#Earnings $AZO reports Tuesday morning before the bell. Options trades need to be placed today to capture any earnings move. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
March 3, 2020 BO -2.11%
Dec. 10, 2019 BO +6.92% Biggest UP
Sept. 24, 2019 BO -4.41%
May 21, 2019 BO +5.56%
Feb. 26, 2019 BO +5.10%
Dec. 4, 2018 BO +6.74%
Sept. 18, 2018 BO -1.97%
May 22, 2018 BO -9.48%
Feb. 27, 2018 BO -11.06%
Dec. 5, 2017 BO +0.42%
Sept. 19, 2017 BO -5.00%
May 23, 2017 BO -11.84% Biggest DOWN
Avg (+ or -) 5.88%
Bias -1.76%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 1100.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 1025.76 to 1174.24 (+/- 6.7%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 1035.27 to 1164.73
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (11.8%): 969.76 to 1230.24
Based on UP max only (+6.9%): 1176.12
NOTE: 5-day historical maximums are +5.7 and -9.9%. So LESS than the one day moves on both sides, meaning the big one day moves were somewhat retraced 5 days after earnings.
Open to requests for other symbols.