SPY

BTO May 26 IC 297/299 293/291 $1.27
My version of Jeff’s SPX BTO trades

#shortputs BOOT Sold July 17,…

#shortputs BOOT

Sold July 17, 20 put for 1.70

SPX 1dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX May 22nd 2855/2875-3010/3030 condors for 1.35. IV: 21.0%, SPX 2951, deltas -.06, +.07

TSLA iron condor

Sold $TSLA 6/19 630/650/950/970 iron condor @ 4.70 with the stock around 819. Leaning short with the short calls at 24 delta, short puts at 11 delta. Will look to roll the put spread side up it starts to run again.

BBY short puts

Post-earnings, sold to open $BBY 7/17 65 puts @ 1.82. Delta 18. IV rank 42.

GILD put spread

Sold to open $GILD 6/19 70/65 bull put spread @ 1.31 with the stock at 73.63.

NVDA Earnings

STO $NVDA May-29-2020 320/325 #BuPS @1.05

NVDA Earnings

#BullPutSpreads – Wouldn’t mind owning this but would like to see it implode a little. Selling ITM bull put spread for upside gain but a decent ownership basis if it does tank.

Sold NVDA MAY 22 2020 360.0/355.0 Bull Put Spread @ 2.65

Not much else going on…just letting things work.

NVDA earnings analysis

#Earnings $NVDA reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Feb. 13, 2020 AC +7.02%
Nov. 14, 2019 AC -2.66%
Aug. 15, 2019 AC +7.25%
May 16, 2019 AC -2.28%
Feb. 14, 2019 AC +1.81%
Nov. 15, 2018 AC -18.75% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 16, 2018 AC -4.90%
May 10, 2018 AC -2.15%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC +6.69%
Nov. 9, 2017 AC +5.26%
Aug. 10, 2017 AC -5.32%
May 9, 2017 AC +17.82% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 6.83%
Bias 0.82%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 356.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 330.23 to 381.77 (+/- 7.2%)
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 331.70 to 380.30
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (18.8%): 289.25 to 422.75
Based on UP max only (+17.8%): 419.44

Open to requests for other symbols.

NFLX – Rollout

Rolled $NFLX 320/330 May-22-2020 #BuPS // May-29-2020 @1.47 credit.
NFLX trading around 434, down ~$13.50 or so today.

TQQQ

In my IRA:

BTC May 22, 50 puts at .01, sold at 1.25 and I want a pull back before I sell any more puts.

NVDA BUPS Closed

#bups #earnings
$NVDA BTC 5/22 BUPS at .20. STO 5/12 at 2.05. Plan was to close before earnings tonight.

#closing #earnings LOW May 19…

#closing #earnings LOW

May 19 sold #jadelizard for 2.59, bought today for 2.07
June 19, 105/119/121

Screen Shot 2020-05-21 at 6.40.20 AM