobs Report

#Jobs Better than expected.

+213,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 188K expected
Unemployment up 0.2 to 4.0%
U6 unemployment at 7.8%, up by 0.2
Wages up 0.2%, 2.7% year over year
Labor force participation 62.9%, up 0.2

May revised up from 223K to 244K
Apr revised up from 159K to 175K

Closed Early KHC BUPS and TSLA BECS and IQ Calls

#shortputs
$KHC BTC 7/20 52.50/57.50 BUPS at .10 STO in May at 1.40
#shortcalls
$TSLA BTC 7/20 400/350 BECS at 1.50 STO 6/8 at 6.00 Thank you @optioniceman. I get cold feet and so I am out.
#shortcalls
$IQ BTC 7/20 40 calls at .60. STO at 3.90 and 7.10

SFIX

Motley Fool has recommended this company, IPO was in 2017

#coveredcallcampaign GIS New Tradewise recommendation…

#coveredcallcampaign GIS

New Tradewise recommendation buy/write GIS Aug. 17, 45 covered call, I’m in at 44.49 for the stock and 104 for the call, ex div July. 9( not August,thanks to #tabortrader).

LABU

Rolled July 13, 98 calls to July 20, 99 calls for a credit of .95 cents and I only need .35 cents per week so I pick up an extra .60 cents and a point higher in the strike price. This is against my 2020 115 calls.

QCOM

BTC September 35 puts @.10, sold at .90 a long time ago. That is the last of my QCOM puts. China can do whatever it wants for now.

Closing some DUST

Taking these off for most of the profit. Didn’t want to wait another 6+ months for the last .50 or so.
Bought to close $DUST Jan 18 2019 50 calls @ .49. Sold for 4.10 on 11/29, 4.30 on 12/5 and 5.20 on 12/7.

NFLX

STC 6 JUL 380/385 CALL @4.70. BTO 6/26 @3.83 #supercharger

FB

#LongPuts #LongCalls #LongLEAPStraddles – Had been playing this one from both sides. The bounce today gets the overall position back to zero deltas. Since it’s only out to 2019 this is probably a good place to book it. Call side struggled a little but put side was great.

Sold to Close FB JAN 18 2019 190.0 Calls
Bought to Close FB JUL 13 2018 185.0 Calls

Sold to Close FB JAN 18 2019 160.0 Puts
Bought to Close FB JUL 20 2018 195.0 Puts

All said and done made 83 cents per contract on this wild experiment. (10 lot….5 each side)

PANW RHT

Rolled RHT Jul6 135c to Jul13 137c for .30 credit
Rolled PANW Jul6 205c to 207.5c for .50 credit
This takes care of all my Jul6 ITM short calls.

FAS roll

Rolled FAS Jul6 63c to Jul13 64c for .35 credit.
The ITM short calls in the Jul6 expiry are hitting me in the face today but profit is good so won’t complain.:-)
#unbalanceddiagonal
#shortcalls

TSLA Jul put spread

Could be printing a hammer. Sold Jul 280/270 BuPS @ 1.50.

TWTR short call

Rolled the Jul6 44.5c to Jul6 45.5c for .20 credit. This 2×1 ratio trade has been profitable since entry.
#unbalanceddiagonal
#shortcalls

NFLX supercharger

Sold NFLX Jul6 380/385 @ 4.70. Bot @ 4.39.
I didn’t manage this trade well. Adjusted from 10-wide spread to a 5-wide spread at the low giving up $2 potential profit.

#shortputs WBA sold July 20,…

#shortputs WBA
sold July 20, 60 put for .69, Walgreens dropped about 7 after earnings last week, appears to have stabilized.

#fuzzy XBI 87 2019 leap…

#fuzzy

XBI 87 2019 leap and short 95.5 call rolled up to 96.5 and out to July 27 for 0.29 credit. Total risk and cost basis now down to 10.02 in 2 weeks. Initial cost was 10.63.

I think #supercharger and #fuzzy are the best for small accounts. This is only a 2 k account and up $300 in 2 weeks or 11% over that time. Also because of the spread it lowers the volatility.

Sitting on hands until next Thursday, the will roll everything out 2 weeks for vacation.

#earnings #shortstraddle #longstraddle Tastytrade 7…

#earnings #shortstraddle #longstraddle

Tastytrade

7 minutes on post earnings straddles, interesting numbers

https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/daily_recaps/2018-06-29/episodes/selling-cheap-straddles-after-earnings-06-29-2018

Joining LMT rocket

#Earnings #EarningsRunUp
Bought to open $LMT July 20th 310 calls for 1.00. I will assess the trade’s performance next Friday, 7 dte.

#shortputs #pietrades MU Sold July…

#shortputs #pietrades MU

Sold July 13, 50 put for .62, MU at 52

TSLA

#LongPuts #LongCalls #LongLEAPStraddles – Gonna have to roll the DITM puts as best I can but at least the call side is back in play. I’ll be using the ratio method for the call side since there’s plenty of premium available. Puts have about $15 dollars of premium in them so far so their basis is around 342 against long 2020 300 LEAP puts.

Rolled TSLA JUL 6 2018 360.0 Puts to JUL 27 2018 357.5 Puts @ .19 credit

Sneaking in a double dip on the call side this week….

Rolled TSLA JUL 6 2018 320.0 Calls to JUL 6 2018 312.5 Calls @ 1.81 credit (6.81 total now)

XLY rolled short call

BTC XLY Jul6 109.5 @ .20, Sold @ .91
STO XLY Jul13 109.5 @ .71

Pre-earnings second layer

With pre-earnings, I recommend to use small position size and add layers on pullbacks. I’m adding to LMT and INFY today on the pullback. This is my own refinement of the CMLViz strategy. CML goes all in on the first trade. At 7 days before earnings, they use a 40% profit/loss stop.
Bot LMT Jul20 310c @ 1.30
Bot INFY Jul20 20c @ .29
#earningsrunup

IWM PYPL TQQQ rolling short calls

Rolled IWM Jul6 165c to Jul13 166.5c @ .90 credit
Rolled PYPL Jul6 83c to Jul 13 84.5c @ .97 credit
Rolled TQQQ Jul 58.5c to Jul13 58.5c @ 2.41 credit
#unbalanceddiagonal
#shortcalls

MamaCash

LMT pre-earnings. What is your limit for closing 20 JUL 2018 LMT call? BOT at $1.90, Currently at 1.20

#pietrade WDC 78 put expiring…

#pietrade

WDC 78 put expiring tomorrow rolled down to 77 next week for 0.18 credit.

Hopefully the tariff rhetoric and tweets settle down, costing me $.

Adding to PYPL

#LongCalls #LEAPs This is not the typical high-delta LEAP play… I first bought some of these calls back in November, and adding today at a slightly lower price.

Bought $PYPL Jan 2019 100 calls for 2.20.

Selling short term calls against it.

NEWS

This just in: German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Thursday she would back a lowering of EU tariffs on U.S. car imports, responding to an offer from Washington to abandon threats to impose levies on European cars in return for concessions (Reuters). This is market bullish news.

Good Morning

Good Morning

DIA and SSO

BTC DIA Jul13 245c @ .20. Sold @ 1.61
STO DIA Jul13 242.5c @ 1.97

BTC SSO Jul6 113c @ .20. Sold @ 1.18
STO SSO Jul13 111.5c @ 1.46

Core long positions lost the ground they gained yesterday but nice to collect and keep some premium.
#shortcalls
#unbalanceddiagonal

#coveredcallcampaign LUV Tradewise recommendation last…

#coveredcallcampaign LUV
Tradewise recommendation last month, today I bought August 17, 52.50 #coveredcall for 49.83, 51.69 and 1.86

MU short calls

BTC Jul6 53.5c @ .20. Sold @ 1.24
STO Jul13 51.5c @ 1.40
Things are getting sloggy going into the close.
#shortcalls
#unbalanceddiagonal

KMB

BTC July 20, 90 puts @.05 covering over 2 week early. Because I am doing leaps and selling short calls, I am letting a lot of these put just run off.

#ShortPut #PIETrade Sold 1 July…

XOP #ShortPut #PIETrade Sold 1 July 13th 42.5 Put @ .80. Assignment would give me a basis of 41.70 just proud of support at the 50dma.

#fallingknife maybe TSLA 40 point…

#fallingknife maybe TSLA

40 point drop in the last 2 days (making me happy-for now)

LMT pre-earnings

Bot Jul20 310c @ 1.94.
GTC order to sell at 80% profit or will sell the day before the earnings report whichever comes first.
LMT has had a rough patch the last couple months so it may be riskier than usual to take a pre-earnings momentum trade. However, it has the best CML study results of all the pre-ER trades I’m following. Excellent returns on entering trades 14 days, 7 days, or 3 days (any day for that matter) before the report. All study results are based on exiting the trade before the report. There is no earnings risk on these trades.

#earningsrunup

DIA short calls

Rolled DIA Jul6 242c to Jul13 245c for .76 debit. Short call had no more extrinsic value and this gives me another $3 of breathing room for next week.

#unbalanceddiagonal
#shortcalls

FAS

I rolled my July 13,  67 call to July 20 68 call for a credit of .14 cents

AMBA LABU

#LongCalls #LEAPS – A couple minor adjustments. Have to say the whole ratio thing is working great. No upside risk at all even when the short calls get a little underwater.

AMBA:
Rolling down and in to get out of these sooner allowing an extra week of sales.

Rolled AMBA JUL 20 2018 43.5 Calls down and in to JUL 13 2018 41.0 Calls @ .02 credit

LABU:
Rolled LABU JUL 6 2018 88.0 Call to JUL 20 2018 90.0 Call @ .11 credit

#coveredcallsSold ROKU July 13th 47…

#coveredcallsSold ROKU July 13th 47 calls @ 1.00 when stock was at 45.33

#coveredcalls Sold MU July 13th…

#coveredcalls
Sold MU July 13th 56 call @ .70 when MU was at 54.13

#Shortput TQQQ Sold July 06th…

#Shortput
TQQQ Sold July 06th 56 Put @ .45. The 50dma is at the 56. TQQQ was at 58.22

NFLX pre-earnings

Yesterday, I bought two NFLX calls to play the runup into earnings. The 20 delta call sold at target this morning.
STC NFLX Jul20 440c @ 7.40. Bot @ 5.30.

LABU

Rolled my July 6, 97 calls out to July 13, 98 calls for a credit of 1.51

First #pietrade 24 EXPE 24…

First #pietrade 24

EXPE 24 DTE 115 put sold for 1.90. This is heading into earnings but will probably roll or close before then.

#pietrades These work great but…

#pietrades

These work great but always looking for ways to improve on tactics. Improve returns, success rate, less adjusting because adjusting costs money or delays profit taking. I am not greedy, just trying to figure out what works the best with the least amount of work or adjustments.

So I have been experimenting with this on a limited basis. Instead of starting #pietrades with only 4-8 DTE, go out about 3 weeks. Split the distance between tasty trades recommended 45 DTE and the 1 week for classic PIE trading This does 4 things. Gets you farther OTM, collects higher premiums, but stays on the steepest part of the decay curve, and allows quicker recycling of capital. Also most will be rolled or closed before full expiration. My limited experimenting with them shows most are closed or rolled within 2 weeks of opening.

I don’t think we need a new hashtag, they are still in the PIE realm. Maybe just add a 21 to it if you post it, so 21 #pietrade or #pietrade 21 or however many days until expiration.

So I am looking at 3 possible this morning. EXPE, VLO, AXP. Will post once I see where market opens. Also on vacation week of 7/14-21, be out in @smasty160 country so a perfect time to start a few of these as I will not be trading that week.

As the time value erodes, would then roll each week in same name if you still like the ticker or move to new positions as the market oscillates.

Will keep posted on how they work real time and on a larger scale.

#spycampaign Well the plan to…

#spycampaign

Well the plan to hold out for expiration with 100% premium turned out to be a big loser. Sold at $2 buy back at $6.50. And I was ahead $1 during the day. I’m gradually learning to sell out before the last 30 minutes, or maybe buy!

#Coveredcall TWTR Sold July 6th…

#Coveredcall TWTR Sold July 6th 45.50 Call at 0.45 going into the close. Stock assigned at 45 on Friday.

#ironcondor DE #coveredcallcampaign PBR Idea…

#ironcondor DE #coveredcallcampaign PBR
Idea from TT August 17, 125/130/150/155 for 2.07, DE is at 141, earnings Aug. 17
PBR Closed July 20, 10 covered call for 9.57, bought June 8 for 8.90

ASML Pre-Earnings

BTO ASML Jul20 200c @ 3.80. Will sell @ 50% profit or day before earnings report on 7/18.
#earningsrunup

JPM Pre-Earnings

BTO JPM Jul20 106c @ 1.50. Will close @ 50% profit or day before earnings report on 7/13
#earningsrunup

ROKU With the strength in…

ROKU With the strength in the stock and the tag of my short 43 calls I bought them back for a .50 loss. I will cover them up later.

#spycampaign BTC Jul 02 option…

#spycampaign

BTC Jul 02 option spread
2695/2685 puts for 0.20, sold this morning for $1

still watching 2720/2730 call for 100% capture of premium: $2, 0.70

Closing Oct CLX

Taking profits on a couple of #FallingKnife trades, about 3 1/2 months early.
Bought to close:
$CLX Oct 19 105 puts @ .45. Sold for 1.50 on 3/21.
$CLX Oct 19 100 puts @ .26. Sold for 1.35 on 4/19.

AAPL covered calls

#CoveredCallCampaign Sold $AAPL July 27th 192.5 #CoveredCalls for 1.55.

SPX calls closed, calls sold

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order: $SPX July 19th 2835/2860 call spreads for .25. Sold for 1.90 on June 22nd.

Sold $SPX July 13th 2765/2790 call spreads for 3.65.

I remain short-term bearish as tariffs start kicking in this week, and VIX above 14.00. However, as always, I’m ready if I’m wrong. Also only playing short-term spreads to avoid complications when my Japan trip starts.

XBI #fuzzy The 95 short…

XBI #fuzzy

The 95 short strike was already breached so rolled this week 95 out to 11 DTE 95.5 for 0.32 credit. Total risk now down to 10.31. Goal is to have a zero cost basis trade in 10-20 weeks or if the short calls keep going ITM close it for profit and reset at higher strikes.

NFLX call spreads closed

#SuperCharger Thanks to Iceman, this spread saved me from a loss on my first Supercharger… brings me a slight profit overall.

BTC $NFLX July 13th 450/500 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.90 last week.

Closing AAPL put spread

Bought to close $AAPL Jul 27 175/170 BuPS @ .37. Sold for .95 on 6/25.

GOOGL

BTO Jul 13 1110/1112.50 Call spread 1.64 #supercharger #Bitty

#pietrades Some days better to…

#pietrades

Some days better to be lucky than good. Did not have time to sell CC on MU at the open. Up 1.3 now so a better time now.

STO 11 DTE MU 55 call for 0.94. Cost basis now 57.5.

Also working some orders on FAS and TQQQ for cc but will have to post later. Too busy at work.

NFLX Pre-Earnings trades

BTO NFLX Jul20 420c @ 10.04. GTC order to close @ 20.00
BTO NFLX Jul20 440c @ 5.30. GTC order @ 7.40
Confirmed earnings report 7/16. This trade is based on a historical momentum pattern going into earnings. 100% win rate for the last four quarters.
#earningsrunup

#earningstrade

FAS

#LongCalls #LEAPS – Small position over at Tastyworks…

Bought to Close FAS JUL 6 2018 68.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.06)

Sold FAS JUL 20 2018 64.0 Calls @ 1.90

#shortputs #pietrades DVN Sold July…

#shortputs #pietrades DVN
Sold July 6, 43 put for .46, stock is at 43.51, energy company