Jeff 9:11 am on Monday, May 6, 2019
Tags: DoubleCalendar ( 209 ), Earnings ( 3,114 )

BUD earnings trade and analysis

#Earnings $BUD reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Bought to Open BUD May10/May17 87.5 #DoubleCalendar for .42 & .44

Feb. 28, 2019 BO +4.60%
Oct. 25, 2018 BO -9.37% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2018 BO -5.02%
May 9, 2018 BO -0.31%
March 1, 2018 BO +3.07%
Oct. 26, 2017 BO -0.94%
July 27, 2017 BO +6.16% Biggest UP
May 4, 2017 BO +5.68%
March 2, 2017 BO -3.72%
Oct. 28, 2016 BO -3.80%
July 29, 2016 BO +2.79%
May 4, 2016 BO -1.53%

Avg (+ or -) 3.92%
Bias -0.20%, no significant bias on earnings.

With stock at 87.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 83.43 to 91.57
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 84.07 to 90.93
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (9.4%): 79.30 to 95.70
Based on UP max only (+6.2%): 92.89

Open to requests for other symbols.

thomberg1201 8:31 am on Monday, May 6, 2019

#shortstrangles DE

Sold June 21, 140/180 strangle for 1.93. DE is down around 6 points to 160 today on the tariff stuff

Jeff 8:19 am on Monday, May 6, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 )

HTZ earnings analysis

#Earnings $HTZ reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 25, 2019 AC +4.04%
Nov. 8, 2018 AC +19.15%
Aug. 6, 2018 AC +24.63% Biggest UP
May 7, 2018 AC -18.72%
Feb. 27, 2018 AC -5.55%
Nov. 10, 2017 BO -2.24%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC +23.03%
May 8, 2017 AC -14.15%
Feb. 28, 2017 BO +13.59%
Nov. 7, 2016 AC -22.49% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 8, 2016 AC -4.96%
May 9, 2016 AC +0.22%

Avg (+ or -) 12.73%
Bias 1.38%, slight positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 19.75 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 17.31 to 22.19
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 17.24 to 22.26
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (24.6%): 14.89 to 24.61
Based on DOWN max only (-22.6%): 15.31

Open to requests for other symbols.

Ramie 7:54 am on Monday, May 6, 2019

BA put spread

Sold $BA 6/21 350/340 bull put spread @ 1.98

Ramie 7:38 am on Monday, May 6, 2019

UVXY call spreads

Sold:
$UVXY Jun 7 40/50 bear call spread @ 1.37
$UVXY Jun 14 40/50 bear call spread @ 1.39

fuzzballl 7:16 am on Monday, May 6, 2019
Tags: DiagonalBearCallSpreads ( 27 )

UVXY

#DiagonalBearCallSpreads – Cautiously adding one here…

Sold UVXY MAY 31 2019 40.0 Call @ 2.30

Jeff 6:53 am on Monday, May 6, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 )

REGN earnings analysis

#Earnings $REGN reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 6, 2019 BO -3.43%
Nov. 6, 2018 BO +0.75%
Aug. 2, 2018 BO +6.99% Biggest UP
May 3, 2018 BO -1.25%
Feb. 8, 2018 BO -3.58% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 8, 2017 BO +2.66%
Aug. 3, 2017 BO -2.03%
May 4, 2017 BO +6.70%
Feb. 9, 2017 BO +1.91%
Nov. 4, 2016 BO +1.60%
Aug. 4, 2016 BO -1.80%
May 5, 2016 BO +4.73%

Avg (+ or -) 3.12%
Bias 1.10%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 335.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 315.64 to 354.36
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 325.52 to 346.48
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (7.0%): 312.51 to 359.49
Based on DOWN max only (-3.6%): 323.97

Open to requests for other symbols.

Jeff 5:59 am on Monday, May 6, 2019
Tags: VIXIndicator ( 294 )

VIX Indicator

#VIXIndicator, needless to say, the minor upside warning was canceled this morning with a $VIX high of 18.80 (we only needed 16.09). Any close at 16.09 or higher will mean a Downside Warning.

hcgdavis 7:24 pm on Sunday, May 5, 2019

#hedge put on shortly after the futures open.

Appears tweets on tariffs are again driving volatility so to potentially take advantage of that set up /ES hedge.
STO the 89 DTE (July end of month/EOM) 2610 put and BTO 2605 puts in a 2:1 back ratio so long 2 2605 for every 2610 short. Each one will give about a 4-5k profit if we drop 10% and only cost $21.50 or $1075 total.

Hope I don’t need the lottery ticket and expect to lose on this but if we tank at least something will go up.

geewhiz112 6:52 pm on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: Assignment ( 174 ), BUPS ( 400 ), OptionsExpiration ( 796 ), ShortCalls ( 979 ), ShortPuts ( 4,772 ), SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

IRBT / GOOGL Adventure / SPX1DTE / LABU CVX Short Calls SFIX Expired / FB Assigned/ KNX SQ Short Puts

#bups
$IRBT BTC 5/3 98/102 BUPS for .20. STO at 1.35.
$IRBT STO 5/10 95/100 BUPS for 1.00
$IRBT STO 5/10 100105 BUPS for 2.05 You rock @honkhonk81

$GOOGL Misadventure
Assigned this morning stock $2000 (Yikes) Fortunately stock had a good day and I could close
the 5/3 1190/2000 BUPS at .50 per contract less than a total loss. Sold on 4/30

#spx1dte
$SPX 5/3 2850/2870/2945/2965 will show 90% of profit as market closed finally. Thank you @jeffcp66

#shortcalls
$CVX STO 5/10 119 call at .78. Sold against 5/17 long 125 calls. The 5/3 120 calls expired. Sold for 1.52. If this expires the losing trade (so far) of the long call will be reduced by 2.30. They were bought for $3. And another week possible.
$LABU BTC 5/3 50 call and STO 5/10 51 call at 1.45 added credit (Covered) Thank you @hcgdavis.

#optionsexpiration
$SFIX 28 call (covered)

#assignment
$FB 195 calls

#shortputs
$KNX STO 6/21 30 put at .80
$SQ STO 6/21 65 put at 1.82 Thank you @thomberg1201

Jeff 1:03 pm on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: SPX ( 105 ), SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

Almost escaped

#SPX1dte SPX ended the day right on the line…. my 2945 short calls will likely settle with a debit of 19 to 50 dollars. Condors sold yesterday for .80.

#spx

honkhonk81 12:56 pm on Friday, May 3, 2019

IRBT Gained +5 this week….

IRBT Gained +5 this week. Ha, ha geewhiz, no the robots are not taking over………YET

Jeff 12:09 pm on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 ), RevengeTrade ( 3 ), Rolling ( 463 )

GOOGL it

#Earnings #Rolling #revengetrade
Sold $GOOGL May 17th 1220/1210 put spreads for 7.75. Replacing my fully ITM spread of the same strikes expiring today.

thomberg1201 11:40 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

#shortputs #closing IRBT

April 26, sold a post earnings, @honkhonk81 influenced 95 put for 2.10, bought today for .70

Jeff 11:20 am on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 6th 2885/2905/2970/2985 condors for .80. (IV: 6.77%, SPX 2944)

Jeff 11:16 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

Econ Calendar for week of 5/6/19

More yapping from Jerome Powell on Wednesday morning.

Link to calendar: https://us.econoday.com/byweek.asp?day=6&month=5&year=2019&cust=us&lid=0

honkhonk81 10:57 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

A TRADE:

IRBT STO 5/10/19 109.0 CALLS @.85 Price now @104.72 1/3 of my position. Covered

thomberg1201 10:51 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

#earnings #closing OLED

Yesterday sold a June 21, 110/210 strangle for 1.53, bought today for .85. Even with a 15 point move up, the short call became profitable.

jsd501 10:43 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

CTSH

STO October 45 puts @.80 cents

honkhonk81 10:32 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

TRADES:

IRBT STO 5/10/19 105/104 BuPS @.55
IRBT STO 5’10/19 103/100 BuPS @.1.02

honkhonk81 10:29 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

TRADES:

IRBT STO 5/10/19 100/95 BuPS @.77 Margin Required $48 per contract, ridiculous. I could trade all day with only $1000 in my account.

Jeff 9:34 am on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: SPX1dter ( 2 )

SPX 7-dte

#SPX1dter – tempting fate, Sold $SPX May 10th 2970/2995 call spreads for 3.50.

Jeff 9:09 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

Never mind

Volatility this week was too minor to disrupt upside warning. Yesterday’s VIX high was 4% shy of canceling the bullish signal, so apparently we are still full steam higher.

geewhiz112 8:53 am on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: BullPutSpreads ( 150 )

AMZN BUCS

#bullputspreads
$AMZN BTO 5/10 1935/1945 BUCS at 6.20

thomberg1201 8:47 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

#earnings #rolling CI

May 1, sold June 21, 140/180 strangle, CI has been going down. Rolled the 180 call to 170 for .92, have collected 370 in premium.

honkhonk81 7:57 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

A TRADE:

IRBT STO 5/10/19 104.0/101.0 BuPS @1.38

thomberg1201 7:53 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

#shortputs #earnings #closing SQ

May 1, Sold June 21 60/90 strangle for 1.18 bought today for .84
Sold June 21, 65 put for 1.89.

Jeff 7:53 am on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: DoubleCalendar ( 209 ), Earnings ( 3,114 )

Calendars missed

#Earnings Good trades last week followed by a couple misses this week:
Sold to close $MNST 58 #DoubleCalendar for .08. Bought yesterday for .29.
Paid .04 to close $CLX 157.5 put side of #DoubleCalendar. Bought Tuesday for .74

honkhonk81 7:39 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

TRADES:

IRBT BTC 5/3/19 104.0 CALLS @.75 BTO @2.20
IRBT STO 5/10/19 105/100 BuPS @2.07

thomberg1201 7:22 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

#earnings #closing ATVI

Sold June 21, 45/55 strangle for 2.25, bought today for 1.54.

Ramie 7:16 am on Friday, May 3, 2019

ANET post-earnings

Sold $ANET 6/21 230 puts @ 3.00.

fuzzballl 7:13 am on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: CoveredCalls ( 2,209 )

REGN

#CoveredCalls – Early sale for earnings next week. May adjust it down a little with any more weakness in the stock…

Sold REGN MAY 10 2019 350.0 Call @ 4.08

Jeff 5:55 am on Friday, May 3, 2019
Tags: Jobs ( 141 )

April Jobs Report

#Jobs Another great month; lowest UE since 1969

+263,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs. 190K expected
Unemployment at 3.6%, down by 0.2, a 49-year low
U6 unemployment at 7.3%, unchanged
Wages up 0.2%, 3.2% year over year
Labor force participation 62.8%, down by 0.2

March revised down from 196K to 189K
February revised up from 33K to 56K

fuzzballl 7:38 pm on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: CoveredCalls ( 2,209 )

REGN

#CoveredCalls – Late fill. Now looking to sell something for earnings next week…

Bought to Close REGN MAY 03 2019 352.5 Call @ .05 (sold for 2.45)

geewhiz112 5:41 pm on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: ShortPuts ( 4,772 )

Rolled TNDM Puts

#shortputs
$TNDM BTC 5/3 68.50 puts and STO 5/17 65 puts for 1.80 debit. Credit through five rolls is now $4.00 per contract.
I’d like it to expire before I run out of credit. Stock currently at 62.76

Ramie 5:09 pm on Thursday, May 2, 2019

Everything old is new again

In case you haven’t noticed the new replacement symbol for the old VXX (VXXB) has been renamed back to VXX as of yesterday. Now let’s get it back down to 10-15 so it can reverse split again. Oh and it can take it’s defanged cousin (UVXY) down there with it.

thomberg1201 12:13 pm on Thursday, May 2, 2019

#ironbutterfly UVXY

TastyTrade idea sold June 21, 21/34/34/40 for 6.36

Jeff 11:48 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX May 3rd 2850/2870-2945/2965 condors for .80 (IV: 12.84%, SPX 2914)

thomberg1201 11:34 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

#earnings #doublecalendar GILD

Trying the double calendar a week out, bought May 10/May 17 for .37.

thomberg1201 11:04 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

#earnings MNST ATVI

MNST Sold June 21, 50/65 strangle for 1.10.
ATVI TastyTrade follow, sold June 21, 45/55 strangle for 2.25

mortlightman 11:00 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: Fuzzy ( 415 )

INTC

BTO #Fuzzy
May 17 51 Call STO 51/50 BuPS .62

honkhonk81 10:56 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

IRBT seems like the ideal…

IRBT seems like the ideal option to trade. I’ve only done the BuPS though. The option doesn’t use much margin/purchasing power, premiums are good, and the theta is high’ish. What more can an option trader ask for?
I’m ITM on 103 & 104 short legs in BuPs’s, ;>) , and I can close it out at a profit.

thomberg1201 10:43 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

#earnings OLED

Sold June 21, 110/210 strangle for 1.50. Thanks for the data Jeff.

Jeff 10:12 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: DoubleCalendar ( 209 ), Earnings ( 3,114 )

MNST of a trade

#Earnings Bought to Open $MNST May03/May10 58 #DoubleCalendar for .29.

thomberg1201 9:47 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

#shortstrangles #closing TSLA

April 26, sold June 21, 160/325 strangle for 3.55, bought today for 2.40.

Jeff 9:35 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

SPX stopped

#SPX1dte Stopped $SPX May 8th 2890/2865 put spread for 5.80. Condor sold for 4.55 on Monday. Been getting whipsawed on these medium-term condors. Small losses but certainly annoying. The 1-day jobbers are easier.

fuzzballl 9:27 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: ShortPuts ( 4,772 )

SQ

#ShortPuts – Starter position out to June…13% annualized.

Sold SQ JUN 21 2019 60.0 Puts @ 1.06

Jeff 8:48 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

Here comes the drop

Are we really that scared of interest rates?

honkhonk81 8:42 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

A TRADE:

AAOI STO 5/10/19 13.0 CALLS @.52 Low margin usage.

honkhonk81 8:04 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

TRADES:

IRBT STO 5/10/19 101/96 BuPS @1.13
IRBT STO 5/10/19 100/95 BuPS @1.10
IRBT STO 5/10/19 102/97 BuPS @1.75

Jeff 7:34 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 )

MNST earnings analysis – trying again

#Earnings $MNST reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Tried for a dbl cal last quarter but the big move shut me out. However, it is such a cheap play that I’ll try again.

Feb. 27, 2019 AC +8.66%
Nov. 7, 2018 AC -3.16%
Aug. 8, 2018 AC +2.65%
May 8, 2018 AC -7.47%
Feb. 28, 2018 AC -14.43% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +1.17%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -1.14%
May 4, 2017 AC +3.30%
March 1, 2017 AC +12.75%
Nov. 3, 2016 AC -3.55%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC +2.47%
April 29, 2016 BO +12.81% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 6.13%
Bias 1.17%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 57.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 53.57 to 61.43
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 53.98 to 61.02
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (14.4%): 49.20 to 65.80
Based on UP max only (12.8%): 64.87

Open to requests for other symbols.

honkhonk81 7:27 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

TRADES:

IRDM STC STOCK @27.40 Took a .38 loss.
IRBT BTC 5/3/19 105.0 CALLS @.95 Profitable though. Wanted to release the stock from being covered.
IRBT STO 5/10/19 110.0 CALLS @.70

Jeff 7:24 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 )

OLED earnings analysis – big mover

#Earnings $OLED reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 21, 2019 AC +23.03%
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -20.50% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 9, 2018 AC +13.54%
May 3, 2018 AC +12.43%
Feb. 22, 2018 AC -15.81%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +9.52%
Aug. 3, 2017 AC -1.30%
May 4, 2017 AC +23.87% Biggest UP
Feb. 23, 2017 AC +20.08%
Nov. 3, 2016 AC +2.98%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC -8.01%
May 5, 2016 AC -0.76%

Avg (+ or -) 12.65%
Bias 4.92%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 161.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 143.24 to 179.7682
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 141.07 to 181.93
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (23.9%): 122.95 to 200.05
Based on DOWN max only (-20.5%): 128.39

Open to requests for other symbols.

honkhonk81 7:09 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019

IRBT Moving.

fuzzballl 6:54 am on Thursday, May 2, 2019
Tags: DiagonalBearCallSpreads ( 27 )

UVXY

#DiagonalBearCallSpreads – Bought to Close UVXY MAY 3 2019 42.5 Calls @ .05 (sold for 1.50)

fuzzballl 1:01 pm on Wednesday, May 1, 2019
Tags: DiagonalBearCallSpreads ( 27 )

UVXY

#DiagonalBearCallSpreads – Adding one here…

Sold 1 UVXY MAY 24 2019 40.0 Call @ 1.40

Jeff 12:57 pm on Wednesday, May 1, 2019
Tags: SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

Expiring in the nick of time

#SPX1dte 2890/2910-2965/2980 condors, sold yesterday for 1.10. If the market had another 30 minutes the put side might be in trouble. Pretty sharp drop into the close, after notching a new intraday all-time high earlier today.

Jeff 11:29 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 )

W earnings analysis

#Earnings $W reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 22, 2019 BO +27.85% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2018 BO -12.81%
Aug. 2, 2018 BO +7.54%
May 2, 2018 BO +13.65%
Feb. 22, 2018 BO -22.71% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 2, 2017 BO -15.54%
Aug. 8, 2017 BO -6.26%
May 9, 2017 BO +20.73%
Feb. 23, 2017 BO -6.49%
Nov. 8, 2016 BO -4.13%
Aug. 9, 2016 BO -19.58%
May 9, 2016 BO +10.16%

Avg (+ or -) 13.95%
Bias -0.63%, tiny negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 165.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 145.60 to 184.40
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 141.98 to 188.02
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (27.9%): 119.05 to 210.95
Based on DOWN max only (-22.7%): 127.53

Open to requests for other symbols.

thomberg1201 11:04 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019

#earnings CI SQ

CI Sold June 21, 140/180 strangle for 2.81
SQ Sold June 21, 60/90 strangle for 1.16

mortlightman 10:00 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019

Jeff

How do you decide if for earnings how you do the different strategy’s?

honkhonk81 9:55 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019

A TRADE:

IRBT STO 5/3/19 101/96 BuPS @ .87

Jeff 9:51 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019
Tags: Earnings ( 3,114 )

SQ earnings analysis

#Earnings $SQ reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 27, 2019 AC +2.42%
Nov. 7, 2018 AC -9.02%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC +8.65%
May 2, 2018 AC +1.13%
Feb. 27, 2018 AC +0.30%
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +3.40%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC -4.68%
May 3, 2017 AC +8.86%
Feb. 22, 2017 AC +14.02% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2016 AC +6.41%
Aug. 3, 2016 AC +8.42%
May 5, 2016 AC -21.68% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 7.42%
Bias 1.52%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 74.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 69.18 to 78.82
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 68.51 to 79.49
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (21.7%): 57.96 to 90.04
Based on UP max only (+14.0%): 84.37

Open to requests for other symbols.

Lesserweavil 6:56 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019

#earnings AAPL BuPS

btc $AAPL May 17 165/175 BuPS @0.03. Was opened 3/26 for 1.65.

thomberg1201 6:37 am on Wednesday, May 1, 2019

#earnings AAPL

Yesterday sold May 17, 180/220 strangle for 1.40, bought today for .60. Thanks to Jeff for the earnings data.

geewhiz112 6:27 pm on Tuesday, April 30, 2019
Tags: SPXcampaign ( 2,265 )

SPX Campaign Expired

#spxcampaign
$SPX 4/30 2790/2810/2950/2970 Expired. STO on 4/15 at 3.90. Thank you @jeffcp66 Somehow, I lost track of this trade. Should have been closed out earlier. Whew!

geewhiz112 12:55 pm on Tuesday, April 30, 2019
Tags: BullCallSpreads ( 26 ), BullPutSpreads ( 150 ), CoveredCalls ( 2,209 ), LongCalls ( 495 ), ShortCalls ( 979 )

Using GOOGL To Find My Way / Sell CVX Call / Close Partial AAPL Call / Close NFLX Call / Rolling TNDM TQQQ Calls

#bullcallspreads
$GOOGL BTO 5/10 1200/1220 BUCS at 8.50
#bullputspreads
$GOOGL STO 5/3 1190/1200 BUPS at 4.50
$GOOGL STO 5/10 1165/1175 BUPS at 3.10
$GOOGL STO 6/21 1145/1160 BUPS at 4.50
May not find my way. Almost looks like I lost my mind.

#shortcalls
$CVX STO 5/3 120 call at 1.52. Sold against long 5/17 130 call position.

#longcalls Closing partial before earnings
$AAPL STC 5/17 175 call at 27.93. BTO at 9.47 on 3/11.

#coveredcalls
$NFLX BTC 5/3 385 call at .40. STO 4/23 for 6.89
Rolling
$TNDM BTC 5/3 64 calls and STO 5/17 70 calls for $1.00 debit. Earnings tonight. Not sure how smart this was. Will find out.
$TQQQ BTC 5/17 58 calls and STO 6/21 70 calls for $6.00 debit. These are sold against 1/2020 66.667 calls.

thomberg1201 12:51 pm on Tuesday, April 30, 2019

#earnings CLX

Sold June 21, 145/175 strangle for 1.50, thanks for the data Jeff.

honkhonk81 12:47 pm on Tuesday, April 30, 2019

A TRADE:

AMD STC STOCK @27.55 Earnings in 10 minutes.

jsd501 12:22 pm on Tuesday, April 30, 2019

CLX

Sold to open June 21, 145/175 strangle at 1.40

thomberg1201 12:22 pm on Tuesday, April 30, 2019

#earnings AMD

Kind of far out to be called an earnings trade, sold June 21, 27 straddle for 4.55

Jeff 11:53 am on Tuesday, April 30, 2019
Tags: SPX1dte ( 1,714 )

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 1st 2890/2910-2965/2980 condors for 1.10. (IV: 9.61%, SPX: 2942)

Jeff 11:46 am on Tuesday, April 30, 2019
Tags: DoubleCalendar ( 209 ), Earnings ( 3,114 )

CLX dub cal

#Earnings Bought to open $CLX May03/May10 157.5 put calendars and 160 call calendars .74 total. So this is a split-strike #DoubleCalendar, a bit lower max profit but a wider profit range.

thomberg1201 11:23 am on Tuesday, April 30, 2019

#earnings #doublecalendar FEYE

Bought double calendars for .12

jsd501 9:46 am on Tuesday, April 30, 2019

WDC

BTC the June 37.5/62.5 strangle at .45 cents sod yesterday at 1.00

Jeff 9:34 am on Tuesday, April 30, 2019
Tags: DoubleCalendar ( 209 ), Earnings ( 3,114 )

CLX earnings analysis

#Earnings $CLX reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Considering a #DoubleCalendar

Feb. 4, 2019 BO +5.68%
Oct. 31, 2018 BO -2.85%
Aug. 2, 2018 BO +6.17% Biggest UP
May 2, 2018 BO -0.70%
Feb. 2, 2018 BO -6.71% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 1, 2017 BO +1.17%
Aug. 3, 2017 BO +2.09%
May 3, 2017 BO +0.85%
Feb. 3, 2017 BO +4.07%
Nov. 2, 2016 BO -3.19%
Aug. 3, 2016 BO +0.99%
May 3, 2016 BO +1.94%

Avg (+ or -) 3.03%
Bias 0.79%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 158.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 152.89 to 164.11
Based on AVERAGE move over last 4 quarters: 153.84 to 163.46
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 4 Q’s (6.7%): 148.00 to 169.30
Based on UP max only (+6.2%): 168.44

Open to requests for other symbols.