SPX trades

#SPXcampaign These are the second two standard weekly trades:

Sold $SPX Jan 26th 2735/2760 call spreads for 1.90.
Sold $SPX Jan 26th 2605/2580 put spreads for 1.50.

Also, closed on GTC order:
Jan 12th 2740/2765 call spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 last week.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Looks like we may end the year with the typical down day. It has been the case on the last day of December 15 out of the last 20 years. I was able to unload some remnants at the open, although missed a fill in my long Dec 29th 2700 calls… about .50-.80 at the open but it dropped to quickly on me, so closed for only .25

Closed $SPX Dec 29th 2715 long calls for .05 (closed the short side of this spread yesterday)
Closed Dec 29th 2665 long puts for .20 (closed the short side of this spread yesterday)
Closed Dec 29th 2700 long calls for .25 (long spread bought for 2.85 last week when I though the Upside Warning was going to fire)

Also:
Sold Jan 5th 2650/2675/2695/2720 #CondorRoll for 7.30. This puts me in two tight condors for next week, as I sold the Jan 3rd 2650/2675/2790/2715 condor yesterday.

I would expect a small rally next week, but ready to roll as always.

(Almost) Can’t win with $RH

#ShortStrangles It is fitting that after weeks of being blown out to the upside that my short PUTS go ITM on the day of expiry. This started as a Sept 8th 38/64.5 #Earnings strangle. I’ve been rolling out the call side ever since, and now finally ending the trade with trouble on the put side.

Even though I’m closing the 90’s at a small loss, the 85 was profitable and 110 calls also closed for .05. This puts me barely in the green on $RH so I’m walking away. I will be back next earnings. Love the challenge.

Closed $RH Dec 29th 85 put for .10. Sold for 1.65 on 12/6.
Closed $RH Dec 29th 90 puts for 2.65. Sold for 1.25, avg price.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Since $SPX has been up only 5 times in the last 20 years on the last day of the year, I closed the put side of this #IronButterfly. Letting the call side expire.

Closed $SPX Dec 29th 2690/2665 put spread for 7.40. Sold in an #IBroll for 17.55 last week (with 2690/2715 calls)

Also, trying to shake up this dull market: Sold June 3rd 2650/2675/2690/2715 #IronCondor for 6.50. These expire in just two trading days. My expectation is a slight drop tomorrow and then an up day on Tuesday.

AVGO bullish

#ShortPuts Taking a pre-earnings long position in $AVGO. Doing this old school… not diving into the #Fuzzy trades yet.

Sold $AVGO Feb 16th 250 puts for 5.85.

Saw this on Fast Money last night and the chart set up looks good, along with NFLX.

SPX calls sold

#SPXcampaign Missed the top and never got an afternoon bounce. So I sold this when we were flat-on-day.
Sold $SPX Jan 26th 2740/2765 call spreads for 1.85.

Closed on GTC orders:
Dec 27th 2665/2640 put spreads (yesterday)
Jan 5th 2570/2545 put spreads (today)

NUGT roll

#ContangoETFs Rolled a NUGT call to avoid falling ITM:
Closed $NUGT Jan 19th 30 call for 2.96. Sold for 1.30 early in Dec
#Rolling Sold NUGT June 40 call for 3.35

Also, sold highest June strike, 47 call for 2.46.

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Jan 26th 2600/2575 put spreads for 1.70.

Econ Calendar for week of 12/25/17

Be sure to periodically click “Home/REFRESH” to keep Bistro features updated.

Screen Shot 2017-12-26 at 5.46.36 AM

I Think We Missed Again, Oh

#VIXIndicator CBOE is showing closing VIX price of 9.90. Upside Warning denied third time in a row!

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Replacing the Dec 26th spread I closed this morning:
Sold $SPX Jan 3rd 2670/2645 put spreads for 3.40.

FB covered calls

#LongStock #CoveredCallCampaign
Bought to close $FB Dec 29th 182.5 call for .15. Sold for 1.60.

100 shares purchased for 126.00
Sold covered calls starting late April. Covered call total income: $1,400. Cost basis on stock 112.00.

VXX / UVXY Long Put Diagonals update

#LongPutDiagonals #VXXGame These trades were all put on late August or early September.

$UVXY Jan 2019 long 30 puts, bought for 19.10, now 24.02
$UVXY Jan 2019 30/40 call credit spreads, sold for 1.96, now .70

$VXX Jan 2019 long 20 puts, bought for 1.77 (avg price), now 4.20
$VXX Jan 2019 50/60 call credit spreads, sold for 2.21, now 1.00
(yesterday, closed one call spread for .90)

The “diagonal” portion of these trades is currently dormant, as selling puts in these was a folly in recent months. I have not calculated total losses from the attempt, but it did take a bite out of the above profits. I anticipate scaling out of these trades starting sometime in the summer.

I also bought these cold on Sept 5th… wish I had more:
VXX June 2018 25 put, bought for 1.33, now 4.17
VXX Jan 2019 25 put, bought for 3.46, now 7.18
VXX Jan 2019 15 puts, bought for .61, now 1.83.

Look for the next volatility spike and reverse splits to get long 2020 LEAP puts.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Jan 18th (monthly) 2620/2595 put spreads for 1.60.

In anticipation of an Upside Warning:
Bought to open $SPX Dec 29th 2700/2725 LONG call spreads for 2.50.

SPX puts closed

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX Dec 26th 2680/2655 put spreads for 2.50. Sold for 5.65 on Wednesday. Since this expires on the next trading day, I’m taking off risk since it’s close to ATM. Don’t want to get slammed with this if we open with a pullback on Tuesday.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Stepping cautiously, once again, into short call spreads. Feels like we may end the year more in consolidation than rally.

Sold $SPX Jan 12th 2740/2765 call spreads for 1.50
Sold $SPX Jan 18th (monthly) 2750/2775 call spreads for 1.60.

Also, closed on GTC order:
SPX Dec 26th 2645/2620 put spreads for .25. Sold for 4.70.

#spycraft

SPX puts closed

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order: $SPX Dec 22nd 2660/2635 put spreads for .40. Sold for 8.00 last week.

RH calls

#Earnings #Rolling Finishing up my multi-month battle with $RH. After closing earnings strangles successfully, I just sold Dec 29th 110 calls for 1.20. These offset 85 and 90 puts. If I can get these all to expire I’ll be done with this one. Currently in a daily squeeze so could be poised to move.

NUGT flying

#ContangoETFs Sold $NUGT Jan 19th 30 call for 1.30
Sold $NUGT June 40 call

These are the same call strikes I’m already holding in $DUST, so they are margin free.

SPX puts

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Dec 26th 2680/2655 put spreads for 5.65.

SPX bummer

#SPXcampaign Should have gone with my instincts and exited all of this at the open. But man, that drop was fast. Now I most likely exited all of these near the bottom.

Closed $SPX Dec 20th 2690/2665 put spreads for 12.55. Sold for 3.90 on Monday.
Sold $SPX Jan 12th 2750/2775 LONG call spreads for .60. Bought for .45 last week. Sold half of this. Keeping the other half to either profit higher or expire worthless.
Sold $SPX Dec 22nd 2700/2725 LONG call spreads for .75. Bought yesterday for 1.50.

What a crappy way to start the day.

#sellingatbottom

Using the TICK

#TradeSchool I’m sitting on the short $SPX Dec 20th 2690/2665 put spread expiring today. Nice open followed by steep dive. Spread went from around 3.00 at open to over 9.00. That’s the peril you face sitting on ATM spreads expiring same day. So I was facing a loss, watching the charts. If it wasn’t for the TICKs, I probably would have exited at the lows. While the SPX consolidated flat-on-day, it looked like it wanted to break lower. But the TICKs, which I always have on my screens right next to SPX, showed a bottoming and then steady trend higher. So I felt comfortable waiting for the TICK trend to break before exiting, but it didn’t break and the SPX eventually lifted. Not sure how high we’ll get, but at least I didn’t panic exit at lows.

Screen Shot 2017-12-20 at 6.59.45 AM

SVXY roll

#VXXGame Yesterday, closed $SVXY March 125 call for 17.25. Sold for 9.70 on Nov 21st.
Yesterday, sold Feb 90 put for 3.17.

This morning, sold June 150 call for 14.95

Another Upside Warning denied

#VIXIndicator, like last week, we got two consecutive closes below the 78.6% line, but then are denied the third. So no Upside Warning. Maybe this market wants to top out.

SPX long

#SPXcampaign Picked up a quickie long play for a potential pop tomorrow due to tax bill. Mind you, I think we could see a “sell the news” dump, but I lean toward a rally thanks to the holidays.

Bought $SPX Dec 22nd 2700/2720 call spreads for 1.50.

One step left…

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

STMP’d out

#Earnings #LongStock Sold to close final batch of $STMP stock for 187.15.

This closes the trade started on Nov 2nd when I sold 200/180 put spreads for 4.15, x2 for max profit of 827.90, max loss of 3,172.10. Stock tanked and I rolled the spreads, got assigned early, and I’m finally out with ending profit of $327.56

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX Jan 18th (monthly) 2610/2585 put spreads for 1.60.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign
Closed $SPX Jan 12th 2730/2755 call spreads for 3.50. Foolishly sold on Friday for 1.50.

#ReverseRoll Sold to Open Dec 20th 2690/2665 put spreads for 3.90

EDIT: was not filled on Jan 18th (monthly) 2600/2575 put spreads for 1.45

VXXgame pre-spreading

#VXXGame Starting a new experiment today. With $UVXY at all-time lows again, I bought some far OTM calls for cheap. This should lessen the margin requirement to sell lower strike calls on the next vol spike. Since I have portfolio margin these positions should help me overall with carrying short volatility trades. I will add some more positions in the coming days/weeks if we continue to barrel higher.

Bought (10) March 91 calls for .15 each.
Bought (1) Jan 2019 75 call for 1.70.

Highest available strikes on each.

NUGT call

#ContangoETFs Sold $NUGT Jan 2019 50 call for 4.10. This offsets the $DUST 50 call I sold for the same price a couple weeks ago. I’m building a NUGT ladder to match the one I have in DUST… short calls only on both.

STMP stock sold

#Earnings #LongStock Sold half of my remaining shares of $STMP for 180.85. Cost basis is 182.35. I’ll hold my remaining 100 for a higher exit, so I can at least breakeven on this one.

SPX puts closed, freight train barrels on

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order:
$SPX Jan 5th 2525/2500 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45.

Looks like I’ll be stopping my only short call spread: the Jan 12th 2730/2755 sold last week. Not sure when I can sell those safely again. We already hit my target for the 29th: 2690. That’s where I have an #IronButterfly centered. Reached the target only one day after selling it.

#reverseroll

Econ Calendar for week of 12/18/17

Be sure to periodically click “Home/REFRESH” to keep Bistro features updated.

Screen Shot 2017-12-18 at 5.35.53 AM

VXXgame profits and danger

This is a VERY important article to read for any one doing #VXXGame trades. I first learned the game from @optioniceman in December 2012 and made great profits for two years. However, you do suffer through pain and possible margin calls on big volatility events. After white-knuckling October 2014, I scaled back and participate on a much lower scale now. My profits have been smaller as a result, as the trade has remained stronger than ever since that event.

Although I have long understood the basics of this article, I still learned some new perspective by reading this today. Check it out. Ask questions, start a discussion.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4131144-next-big-short-potential-cause-market-decline?auth_param=bf3bv:1d386u2:98769c7c2dd6077dfe86fe528712f8a4&uprof=37

#vixindicator

SPX final trades

#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX Dec 27th 2665/2640 put spreads for 4.60, as a #ReverseRoll from Dec 26th calls stopped earlier.

Closed Dec 22nd 2670/2695 call spreads for 11.60. Sold yesterday for 5.55.
#IBroll to Dec 29th 2665/2690/2690/2715 #IronButterfly. Shooting for ending the year at or near 2690, but either way I can roll as necessary.

No Expirations.

STMP

Is it finally getting off its ass?

SPX calls stopped

#SPXcampaign As per usual, whenever I’m forced to hedge against a big drop I end up getting slammed on the call side.

Stopped $SPX Sept 26th 2695/2720 call spreads for 4.45. Sold yesterday in the 2620/2645/2695/2720 #CondorRoll for 6.65. Fortunately the put side has made more than the calls lost today (put deltas were much higher than the calls when I sold it).

Haven’t decided how I’m rolling yet. Also have a call spread I sold yesterday, Dec 22nd 2670/2695 for 5.55, now at 10.65. Looking to close this one as well.

SPX trades

#SPXcampaign Closed my long call spread that expires today.

First, I closed the short 2685 calls for .10. These can cause problems closing a spread that’s expiring on the same day. If they are too far OTM they won’t carry a bid in the afternoon, so I cleared them away so I could deal only with long 2665 calls.

Closed $SPX Dec 15th 2665 calls for 3.50 and 3.70. Bought the spread for 3.00.
Then, the SPX took off, so I closed the rest at 7.70. What a difference 10 minutes makes!

Also:
Sold $SPX Jan 12th 2730/2755 call spreads for 1.50. Had not sold any calls this week, anticipating the Upside Warning. But since it hasn’t come I’m dipping my toe back into call credit spreads.

Closed on GTC order:
Dec 29th 2540/2515 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 in last week of Nov

25 Stocks Moving In Friday's…

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

SPX roll

#SPXcampaign So my mental stop on this spread was 2655. When we hit that I put in a low bid to close and was set to watch for a bounce. Then if we start moving higher, I keep lowering the bid to hopefully exit on a bounce. So we spent about 25 minutes near the lows, and my bid was 7.20. I stepped into the kitchen and it filled on the first minor pop. Now it’s trading for 6.50 on what may be the bounce. It’s the peril of riding ATM spreads so close to expiration.

Closed $SPX Dec 15th 2660/2635 put spreads for 7.20. Sold for 3.70.
#CondorRoll Sold Dec 26th 2620/2645/2695/2720 condors for 6.65

Marco Rubio dip?

#Markets Marco Rubio is a reported “no” on the current plan. Mike Lee is undecided. If that’s what’s driving us down today, I say BTFD.

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign I’m still believing we get a combination Santa-Claus/Tax-reform rally, as Republicans look closer than ever to meeting their Christmas deadline. However, the failure on the upside warning firing has definitely come through, as the rally was immediately halted and now we are wavering. As I cleared all call spreads and am short only put spreads, my risk is too lopsided, so I had to #ReverseRoll at least one of them.

Closed $SPX Dec 18th 2660/2635 put spreads for 5.50. Sold yesterday for 3.65.
Sold $SPX Dec 22nd 2670/2695 call spreads for 5.55.

My bet is on a bounce into tomorrow’s quadruple witching expiration and then higher next week. But this hedges me some if we go lower instead.

They gone and done it

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/14/fcc-reverses-open-internet-order-governing-net-neutrality.html

SPX puts closed

#SPXcampaign Closed on GTC order:
$SPX Dec 18th 2630/2605 put spreads for .40. Sold for 8.00 last week.

SPX puts

#SPXcampaign I sold one more put spread, but now not liking how we closed. Hoping for another push UP this week and a chance to start adding call spreads and even myself out. We may be topping out, but if they do manage to pass tax bill we could see another push up.

Sold $SPX Dec 18th 2660/2635 put spreads for 3.65.

Missed it by THAT much

#VIXIndicator Despite hitting a new all-time high today, the VIX spiked at day’s end, ending on the highs. This means no Upside Warning yet. We’ll need three more consecutive days below 9.85. Unless we see a market drop tomorrow, signs are still bullish for year end.

SPX all (short) call spreads closed

#SPXcampaign Closed my last two remaining call credit spreads:

Closed $SPX Dec 20th 2590/2615 call spreads for 24.35. Sold ITM for 20.45. Waiting to replace when upside move tires out.

Closed SPX Dec 29th 2710/2735 call spreads for 2.25. Sold for 1.40 on Dec 1st.

Waiting to roll both tomorrow. Depending on how CBOE calls the close on VIX, we may or may not have an Upside Warning.

RH puts

#ShortStrangles Added to the short side of my $RH strangle, sold Dec 29th 90 puts for 1.20 and 1.30.

VXXGame trades

#VXXGame Yesterday, Bought to close Dec 15th VXX 30 call for .55. Sold for 6.50 avg price in October.

Today, Bought to close $SVXY March 122 call for 16.20. Sold in a strangle for 19.35 on 10/27
Rolled to:
Sold SVXY June 85 put for 8.95
Sold SVXY June 160 call for 8.90

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign Stopped: $SPX Dec 15th 2680/2705 for 3.55. Sold in a #CondorRoll last week.
#ReverseRoll Sold Dec 15th 2660/2635 put spreads for 3.80.

Also, closed on GTC order:
Dec 15th 2610/2585 put spreads for .20. Sold for 3.40.

New all-time high in SPX

We’re off and running… Upside Warning going into effect at the close, provided VIX closes below 9.85

#reverserolling

SPX puts

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open $SPX Jan 12th 2580/2555 put spreads for 1.50.

Closed on GTC order: Dec 29th 2500/2475 put spreads for .20.

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX Dec 22nd 2260/2635 put spreads for 8.80. Another bullish position based on potential for Upside Warning hitting tomorrow.

SPX long

#SPXcampaign Bought $SPX Jan 12th 2750/2775 call spreads for .45. I set up this spread as a potential to sell, but when I saw the low premium I decided to buy as a low risk shot at a run to 2700. This spread will sell for 5.00 or more if we get there by end of the month.

Econ Calendar for week of 12/11/17

Be sure to periodically click “Home/REFRESH” above to keep Bistro features updated.

Items marked with a Blue Star are potentially market moving:

Screen Shot 2017-12-11 at 6.00.40 AM

SPX – Final trades and expiration

#SPXcampaign The VIX ended th day on its lows, signaling the likelihood of a new Upside Warning next week. So I closed the two Jan 5th call spreads I sold this week, one with sufficient profit and one with a loss, but easy to roll next week.
Closed $SPX Jan 5th 2740/2765 call spreads for .40. Sold for 1.50 on Monday.
Closed $SPX Jan 5th 2705/2730 call spreads for 2.10. Sold for 1.50 yesterday.

#OptionsExpiration, closed 1/3 of this position for 11.50 on Wednesday, and now the rest expires at the max profit.
#Exercised: Dec 8th 2520/2540 LONG call spreads for 20.00. Bought for 3.50 on Nov 27th.

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Second and final standard spread for this week:
Sold $SPX Jan 5th 2570/2545 put spreads for 1.50.

SPX calls closed

#SPXcampaign Sold these only yesterday, but no reason to sit and watch them go further in the hole. Based on today’s action I’m expecting more upside next week so I’m not letting call spreads ride.

Closed $SPX Dec 18th 2640/2665 call spreads for 12.40. Sold yesterday for 8.75.
#ReverseRoll Sold Dec 20th 2660/2635 put spreads for 10.55. I’ll add another put spread later to make up difference.

Closed on GTC order:
Dec 22nd 2510/2485 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 on Nov 22nd.

Another LONG SPX

#SPXcampaign Since I have a long $SPX spread expiring at full profit today, adding a new one with the possibility of a further rally shaping up for next week.

Bought SPX Dec 15th 2665/2685 LONG call spreads for 3.00.

Also, closed on GTC order:
SPX Dec 22nd 2495/2470 put spreads for .20. Sold for 1.45 on Nov 21st.

Futures UP

#Markets #SPXcampaign Jobs report surging the markets higher. If the day remains positive and VIX drops, we are setting up for a new Upside Warning next week. This could mean a rally toward 2700 into the end of the month, which is typical for December. I’ll be watching to once again #ReverseRoll call spreads and get long.

November JOBS report

+228,000 non-farm payroll jobs, vs 200K expected
Unemployment holds steady at 4.1%
U6 unemployment up one tenth to 8.0%
Wages up 0.2%, one-tenth below estimates, totaling +2.5% for the year
Labor force participation holds at 62.9%

SPX calls sold

#SPXcampaign. Filled on two call spreads on the spike to new HOD:

Sold $SPX Dec 18th 2640/2665 call spreads for 8.75
Sold $SPX Jan 5th 2705/2730 call spreads for 1.50

FB covered calls

#CoveredCalls #LongStock
On Tuesday, closed $FB Dec 15th 185 call for .15. Sold for 1.53 on Nov 24th.
Today, sold Dec 29th 182.5 call for 1.60.

DUST another call

#ContangoETFs. Filled at the bell: $DUST March 44 call for 1.25. It was the highest strike a couple days ago, but now they’ve added the 45.

CNBC saying sell

#Markets
Guys on Fast Money talking about a lot of selling happening to realize gains in 2017 before next year and the new tax plan. May be reason for drop in last 25 minutes.

RH call

#Earnings #ShortStrangles Sold $RH Dec 29th 120 call for 1.30, giving me a strangle, after selling the 85 put for 1.65 earlier.

SPX long calls closed

#SPXcampaign Closed half my longs:

Sold to close $SPX Dec 8th 2620/2640 calls for 11.50. Bought for 3.50 on Nov 27th. Holding the other half to see what happens. I’m not too optimistic for much more upside this week, but I’m up for anything.

RH & AZO earnings

#Earnings Closed $RH Dec 8th 118 and 120 calls for .05. Sold yesterday for 1.20 and 1.15. Orders in to close Dec 8th 90 puts and Dec 15th 85 puts for .05.

Sold RH Dec 29th 85 put for 1.65. I’m almost back into profit after third quarter blowout, so keeping strangles going a bit longer.

$AZO 780 calls closed yesterday. Just closed Dec 8th 615 puts for .10. Strangle sold for 4.575, closed for .675.

Next up… AVGO

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Sold to Open Jan 5th 2525/2500 put spreads for 1.45, with SPX at 2630.

Two intraday blow-off tops?

#Markets Another afternoon of weakness.

Unrelated to that, but funny:

The difference between how technical analysis is taught vs. what really happens:

Screen Shot 2017-12-05 at 12.12.02 PM

RH earnings

#Earnings Selling strangles in this one, piece by piece. I’ve been fighting with it since last quarter as it has gone parabolic. Payback time. (NOTE: I do not advocate revenge trading, even though I do it)

Sold $RH Dec 8th 120 calls for 1.20
Sold $RH Dec 8th 90 put for 1.30
Sold $RH Dec 15th 85 put for 1.10

AZO closing

#Earnings #ShortStrangles
Closed one $AZO 780 call for .75. The 615/780 strangle sold yesterday for 4.575 (avg price). Orders in to sell the other call for .40, and the puts for .05.

DUST call

#ContangoETFs Sold to Open $DUST June 40 call for 3.05. Thanks @ramie77 for the idea.

SPX rolled

#SPXcampaign Closed $SPX Dec 6th 2640/2615 put spreads for 6.25. Sold last week for 6.40.
This was my only remaining put spread expiring this week, but because it is ending the day ATM, I had to cut it loose to avoid risk of a gap down tomorrow or Wednesday. At least it was breakeven.

I rolled it to…
Sold $SPX Dec 15th (Friday PM) 2585/2610/2580/2705 #CondorRoll for 6.30. This one has more time to expiration thus is more flexible to roll if wings are breached.