#CoveredCalls – On the road all day Friday but did get a couple fills…
ISRG:
Bought to Close ISRG SEP 6 2019 465.0/495.0/500.0 Jade Lizard @4.87 (sold for 5.50)
NVDA:
Rolled NVDA SEP 06 2019 152.5 Call to OCT 18 2019 155.0 Call @ .25 debit
SQ:
Bought to Close SQ SEP 06 2019 64.0 Calls @ .02 (sold for 2.55)
TNA:
Rolled TNA SEP 06 2019 52.5 Calls to SEP 20 2019 53.5 Calls @ .76 credit
Took the opportunity to get out of the remaining contracts at a little better than 50% of the profit. Don’t want to take a chance of another spike combined with low liquidity of these contracts.
Bought to close 9/20 21 calls (equivalent of post-reverse split 105) @ .75. Sold for 1.55 on 5/29.
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Sept 9th 2925/2945-3010/3025 condors for .85, IV 7.14%, SPX 2981.
Volatility really drains quickly after we pass 3pm ET. I looked at this only 30 minutes earlier and it was going for 1.10.
9/6…BTC OXY 20 SEP 19 45/46/42.5 #jadelizard @.76….STO 8/23 @1.21…Thanks @thomberg1201 for the idea
Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=9&month=9&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0
#SPX1dte Sold to open $SPX Sep 13th 2870/2895-3035/3060 condors for 2.45, IV 12.52%, SPX 2979.
With the short calls breached, rolled the $ROKU 9/20 170/180 bear call spread out to October for a credit. Up 10 points on the call spread and added a put spread with the short strike at 15 delta. Position still leaning quite short with the short calls at 43 delta.
BTC 9/20 170/180 bear call spread
STO 10/18 180/190 bear call spread
STO 10/18 140/130 bull put spread
Overall credit for the roll: .54
Bought to close $ULTA 9/20 210/220/260/270 iron condor @ 1.10. Sold for 2.60 on 8/30.
STNE BTO STOCK @34.74 An add
GOOS BTO STOCK @40.06 An add
GOOS STO 9/13/19 41.0 PUT @1.50
GOOS STO 9/13/19 42.0 PUT @2.20
YETI BTC 9/13/19 28.5 PUT @.30 STO @1.20
Rolled 9/6/2019 16.5 calls for 9/20/2016 17.5 calls @0.55 – my basis is now 15.3.
The stock popped up to ~16.93 today.
Sold BuPS 2935/2930 at 0.25 expiring on 9/9/2019
Sold BuPS 2920/2890 at 0.45 expiring on 9/9/2019
Rolled ITM 55 calls from Sept. 6 to Oct. 18 for .97 each, holding through another .50 dividend on October 3 unless there is assignment, stock is at 61.
#Jobs — falling a bit short short
+130,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 150K expected
Unemployment at 3.7%, unchanged as expected
U6 unemployment at 7.2%, up by 0.2
Wages up 0.4%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 63.2%, up 0.2
July revised down from 164K to 159K
June revised down from 193K to 178K
Last 2 weeks just adjusted several puts that went ITM from all the tweets.
Anyway, showing some profits this week so rolling and resetting.
/ES hedges closed for a $230 loss. Considering they cost $2398 they did their job. Kept me in trades and generated some cash on the first twitter drop. Reset to 106 DTE at the 2690/2700 back ratio, short 2:4 long for $3225. Hope I don’t need them but if so the lottery ticket will pay for future hedges. It was cheaper today with the VIX drop.
#pietrades XBI ladder at the 78/80/82 strikes. Rolled the 80 down to 79 and out 22 DTE for 1.19. Total credit 1.45 so cost 77.60 if assigned (include commisions). The other are 81.77 and 77.60.
JPM 106 puts closed for 0.15 or 1.19 profit per contract.
IBB STO 99 22 DTE put for 1.00.
LABU 3 lots at the 38 strikes will take assignment and convert to CC true #pietrade style. Spreads were too wide to roll since really close to ATM.
#fuzzy
EOG 85/74.5 and 75/75 puts rolled and cost basis now 24.19. Not the best candidate for LEAPs as the long options were expensive but saved some bacon.
GILD 65/65 will roll next week. CB 1.97. 2 more rolls should be 100% returns and free trade after that. Good until 2021. This was also a recovery from when it was closer to 80 so not a bad recovery.
GILD 65/65 rolled for credit, now free trade. Have 0.39 credit per contract. The other 2 batches in this account are 2.28 and 6.08 debits.
LNG 60/60 put spread CB 9.30. Will roll in 1-2 weeks.
XBI 80/80 calls at 2.13
XBI 80/85 at 0.77 credit per contract (free trade :)). Still have to 2021 to keep selling against it or just sit on the long calls if it starts going up again.
80/83 at 6.00. Cost basis was 11.63 and started 6/21 so 51.5% return since June 21 this year. I think #fuzzy LEAP spreads are the clear winners for smaller accounts. But certain names trade better than others. You want to buy as cheap a LEAP as you can find then sell expensive weekly options against it.
LNG 65/65/61.5/59.5 down to 8.66. Converted about 3 weeks ago when a bunch of puts went deep ITM. Excellent return here as well, initial cost was 11.12 so 33% in 3 weeks.
Trade smart!
#earnings ZM
Sold Sept. 20 #jadelizard for.3.38, 85/93.50/94
Bought Sept. 1370/80 long put spread for 1.20
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Sept 6th 2910/2930-3015/3045 condors for .85 and .90. IV 12.58%, SPX 2980
#shortputs WORK
Sold Sept. 20, 29 put for .95
Options Trade expiration 9-6-19
SPX bull put credit, sell 2920 put, buy 2900 put, premium=0.35
SPX bull put credit, sell 2930 put, buy 2915 put, premium=0.45
AMZN bull put credit, sell 1800 put, buy 1795 put, premium=0.20-0.25
GOOGL bull put credit, sell 1185 put, buy 1180 put, premium=0.20
#SPX1dte Today’s rally already blew past my stop for the call side of the $SPX Sep 11th 2825/2845-2995/3015 condor, sold yesterday for 2.20. I closed the put spread for .20 and looking to close the call side (at a loss) before the close.
#earnings LULU
Sold Sept. 20, 170/187.50/190 jade lizard for 4.85
Bought Sept. 13, 155/167.50 for 1.90 for protection on the downside.
Thanks for the data Jeff.
BTC $NVDA 140/150 #BuPS @0.12. Was STO 8/27 @1.37.
Coming off its all time high yesterday, down today in a strong market. Sold $ROKU 9/20 170/180 bear call spread @ 2.80.
#closing OXY
Aug. 21 sold a #jadelizard for 1.38, bought today for .83
#Earnings $LULU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
June 12, 2019 AC +2.12%
March 27, 2019 AC +14.12%
Dec. 6, 2018 AC -13.36%
Aug. 30, 2018 AC +13.08%
May 31, 2018 AC +16.31% Biggest UP
March 27, 2018 AC +9.21%
Dec. 6, 2017 AC +6.42%
Aug. 31, 2017 AC +7.19%
June 1, 2017 AC +11.54%
March 29, 2017 AC -23.43% Biggest DOWN
Dec. 7, 2016 AC +15.04%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -10.55%
Avg (+ or -) 11.86%
Bias 3.97%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 185.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 167.54 to 202.46
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 163.05 to 206.95
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (23.4%): 141.65 to 228.35
Based on UP max only (+16.3%): 215.17
Open to requests for other symbols.
#SPX1dte Bought to close $SPX Sept 4th 2935 calls for 2.50, a couple minutes before the close. Condors sold for 1.60 yesterday.
Also, after the bell: Sold $SPX Sept 11th 2825/2845-2995/3015 condors for 2.20.
Back in May, before the 1:5 reverse split I sold some Sep 105 calls (which are now DRIP1 9/20 21 calls). Bought to close @ 1.50 (the lot that I sold for 2.20). Still sitting on some that I sold for 1.55. Another down move in the next couple days and I’ll take that off too.
#Earnings $PANW reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 29, 2019 AC -5.11%
Feb. 26, 2019 AC +8.20%
Nov. 29, 2018 AC -1.76%
Sept. 6, 2018 AC +3.28%
June 4, 2018 BO -0.52%
Feb. 26, 2018 AC +2.31%
Nov. 20, 2017 AC +4.82%
Aug. 31, 2017 AC +10.53%
May 31, 2017 AC +17.20% Biggest UP
Feb. 28, 2017 AC -24.15% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 21, 2016 AC -13.24%
Aug. 30, 2016 AC -7.16%
Avg (+ or -) 8.19%
Bias -0.47%, slight negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 200.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 184.58 to 215.42
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 183.62 to 216.38
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (24.2%): 151.70 to 248.30
Based on UP max only (+17.2%): 234.40
Open to requests for other symbols.
#longstock VET
Bought 100 shares of VET for 14.53, yielding 14%, beaten up oil stock.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4288773-monthly-dividends-14-percent-yield-vermilion-energy-unique-opportunity?ifp=0
#ShortPuts – Losing interest in this one so getting out with tiny winner.
Bought to Close KHC SEP 06 2019 26.5 Puts @ .64 (sold for .70)
#CoveredCalls – Trading from the southeast corner of Lake Okeechobee. One of my stranger places for this. 🙂 🙂
REGN:
Bought to Close REGN SEP 06 2019 302.5 Call @ .10 (sold for 4.90)
Sold REGN SEP 20 2019 292.5 Call @ 4.90
ULTA: Doubling up on the sales with a stop on the last one.
Sold ULTA SEP 20 2019 250.0 Call @ 3.00
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Sept 4th 2825/2845-2935/2955 condors for 1.60. IV: 15.90%, SPX 2899.
Expiring: Sept 3rd 2820/2840-2975/2995 condors, sold Friday for 1.60.
#shortputs TRTN
Sold Sept.20, 30 put for .50
Expired (Friday) – $OSTK 17.5 8/30/2019 Calls, covered.
STO $OSTK 16.5 9/6/2019 calls (covered) @ 0.60. Basis now 15.85.
STO September 20, 260 covered call at 2.10
#ShortPuts #CoveredCalls – Was busy all day (and night) on Friday. Drove non-stop from St. Louis to Ft. Lauderdale thinking I might have to evacuate the motorhome. Things are looking better now but still watching closely. Did manage to get a few fills on Friday.
STX: Book ’em!
Bought to Close STX SEP 20 2019 40.0 Puts @ .10 (sold for .80)
TNA: Book, re-sell, and roll
Bought to Close TNA AUG 30 2019 53.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for 2.95)
Sold TNA SEP 06 2019 52.5 Calls @ 1.76
Rolled TNA AUG 30 2019 51.5 Call to SEP 06 2019 52.5 Call @ .20 credit
ULTA: She’s ugly. Didn’t see a 5x expected move coming. Time to start digging out!
Sold ULTA SEP 13 2019 265.0 Call @ 2.80
With the stock down 30% and IV still high (IVR 58), selling some premium down here. Sold 9/20 210/220/260/270 iron condor @ 2.60 with the stock at 239.70. Put and call short strikes at 21 and 17 delta. Not expecting a huge bounce back–looking for the stock to flounder around in this 20 dollar range for a while and for premium to bleed out over the next week or so.
#Earnings. Wrong about the trade, but right about it being low probability.
Closed call side of $AMBA Aug30/Sept06 46.5 #DoubleCalendar for .00 to avoid assignment. Bought yesterday for .369
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Sept 3rd 2820/2840-2975/2995 condors for 1.60. IV: 13.48%, SPX: 2923
Expiring: Aug 30th 2845/2865-2955/2975 condors, sold yesterday for 1.10.
#Jobs report is Friday, 8:30am ET
Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=2&month=9&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0
Jeff, downloaded desktop app and now seems to be OK, Thanks
Test, Wow it worked??
#closing TRTN
Bought Sept. 20, 30 put for .45, sold for 90 on Aug. 26. You guys will have to recalculate the RoR on that.
Thanks always to Tabortrader for this ticker.
It’s ex-div on Sept. 4, .52 dividend.
#SPX1dte. Sold to Open Aug 30th $SPX 2845/2865-2955/2975 condors for 1.10. Was on the road, so stopped in time to place order just after market close.
Bought to close $DIS 9/20 130/120 bull put spread @ .40. Sold for 1.57 on 8/7.
Sold Oct. 18, 128/138/149/159 #ironcondor for 1.86. GLD down a little to 144.
#Earnings #JadeLizards – I only allow myself one of these high dollar stocks at a time in this account but with my ISRG lizard being blown out to the upside (465/495/500) it’s pretty safe so taking a shot with ULTA.
Sold ULTA AUG 30 2019 315.0/345.0/350.0 Jade Lizard @ 5.76
Put side at the expected move and just under the 200ma…
#Earnings $AMBA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
June 4, 2019 AC +0.07%
March 5, 2019 AC +3.74%
Nov. 29, 2018 AC +18.48% Biggest UP
Aug. 30, 2018 AC -3.62%
June 5, 2018 AC -12.93%
March 1, 2018 AC +13.46%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC +14.29%
Aug. 31, 2017 AC -22.35% Biggest DOWN
June 6, 2017 AC -10.24%
Feb. 28, 2017 AC -4.42%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC -11.27%
Sept. 1, 2016 AC -6.67%
Avg (+ or -) 10.13%
Bias -1.79%, slight negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 46.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 42.36 to 50.64
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 41.79 to 51.21
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (22.4%): 36.11 to 56.89
Based on UP max only (+18.5%): 55.09
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings $ULTA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 30, 2019 AC +1.50%
March 14, 2019 AC +8.28% Biggest UP
Dec. 6, 2018 AC -13.12% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 30, 2018 AC +6.37%
May 31, 2018 AC -0.71%
March 15, 2018 AC +7.63%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC -4.11%
Aug. 24, 2017 AC -9.13%
May 25, 2017 AC +3.19%
March 9, 2017 AC +4.62%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC -1.56%
Aug. 25, 2016 AC -6.11%
Avg (+ or -) 5.53%
Bias -0.26%, no significant bias on earnings.
With stock at 115.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 311.92 to 358.08
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 310.30 to 346.62
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (13.1%): 285.37 to 371.55
Based on UP max only (+8.3%): 355.66
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings. closed first batch of $ANF 16.5 puts for 2.00. Long Strangles bought yesterday for 2.50. Waiting to see if we might drop further.
Bought 105/120/121 #jadelizard 1.00, sold yesterday for 2.20.
I was considering a 100/140 strangle yesterday. There wasn’t much liquidity at those strikes and it would now take awhile to close with the big up move. Jade Lizard wins this one.
Thanks to fuzzball for starting me thinking about using these for earnings.
STC 16.5/17 strangle for a loss of 1.05 but, the Jade lizard on FIVE should cover that loss.
#Markets Opening was highest $TICK since Feb 2018. Is it over?
#earnings #jadelizard FIVE
Sold Sept. 20, 105/120/121 for 2.20
Could be coming in a bit. Maybe it will bleed some more option premium out before the 3 day weekend. Of course you have to allow for 3 days of tweets so you never know. The front end of the curve (http://vixcentral.com/) is surprisingly back in contango although the rest of the curve is still a mess. Watching closely, obviously 🙂
$SHOP looking like it’s peaked at least in the short term after a nice runup. Printing a red candle today. Sold 9/20 420/430 bear call spread @ 2.36 with the stock around 392.
bought ADSK, Sept. 20, 125/175 strangle for 1.00, sold yesterday for 2.44
bought TIF, Sept. 20, 75/84/85 #jadelizard .95, sold yesterday for 1.57.
SPLK still refusing to cooperate from earnings the other day grrr
As always, thanks to Jeff for the data that guides the trade decisions.
#SPX1dte. Sold $SPX 2760/2785-2950/2975 condors for 3.00, IV: 16.78%, SPX 2884
Sold 10/18 45/55 bear call spreads @ 1.27
#earnings. Bought to open $ANF Aug 30th 16.5/17 long strangles for 2.50.
#Earnings $ANF reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
May 29, 2019 BO -26.46% Biggest DOWN
March 6, 2019 BO +20.37%
Nov. 29, 2018 BO +20.91%
Aug. 30, 2018 BO -17.15%
June 1, 2018 BO -8.72%
March 7, 2018 BO +11.90%
Nov. 17, 2017 BO +23.90% Biggest UP
Aug. 24, 2017 BO +17.06%
May 25, 2017 BO +8.99%
March 2, 2017 BO +13.94%
Nov. 18, 2016 BO -13.76%
Aug. 30, 2016 BO -20.30%
Avg (+ or -) 16.96%
Bias 2.56%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 16.60 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 13.99 to 19.21
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 13.79 to 19.41
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (26.5%): 12.21 to 20.99
Based on UP max only (+23.9%): 20.57
Open to requests for other symbols.
#Earnings $FIVE reports tonight (added late, so I missed it on the calendar). Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
June 5, 2019 AC -1.00%
March 27, 2019 AC +8.15%
Dec. 6, 2018 BO -2.66%
Sept. 6, 2018 AC +13.31%
June 6, 2018 AC +21.86% Biggest UP
March 21, 2018 AC +4.20%
Nov. 30, 2017 AC -0.46%
Aug. 30, 2017 AC -3.45% Biggest DOWN
June 1, 2017 AC +0.50%
March 22, 2017 AC +10.80%
Dec. 1, 2016 AC +9.87%
Aug. 31, 2016 AC -1.14%
Avg (+ or -) 6.45%
Bias 5.00%, strong positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 115.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 105.84 to 124.16
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 107.58 to 122.42
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (21.9%): 89.86 to 140.14
Based on DOWN max only (-3.5%): 111.03
Open to requests for other symbols.
#SPX1dte. BTC $SPX Aug 30th 2745/2765-2935/2955 condors for .85. Sold Monday for 3.00.
Today’s 2780/2800-2920/2940 condors look good to expire, sold yesterday for 1.00.
#Earnings. Closed first batch for 1.00. $TIF Aug30/Sep06 85 #DoubleCalendar bought yesterday for .48.
With oil continuing to be so weak and the inverse ETF not coming in ($DRIP currently at 119), I rolled my 9/20 115 call up and out to 10/18 130 call @ 1.21 credit. Up 15 points on the strike and out of the money by around 10 points.
#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Aug 28th 2780/2800-2920/2940 condors for 1.00. IV 17.96%, SPX 2871.
#CoveredCalls – Another one…
Bought to Close WYNN AUG 30 2019 112.0 Call @ .10 (sold for 2.20)
Sold WYNN SEP 13 2019 108.0 Call @ 2.50
Collected the 1.00 divvy today also…
OSTK STO 8/30/19 16.5 PUTS @.80
#VXXGame. Bought $VXX Jan 2020 20 puts for 1.00, adding to my position. Avg price now 1.302, started on Jan 22nd, 2019.
OSTK BTO STOCK @16.93
OSTK STO 8/30/19 17.0 CALLS @.80
